97
Econ Department Final Unit Three – Macroeconomics Prepping for Success!

Econ Department Final - Weeblygpowell6.weebly.com/uploads/5/6/1/5/56150665/econ_department_fin… · Econ Department Final Exam Econ Study Cards To help you, you’ll create one Study

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Econ Department Final

Unit Three – Macroeconomics

Prepping for Success!

Econ Department Final Exam

Your Economics Departmental Final Exam is cumulative and will count as 5% of your

class grade.

Following is our Review Schedule:

Tuesday – we’ll review Unit One and Unit Two

Wednesday – we’ll review Unit Three and Unit Four

Thursday – we’ll review Unit Five and finish with a wrap-up game!

Econ Department Final Exam

Econ Study CardsTo help you, you’ll create one Study

Card per unit.

• You can write as much as you want

on each index card – front and back

• They will help you study and prepare!

• Each Study Card will count for a

classwork grade – 25 points/Study

Card

Your Name on each card Unit 1, 2, 3, 4 or 5

Complete Your Study Card As You Review!

As you review each unit, capture key information on your Study Card.

At the end of each unit review, there will be questions you have to answer.

These will receive a grade, so take them seriously!

Hint – everyone should make a 100% because you can go back and find the

answer if you don’t know it!

Here’s Your Timing

First half of class (45 min.)

30-35 minutes – review the unit and capture important info on your index card

10-15 minutes – answer the review questions

When you’re done, come show me your index card and I’ll give you the

access code for the next unit to review.

Second half of class (45 min)

30-35 minutes – review the unit and capture important info on your index card

10-15 minutes – answer the review questions

Unit Three Review

Each Unit Review will ‘unpack’ our unit learning standards to help

you understand what you need to know.

We’ll take each learning standard and break it down. Please pay

particular attention to the bold/colored words and make sure you

include this information on your Unit Summary Index Card.

Unit 3 Learning Standard #1 of 3

SSEMA1 Illustrate the means by which economic activity is measured.

a. Identify and describe the macroeconomic goals of steady economic growth, stable

prices, and full employment.

b. Define Gross Domestic Product (GDP) as the sum of Consumer Spending, Investment,

Government Spending, and Net Exports (output expenditure model).

c. Define unemployment rate, Consumer Price Index (CPI), inflation, real GDP, aggregate

supply and aggregate demand and explain how each is used to evaluate the

macroeconomic goals from SSEMA1a.

d. Give examples of who benefits and who loses from unanticipated inflation.

e. Identify seasonal, structural, cyclical, and frictional unemployment.

f. Define the stages of the business cycle, including: peak, contraction, trough,

recovery/expansion as well as recession and depression.

Economic Freedom

• Consumers and producers make their own economic decisions

• Choose their own occupations, employers, and uses for their money

• Choose what, where, and how to produce

Economic Efficiency• Use scarce resources well and not wasteful

Economic Equity/Equality

• Equal pay for equal work

• People are fair in both their purchases and sales

Economic Security

• Protection from adverse events such as layoffs and illnesses

• Social Security

Full Employment• Provide as many jobs as possible

Price Stability• Prices do not go up or down too much, too often

• Inflation – general rise in prices

• Deflation – general fall in prices (dollar worth less)

Economic Growth• More jobs means more money for people

Macroeconomics

Macroeconomics gives us a overall view of economic activity

Macroeconomics is the study of the whole economy together –

the aggregated (everything added up) spending, saving, and

investing decisions of all consumers and businesses

These factors together – households, businesses, government,

and net exports – describe the health of the economy as a

whole!

Key Economic Indicators

The health of the economy and the “big picture” of economics is

measured in several ways

These include:

Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) This is a measure of the rate of inflation

Unemployment

Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

To compare our system with other countries’ systems, and to

compare the strength of our own economy year to year,

economists use something called the

Gross Domestic Product (or GDP), which is

the total dollar value of all final goods and

services produced within a country during

one calendar year.

Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

GDP is measured by assessing the total expenditures (spending) of

four different economic sectors:

1. Consumers (C) – Consumer Spending

2. Government (G) – Government Spending

3. Investment (I) – Investments from Industry

4. Net Exports (NX) – Exports Minus Imports

Gross

Domestic

Product

Famous Economic Formula

GDP= C+G +I+(X-M)

C= Personal consumption expenditures (consumer

spending).

Includes

durable goods: a lifetime of more than one year, and

non-durable goods: a lifetime of less than one year, and services.

Durable vs. Non-Durable Goods

G = Government Purchases

The dollar amount that

federal, state, and local

governments spend on items

IE: highways, education,

defense, etc.

