Economic Impact Magellan

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Economic Impact Magellan

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  • Measuring the Economic Measuring the Economic

    Impact of MagellanImpact of Magellan

    Intel International eLearning Summit

    Porto, Portugal

    11 November 2009

    Vital Wave Consulting

    Field Teams

    Latin AmericaArgentina

    Brazil

    Chile

    Costa Rica

    Dominican Republic

    Mexico

    Peru

    AsiaIndia

    China

    Cambodia

    Eastern EuropeEstonia

    Uzbekistan

    Ukraine

    AfricaEgypt

    South Africa

    Nigeria

    Kenya

    Middle EastUnited Arab Emirates

    United StatesCalifornia (Headquarters)

  • 2009 Vital Wave ConsultingTMProprietary and Confidential: Do not copy or distribute.

    Portugal Education & Economic Ecosystem Before Magellan

    1

  • 2009 Vital Wave ConsultingTMProprietary and Confidential: Do not copy or distribute.

    Portugal Education & Economic Ecosystem After Magellan

    2

    The Magellan Impact on Portugal Over 1,500 jobs created, 30,000 teachers trained, 2.3 billion in economic activity, 4 million computers exported and a computer for every primary school child

  • 2009 Vital Wave ConsultingTMProprietary and Confidential: Do not copy or distribute.

    ICT Investment and Economic Growth Relationship to GDP and Productivity Growth

    As nations develop their knowledge economies to attract higher paying jobs and improve standards of living, research is showing that investment in ICT is critical to improving economic prospects.

    As nations develop their knowledge economies to attract higher paying jobs and improve standards of living, research is showing that investment in ICT is critical to improving economic prospects.

    3

    A 2006 OECD study revealed a positive correlation between high levels of investment in ICT and higher economic and productivity growth, with high investment countries like the US, Sweden and Finland showing higher rates of both than nations such as Portugal, Germany and France.

    A 2006 OECD study revealed a positive correlation between high levels of investment in ICT and higher economic and productivity growth, with high investment countries like the US, Sweden and Finland showing higher rates of both than nations such as Portugal, Germany and France.

    %

    o

    f

    G

    D

    P

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    IT education investments are reflected in international competitiveness rankings, such as the World Knowledge Competitiveness Index, which both reflect and influence global executive opinions

    IT education investments are reflected in international competitiveness rankings, such as the World Knowledge Competitiveness Index, which both reflect and influence global executive opinions

    Global firms increasingly consider a tech-literate workforce essential when deciding on foreign investments, evidenced by Intels review of Vietnams tech curriculum during its factory investment process

    Global firms increasingly consider a tech-literate workforce essential when deciding on foreign investments, evidenced by Intels review of Vietnams tech curriculum during its factory investment process

    Technology education is key to developing homegrown, world-class IT companies, such as India has done with Wipro and China has done with Huawei

    Technology education is key to developing homegrown, world-class IT companies, such as India has done with Wipro and China has done with Huawei

    Economic Benefits to Technology in Education Technology Education Improves Competitiveness

    4

    India

    China

    Vietnam

    Germany 41.5 41.8 23 42.8 21 44.1

    Hong Kong 110.1 111.1 14 113.7 13 166.6

    Hungary 31.0 31.2 26 32.0 24 27.7

    Iceland 366.0 369.2 1

    India 0.1 0.1 33 0.1 29

    Ireland 27.9 28.2 27 28.9 25 31.6

    Israel 78.9 79.6 18 81.5 17 35.6

    Italy 94.1 95.0 17 97.3 16 63.2

    Japan 101.6 102.5 15 104.9 14 84.8

    Korea 5.3 5.3 32 5.5 28 10.8

    1

    2

    3

  • 2009 Vital Wave ConsultingTMProprietary and Confidential: Do not copy or distribute.

    Project Magellan 500,000 Locally-made Netbooks for Portuguese Students

    This new collaboration with Intel underscores Portugal's commitment to advance quickly toward a knowledge-based economy. By

    equipping our schools with state-of-the-art computing technology and Internet

    connectivity, we hope to hasten the transition to economic models that benefit our citizens."

    Prime Minister Jos Socrates

    5

    In July 2008, Portuguese Prime Minister Jose Socrates unveiled the Magellan PC and announced a deal with Intel to purchase and deploy 500,000 of the locally-built, lightweight netbooks to Portuguese primary school students

    In July 2008, Portuguese Prime Minister Jose Socrates unveiled the Magellan PC and announced a deal with Intel to purchase and deploy 500,000 of the locally-built, lightweight netbooks to Portuguese primary school students

    Source: The Inquirer

    Portugal Prime Minister Jos Socrates and Intel Chairman Craig Barrett at the launch of the Magellan initiative

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    Moving the Needle to 1:1 e-Learning Accelerating Portugals Move up the Rankings

    Magellan is part of a broader initiative, Plano Tecnologico, by the government of Portugal to catch up to and surpass its fellow EU members in technology and Internet readiness and ultimately reach the goal of a computer for every child

    Magellan is part of a broader initiative, Plano Tecnologico, by the government of Portugal to catch up to and surpass its fellow EU members in technology and Internet readiness and ultimately reach the goal of a computer for every child

    6

    Student-to-Computer Ratio

    Post-secondary e-school initiative

    Post-Magellan

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    Portugal Education Ecosystem Education Impact vs. Economic Impact

    Software/Content

    Providers

    OS Providers

    Content Providers

    Application Developers

    Beneficiaries/

    Thought Leaders

    Students

    Parents

    Teachers

    Education Orgs

    Thought Leaders

    Hardware Producers

    Hardware Design

    Local OEM/ODM

    Distributor

    Factory/Parts Suppliers

    Governments

    National Gov/MoE

    Ministry of Telecommunications

    Local School Systems

    Service Providers

    Training Organizations

    Design Centers

    Education Program Design

    Education Impact Economic Impact

    7

    Telecommunications

    Providers

    Telecom Companies

    Infrastructure Equipment Manufacturers

  • 2009 Vital Wave ConsultingTMProprietary and Confidential: Do not copy or distribute.

