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© CRISIL Limited. All Rights Reserved. Enhancing investment decisions Q3FY12 Result Update eClerx Services Ltd

eClerx Services Ltd · Revenue in rupee terms grew by 16% q-o-q (up 51.3% y-o-y) to Rs 1.3 bn due to depreciation of the rupee against the US$. • Employee cost as a percent of sales

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Page 1: eClerx Services Ltd · Revenue in rupee terms grew by 16% q-o-q (up 51.3% y-o-y) to Rs 1.3 bn due to depreciation of the rupee against the US$. • Employee cost as a percent of sales

© CRISIL Limited. All Rights Reserved.

Enhancing investment decisions

Q3FY12 Result Update

eClerx Services Ltd

Page 2: eClerx Services Ltd · Revenue in rupee terms grew by 16% q-o-q (up 51.3% y-o-y) to Rs 1.3 bn due to depreciation of the rupee against the US$. • Employee cost as a percent of sales

© CRISIL Limited. All Rights Reserved.

Explanation of CRISIL Fundamental and Valuation (CFV) matrix

The CFV Matrix (CRISIL Fundamental and Valuation Matrix) addresses the two important analysis of an investment making process –

Analysis of Fundamentals (addressed through Fundamental Grade) and Analysis of Returns (Valuation Grade) The fundamental

grade is assigned on a five-point scale from grade 5 (indicating Excellent fundamentals) to grade 1 (Poor fundamentals) The

valuation grade is assigned on a five-point scale from grade 5 (indicating strong upside from the current market price (CMP)) to

grade 1 (strong downside from the CMP).

CRISIL Fundamental Grade

Assessment CRISIL Valuation Grade

Assessment

5/5 Excellent fundamentals 5/5 Strong upside (>25% from CMP)

4/5 Superior fundamentals 4/5 Upside (10-25% from CMP)

3/5 Good fundamentals 3/5 Align (+-10% from CMP)

2/5 Moderate fundamentals 2/5 Downside (- 10-25% from CMP)

1/5 Poor fundamentals 1/5 Strong downside (<-25% from CMP)

Analyst Disclosure

Each member of the team involved in the preparation of the grading report, hereby affirms that there exists no conflict of interest

that can bias the grading recommendation of the company. Additional Disclosure

This report has been sponsored by NSE - Investor Protection Fund Trust (NSEIPFT). Disclaimer:

This Exchange-commissioned Report (Report) is based on data publicly available or from sources considered reliable by CRISIL

(Data). However, CRISIL does not guarantee the accuracy, adequacy or completeness of the Data / Report and is not responsible for

any errors or omissions or for the results obtained from the use of Data / Report. The Data / Report are subject to change without

any prior notice. Opinions expressed herein are our current opinions as on the date of this Report. Nothing in this Report constitutes

investment, legal, accounting or tax advice or any solicitation, whatsoever. The Report is not a recommendation to buy / sell or hold

any securities of the Company. CRISIL especially states that it has no financial liability, whatsoever, to the subscribers / users of this

Report. This Report is for the personal information only of the authorized recipient in India only. This Report should not be

reproduced or redistributed or communicated directly or indirectly in any form to any other person – especially outside India or

published or copied in whole or in part, for any purpose.

Page 3: eClerx Services Ltd · Revenue in rupee terms grew by 16% q-o-q (up 51.3% y-o-y) to Rs 1.3 bn due to depreciation of the rupee against the US$. • Employee cost as a percent of sales

© CRISIL Limited. All Rights Reserved. CRISIL RESEARCH | 1

eClerx Services Ltd Profitability boosted by rupee depreciation

Fundamental Grade 4/5 (Superior fundamentals)

Valuation Grade 3/5 (CMP is aligned) Industry IT Services

Fair Value Rs 760 CMP Rs 716

February 01, 2012

eClerx Services Ltd’s (eClerx’s) Q3FY12 revenue in dollar terms was in line

with CRISIL Research’s expectations driven by sustained growth in both top

five and non-top five clients. Revenue in rupee terms, operating profitability

and PAT were better than expected due to rupee depreciation. We have revised

FY12 and FY13 revenue and earnings estimates upwards mainly driven by the

rupee-dollar exchange rate revision of 4.5% for FY12 and 7.9% for FY13. We

maintain the fundamental grade of 4/5.

