Earthquake Recovery - Wifandy Purba

8/13/2019 Earthquake Recovery - Wifandy Purba

1/51

Presented by Wifandy Purba

April 8, 2013

Under guidance of Dr. Pennung Warnitchai

Earthquake Recovery


2/51

Objective

Understand the impact of EQ to some livelihoodaspects (agriculture, industry, tourism)

Understand some key points for planningeconomy recovery measures


3/51

Covered Topics

Introduction

Sectoral Recovery Plans

Loss Estimation

Repair Economic Damage

Case StudyYogyakarta 2006


4/51

What is RECOVERY The restoration, and improvement where appropriate, of

facilities, livelihoods and living conditions of disaster-affected communities, including efforts to reducedisaster risk factors (UNISDR, 2009)

http://pre-drp.org

Classification

Immediate Relief Period

Rehabilitation Period

Reconstruction Period


5/51

How to Plan a SuccesfulRECOVERY

Challenges

Opportunities


6/51


7/51


8/51

Reconstruction is Planned SectorallySectors Loss Inventory Organization

Responsible

Housing Number of dwellings unrepairable.

Number of dwelling in need of repair.Number of people homeless

Ministry of Housing;

National Institute ofBuilding Engineers.

Agriculture Damage to agricultural buildingstock; loss of livestock; damage tofood processing plants, food andproduce storage

Dept. of Agriculture; Foodand Farmig Org; PrivateOwners; Consumers Org.

Retail andServiceIndustry

Shops, business premises,warehouses, fuel stations, fooddistribution, transport and supplies,destruction of stock, lay off ofemployees.

Dept. of Trade andIndustry; PrivateCompanies; Trade andLabour Unions


9/51

Why Coordination? Interdependency

Balance budget requirements

Logistical & practical Coord.Allocation of material and equipments

PRIORITIES


10/51


11/51

Accurate Information on Loss is

Prerequisite for Recovery Planning How?

Confederations of each Industry: arrange eachindustry, commercial sectors, trade unions to report

loss on their own sectors Rapid vs Detailed Loss Assessment

Why?

Time saving Validation

I am the owner of my house


12/51

What should be included in Loss

Estimation? Loss in value and numbers of units

Loss in proportion of total assets

Insurance coverage and shortfall The effect on economic production sectors

Required resources (to pre-disaster condition)

Effect to employees

Effect to other economic sector


13/51

Preliminary Damage and Loss Assessment, Bappenas, 2006

YOGYAKARTA EQ 2006


14/51


15/51

Not All Earthquakes are Harmful to

Long-term EconomyChristchurch EQ 2011

In June 2012, total retail tradeincrease 2.1% (vs 2011), 4.5%

(vs 2010) - http://www.stats.govt.nz

http://www.rbnz.govt.nz/research/bulletin/2012_2016/2012sep75_3parkersteenkam

p.pdf

http://www.recoveryplatform.org/
http://www.rbnz.govt.nz/research/bulletin/2012_2016/2012sep75_3parkersteenkamp.pdfhttp://www.rbnz.govt.nz/research/bulletin/2012_2016/2012sep75_3parkersteenkamp.pdfhttp://www.rbnz.govt.nz/research/bulletin/2012_2016/2012sep75_3parkersteenkamp.pdfhttp://www.rbnz.govt.nz/research/bulletin/2012_2016/2012sep75_3parkersteenkamp.pdfhttp://www.rbnz.govt.nz/research/bulletin/2012_2016/2012sep75_3parkersteenkamp.pdfhttp://www.rbnz.govt.nz/research/bulletin/2012_2016/2012sep75_3parkersteenkamp.pdf


16/51

Chain of Suffering

RebuildingHouse

RestoringIncomevs

Lostincome LessSpending LessTrade

DecliningEconomic

growthEarthquake

Economic production

Regenerate Jobs andincome

Reestablish lifestyles

Repair social linkages


17/51

Recover EconomiesAgricultural Economies

Industrial Economies

Small business and retail sectors

Tourism and Leisure


18/51


19/51

Impact Can an earthquake damage my potato?

Irrigation System

Dams, water pipelines Animal sheds

Emergency Periods

Road, transport access

Food processing factories

Nearby town Kalamata EQ 1986


20/51

Key Points for Planning Ensure continous supply of production to outsideAND revitalise livelihood of farmer in affected area.How?

