35
EC-LVIII EC-LVIII 200 2006 Report of the president of CBS Presented by Alexander Gusev (Russian Federation) President of CBS Executive Council, Fifty-Eighth session Geneva, 20-30 June, 2006

EC-LVIII 2006 Report of the president of CBS Presented by Alexander Gusev (Russian Federation) President of CBS Executive Council, Fifty-Eighth session

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: EC-LVIII 2006 Report of the president of CBS Presented by Alexander Gusev (Russian Federation) President of CBS Executive Council, Fifty-Eighth session

EC-LVIIIEC-LVIII20020066

Report of the president of CBS

Presented by Alexander Gusev (Russian Federation)

President of CBS

Executive Council, Fifty-Eighth sessionGeneva, 20-30 June, 2006

гусев
Вашему вниманию предлгается документ 3, содержащий отчет президента комиссии за период, прошедший с предыдущей сессии (2000-2002). представляемый Вам доклад
Page 2: EC-LVIII 2006 Report of the president of CBS Presented by Alexander Gusev (Russian Federation) President of CBS Executive Council, Fifty-Eighth session

EC-LVIIIEC-LVIII20020066

Main goals (2005)Main goals (2005)Redesign of the Global Observing System;Achieve the full implementation of the Improved

MTN and upgrade of the GTS through cost-effective techniques, particularly in developing regions and areas with adverse conditions;

Progress the development of the (F)WIS, including the evolution of the GTS towards the (F)WIS backbone;

Implementation of the migration to binary codes, in particular the development of pilot projects;

Development of severe weather forecasting and issue of severe weather warning;

Support to natural disaster reduction……

Page 3: EC-LVIII 2006 Report of the president of CBS Presented by Alexander Gusev (Russian Federation) President of CBS Executive Council, Fifty-Eighth session

EC-LVIIIEC-LVIII20020066

3

COMMISSION FOR BASIC SYSTEMSCOMMISSION FOR BASIC SYSTEMS

President Vice-President

4 OPAGsISS (Information Systems

and Services)

2 Co-coordinators

GEOSS

Coordinator DPM

IOS (Integrated Observing

System)

DPFS (Data Processing

and Forecasting Systems)

QMIPY

THORPEXPWS (Public Weather

Services)

Page 4: EC-LVIII 2006 Report of the president of CBS Presented by Alexander Gusev (Russian Federation) President of CBS Executive Council, Fifty-Eighth session

EC-LVIIIEC-LVIII20020066

Current status of the WWWCurrent status of the WWW

CBSCBS--XI I IXI I I Percentage of SYNOP reports received from RSBN

stations during the period since 1991

0 %

2 0 %

4 0 %

6 0 %

8 0 %

1 0 0 %

окт

.91

окт

.92

окт

.93

окт

.94

окт

.95

окт

.96

окт

.97

окт

.98

окт

.99

окт

.00

окт

.01

окт

.02

окт

.03

Reg ion I

Reg ion II

Reg ion III

Reg ion IV

Reg ion V

Reg ion VI

Total

CBSCBS--XI I IX I I I

Percentage of Parts A of TEMP reports received from RBSN stations during the period since 1991

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

окт.

91

окт.

92

окт.

93

окт.

94

окт.

95

окт.

96

окт.

97

окт.

98

окт.

99

окт.

00

окт.

01

окт.

02

окт.

03

R egion I

R egion IIR egion III

R egion IVR egion VR egion VI

Tota l

4

ECEC--LVI ILVI I20052005

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

90 92 94 95 96 97 98 99 0 1 2 3 4Using com puters for NW P Running global m odel

Running hem ispheric m odel Running LAM (resolution = or >36 km )

Running m eso-scale m odel (resolution < 36 km ) Running non-hydros tatic m odel

GDPFS Centers running GDPFS Centers running operational NWP modelsoperational NWP models

8

Global level of SYNOPS received (as a % of RSBN) has increased

from 69% to 78%

Global level of TEMPS has increased from 55% to 70%

Page 5: EC-LVIII 2006 Report of the president of CBS Presented by Alexander Gusev (Russian Federation) President of CBS Executive Council, Fifty-Eighth session