Q3FY12 result analysis

• Q3FY12 revenue in US$ terms grew by 4.5% q-o-q (~30% y-o-y) to

US$ 25.4 mn driven by 4.5% q-o-q growth in revenue from both top five

and non-top five clients. Revenue in rupee terms grew by 16% q-o-q (up

51.3% y-o-y) to Rs 1.3 bn due to depreciation of the rupee against the

US$.

• Employee cost as a percent of sales declined by 444 bps q-o-q (272 bps

y-o-y) to 39.3% and other expenses as a percent of sales declined by

191 bps q-o-q (76 bps y-o-y) to 15.4% mainly due to rupee depreciation.

As a result, EBITDA increased by 35% q-o-q (64% y-o-y) to Rs 597 mn.

EBITDA margin improved by 635 bps q-o-q (349 bps y-o-y) to 45.2%.

• This quarter, the company added 116 employees compared to 140 in

Q2FY12 and 196 in Q3FY11 as the attrition declined to 26.3% from 38.7%

in Q2FY12 and 37% in Q3FY11, and employee utilisation improved 100 bps

q-o-q (200 bps y-o-y) to 72%.

• Forex loss incurred on derivative contracts due to weaker rupee reduced

other income by ~55% q-o-q. As a result, PAT increased by ~13% q-o-q

(~39% y-o-y) to Rs 499 mn despite stronger growth in EBITDA.

• Q3FY12 EPS was Rs 17.2.

• The company was able to sharply reduce debtor days to 52 from 76 days in

Q2FY12 as the company focussed on collections but is expected to return to

long-term average of 60-70 days.

• Rupee depreciated by ~14% in Q3FY12.

Valuation: Current market price is aligned

We continue to use the price to earnings ratio (PER) method to value eClerx.

Since earnings have been revised only due to revision in the exchange rate, we

maintain the fair value of Rs 760 per share. At this value, the implied P/E

multiple is 11.5x FY13 EPS (ex-hedging gains) of Rs 66.4. At the current

market price of Rs 716, the valuation grade is 3/5.

KEY FORECAST

(Rs mn) FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12E FY13E

Operating income 1,973 2,570 3,421 4,774 6,088 EBITDA 815 1,004 1,345 1,928 2,447 Adj PAT 618 735 1,327 1,669 1,984 Adj EPS-Rs 21.4 25.5 46.0 57.8 68.8 EPS growth (%) 38.6 19.0 80.4 25.8 18.9 Dividend yield (%) 2.0 2.9 3.7 4.4 5.3 RoCE (%) 48.6 51.1 57.2 65.6 64.9 RoE (%) 41.4 40.2 60.5 60.5 55.4 PE (x) 33.4 28.1 15.6 12.4 10.4 P/BV (x) 12.5 10.3 8.7 6.6 5.1 EV/EBITDA (x) 15.3 12.3 14.0 9.8 7.4

NM: Not meaningful; CMP: Current market price

Source: Company, CRISIL Research estimate

CFV MATRIX

KEY STOCK STATISTICS NIFTY 5236

NSE ticker ECLERX

Face value (Rs per share) 10

Shares outstanding (mn) 29

Market cap (Rs mn)/(US$ mn) 20,781/420

Enterprise value (Rs mn) /(US$ mn) 18,870/381

52-week range (Rs) (H/L) 875/577

Beta 0.97

Free float (%) 45.2

Avg daily volumes (30-days) 21,568

Avg daily value (30-days) (Rs mn) 15.3

SHAREHOLDING PATTERN

PERFORMANCE VIS-À-VIS MARKET

Returns

1-m 3-m 6-m 12-m

ECLERX 4% -4% -11% 9%

NIFTY 13% 0% -5% -3%

ANALYTICAL CONTACT Chetan Majithia (Head) [email protected]