Government Purchases

Levels of Spending

Federal/National

State

City

I = Capital Investment

Total value of all capital goods investment/purchases in a given nation during one year.

Fixed investment: Buildings, machinery, equipment

Inventory investment: raw materials, intermediate goods, final goods

InvestmentFixed Investment Inventory Investment

Raw Materials

Intermediate Goods

Finished Goods

Net Exports

The reason we subtract our imports from our exports is this:

Exports - The money other countries spend on our exports adds value to our economy

Imports - The money we spend on goods imported from other countries takes money out of our economy

So, the net export expenditure iscalculated only when the transactions add value to our economy!

Exports vs. Imports

Goods & services made in our own country

Other countries buy them & add to our economy

Goods &

services made

in other

countries

When we buy

other

countries’

goods &

services it

does NOT add

to our

economy

GDP does NOT include:

value of used products

value of volunteer work

purely financial transactions

value of intermediary goods

Transfer of assets

Value of non-market activities (DIY)

Underground economies (anything not reported to the government

Unemployment

To again monitor the health of our economy, economists

measure the Unemployment Rate.

Each month, they survey certain Americans to find out their

employment status.

The U.S. Government defines “employed” as people 16 and

older meeting one or more of the following criteria.

Criteria to be considered “Employed”

1. Working for pay or profit for 1 or more hours this week.

2. Working without pay in a family business 15 or more

hours.

3. Having a job, but being ABSENT due to illness, weather,

vacation, etc.

The U.S. Government defines

“Unemployed" as:

1. NOT meeting any of the criteria above

AND

2. ACTIVELY looking for work during the past 4 weeks.

The most closely watched and highly publicized labor force statistic is

the UNEMPLOYMENT RATE=the percentage of people in the civilian

labor force who are UNEMPLOYED.

Unemployment

rate

unemployed

labor forcex 100=

Measuring Unemployment

Why is there Unemployment?

In the end, unemployment depends on supply and demand – the

supply of able workers and the demand by businesses for those

employees

Some, but not all, unemployment is the result of a downturn in the

economy – a change in supply or demand

Economists classify four different types of unemployment

4 Types of Unemployment

Structural

Cyclical

Frictional

Seasonal

STRUCTURAL Unemployment

Unemployment that occurs as a result of changes in technology,

consumer preferences, or in the way the economy is “STRUCTURED.”

EX: Many TV repairmen had to find new work as televisions are

now built with transistors instead of tubes.

CYCLICAL Unemployment

This unemployment results from contractions in the economy.

This type of unemployment HARMS the economy more than any other types of unemployment.

During the Great Depression, the unemployment rate reached an all time high of about 25%.

As recently as 2009 and 2010, the unemployment rate reached 10.2%.

FRICTIONAL Unemployment

People who have decided to leave one job and LOOK for another

typically better job.

Also, new entrants and re-entrants into the LABOR FORCE.

Economists consider frictional unemployment as a NORMAL part of a

healthy and changing ECONOMY.

SEASONAL Unemployment

This predictable unemployment fluctuates as a result of HOLIDAYS,

school breaks, and industry PRODUCTION schedules.

Consumer Price Index

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the change in prices in an economy

Economists add up the total price of a “market basket” of typical items bought by the average family in a month

Then, they compare the total price of these goods to the total price of the same items during a base period (or previous year) by dividing the total by the base

Then, they multiply the result by 100 to have an index figure for comparison purposes

CPI = cost of today’s market basket

cost of a market basket in previous timeX 100

Let’s Look at an Example…

Let’s say that in 2006, a year that we would like to serve as our baseyear, the market basket cost $960

Then, we measure the same goods again in 2007 and find that they cost $1000

So, it works out like this:

CPI = 1000

960

CPI = 1.04 X 100

CPI = 104

X 100Remember, this number is an index figure. By itself, it doesn’t tell us much. We compare it to 100 (the base number integer that is always used) to figure out the percentage change!

Inflation and Growth

On the other hand, if prices increase but the economy does

not grow, a condition called stagflation occurs. Stagflation

is when there is high inflation, the economic growth rate

slows and unemployment remains high.

Inflation and Growth

High inflation hurts wage earners because the money they

make is now worth less

Some businesses may offer cost-of-living adjustments for their

employees to balance out the effects of inflation

What Have We Learned So Far?

• GDP

• Definition The total dollar value of

all final goods and services

produced within a country

during one calendar year.

• Formula

• C + G + I + NX = GDP

• What does it measure?• Output, productivity, growth

• We measure spending, because if people are

buying then someone’s making it, too!

What Have We Learned So Far?

• Inflation• What is it?