Market Profile What is normally produced How much is sold

How much is consumed

Where is the market

Supply and distribution network How is EQ affecting the market process

Continue supply to outside region

Revitalise livelihood in the affected area


21/51

Recovery Measures 1 Protecting Farmers resources

www.fao.org


22/51

Recovery Measures 2 Targeting Marginal Farmers

Weakest member of thecommunity

Difficult access to aid

www.talkvietnam.com


23/51

Recovery Measure 3 Opportunities to change

Improvements in farming methods

Technology, new or additional

equipment and activities such asbee-keeping, dairy processing, craftproduction

Focus on lighter reform vs radicalreforms

Minor land reforms which is usuallynot possible


24/51


25/51

Industrial Economies are.. Complex

Manyinterdependencies

Many ownership types

Big consequences wellbeyond EQ affectedareas

http://food-ag.mit.edu


26/51

Impact

Interdependency

Large Impact

Large Companies vs SmallCompanies

www.axtin.com


27/51


28/51

Recovery Measure 1: EconomicDevelopment Zones

Making earthquake damaged industrial areas intotemporary EDZs has been proven effective

State provides relocation grants, loans, and taxincentives to encourage recovery

Publicize planned programs to restore business

confidence


29/51

Recovery Measure 2: PrivateInvestment Opportunity

Companies need to raise capital for reconstructionwhich is attractive for investors

Best use of available finances possibilities for earlyinvolvement of public and private financingagencies


30/51

Recovery Measure 3: Private andPublic Reconstruction

Need sharing of resources

Prioritizing of activities and sectors

RebuildingHouse

RestoringIncomevs


31/51

Recovery Measure 4: MaintainingWorkforce

Chain of suffering

Loss of Workforce vs Loss ofFactory

Rotate to other branch

Assisting ReconstructionPPO

Gov. Support


32/51

Recovery Measure 5: PhasingRecovery

Mechanical to ManualProduction

Improvisation

Source: JRF Report


33/51


34/51

Impact

Supply the population with dayto day need

Supply the industry with goodsand services

Main problem:

Premise Damage

Access Damage


35/51

Keypoints on Planning

Government must understand needs and scalerecognise the priority

Restore small business to offer daily necessities

(food, clothing, service) to affected community Involving affected community in small business

Train community for better management


36/51

Recovery Measure 1: Provision oftemporary premises

Proportion of temporary shelter for shops, serviceindustry

Make available retail space at lower rent

www.foto.detik.com


37/51

Recovery Measure 2: Re-establishing trading contacts

Rapid compilation of trading directory

Distribution

www.rainbowsilver.com


38/51


39/51

IMPACT What is it? What makes it unique?

http://majamoritz.photoshelter.com

HQ of many corporations

High rise building

National, regional.worldwide trade

Vitally important


40/51

Recovery Measures

Reconnection of Urban Services

Re-establishing business confidence

http://eqecat.com


41/51


42/51

Impact

What is it? What makes it unique? People visit and pass through

Hotels

Service Requires confidence

Source: IRP Status Report


43/51

Recovery Measures

Turning Reconstruction into tourist attraction

Use temporary housing for tourist

Use Publicity of EQ with right approach

http://www.dftw.org/


44/51


45/51

Profile

3.1 Million in population

Major income from trade, tourism, agriculture,

livestock, fisheries (36%)


46/51

CASE STUDY

5.9 R,;5,782 died;50,000 injured;

600,000 displaced

Direct Economy Loss $ 3,134 M


47/51

Agricultural Economy

The improved irrigation

channel helps us greatly. It

easily supplies farmers with

sufficient water in the third

growing season (the last

four months of the year)a

time when water is usually

hard to find. That means our

productivity, and our income,

will definitely increase.

S.T. Waluyo, farmer


48/51

Tourism

New Tourism Attraction :-Retribution fee-Home stay package-Home stay & traditional performances


49/51

TourismAttracting funds and experts fromUNESCO, donors, privatecorporations, universitiesin reconstructing heritage areapost earthquake.

http://www.id.emb-japan.go.jp/oda/id/index.htm

http://nurvirtamonarizqa.blogspot.com


50/51

Industry EconomyCommunity empowerment, especially forwomen did by NGOs. They were trained tomake handy craft, diversification ofagricultural products and other skills theynever learned as villagers. Now they ableto gain family income.

http://www.icbc-indonesia.org
http://www.icbc-indonesia.org/http://www.icbc-indonesia.org/http://www.icbc-indonesia.org/http://www.icbc-indonesia.org/


51/51

Documents

Earthquake Recovery - Wifandy Purba