Chinmay Sapre [email protected]

Suresh Guruprasad [email protected]

Client servicing desk

+91 22 3342 3561 [email protected]

1 2 3 4 5

1

2

3

4

5

Valuation Grade

Fu

nd

am

en

tal G

rad

e

Poor Fundamentals

ExcellentFundamentals

Str

on

gD

ow

nsid

e

Str

on

gU

psid

e

59.3% 55.1% 54.8% 54.8%

20.0% 24.5% 24.5% 23.5%

8.2% 9.1% 9.5% 10.5%

12.5% 11.3% 11.2% 11.2%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Mar-11 Jun-11 Sep-11 Dec-11

Promoter FII DII Others

Page 4: eClerx Services Ltd · Revenue in rupee terms grew by 16% q-o-q (up 51.3% y-o-y) to Rs 1.3 bn due to depreciation of the rupee against the US$. • Employee cost as a percent of sales

© CRISIL Limited. All Rights Reserved. CRISIL RESEARCH | 2

eClerx Services Ltd

Q3FY12 Result Summary (Rs mn) Q3FY12 Q2FY12 Q3FY11 q-o-q (%) y-o-y (%) 9MFY12 9MFY12 y-o-y (%)

Net sales 1,320 1,137 872 16.0 51.3 3,453 2,466 40.1

Employee cost 519 498 367 4.3 41.6 1,463 1,096 33.6

Employee cost (% of net sales) 39.3% 43.8% 42.0% -444bps -272bps 91.5% 133.6% -4205bps

Administration and other expenses 204 197 141 3.3 44.2 560 425 31.6

EBITDA 597 442 364 35.0 64.0 1,430 945 51.4

EBITDA margin 45.2% 38.9% 41.8% 635bps 349bps 41.4% 38.3% 310bps

Depreciation 34 31 25 12.3 35.2 89 64 38.7

EBIT 563 412 339 36.7 66.1 1,342 881 52.3

Interest and finance charges - - - - - - - -

Operating PBT 563 412 339 36.7 66.1 1,342 881 52.3

Other Income 31 37 19 (14.3) 67.9 101 48 108.8

Forex gain/(loss) 31 102 43 (69.5) (26.7) 174 118 47.5

PBT 625 551 400 13.5 56.3 1,616 1,047 54.3

Tax 126 108 40 16.1 212.8 322 118 173.8

PAT 499 442 360 12.9 38.8 1,294 929 39.2

Adj PAT 499 442 360 12.9 38.8 1,294 929 39.2

Adj PAT margin 37.8% 38.9% 41.3% -105bps -342bps 37.5% 37.7% -23bps

No of equity shares (mn) 29.0 29.0 28.8 - 0.7 29.0 28.8 -

Adj EPS (Rs) 17.2 15.2 12.5 12.9 37.8 44.7 32.2 38.6

Source: Company, CRISIL Research

Contribution from US increased due to strong US$ High dependence on top five clients continues

Source: Company, CRISIL Research Source: Company, CRISIL Research

Revenues from top five and non-top five clients grew at 4.5% in US$ terms

Source: Company, CRISIL Research Source: Company, CRISIL Research

63% 63% 60% 58% 61% 61% 65% 70%

31% 30% 33% 34% 32% 31% 26%24%

6% 7% 7% 8% 7% 8% 9% 6%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Mar-

10

Jun-1

0

Sep-1

0

Dec

-10

Mar-

11

Jun-1

1

Sep-1

1

Dec

-11

North America Europe Rest of the world

84%

88%87%

86% 86%

88%

86% 86%

76%

78%

80%

82%

84%

86%

88%

90%

Mar-

10

Jun-1

0

Sep-1

0

Dec

-10

Mar-

11

Jun-1

1

Sep-1

1

Dec

-11

13.3 14.8 15.7 16.9 18.2 19.7 20.9 21.8

7.3%

11.4%

5.9%

7.6%8.2%

7.8%

6.3%

4.5%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

0

5

10

15

20

25

Mar

-10

Jun-1

0

Sep-

10

Dec-

10

Mar

-11

Jun-1

1

Sep-

11

Dec-

11

(US$ mn)