• Measured by CPI – Consumer Price Index

• What is the ‘Market Basket’?

• Purchasing Power – how far does our money go?

• When prices/inflation goes up – what happens

to our purchasing power? Purchasing Power

goes down

• When prices go down – what happens to our

purchasing power? Purchasing Power goes up

• Winners and Losers

• Winners – ex. Borrowers

• Losers – Lenders/Banks

What Have We Learned So Far?

• Unemployment

• What’s ‘employed’?

• What defines ‘unemployment’?

• 4 types

• Frictional • normal, got the training, in between jobs

• Structural• Job is outsourced, replaced by tech, need new training

• Cyclical • worst kind, downturn in overall economy forces layoffs

• Seasonal• Part-time, holidays only, peak sales periods

Now That We Understand Our Measurements…

Measures Measurement Tool

Growth, Output, Productivity GDP

Unemployment Unemployment Rate

Inflation/Costs CPI

Now we need to see what the ‘measurements’ tell us!

By Understanding the Measurements We

Understand the Health of Our Economy

Economies ‘flow’ in a continuous rhythm of

good times and not-so-good times

What’s a Cycle?

Does a roller coaster car every go away from the tracks?

I hope not!

Does the roller coaster car keep going around & around?

Well, yeah!

So that’s how a roller coaster is like a cycle…it keeps going around and around!

A Business Cycle Keeps Going…

Round and round, but

with some ups and

downs!

Today we’re going to

look at those ups and

downs.

Business Cycles

Fluctuations in Real GDP are referred to as Business Cycles.

The duration and intensity of each phase of the Business Cycle are

not always clear.

Business Cycles are typical of Market, Capitalistic economies due to

the free nature of those economic systems

Phases of the Business Cycle

Expansion/Recovery

Peak

Contraction/Recession

Trough

Expansions are periods of increasing Real GDP.

Unemployment decreases, businesses expand, and Personal

Consumption increases.

As expansions continue, there tend to be upward pressures on

prices (inflation) and interest rates.

Expansions

A Word About Interest Rates

The amount of money charged as a fee for lending money.

The price of borrowing money.

As interest rates rise LESS consumers will borrow money IF they are

WILLING and ABLE

As interest rates fall MORE consumers will borrow money IF they are

WILLING and ABLE

Peak

A peak is a period when the economy starts to level off.

Businesses postpone new investments, and consumer saving tends to

increase.

Rising prices and interest rates tend to restrict purchases and

investments, often leading to a Contraction.

Contraction

A Contraction is a period of declining Real GDP.

Consumer spending decreases, and unemployment increases as businesses layoff workers and shorten work hours.

Interest rates and prices level off, and often decline during long contractions.

Recession:

Six months of declining Real GDP

Depression:

Twelve months of declining Real GDP coupled with at least 15%

unemployment.

Long Term Contractions

Trough

A Trough is the bottom of a

Contraction. Lowest interest rates

and prices bring customers back to

markets.

% Change in Real GDP

Contraction

Expansion

Peak

Trough

0%

Unit 3 Learning Standard #2 of 3

SSEMA2 Explain the role and functions of the Federal Reserve System.

a. Explain the roles/functions of money as a medium of exchange, store of value, and unit of account/standard of value.

b. Describe the organization of the Federal Reserve System (12 Districts, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), and Board of Governors).

c. Define monetary policy.

d. Define the tools of monetary policy including reserve requirement, discount rate, open market operations, and interest on reserves.

e. Describe how the Federal Reserve uses the tools of monetary policy to promote its dual mandate of price stability and full employment, and how those affect economic growth.

Functions of Money

Money is any good that is widely accepted in exchange of goods and services, as well as

payment of debts.

Three functions of money are:

1. Medium of exchange: Money can be used for buying and selling goods and services.

If there were no money, goods would have to be exchanged through the process of barter

(goods would be traded for other goods in transactions arranged on the basis of mutual

need). Such arrangements are often difficult.

2. Unit of value: Money is the common standard for measuring relative worth of goods and

service.

3. Store of value: Money is the most liquid asset (Liquidity measures how easily assets can

be spent to buy goods and services). Money’s value can be retained over time. It is a

convenient way to store wealth.

Functions of Money

Unit of value

Store of value

Medium of exchange

Characteristics of Money

Portable

Durable

Divisible

Uniform

Limited

Acceptable

MoneyCredit Cards

Credit cards represent a loan. The card (or the

number) is simply a way to access a line of credit.

On the other hand, a debit card is a way to spend

checkable deposits, just like a paper check.

Money, Money, Money!