EC-LVIIIEC-LVIII20020066

Overall, in 2005 the implementation of observational programme in WMO Regions

had shown increasing stability.The globally averaged availability of

observations reports on the MTN

2004 2005surface reports

77% 78%upper-air reports

67% 70%

Global Observing System (GOS)

Page 6: EC-LVIII 2006 Report of the president of CBS Presented by Alexander Gusev (Russian Federation) President of CBS Executive Council, Fifty-Eighth session

EC-LVIIIEC-LVIII20020066 Candidate

Observing Systems

The future GOS should build upon existing components, both surface and space based, and capitalize on existing and new observing technologies not presently incorporated or fully exploited

Each incremental addition to the GOS would be reflected in better data, products and services from the NMHSs

6

Page 7: EC-LVIII 2006 Report of the president of CBS Presented by Alexander Gusev (Russian Federation) President of CBS Executive Council, Fifty-Eighth session

EC-LVIIIEC-LVIII20020066 Global Observing System

(GOS)Activities on the redesign and establishment of a future GOS were focused on implementation aspects of evolution of the GOS, satellite system utilization and products, requirements and representation of data from AWS, scientific evaluation of OSE and OSSE, integration of AMDAR in WWW operations, revision and updating of the GOS regulatory material.

Page 8: EC-LVIII 2006 Report of the president of CBS Presented by Alexander Gusev (Russian Federation) President of CBS Executive Council, Fifty-Eighth session

EC-LVIIIEC-LVIII20020066

Global Observing System (GOS) Specific input to the planning and implementation

of the evolving integrated GOS comprised: • Revision of the content of the WMO publication Guide on the Global Observing System (WMO-No. 488);•Publishing as WWW Technical Report The Implementation Plan for Evolution of Surface- and Space-based Subsystems of the GOS;• Preparation of updates for the WMO publication Manual on the Global Observing System (WMO-No. 544);

•Revision of the content and development the database for the WMO publication Weather Reporting, Observing Stations (WMO-No.9,Vol. A);

Page 9: EC-LVIII 2006 Report of the president of CBS Presented by Alexander Gusev (Russian Federation) President of CBS Executive Council, Fifty-Eighth session

EC-LVIIIEC-LVIII20020066

Global Observing System (GOS)

Specific input to the planning and implementation of the evolving integrated GOS

comprised (2): • Establishment of three additional CBS Lead Centres for GSN and GUAN data by NMHSs of Australia, Iran and Morocco;

Page 10: EC-LVIII 2006 Report of the president of CBS Presented by Alexander Gusev (Russian Federation) President of CBS Executive Council, Fifty-Eighth session

EC-LVIIIEC-LVIII20020066 ISS Key Tasks and

activityUpdate GTS design (incl. MTN), taking best

benefits from ICT, towards the WIS core network;

Design & implementation planning for the WIS communication networks and centres (GISCs, DCPCs);

Promote & coordinate migration plan to table-driven code forms with other commissions;

Page 11: EC-LVIII 2006 Report of the president of CBS Presented by Alexander Gusev (Russian Federation) President of CBS Executive Council, Fifty-Eighth session

EC-LVIIIEC-LVIII20020066 ISS Key Tasks and

activityDevelopment of the WMO metadata

standard with other commissions and in liaison with ISO;

Coordination & monitoring of current operation of GTS and data management, including support to Early Warning Systems;

Coordination and protection of WMO-related radio-frequency bands, especially with ITU.