Revenues from top 5 clients growth (RHS)

2.5 2.0 2.3 2.7 3.0 2.7 3.4 3.6

-0.2%

-20%

16% 17%

8%

-10%

27%

5%

-30%

-20%

-10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

Mar

-10

Jun-1

0

Sep-

10

Dec-

10

Mar

-11

Jun-1

1

Sep-

11

Dec-

11

(US$ mn)

Revenues from non-top five clients growth (RHS)

Page 5: eClerx Services Ltd · Revenue in rupee terms grew by 16% q-o-q (up 51.3% y-o-y) to Rs 1.3 bn due to depreciation of the rupee against the US$. • Employee cost as a percent of sales

© CRISIL Limited. All Rights Reserved. CRISIL RESEARCH | 3

eClerx Services Ltd

Debtor days declined sharply Employee addition remained low

Source: Company, CRISIL Research Source: Company, CRISIL Research

EBITDA margin improved due to weak rupee PAT margin declined due to low forex gains

Source: Company, CRISIL Research Source: Company, CRISIL Research

Share price movement Fair value movement since initiation

-indexed to 100

Source: NSE, CRISIL Research Source: NSE, CRISIL Research

57 59 65 62 59 67 76 5250

52

54

56

58

60

62

64

66

68

70

Mar-

10

Jun-

10

Sep

-10

Dec-

10

Mar-

11

Jun-

11

Sep

-11

Dec-

11

(Days)

224 286 261 207 196 131 357 140 116

2,5772,863 3,124 3,331 3,527 3,658

4,0154,155 4,271

-100

400

900

1,400

1,900

2,400

2,900

3,400

3,900

4,400

Dec-

09

Mar

-10

Jun-1

0

Sep-

10

Dec-

10

Mar

-11

Jun-1

1

Sep-

11

Dec-

11

Net additions Ending employees

713 771 823 872 955 996 1,137 1,320

36.6% 36.7% 36.2%

41.8% 42.0%

39.2% 38.9%

45.2%

30%

33%

36%

39%

42%

45%

48%

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

Mar-

10

Jun-1

0

Sep-1

0

Dec

-10

Mar-

11

Jun-1

1

Sep-1

1

Dec

-11

(Rs mn)

Revenue EBITDA margin (RHS)

243 293 276 360 398 352 442 499

34.0%

38.0%

33.6%

41.3% 41.7%

35.3%38.9% 37.8%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

Mar

-10

Jun-1

0

Sep-

10

Dec-

10

Mar

-11

Jun-1

1

Sep-

11

Dec-

11

(Rs mn)

PAT PAT margin (RHS)

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

Jan-

09

Apr

-09

Jun-0

9

Aug-

09

Nov

-09

Jan-

10

Apr

-10

Jun-1

0

Aug-

10

Nov

-10

Jan-

11

Mar-

11

Jun-1

1

Aug-

11

Nov

-11

Jan-

12

eClerx NIFTY

-

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

600

650

700

750

800

850

900

Mar-

11

Apr

-11

May

-11

Jun-1

1

Jul-

11

Aug

-11

Sep-1

1

Oct

-11

Nov

-11

Dec

-11

Jan-

12('000)(Rs)

Total Traded Quantity (RHS) CRISIL Fair Value eClerx

Page 6: eClerx Services Ltd · Revenue in rupee terms grew by 16% q-o-q (up 51.3% y-o-y) to Rs 1.3 bn due to depreciation of the rupee against the US$. • Employee cost as a percent of sales

