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Dynamic Levels GM Breweries...Future market is expected to rise in IMFL and Beer segments. Ken Research announced its latest publication on “India Alcoholic Beverages Market Outlook

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Page 1: Dynamic Levels GM Breweries...Future market is expected to rise in IMFL and Beer segments. Ken Research announced its latest publication on “India Alcoholic Beverages Market Outlook

1 | P a g e

Page | 1

Report By: Vikash Kandoi– [email protected]

Page 2: Dynamic Levels GM Breweries...Future market is expected to rise in IMFL and Beer segments. Ken Research announced its latest publication on “India Alcoholic Beverages Market Outlook

Page 2 Source: Company, www.dynamiclevels.com

GM Breweries - Fresh, Smooth, Real - It’s all here

Company Overview and Stock price ……………………………………….……3

Product Overview……………………………………………………………….….…..4

Industry Outlook………………………………………………………………………..6

Company Financial….……………….…………….……………………….….…..…7

Balance Sheet…………………………………………..………….………….….……..8

Cash Flow……………..………………………………..…………….………….….……9

Peer Comparison…………….…………………………………………….……..…..10

Shareholding Pattern…………………………………………..……………....……11

Investment Rationale………………………………………...………….......…....12

Disclaimer……………………………………………………………………………..…13

Page 3: Dynamic Levels GM Breweries...Future market is expected to rise in IMFL and Beer segments. Ken Research announced its latest publication on “India Alcoholic Beverages Market Outlook

Page 3 Source: Company, www.dynamiclevels.com

Company’s Overview and Stock Price

G M Breweries Limited is engaged in the activities of manufacturing and marketing of Alcoholic Beverages; such

as Country Liquor (CL) and Indian made Foreign Liquor

(IMFL).

The company is growing steadily and has earned a dedicated customer base. GMBL is the largest manufacturer of country liquor in the state of Maharashtra with a sizeable market share. GMBL also contributes substantially to the state exchequer by way of excise duty

and value added tax.

G M Breweries Limited is having a state of the art fully automatic Bottling Plant at Virar, District Thane, in the state of Maharashtra with a capacity to produce about 50,000 cases a day. Initially The Company started producing 200 cases a day which has now reached to more than 50,000 cases a day.

The country liquor industry producers were producing only 750 & 375 ml bottles only in the old days but it was Mr. Jimmy Almeida who introduced 180 ml bottles in the country liquor industry. Further he was pioneer in introducing pet bottles to the country liquor industry.

EXCHANGE SYMBOL GM BREWERIES

Current Price * (Rs.) 648.85

Face Value (Rs.) 10

52 Week High (Rs.) 936.00 (08-Jan-16)

52 Week Low (Rs.) 85.20 (03-Jun-15)

Life Time high (Rs.) 936.00 (08-Jan-16)

Life Time low (Rs.) 1.95 (11-Aug-99)

Average Daily

Movement

42.23

Average Volume 78271

1 Month Return (%) 11.21

P/E Ratio (x) 16.64

Book Value 123.77

Market Cap 969.73 (Cr)

% of Promoter pledged 0

Below is a Weekly chart of GM Breweries showing support at 500 levels.

Page 4: Dynamic Levels GM Breweries...Future market is expected to rise in IMFL and Beer segments. Ken Research announced its latest publication on “India Alcoholic Beverages Market Outlook

Page 4 Source: Company, www.dynamiclevels.com

Product Overview

G.M.SANTRA

The most leading and Prestigious blend, made from Premium distilled Molasses based Rectified Spirit of Multi Pressure Vaccum Distillation Plant.

Blended with the best Orange flavours and widely preferred by the consumers for its organoleptic taste and aroma. The product is ruling at No. 1 Position

amongst Country Liquor Industry for the past 12 years, in the State of Maharashtra.

Gas Chromatography Analysis is used to maintain the consistency of the Blend/Product. The company has finely filtered through 0.4 micron Resin Bonded Cellulose Cartridge Filtration system, to provide crystal clear Brand. Its Foreign Liquors Envy, Country Liquors Pride Blend.

G.M.DOCTOR

G.M Doctor is one of the prestigious brands made from finely Distilled Vaccum distillation Plant. Balanced Blend with the toss of sugarcane juice spirit flavour. This is highly bodied palate and taste. The product is ruling in the market for the last 25 years.