Page 12: EC-LVIII 2006 Report of the president of CBS Presented by Alexander Gusev (Russian Federation) President of CBS Executive Council, Fifty-Eighth session

EC-LVIIIEC-LVIII20020066

ECEC--LVIIILVIII20020066

Information management – many data formats; uncoordinated metadata & catalogues

Current situation

Information exchange – multiplicity of procedures; real-time and non-real time

internet

5 GAW World Data Centres

GCOS Data Centres

Global Run-off Data Centre

stopstop

IRI and other climate research institutes

Universities

Regional Climate Centres

stopstopWWW GTS

World Meteorological

Centres

Regional/ Specialized Meteorological Centres

National Meteorological

Centres

Meteorological and R&D Satellite Operator Centres

International Organizations (IAEA, CTBTO, UNEP, FAO.. )

Commercial Service Providers

World Radiation Centre

Regional Instrument Centres

WMO World Data Centres

stopstop

stopstopstopstop

stopstop

WWW GTS

Real-time “push”

ECEC--LVIIILVIII20020066

Information management –Information exchange –

GAW World Data Centres

GCOS Data Centres

Global Run-off Data Centre

Global Precip. Climatology Centre

IRI, Hadley Centre, other climate research centres

Universities

Regional Climate Centres

International Organizations (IAEA, CTBTO, UNEP, FAO.. )

Commercial Service Providers

World Radiation Centre

Regional Instrument Centres

WMO World Data Centres

common procedures; real-time and non-real time servicesfew standard data formats; coordinated metadata & catalogues

Real-time “push”

On-demand “pull”

internet

DCPC

NC/DCPC

NCNC

NC/DCPC

NC

NC

NC

NC

NC

NC

GISC

GISCGISC

SatelliteTwo-Way Systems

Satellite Dissemination

(GEONetCast, EUMETCast, IGDDS)

NC

NC

DCPC

GISC GISC

DCPC

WISWIS

ISS – (F) WISECEC--LVIIILVIII20020066

World Meteorological

Centres

WWW GTS

Regional/Specialized Meteorological Centres

National Meteorological

Centres

Meteorological and R&D Satellite Operator Centres

GTS current usersNational, Regional, Specialized, and World Meteorological Centres

Meteorological Satellite Operator Centres

Page 13: EC-LVIII 2006 Report of the president of CBS Presented by Alexander Gusev (Russian Federation) President of CBS Executive Council, Fifty-Eighth session

EC-LVIIIEC-LVIII20020066

ECEC--LVIIILVIII20020066

Information management – many data formats; uncoordinated metadata & catalogues

Current situation

Information exchange – multiplicity of procedures; real-time and non-real time

internet

5 GAW World Data Centres

GCOS Data Centres

Global Run-off Data Centre

stopstop

IRI and other climate research institutes

Universities

Regional Climate Centres

stopstopWWW GTS

World Meteorological

Centres

Regional/ Specialized Meteorological Centres

National Meteorological

Centres

Meteorological and R&D Satellite Operator Centres

International Organizations (IAEA, CTBTO, UNEP, FAO.. )

Commercial Service Providers

World Radiation Centre

Regional Instrument Centres

WMO World Data Centres

stopstop

stopstopstopstop

stopstop

WWW GTS

Real-time “push”

ECEC--LVIIILVIII20020066

Information management –Information exchange –

GAW World Data Centres

GCOS Data Centres

Global Run-off Data Centre

Global Precip. Climatology Centre

IRI, Hadley Centre, other climate research centres

Universities

Regional Climate Centres

International Organizations (IAEA, CTBTO, UNEP, FAO.. )

Commercial Service Providers

World Radiation Centre

Regional Instrument Centres

WMO World Data Centres

common procedures; real-time and non-real time servicesfew standard data formats; coordinated metadata & catalogues

Real-time “push”

On-demand “pull”

internet

DCPC

NC/DCPC

NCNC

NC/DCPC

NC

NC

NC

NC

NC

NC

GISC

GISCGISC

SatelliteTwo-Way Systems

Satellite Dissemination

(GEONetCast, EUMETCast, IGDDS)

NC

NC

DCPC

GISC GISC

DCPC

WISWIS

ISS – WISECEC--LVIIILVIII20020066

World Meteorological

Centres

WWW GTS

Regional/Specialized Meteorological Centres

National Meteorological

Centres

Meteorological and R&D Satellite Operator Centres

GTS current usersNational, Regional, Specialized, and World Meteorological Centres

Meteorological Satellite Operator Centres

Page 14: EC-LVIII 2006 Report of the president of CBS Presented by Alexander Gusev (Russian Federation) President of CBS Executive Council, Fifty-Eighth session

EC-LVIIIEC-LVIII20020066

ISS - WIS

Where we are in this project?