© CRISIL Limited. All Rights Reserved. CRISIL RESEARCH | 4

eClerx Services Ltd

EARNINGS ESTIMATES REVISED UPWARDS

FY12E FY13E

Particulars Unit Old New % change Old New % change

Revenue (US$ mn) 100.4 99.5 -0.9% 127 127 0.0%

Exchange rate Rs 45.9 48.0 4.5% 44.5 48.0 7.9%

Revenue (Rs mn) 4,613 4,774 3.5% 5,644 6,088 7.9%

Employee cost (Rs mn) 1,987 1987 0.0% 2,582 2582 0.0%

SG&A (Rs mn) 830 859 3.5% 1,010 1059 4.9%

EBITDA (Rs mn) 1,796 1,928 7.4% 2,052 2,447 19.2%

EBITDA margin (%) 39% 40% 145bps 36% 40% 384bps

Depreciation (Rs mn) 125 119 -4.6% 123 123 0.0%

Other income (Rs mn) 240 251 4.6% 160 188 17.7%

PAT (Rs mn) 1,483 1,669 12.5% 1,803 1,984 10.1%

PAT margin (%) 32.1% 35.0% 280bps 31.9% 32.6% 65bps

No of shares no 28.8 29.0 1% 28.8 29.0 1%

EPS (ex-hedging gains) (Rs) 51.4 54.1 5.2% 58.5 66.4 13.5%

EPS (Rs) 51.4 57.5 11.8% 62.5 68.4 9.4%

Source: CRISIL Research

Reasons for changes in estimates Line item FY12 FY13

Revenues • Marginal downward revision in US$ revenue due to

uncertain macro environment

• Rupee depreciation

• Rupee depreciation

EBITDA margins • Higher revenue and US$ denominated costs due to

rupee depreciation

• Higher revenue and US$ denominated costs due

to rupee depreciation

PAT margins • Higher EBITDA due to rupee depreciation

• Higher other income due to higher yields

• Lower-than-expected depreciation

• Higher EBITDA due to rupee depreciation

• Higher other income due to existing hedge

positions

As on December 31, 2011, the company had outstanding hedges of

US$ 19.5 mn at an average US$/rupee rate of Rs 48.3 for Q4FY12. Based on

this position, we expect the company to incur forex losses in the next quarter.

Hence, we have assumed lower profitability in Q4FY12. Our full-year PAT

estimate is Rs 1.7 mn while the company has already done PAT of Rs 1.3 bn in

9MFY12.

Page 7: eClerx Services Ltd · Revenue in rupee terms grew by 16% q-o-q (up 51.3% y-o-y) to Rs 1.3 bn due to depreciation of the rupee against the US$. • Employee cost as a percent of sales

© CRISIL Limited. All Rights Reserved. CRISIL RESEARCH | 5

eClerx Services Ltd

VALUATION

We continue to use the price-to-earnings method to value eClerx. Since

earnings have been revised only due to revision in the rupee-dollar exchange

rate, we maintain the fair value of Rs 760 per share. At this value, the implied

P/E multiple is 11.5x FY13E EPS (ex-hedging gains) of Rs 66.4. At the current

market price of Rs 716, the valuation grade is 3/5.

One-year forward P/E band One-year forward EV/EBITDA band

Source: NSE, CRISIL Research Source: NSE, CRISIL Research

P/E – premium/discount to NIFTY P/E movement

Source: NSE, CRISIL Research Source: NSE, CRISIL Research

CRISIL IER reports released on eClerx Services Ltd

Date Nature of report

Fundamental

grade Fair value

Valuation

grade

CMP

(on the date of report)

28-Mar-11 Initiating coverage* 4/5 Rs 692 3/5 Rs 641

19-May-11 Q4FY11 result update 4/5 Rs 692 3/5 Rs 738

29-Jul-11 Q1FY12 result update 4/5 Rs 714 2/5 Rs 820

24-Oct-11 Q2FY12 result update 4/5 Rs 760 3/5 Rs 733

01-Feb-12 Q3FY12 result update 4/5 Rs 760 3/5 Rs 716

* For detailed initiating coverage report please visit: www.ier.co.in

CRISIL Independent Equity Research reports are also available on Bloomberg (CRI <go>) and Thomson Reuters.