Gas chromatography is used to maintain the required impurities to palatable standards. Reputed Blend in all over Maharashtra State. The product has crystal clear filtration through 0.4 micron RBC cartridge filtration.

G.M.LIMBU PUNCH

A mixed punch blend of Lemon and lime flavours, along

with the most supervised quality of Rectified Spirit from MPVD plant. Again a toss of sweetness and sour taste maintained with the whiff of Indian Spices and Herbs flavours.

Consumers say it’s a cocktail made available to the consumers of foreign liquors. The product has transparent filtration through 0.4 micron RBC cartridge filter.

Page 5: Dynamic Levels GM Breweries...Future market is expected to rise in IMFL and Beer segments. Ken Research announced its latest publication on “India Alcoholic Beverages Market Outlook

Page 5 Source: Company, www.dynamiclevels.com

G.M.DILBAHAR SOUNF

Superior blend of Extract fine Distilled Rectified Spirit and Anise flavour, added all spices flavours and herbs flavour for additional palate.

A balanced blend of smoothness and mouth freshness, Tastes sweet, 0.4 micron RBC cartridge filter is used for filtration media to fine crystal clear blend.

Page 6: Dynamic Levels GM Breweries...Future market is expected to rise in IMFL and Beer segments. Ken Research announced its latest publication on “India Alcoholic Beverages Market Outlook

Page 6 Source: Company, www.dynamiclevels.com

Industry Outlook

Indian alcoholic beverages market is expected to grow

at a CAGR of 11.1% during FY’2015-FY’2020

Future Growth of India alcohol beverages market is

expected to be driven by expanding reach of market

players and increase in variants in alcohol.

Future market is expected to rise in IMFL and Beer

segments.

Ken Research announced its latest publication on “India Alcoholic Beverages Market Outlook to 2020 – Inflating Demand for IMFL and Beer from Youth and Women Segments” provides a comprehensive analysis on Indian Alcoholic beverages market and covers specific insights on the market size of Country liquor, beer, IMFL (whisky, rum, brandy, vodka, gin) and Wine on the basis of consumption, per capita consumption, in terms of value and volume. The report also entails market segmentation by state and gender, competitive landscape, company profiles of the major players operating in the country, government regulations, recent trends and developments and future outlook of the Indian alcohol beverage market.

India is considered as a lucrative and majorly unexplored destination for alcoholic drinks by several international companies operating in saturated alcoholic beverages markets of Europe and the US. India’s alcoholic beverage market has grown steadily in the last 5 years.

Country Liquor is the second most consumed alcoholic beverage in India and has a commanding presence in the northern states of India. However, the scenario is

changing and a decline in the market share of Country Liquor has been noticed.

This industry has grown at an overall steady pace

triggered by increasing population and disposable

income, and also the fact that it is increasingly gaining

social acceptance.

Beer is a rapidly expanding segment

in the Indian alcoholic beverages

industry. It is the third largest

market and second fastest growing

market in the Indian alcoholic

beverages industry. Beer market has

been segmented into strong beer and

mild beer on the basis of their

alcohol content. Strong beer which

has alcohol content more than 5%,

dominates the Indian market stating

its popularity and preference.

“Indian alcoholic beverages market is

one of the fastest growing industries

in the world with several yet to be

explored segments. With compelling

business potential and economies of

scale poised by the market, it is

expected that several international

players will expand their operations

into the Indian alcoholic drinks

market in the coming years.”

Page 7: Dynamic Levels GM Breweries...Future market is expected to rise in IMFL and Beer segments. Ken Research announced its latest publication on “India Alcoholic Beverages Market Outlook

Page 7 Source: Company, www.dynamiclevels.com

Company Financials

Consolidated Income Statement (in Cr.) Mar'16 Mar'15

Growth % Annual Annual

Net Sales/Income from operations 359.57 307.34 16.99%

Other Operating Income 0.09 0.09

Total Income From Operations 359.66 307.43

Increase/Decrease in Stocks -1.10 1.53

Consumption of Raw Materials 126.09 137.09 -8.02%

Employees Cost 8.74 8.46 3.31%

Depreciation 5.41 5.56

Other Expenses 140.10 125.03

Total Expenditure 279.24 277.67

Operating Profit 80.42 29.76 170.23%

Other Income 6.06 2.27

P/L Before Int., Excpt. Items & Tax 86.48 32.03

Interest 2.05 3.57 -42.58%

P/L Before Exceptional Items & Tax 84.43 28.46

Exceptional Item 3.36 --

P/L Before Tax 87.79 28.46

Tax 29.48 9.83

PAT 58.31 18.63 212.99%

Equity Share Capital 11.71 11.71

Reserves 169.28 114.49

EPS (Rs.) [After Extraordinary items] 49.85 15.93 212.93%

Company’s revenue has jumped by 16.99% annually from 307.34 to 359.57 compared

to growth of 6.48% in FY15.