Considerable efforts were made in developing the technical and operational specifications of the WIS GISCs and DCPCs, including an ad-hoc GISC & DCPC developers meeting (Langen,

Germany, 29-31 March 2006).(DWD, ECMWF, EUMETSAT, KMA, Météo-

France, NCAR, ROSHYDROMET and JCOMM Centre Obninsk, UKMetOffice)

Page 15: EC-LVIII 2006 Report of the president of CBS Presented by Alexander Gusev (Russian Federation) President of CBS Executive Council, Fifty-Eighth session

EC-LVIIIEC-LVIII20020066

ISS - WIS

Where we are in this project? An initial implementation of

some WIS functions could be achieved by the end of 2006 in

a semi-operational mode.

WIS success depends upon pilot projects.

Page 16: EC-LVIII 2006 Report of the president of CBS Presented by Alexander Gusev (Russian Federation) President of CBS Executive Council, Fifty-Eighth session

EC-LVIIIEC-LVIII20020066 WIS-relevant Pilot

Projects• CBS RA VI VGISC project (Exeter, Offenbach, Toulouse, ECMWF, EUMETSAT)

• CBS VPN Pilot Project based on the Internet in RA II and V

CCl CliWare – (Obninsk, Russian Federation, portal access to climate data over the Internet)

• JCOMM GISC-E2EDM prototype (Obninsk, Russian Federation)

• EUMETNET UNIDART Web portal for a uniform data request inferface

• CAgM WAMIS (World Agremeteorological Information Service; S. Korea)

• СAS THORPEX/TIGGE

• NERC DataGrid – UK e-Science project for accessing environmental information

• Earth System Grid – US project that enables management, discovery, distributed access, processing, & analysis of distributed tera-scale climate data

Page 17: EC-LVIII 2006 Report of the president of CBS Presented by Alexander Gusev (Russian Federation) President of CBS Executive Council, Fifty-Eighth session

EC-LVIIIEC-LVIII20020066

ISS - TECO-WIS

TECO-WIS will be held in association with the extraordinary session of CBS – 2006, November.

Page 18: EC-LVIII 2006 Report of the president of CBS Presented by Alexander Gusev (Russian Federation) President of CBS Executive Council, Fifty-Eighth session

EC-LVIIIEC-LVIII20020066

WIS

The WIS position and functions in the general WMO infrastructure should be

precisely defined for better understanding and implementation by the Member

countries.

Page 19: EC-LVIII 2006 Report of the president of CBS Presented by Alexander Gusev (Russian Federation) President of CBS Executive Council, Fifty-Eighth session

EC-LVIIIEC-LVIII20020066

ISS activity

GTS support to the Exchange of Multi-Hazard Early Warning, including Tsunami Warnings

Page 20: EC-LVIII 2006 Report of the president of CBS Presented by Alexander Gusev (Russian Federation) President of CBS Executive Council, Fifty-Eighth session

EC-LVIIIEC-LVIII20020066 ISS - Migration to Table Driven Code

FormsECEC--LVIIILVIII20020066

ISS Key Tasks and activity

Update GTS design (incl. MTN), taking best benefits from ICT, towards the WIS core network;

Design & implementation planning for the WIS communication networks and centres (GISCs, DCPCs);

Promote & coordinate migration plan to table-driven code forms with other commissions;

Only small number of countries had developed or were currently developing a national plan

for the migration to Table Driven Code Forms (TDCF).

 

Page 21: EC-LVIII 2006 Report of the president of CBS Presented by Alexander Gusev (Russian Federation) President of CBS Executive Council, Fifty-Eighth session

EC-LVIIIEC-LVIII20020066 DPFS - Data-Processing & Forecasting

System Ensemble Prediction Systems (EPS)

14 GDPFS centers are running EPS and the products continue to be of considerable interest as they are a realization of quantifying uncertainty in the numerical simulations and predictions of the atmosphere.