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

Mar

-08

May-0

8

Jul-

08

Sep

-08

Nov

-08

Jan-0

9

Mar

-09

May-0

9

Jul-

09

Sep

-09

Nov

-09

Jan-1

0

Mar

-10

May-1

0

Jul-

10

Sep

-10

Nov

-10

Jan-1

1

Mar

-11

May-1

1

Jul-

11

Sep

-11

Nov

-11

Jan-1

2

(Rs)

eClerx Services 4x 7x 10x 13x 16x

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

Mar-

08

May

-08

Jul-

08

Sep-0

8

Nov

-08

Jan-

09

Mar-

09

May

-09

Jul-

09

Sep-0

9

Nov

-09

Jan-

10

Mar-

10

May

-10

Jul-

10

Sep-1

0

Nov

-10

Jan-

11

Mar-

11

May

-11

Jul-

11

Sep-1

1

Nov

-11

Jan-

12

(Rs mn)

EV 2x 4x 6x 8x

-100%

-80%

-60%

-40%

-20%

0%

20%

40%

60%

Mar

-08

May

-08

Jul-

08

Sep-

08

Nov-0

8

Jan-0

9

Mar

-09

May

-09

Jul-

09

Sep-

09

Nov-0

9

Jan-1

0

Mar

-10

May

-10

Jul-

10

Sep-

10

Nov-1

0

Jan-1

1

Mar

-11

May

-11

Jul-

11

Sep-

11

Nov-1

1

Jan-1

2

Premium/Discount to NIFTY Median of premium discount to NIFTY

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

Mar

-08

May

-08

Jul-

08

Sep-

08

Nov

-08

Jan-0

9

Mar

-09

May

-09

Jul-

09

Sep-

09

Nov

-09

Jan-1

0

Mar

-10

May

-10

Jul-

10

Sep-

10

Nov

-10

Jan-1

1

Mar

-11

May

-11

Jul-

11

Sep-

11

Nov

-11

Jan-1

2

(Times)

1yr Fwd PE (x) Average PE

+1 std dev

-1 std dev

Page 8: eClerx Services Ltd · Revenue in rupee terms grew by 16% q-o-q (up 51.3% y-o-y) to Rs 1.3 bn due to depreciation of the rupee against the US$. • Employee cost as a percent of sales

© CRISIL Limited. All Rights Reserved. CRISIL RESEARCH | 6

eClerx Services Ltd

FINANCIALS

Note: All ratios are computed on Adj PAT

Source: Company, CRISIL Research estimate

Income statement Balance Sheet

(Rs mn) FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12E FY13E (Rs mn) FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12E FY13E

Operating income 1,973 2,570 3,421 4,774 6,088 Liabilities

EBITDA 815 1,004 1,345 1,928 2,447 Equity share capital 189 190 289 290 290

EBITDA margin 41.3% 39.1% 39.3% 40.4% 40.2% Reserves 1,467 1,809 2,095 2,844 3,737

Depreciation 79 70 91 119 123 Minorities - - - - -

EBIT 735 934 1,254 1,809 2,324 Net worth 1,657 1,999 2,384 3,135 4,028

Interest 91 160 (165) - - Convertible debt - - - - -

Operating PBT 644 774 1,419 1,809 2,324 Other debt - - - - -

Other income 50 54 75 251 188 Total debt - - - - -

Exceptional inc/(exp) - - (102) - - Deferred tax liability (net) (7) (7) (7) (7) (7)

PBT 694 828 1,392 2,060 2,512 Total liabilities 1,649 1,992 2,377 3,127 4,020

Tax provision 77 93 168 391 528 Assets

Minority interest - - - - - Net fixed assets 187 183 275 370 253

PAT (Reported) 618 735 1,224 1,669 1,984 Capital WIP 1 22 65 65 65

Less: Exceptionals - - (102) - - Total fixed assets 188 205 341 436 318

Adjusted PAT 618 735 1,327 1,669 1,984 Investments - - - - -

Current assets

Ratios Inventory - - - - -

FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12E FY13E Sundry debtors 451 392 659 850 1,084