Company’s cost of raw material has gone down by 8.02%

Company has very less interest outgo and has further lowered down the same in last

year.

Operating profit has jumped by 170.23% annually.

Net profit jumped by 212.93% annually

Page 8: Dynamic Levels GM Breweries...Future market is expected to rise in IMFL and Beer segments. Ken Research announced its latest publication on “India Alcoholic Beverages Market Outlook

Page 8 Source: Company, www.dynamiclevels.com

Balance Sheet

Balance Sheet as at 31st March 2016

Mar'16 Mar'15

I. EQUITY AND LIABILITIES

1 Shareholders Funds

a) Share Capital 11.71 11.71

b) Reserves & Surplus 169.28 114.49

180.98 126.19

2 Non-Current Liabilities

a) Long-term Borrowings - 19.17

b) Deferred tax liabilities 4.50 4.62

4.50 23.79

3 Current Liabilities

a) Short -term Borrowings - 7.07

b) Trade Payables 3.75 4.08

c) Other current liabilities 38.28 41.15

d) Short-term provisions 3.52 3.52

45.55 55.82

TOTAL 231.03 205.80

II. ASSETS

1 Non-Current assets

a) Fixed Assets

(i) Tangible assets 78.64 85.92

(ii) Intangible assets 0.00 0.01

(iii) Capital work-in-progress 2.12 0.77

b) Non-Current investments 88.18 76.75

c) Long-term loans and advances 1.37 2.50

2 Current Assets

a) Inventories 13.05 18.94

b) Trade Receivables 0.23 0.10

c) Cash and cash equivalents 34.05 9.64

d) Short-term Loans and Advances 7.07 2.26

e) Other current assets 6.31 8.92

60.72 39.86

TOTAL 231.03 205.80

Company showed a jump of 8.25% annually in balance sheet.

Page 9: Dynamic Levels GM Breweries...Future market is expected to rise in IMFL and Beer segments. Ken Research announced its latest publication on “India Alcoholic Beverages Market Outlook

Page 9 Source: Company, www.dynamiclevels.com

Cash Flow

Cash Flow Statement for the year ended March 31 2016

Particulars Mar'16 Mar'15

A. Cash Flow From Operating Activities

Net Profit before tax 87.79 28.46

Adjustments For: 0.00 0.00

Depreciation 5.41 5.56

Interest 2.05 3.57

Indirect Taxes 898.46 728.23

Dividend Received 0.00 0.00

Interest Received -1.95 -0.50

Other Non-Operating Income -4.20 -1.86

Operating Profit before Working Capital Changes 987.57 763.46

Adjustment for:

(Increase)/Decrease in Trade and Other Received -2.34 10.23

(Increase)/Decrease in Inventories 5.89 -5.18

(Increase)/Decrease in Trade Payables -3.82 -3.80

Cash generated from Operations 987.30 764.71

Direct Taxes Paid 28.98 9.25

Indirect Taxes Paid 898.46 735.67

Net Cash from Operating Activities 59.86 19.79

B. Cash Flow from Investing Activities

Increase/Decrease in Fixed Assets 0.52 12.71

Increase in Investments -10.31 -27.78

Interest Received 1.95 0.50

Dividend Received 0.00 0.00

Other Non-Operating Income 4.20 1.86

Net Cash (used in)/ from Investing activities -3.64 -12.71

C. Cash Flow from Financing Activities

Increase/(Decrease) in Long Term Borrowing -19.17 3.51

Increase/(Decrease) in Short Term Borrowing -7.07 -

Interest Paid -2.05 -3.57

Dividend Paid -2.92 -2.34

Tax on distributed profits -0.60 -0.40

Net Cash(used in)/ from Financing activities -31.81 -2.80

D. Net Changes in Cash and Cash Equivalents (A+B+C) 24.41 4.29

E. Cash and Cash Equivalent at beginging of the period 9.64 5.36

F. Cash and Cash Equivalent at End of the Period 34.05 9.64

Company has a positive operating cash flow

Company has not made any big capital investment

Page 10: Dynamic Levels GM Breweries...Future market is expected to rise in IMFL and Beer segments. Ken Research announced its latest publication on “India Alcoholic Beverages Market Outlook

