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Economic Development and Indicators of Infrastructure Provision Regional Workshop on Public- Regional Workshop on Public- Private Private Partnership in Transport Partnership in Transport Cesar Queiroz Cesar Queiroz Roads and Infrastructure Consultant Roads and Infrastructure Consultant World Bank World Bank Transport and Telecommunication Institute Transport and Telecommunication Institute Riga, Latvia, March 6-8, 2007 Riga, Latvia, March 6-8, 2007

Economic Development and Indicators of Infrastructure Provision Regional Workshop on Public-Private Partnership in Transport Cesar Queiroz Roads and Infrastructure

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Page 1: Economic Development and Indicators of Infrastructure Provision Regional Workshop on Public-Private Partnership in Transport Cesar Queiroz Roads and Infrastructure

Economic Development and Indicators of Infrastructure

Provision

Regional Workshop on Public-PrivateRegional Workshop on Public-PrivatePartnership in TransportPartnership in Transport

Cesar QueirozCesar QueirozRoads and Infrastructure Consultant Roads and Infrastructure Consultant

World BankWorld Bank

Transport and Telecommunication InstituteTransport and Telecommunication InstituteRiga, Latvia, March 6-8, 2007Riga, Latvia, March 6-8, 2007

Page 2: Economic Development and Indicators of Infrastructure Provision Regional Workshop on Public-Private Partnership in Transport Cesar Queiroz Roads and Infrastructure

Presentation Outline• Developing and developed countries• Some measures of infrastructure

provision• Infrastructure indicators and economic

development• How private financing can help• Some policy implications

Page 3: Economic Development and Indicators of Infrastructure Provision Regional Workshop on Public-Private Partnership in Transport Cesar Queiroz Roads and Infrastructure

Developing and Developed Countries

• Developing countries include low- and middle-income economies

• Developed (advanced, industrial, rich) countries denote high-income economies

Page 4: Economic Development and Indicators of Infrastructure Provision Regional Workshop on Public-Private Partnership in Transport Cesar Queiroz Roads and Infrastructure

Classification of Economies

Economies GNI per capita

Low-income $825 or less

Middle-Income $826 to $10,065Lower $826 to $3,255Upper $3,256 to $10,065

High-income $10,066 or more

Source: www.worldbank.org/data

Page 5: Economic Development and Indicators of Infrastructure Provision Regional Workshop on Public-Private Partnership in Transport Cesar Queiroz Roads and Infrastructure

51810

41400

3288030370

14770

9130708068205580340026802040 720 280 110

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

Gross National Income (US$ per Capita)

Source: http://devdata.worldbank.org/data-query/

Page 6: Economic Development and Indicators of Infrastructure Provision Regional Workshop on Public-Private Partnership in Transport Cesar Queiroz Roads and Infrastructure

GNI in the Baltic States

Economies GNI per capita

Upper Middle-Income $3,256 to $10,065

Estonia $7,080Latvia $6,760Lithuania $7,050

Source: http://devdata.worldbank.org/data-query/

Page 7: Economic Development and Indicators of Infrastructure Provision Regional Workshop on Public-Private Partnership in Transport Cesar Queiroz Roads and Infrastructure

Extent and condition of road infrastructure in developed and developing countries

Page 8: Economic Development and Indicators of Infrastructure Provision Regional Workshop on Public-Private Partnership in Transport Cesar Queiroz Roads and Infrastructure
Page 9: Economic Development and Indicators of Infrastructure Provision Regional Workshop on Public-Private Partnership in Transport Cesar Queiroz Roads and Infrastructure
Page 10: Economic Development and Indicators of Infrastructure Provision Regional Workshop on Public-Private Partnership in Transport Cesar Queiroz Roads and Infrastructure
Page 11: Economic Development and Indicators of Infrastructure Provision Regional Workshop on Public-Private Partnership in Transport Cesar Queiroz Roads and Infrastructure
Page 12: Economic Development and Indicators of Infrastructure Provision Regional Workshop on Public-Private Partnership in Transport Cesar Queiroz Roads and Infrastructure

Some Measures of Infrastructure• Paved road density (PRD), in km per

million persons

• Electricity-generating capacity (ELE), in thousands of kilowatts per million persons

• Number of telephone connections per million population (TEL)

• Railroad tracks (RWY), in km per million population

Page 13: Economic Development and Indicators of Infrastructure Provision Regional Workshop on Public-Private Partnership in Transport Cesar Queiroz Roads and Infrastructure

Average Measures of Infrastructure

Economies PRD ELE TEL RWY (km/mil pop) (1,000’s of (# of connec. (km/mil

kw/mil pop) /mil pop) pop)

Low-income 410 70 7,920 70

Lower-middle 610 190 46,760 190 Income

Upper-middle 1,950 560 154,100 330 Income

High-income 10,150 2,070 673,000 840

Page 14: Economic Development and Indicators of Infrastructure Provision Regional Workshop on Public-Private Partnership in Transport Cesar Queiroz Roads and Infrastructure

Economic Development and Infrastructure

100

1000

10000

100000

100 1,000 10,000 100,000

Paved Road Density (km/mil pop)

GNI ($/pop)

Source: Queiroz and Gautam

logGNI = 1.39 logPRDR squared: 0.7698 countries

Page 15: Economic Development and Indicators of Infrastructure Provision Regional Workshop on Public-Private Partnership in Transport Cesar Queiroz Roads and Infrastructure

Where and How Can PPP help?

• In While PPPs are not a panacea, experience in a number of countries, both in the developing and developed worlds, have shown that well structured PPPs can help a country expand its transport infrastructure without overburdening its budget

Page 16: Economic Development and Indicators of Infrastructure Provision Regional Workshop on Public-Private Partnership in Transport Cesar Queiroz Roads and Infrastructure

Some Policy Implications

• Transport infrastructure is essential for economic development,

• …then sufficient resources should be made available to maintain and expand a country’s transport infrastructure.

• Despite relative slowdown, PPPs remain an attractive option for many governments

Page 17: Economic Development and Indicators of Infrastructure Provision Regional Workshop on Public-Private Partnership in Transport Cesar Queiroz Roads and Infrastructure

Thank you!

Page 18: Economic Development and Indicators of Infrastructure Provision Regional Workshop on Public-Private Partnership in Transport Cesar Queiroz Roads and Infrastructure

Cesar QueirozRoad and Transport

Infrastructure Consultant

Tel +1 202-473 8053Cel +1 301-755 7591

Email: [email protected]@worldbank.org

www.worldbank.org/highways