Growth Loans and advances 289 492 690 764 913

Operating income (%) 62.2 30.3 33.1 39.5 27.5 Cash & bank balance 213 472 1,515 1,627 2,514

EBITDA (%) 65.6 23.2 34.0 43.3 26.9 Marketable securities 851 775 279 279 279

Adj PAT (%) 38.6 19.0 80.4 25.8 18.9 Total current assets 1,804 2,132 3,143 3,520 4,790

Adj EPS (%) 38.6 19.0 80.4 25.8 18.9 Total current liabilities 465 463 1,136 857 1,117

Net current assets 1,339 1,669 2,007 2,662 3,673

Profitability Intangibles/Misc. expenditure 123 117 29 29 29

EBITDA margin (%) 41.3 39.1 39.3 40.4 40.2 Total assets 1,649 1,992 2,377 3,127 4,020

Adj PAT Margin (%) 31.3 28.6 38.8 35.0 32.6

RoE (%) 41.4 40.2 60.5 60.5 55.4 Cash flow

RoCE (%) 48.6 51.1 57.2 65.6 64.9 (Rs mn) FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12E FY13E

RoIC (%) 58.7 63.9 103.3 161.6 143.8 Pre-tax profit 694 828 1,494 2,060 2,512

Total tax paid (81) (93) (167) (392) (528)

Valuations Depreciation 79 70 91 119 123

Price-earnings (x) 33.4 28.1 15.6 12.4 10.4 Working capital changes (50) (147) 209 (544) (124)

Price-book (x) 12.5 10.3 8.7 6.6 5.1 Net cash from operations 643 659 1,627 1,244 1,983

EV/EBITDA (x) 15.3 12.3 14.0 9.8 7.4 Cash from investments

EV/Sales (x) 6.3 4.8 5.5 4.0 3.0 Capital expenditure (127) (82) (139) (214) (5)

Dividend payout ratio (%) 44.8 53.0 61.6 55.0 55.0 Investments and others (197) 76 496 - -

Dividend yield (%) 2.0 2.9 3.7 4.4 5.3 Net cash from investments (324) (6) 357 (214) (5)

Cash from financing

B/S ratios Equity raised/(repaid) 1 5 25 - -

Inventory days - - - - - Debt raised/(repaid) (40) - - - -

Creditors days 73 51 61 60 62 Dividend (incl. tax) (277) (390) (755) (918) (1,091)

Debtor days 83 56 70 65 65 Others (incl extraordinaries) (13) (9) (212) - -

Working capital days 46 50 34 37 49 Net cash from financing (329) (393) (942) (918) (1,091)

Gross asset turnover (x) 7.2 6.9 7.1 7.0 7.7 Change in cash position (11) 259 1,043 112 887

Net asset turnover (x) 13.4 13.9 14.9 14.8 19.5 Closing cash 213 472 1,515 1,627 2,514

Sales/operating assets (x) 10.8 13.1 12.5 12.3 16.2

Current ratio (x) 3.9 4.6 2.8 4.1 4.3 Quarterly financials

Debt-equity (x) - - - - - (Rs mn) Q3FY11 Q4FY11 Q1FY12 Q2FY12 Q3FY12

Net debt/equity (x) (0.6) (0.6) (0.8) (0.6) (0.7) Net Sales 872 955 996 1,137 1,320

Interest coverage 8.1 5.8 NM NM NM Change (q-o-q) 6% 10% 4% 14% 16%

EBITDA 364 401 391 442 597

Per share Change (q-o-q) 22% 10% -3% 13% 35%

FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12E FY13E EBITDA margin 41.8% 42.0% 39.2% 38.9% 45.2%

Adj EPS (Rs) 21.4 25.5 46.0 57.8 68.8 PAT 360 398 352 442 499

CEPS 24.2 27.9 49.1 62.0 73.0 Adj PAT 360 398 352 442 499

Book value 57.4 69.3 82.6 108.6 139.6 Change (q-o-q) 30% 11% -12% 26% 13%

Dividend (Rs) 9.6 13.5 26.2 31.8 37.8 Adj PAT margin 41.3% 41.7% 35.3% 38.9% 37.8%