As you have learned, the economy operates around money

Before 1913, hundreds of national banks could print as much paper money as they wanted, as often as they wanted!

They could also loan out money when times were good, or refuse to loan money when times were bad

These practices made huge profits for bankers, but greatly hurtthe economy as a whole!

So, the government created a solution…

The Federal Reserve System

A special bank, referred to as The Federal Reserve (“the Fed”), was established in 1913 to help control the money supply (or, the amount of money) in the economy

These tasks are called monetary policy – or, the regulation of the amount of money available in the economy

The Fed does this in order to promote economic growth and full employment to limit the impact of inflation and recessions

These are called the “goals” of monetary policy!

Other Fed Responsibilities

Another huge task that the Fed is responsible for is controlling what the banks can and cannot do

They do this to make sure that banks are all playing by the same rules!

The most important job is to tell the banks how much of their money must be held in the form of reserves

Reserves are money that the bank must keep in its vault instead of loaning out for a profit!

Why do you think it’s important for banks to hold some money as reserves?

Structure of the Fed

The Fed is often discussed as the nation’s central bank – but, it is actually a system

The Federal Reserve System is made up of 12 different banks in various regions of the nation

Each of these banks is able to print paper money, called Federal Reserve Notes

The system as a whole is run by a Board of Governors, who are appointed by the U.S. President

The Chairman of the Federal Reserve is Janet Yellen

The monetary policy of the Fed is decided and enforced by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)

Organization of the Federal Reserve

Tools of the Federal Reserve

The Federal Reserve has several ‘tools’ they can use to

help our economy:

1.Federal Open Market Committee

2.Reserve Requirements

3.Discount Rate

Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)

Regulates the money supply by buying and selling

securities, or bonds

Securities or bonds are documents issued by the government for

which you pay a set price now, in exchange for a higher fixed

amount (called the “face value”) later

When securities are bought and sold, this is called an “open-market

operation”

A bond usually “matures” – or can be exchanged for its face value

– in 5, 10, or 20 years

Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)

When the economy is in a recession, the Federal Reserve will

try to stimulate consumer demand by increasing the money

supply

The money that it pays for these securities then goes into the banking

system, and thus, increases the money supply to the public

When banks have more money to lend, they lower their interest rates

Down the line, the point of the Fed’s actions are

to encourage economic growth!

Remember Inflation?

Sometimes, though, the problem in the economy is that it’s growing too fast

This leads to a rapid increase in prices, and could lead to overproduction

Then, the Fed will sell bonds to the public, and keep the money they pay for them as reserves in their vaults

This lowers the money supply available to the public in order to curb inflation and control production rates (leads to higher interest rates)

So, the use of securities is a give and take!

Reserve Requirements

Another tool of the Federal Reserve is reserve requirements.

Reserve requirements are the amount of consumer deposits that

banks have to hold in ‘reserve’ for an average amount of daily

withdrawals.

Acts as a protection from ‘runs on the bank’

Our current reserve requirements are 10%.

Reserve Requirements

If the Fed wants to increase the money supply they can lower the

discount rate

Banks have more money to lend out

If the Fed wants to decrease the money supply they can increase

the discount rate

Banks have less money to lend out

One More Task…

The Fed may also regulate the money supply through the discount rate

The discount rate is the interest rate that the Federal Reserve charges other banks to lend them money

When the discount rate is high, banks don’t borrow as much money and they charge higher interest to the public (lower money supply)

When the discount rate is low, banks want to borrow more money to make more profit on loans (higher money supply)

Let’s Review – Monetary Policy!

Word Clues

Monetary Policy = Money Supply in Economy

Federal Reserve

Tools They Use:

Federal Reserve

Monetary Policy

Tools

Ways They Can:

Increase Money Supply

Ways They Can:

Decrease Money Supply

FOMC – Open Market

Buying/Selling Govt Bonds

Buy Bonds(more money in the

economy)

Sell Bonds(less money in the

economy)

Reserve Requirement – How

much $$ banks have to

‘reserve’ for withdrawals

Lower Reserve

Requirement(banks can loan out

more money)

Increase Reserve

Requirement (banks has less money

for loans)

Discount Rate – interest rate

the Fed charges member

banks for loans

Lower Discount Rate(Cheaper to borrow

money)

Raise Discount Rate(more expensive to

borrow money)

Unit 3 Learning Standard #3 of 3

SSEMA3 Explain how the government uses fiscal policy to promote price

stability, full employment, and economic growth.

a. Define fiscal policy.

b. Explain the effect on the economy of the government’s taxing and

spending decisions in promoting price stability, full employment, and

economic growth.

c. Explain how government budget deficits or surpluses impact national

debt.