“Guidelines on using information from EPS in combination with single higher resolution NWP forecasts” (February 2006) was developed to assist meteorological users of EPS products.

Page 22: EC-LVIII 2006 Report of the president of CBS Presented by Alexander Gusev (Russian Federation) President of CBS Executive Council, Fifty-Eighth session

EC-LVIIIEC-LVIII20020066 DPFS - Data-Processing & Forecasting

System Long-range Forecasting (LRF)

14 LRF producers The Lead Centre for Standard Verification System for

LRF (SVSLRF) stated that the Web site is operational and the exchange of verification data has started

The WMO Secretariat recently sent a letter to the PRs of the concerned countries inviting them to consider, as recommended by CBS-XIII, producing a document for the next session of CBS to seek recognition as an official Global Producing Centre (GPC) of LRF and to consider submitting their centre’s verification results to the Lead Centre for SVSLRF.

Page 23: EC-LVIII 2006 Report of the president of CBS Presented by Alexander Gusev (Russian Federation) President of CBS Executive Council, Fifty-Eighth session

EC-LVIIIEC-LVIII20020066 DPFS - Data-Processing & Forecasting

System Severe Weather Forecasting Demonstration Project

(SWFDP)

SWFDP is being organized as a regional project whose scope is to explore and test the usefulness of the products that are currently available from NWP centres, or products which could be made available from current systems, with the goal to improving severe weather forecasting services in countries where sophisticated model outputs are not currently used.

CBS, through the Project Steering Committee, decided to implement in 2006 the first SWFDP regional sub-project in south-eastern Africa.

 

Page 24: EC-LVIII 2006 Report of the president of CBS Presented by Alexander Gusev (Russian Federation) President of CBS Executive Council, Fifty-Eighth session

EC-LVIIIEC-LVIII20020066 DPFS - Data-Processing & Forecasting

System Severe Weather Forecasting Demonstration Project (SWFDP)

Page 25: EC-LVIII 2006 Report of the president of CBS Presented by Alexander Gusev (Russian Federation) President of CBS Executive Council, Fifty-Eighth session

EC-LVIIIEC-LVIII20020066 DPFS - Data-Processing & Forecasting

System Nuclear Emergency Response Activities (ERA)

The Coordination Group on Nuclear ERA reviewed the status of implementation of the operational arrangements that involve

the WMO RSMCs with activity specialization in nuclear environmental emergency response (Beijing, Tokyo, Obninsk, Montréal, Washington, Melbourne, Exeter, Toulouse), and the

RTH Offenbach for operational notification via the GTS.

The review was based on the results of the international ConvEx-3 exercise (May, 2005) organized by the Inter-

Agency Committee on Response to Nuclear Accidents, led by IAEA, as well as in the context of the IAEA-adopted

International Action Plan for Strengthening the International Preparedness and Response System for Nuclear and

Radiological Emergencies (2004-2009).

Page 26: EC-LVIII 2006 Report of the president of CBS Presented by Alexander Gusev (Russian Federation) President of CBS Executive Council, Fifty-Eighth session

EC-LVIIIEC-LVIII20020066 DPFS - Data-Processing & Forecasting

System Non-Nuclear Emergency Response Activities  

The meeting of the CBS ET on Modelling of Atmospheric Transport for non-Nuclear Emergency Response was held

in Melbourne, Australia, 19 to 23 September 2005.

Because of the predominately “localized” nature of environmental emergencies related to chemical incidents

(spills or releases), the strategy and action plan should be concentrated on developing the necessary capabilities at the NMHSs. However, in the case of smoke from large

fires, a regionalized approach would be appropriate, where RSMCs could provide emergency guidance and

support to NHMSs and at the same time build capacity at the national level. A draft action plan was developed.