Actual o/s shares (mn) 18.9 19.0 28.9 29.0 29.0 Adj EPS 12.5 13.8 12.2 15.2 17.2

Page 9: eClerx Services Ltd · Revenue in rupee terms grew by 16% q-o-q (up 51.3% y-o-y) to Rs 1.3 bn due to depreciation of the rupee against the US$. • Employee cost as a percent of sales

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Manoj Mohta Head, Customised Research +91 (22) 3342 3554 [email protected]

Sudhir Nair Head, Customised Research +91 (22) 3342 3526 [email protected]

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Ashish Sethi Head, Capital Markets +91 (22) 33428023 [email protected]

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Page 10: eClerx Services Ltd · Revenue in rupee terms grew by 16% q-o-q (up 51.3% y-o-y) to Rs 1.3 bn due to depreciation of the rupee against the US$. • Employee cost as a percent of sales

© CRISIL Limited. All Rights Reserved.

Head Office: CRISIL House, Central Avenue, Hiranandani Business Park, Powai, Mumbai - 400 076 Phone : 91-22-3342 3000 Web: www.crisil.com Download reports from: www.ier.co.in

Ahmedabad / Mumbai Vishal Shah - Manager, Business Development Email : [email protected] I Phone : 9820598908 Bengaluru Gayathri Ananth – Senior Manager, Business Development Email : [email protected] I Phone : 9886498175 Chennai / Hyderabad Kaliprasad Ponnuru - Manager, Business Development Email : [email protected] I Phone : 9642004668

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Vinaya Dongre – Head, Business Development

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Sagar Sawarkar – Senior Manager, Business Development Email : [email protected] I Phone : 9821638322

Regional Contacts:

To know more about CRISIL IER, please contact our team members:

Ashish Sethi – Head, Business Development

Email : [email protected] I Phone : 9920807575

About CRISIL Limited

CRISIL is a global analytical company providing ratings, research, and risk and policy advisory services. We are

India's leading ratings agency. We are also the foremost provider of high-end research to the world's largest banks

and leading corporations.

About CRISIL Research CRISIL Research is the country’s largest independent and integrated research house with strong domain expertise

on Indian economy, industries and capital markets. We leverage our unique research platform and capabilities to

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Head Office: CRISIL House, Central Avenue, Hiranandani Business Park, Powai, Mumbai - 400 076 Phone : 91-22-3342 3000 Web: www.crisil.com Download reports from: www.ier.co.in

Head Office: CRISIL House, Central Avenue, Hiranandani Business Park, Powai, Mumbai - 400 076 Phone : 91-22-3342 3000 Web: www.crisil.com Download reports from: www.ier.co.in

Ahmedabad / Mumbai Vishal Shah - Manager, Business Development Email : [email protected] I Phone : 9820598908 Bengaluru Gayathri Ananth – Senior Manager, Business Development Email : [email protected] I Phone : 9886498175 Chennai / Hyderabad Kaliprasad Ponnuru - Manager, Business Development Email : [email protected] I Phone : 9642004668

Delhi Arjun Gopalkrishnan - Manager, Business Development Email :[email protected] I Phone : 9833364422 Kolkata Priyanka Agarwal - Manager, Business Development Email : [email protected] I Phone : 9903060685 Mumbai / Pune Vivek Tandon - Manager, Business Development Email : [email protected] I Phone : 9903060685

Ashish Sethi – Head, Business Development Email : [email protected] I Phone : 9920807575

Regional Contacts:

To know more about CRISIL IER, please contact our team members:

Sagar Sawarkar – Senior Manager, Business Development

Email : [email protected] I Phone : 9821638322

Head Office: CRISIL House, Central Avenue, Hiranandani Business Park, Powai, Mumbai - 400 076 Phone : 91-22-3342 3000 Web: www.crisil.com Download reports from: www.ier.co.in