What is Fiscal Policy?

Fiscal policy is the government’s attempt to influence or stabilize the

economy through taxing and government spending

Fiscal Policy, think…

• Government as in Congress

• Only Congress can tax

• Only Congress can spend tax dollars

When I Say Government, I Mean…

Legislative Branch/Congress

is responsible for

government spending (with

Presidential approval)

Try Not To Get Confused!

Type Controlled By Tools

Fiscal Policy Government/Congress 1. Taxing

2. Spending

Monetary Policy Federal Reserve

Money Supply

1. Open Mkt

Operations

2. Reserve

Requirements

3. Discount Rate

Demand Side Policies

Fiscal policies are designed

to increase employment by

stimulating demand

How does the Government get involved?

The govt. is the only thing big enough to offset a downward spiraling economy

The govt. can undertake its own spending to offset the spending in other parts of the economy – like businesses

The government can also lower taxes to increase borrowing and push consumers to spend more

So, if business spending was down $50billion – the government might spend $10 billion building a dam, $20 billion in grants to fix neighborhoods, and $20 billion in other ways

This spending would offset the $50 billion that businesses did not spend

Or – instead of spending, the government could just reduce

taxes giving consumers and businesses more purchasing

power

Supply Side Policies

Designed to stimulate output and lower unemployment by increasing production NOT by stimulating demand

The key goal here is to reduce the governments role in the economy

Reducing federal agencies

Less government spending

Deregulating firms – allowing them to produce at full capacity

Measuring the Economy

Review: What other ways have we discussed that measure economic health?

Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

Unemployment (Unemployment Rate)

Inflation (CPI)

Many economists also measure the economy by looking at the government’s budget

The government’s budget is based on how much money it will spend compared to how much money it will take in through taxes

What do you think is the goal of the budget?

The Deficit and Debt

If the government spends more money than it takes in for the year, it

is operating under a budget deficit

This is more of a prediction – the idea that the government will

have less money in the end

If the government has a deficit, it needs to borrow money to finance

the difference – this is called the national debt

It is all of the money that the government borrows to make up for

the extra money it spends!

The National Debt

Like any borrower, the government must pay interest on its debt

Today, a big chunk of the government’s tax revenues go towards

paying this interest (in other words, taxes go towards paying for

money that the government has already spent)

Because money is going towards interest instead of goods and

services, these payments limit the growth of the nation’s GDP

Thus, economists look at the deficit and debt to continue measuring

our economic health

National Debt

Each time the government borrows money it adds to the

national debt, the total amount of money owed by the

federal government.

Is the sum of all past deficits plus interest.

Government Deficits

When the government spends more money in a fiscal

year than it has brought in

National Deficit vs. National Debt

Deficit vs. Debt

Aggregate Demand & Supply

In individual markets, supply and demand interact to

establish prices. In the nation as a whole, aggregated supply

and aggregated demand interact to determine whether the

economy is growing or declining.

What is this??

What Does It Tell Us?

Supply and Demand in

Microeconomics

What’s the Difference??

A Lot Alike, A Little Different

How is Aggregate Supply and Aggregate

Demand Different?(than Regular Supply and Demand)?

Main difference is that aggregate demand and aggregate supply are

plotted based on total output, measured as GDP.

So…

Now Let’s Review…

Monetary Policy Vs. Fiscal Policy

Who’s in Control Who’s in Control

Federal Reserve Government/Congress

Day-to-Day most Important

is the FOMC

Now Let’s Review…

Monetary Policy Vs. Fiscal Policy

Tools to Use Tools to Use

#1 FOMC - Buying/Selling Bonds #1 Taxing

#2 Reserve Requirement #2 Spending

#3 Discount Rate

Now Let’s Review…

Economic Needs Economic Needs

Warming Upin Contraction/ Recession

Cooling Downinflation high, nearing Peak

Warming Upin Contraction/ Recession

Cooling Downinflation high, nearing Peak

Econ Talk: Expansionary Econ Talk:

ContractionaryEcon Talk: Expansionary Econ Talk:

Contractionary

How To Do It?(Big Picture)

Increase money

supply

How To Do It?(Big Picture)

Decrease

money supply

How To Do It?(Big Picture)

Increase money

supply

How To Do It?(Big Picture)

Decrease

money supply

Talking Details #1

Buy Bonds Sell Bonds Lower Taxes Raise Taxes

Talking Details #2

Lower Reserve

Requirement

Increase Reserve

Requirement Increase spending

Decrease

spending

Talking Details #3

Lower Discount

Rate Increase Discount

Rate

Monetary Policy Fiscal Policy