    Project Magellan Direct and Indirect Economic Benefits

    Direct BenefitsCreation of local jobs associated with hardware and software production and support servicesIncreased revenues and salaries associated with job creationImprovements in physical and Internet infrastructureExport increase/improvement in balance of trade

    Indirect BenefitsIndirect economic activity (e.g., spinoff jobs) produced by creation of new production and service jobsEnhanced ability to attract foreign investment (e.g., JP S Couto) due to stronger workforce skillsImprovement in international competitivenessBuild up of local IT capabilities and ecosystemIncreased tax revenues

    8

    Project Magellan

    Portugal

  • 2009 Vital Wave ConsultingTMProprietary and Confidential: Do not copy or distribute.

    Creating the Portuguese Silicon Valley Magellan Gives Boost to Technology Cluster and Jobs

    9

    Porto

    Maia

    Matasinhos

    Braga

    Chip Manufacturer

    770 jobs

    OEM/ODM

    200% increase in jobs

    Research University

    Quantum Chip Lab

    GPS Device Manufacturer38 jobs

    Mobile Device Software

    50 jobsDesign/Innovation Center

    10% increase in jobs

    IT Integrator/Distributor

    Increase in jobs

    Entities directly benefiting from Magellan

    Hundreds of jobs added to improve Portugals 9.1% unemployment rate

    Northern

    Portugal

    Content Provider

    TBD jobs

    Linux OS Software

    25% increase in jobs

  • 2009 Vital Wave ConsultingTMProprietary and Confidential: Do not copy or distribute.

    Exporting Magellan to the WorldPortugal as High Value Added Technology Solutions Exporter

    10

    Exporting the Magellan model of locally-produced hardware and software to countries around the world

    Global SalesProject DesignSolutions Implementation

    Exporting the Magellan model of locally-produced hardware and software to countries around the world

    Global SalesProject DesignSolutions Implementation

    The Portuguese Magellan initiative was the model for the May 2009 announcement by the prime minister of Spain for a one-to-one program for primary students that will also involve job creation for the Spanish education eco-system as part of an economic stimulus package

    The Portuguese Magellan initiative was the model for the May 2009 announcement by the prime minister of Spain for a one-to-one program for primary students that will also involve job creation for the Spanish education eco-system as part of an economic stimulus package

    Hardware Expertise

    IT Solutions Expertise

    Sugar

    Scratch

    Global Partners

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    Moving up the Economic Value Chain Magellan Transforms JP S Couto into Europes only ODM

    Magellans manufacturing will be done by Portugal hardware company JP S Couto, transforming the company from a networking and original equipment manufacturer

    into Europes only original design manufacturer, leveraging CEIIA design ideas

    Magellans manufacturing will be done by Portugal hardware company JP S Couto, transforming the company from a networking and original equipment manufacturer

    into Europes only original design manufacturer, leveraging CEIIA design ideas

    11

    2009OEM

    2010ODM

    In PortugalHard drive assemblyFinal assembly

    AbroadProcessor manufactureHardware designComponent designMotherboard manufactureConfiguration

    In PortugalHardware designMotherboard manufactureConfigurationHard drive assemblyFinal assembly

    AbroadProcessor manufacture

    Increased

    Value AddedManufacturing JobsDesign JobsIntellectual Capital

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    Jobs +300% +11% +25%

    Revenues +200% TBD +25%

    Wages/Salaries +>200% TBD +20%

    12

    Local OEM/ODMJP S Couto

    Local OEM/ODMJP S Couto

    Software Provider

    Caixa Magica

    Software Provider

    Caixa Magica

    Design CenterCEIIA

    Design CenterCEIIA

    Direct Economic ImpactDirect Impact Concentrated among Certain Ecosystem Players

  • 2009 Vital Wave ConsultingTMProprietary and Confidential: Do not copy or distribute.

    Indirect Economic BenefitsManufacturing Expansion Leads to Spinoff Jobs and Activity

    Recent studies indicate that each new manufacturing job may lead to the creation of 3.2 indirect or spinoff jobs, while other analyses show that the each dollar of manufacturing economic activity produces another $1.26 of intermediate economic output, meaning Magellans total economic impact will be hundreds of millions of euros

    Recent studies indicate that each new manufacturing job may lead to the creation of 3.2 indirect or spinoff jobs, while other analyses show that the each dollar of manufacturing economic activity produces another $1.26 of intermediate economic output, meaning Magellans total economic impact will be hundreds of millions of euros

    13

    Direct

    Impact*

    Indirect

    ImpactTotal

    Jobs 350 1,120 1,470

    Total Economic Activity (based on sales of 5 million units)

    1 billion 1.26 billion 2.26 billion

    *Result of manufacturing expansion

  • 2009 Vital Wave ConsultingTMProprietary and Confidential: Do not copy or distribute.

    Magellan by the NumbersImpacting Jobs, Skills, and IT Readiness in Portugal

    14

    ~350~350

    Direct Jobs Created

    850850

    Master Teachers Trained

    1 billion1 billion

    Direct Economic Activity*

    5 million5 million

    Units Manufactured*

    2.3 billion2.3 billion

    Total Economic Activity*

    4 million4 million

    Units Exported*

    ~1500~1500

    Total Jobs Created

    30,00030,000

    All Teachers Trained

    *Total through 2010

  • Interview NotesInterview Notes