Page 27: EC-LVIII 2006 Report of the president of CBS Presented by Alexander Gusev (Russian Federation) President of CBS Executive Council, Fifty-Eighth session

EC-LVIIIEC-LVIII20020066

Major current activities 

Capacity building and transfer of technology      Natural disaster mitigation and public response to warnings; cross-border warnings exchange      Relationships with the media, emergency management      Application of new technology in PWS product development, design and service delivery      Verification, service assessment and quality management  Enhancement of NMS visibility and status

PWSPWS

Page 28: EC-LVIII 2006 Report of the president of CBS Presented by Alexander Gusev (Russian Federation) President of CBS Executive Council, Fifty-Eighth session

EC-LVIIIEC-LVIII20020066

 

OPAG on PWS had carried out an extensive review of the Programme, its functions and strategies.

It had re-defined these in view of the emerging trends and needs in service provision and delivery.

PWSPWS

Page 29: EC-LVIII 2006 Report of the president of CBS Presented by Alexander Gusev (Russian Federation) President of CBS Executive Council, Fifty-Eighth session

EC-LVIIIEC-LVIII20020066

WEB-BASED PROJECTS International exchange of public forecasts and warning

World Weather Information Service (WWIS) Web Site; provides a centralized source of official global

city weather information; carries climatological data for 1002 cities from 153 Members and

weather forecasts for 858 cities by 90 Members;

Severe Weather Information (SWI) Web Site; provides a centralized source for media access of official tropical cyclone warnings and information;

has global coverage and participation by 19 Members.

Page 30: EC-LVIII 2006 Report of the president of CBS Presented by Alexander Gusev (Russian Federation) President of CBS Executive Council, Fifty-Eighth session

EC-LVIIIEC-LVIII20020066CBS involvement to WMO cross CBS involvement to WMO cross

cutting programmes and cutting programmes and activitiesactivities

DPM, Quality Management System, WMO Space Programme, Climate study and GCOS-related activities, GEO/GEOSS process, THORPEX, International Polar Year……

 

Page 31: EC-LVIII 2006 Report of the president of CBS Presented by Alexander Gusev (Russian Federation) President of CBS Executive Council, Fifty-Eighth session

EC-LVIIIEC-LVIII20020066

GEOSSMany GEO targets are relevant to CBS and many CBS activities are relevant to GEO.

CBS proposes that the GEO Work Plan focus on two specific activities:

assessing the current data transfer & dissemination requirements and systems in all SBA;

preparing a detailed high level description of what new system would be and would do.

Page 32: EC-LVIII 2006 Report of the president of CBS Presented by Alexander Gusev (Russian Federation) President of CBS Executive Council, Fifty-Eighth session

EC-LVIIIEC-LVIII20020066

DPMOver its life time, CBS has assembled a significant degree of competence and

developed a broad network of expertise in matters closely related to DPM within its OPAG

structure.

It will be important to ensure that the execution of the Implementation Plan for DPM and the work of CBS in this area, can proceed

in a complementary fashion, so that there is no un-necessary duplication of effort and/or

resources.

Page 33: EC-LVIII 2006 Report of the president of CBS Presented by Alexander Gusev (Russian Federation) President of CBS Executive Council, Fifty-Eighth session

EC-LVIIIEC-LVIII20020066 Integration of the WMO

Observing System

Most of the WMO sponsored programmes are interconnected/

WMO observing Systems should be developed into Integrated Observing System

WWW GOS would serve as an infrastructure for integrated observing system

Page 34: EC-LVIII 2006 Report of the president of CBS Presented by Alexander Gusev (Russian Federation) President of CBS Executive Council, Fifty-Eighth session

EC-LVIIIEC-LVIII20020066

WWW visibility as a core infrastructure element for most

WMO programmes must be improved.

Page 35: EC-LVIII 2006 Report of the president of CBS Presented by Alexander Gusev (Russian Federation) President of CBS Executive Council, Fifty-Eighth session

EC-LVIIIEC-LVIII20020066

Thank you !

Executive Council, Fifty-Eighth sessionGeneva, 20-30 June, 2006

гусев
Вашему вниманию предлгается документ 3, содержащий отчет президента комиссии за период, прошедший с предыдущей сессии (2000-2002). представляемый Вам доклад