Page 10 Source: Company, www.dynamiclevels.com

Peer Comparison

# INSTRUMENT Price Avg.

Volume

Market Cap (Rs.

in Cr)

1 GM

BREWERIES

649.45 78271 970

2 RADICO

KHAITAN

88.80 279955 1198

3 SOM DISTILLERIES

160.80 18269 446

4 UBL 726.60 743538 19649

Company has god average volume and market

capitalization this give liquidity to the share price

of stock.

# INSTRUMENT Price %

Pledged

% FII

Holding

P/E

Ratio (X)

1 GM BREWERIES 649.45 0 0 16.64

2 RADICO

KHAITAN

88.80 14.73 22.16 15.54

3 SOM

DISTILLERIES

160.80 0 0 29.48

4 UBL 726.60 19.69 16.98 66.66

FII does not hold any position right now in GM Breweries

but stock is trading at low PE multiple

# INSTRUMENT Price

Debt Equity

Ratio

(X)

Int.

Coverage

Ratio (X)

1 GM

BREWERIES

649.45 0.00 44.83

2 RADICO

KHAITAN

88.8 0.90 3.56

3 SOM

DISTILLERIES

160.8 0.51 13.48

4 UBL 726.6 0.38 9.05

GM breweries is a Zero Debt Company

SL INSTRUMENT 1M 3M 6M 1Y

1 GM BREWERIES -8.95 -17.03 -18.2 502.64

2 RADICO KHAITAN 0.61 -12.02 -18.69 5.44

5 SOM DISTILLERIES -8.35 -11.67 -16.52 -19.03

4 UBL -4.20 -7.6 -21.63 -19.45

GM Breweries was top performer in 1 year jumped 502%

stock from Rs. 100 low trading at Rs. 650.

Till 18th Aug 2015

Page 11: Dynamic Levels GM Breweries...Future market is expected to rise in IMFL and Beer segments. Ken Research announced its latest publication on “India Alcoholic Beverages Market Outlook

Page 11 Source: Company, www.dynamiclevels.com

Shareholding Pattern

Shareholding Pattern Mar-16 Dec-15 Sep-15 Jun-15 Mar-15

Promoter and Promoter Group (%) 74.43 74.43 74.43 74.43 74.43

Indian 74.43 74.43 74.43 74.43 74.43

Foreign NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL

Institutions (%) 2.38 1.74 2.37 0.04 0.03

FII NIL NIL 2.33 NIL NIL

DII 2.38 1.74 0.04 0.04 0.03

Non-Institutions (%) 23.18 23.83 23.20 25.53 25.53

Bodies Corporate NIL NIL 1.03 1.60 2.25

Others 23.83 23.83 22.17 23.93 23.28

Custodians NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL

Total no. of shares (cr.) 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17

GM Breweries does not have huge FII & DII investment

COMPANY PROFILE OF GM BREWERIES, NSE, INDIA

Date of Incorporation 09-Dec-1981

Date of Listing 23-Aug-1995

Management

Name Designation

Jimmy Almeida Chairman & Managing Director

Dilip Diwan Director

Kiran Parashare Director

Paresh Trivedi Director

Shantilal Haria Director

Jyoti Almeida Whole Time Director

Registered Office Address

Ganesh Niwas,S. Veer Savarkar

Marg,Prabhadevi,400025,Mumbai,Maharashtra,India

Website

http://www.gmbreweries.com

Ratio Analysis

Name Ratio

Current Ratio (x) 1.24

Quick Ratio (x) 0.98

Dividend Yield (%) 0.37

Interest Coverage Ratio (x) 44.83

Debt Equity Ratio (x) 0.00

Return On Asset (%) 53.59

Return On Equity (%) 32.21

# Announcement

Date Ex-Date Amount

Interim/

Final

1 05-Apr-2016 10-May-2016 2.50 Final

2 07-Apr-2015 08-May-2015 2.50 Final

3 03-Apr-2014 16-May-2014 2.50 Final

4 04-Apr-2013 26-Apr-2013 2.50 Final

5 03-Apr-2012 02-May-2012 2.50 Final

6 07-Apr-2011 02-May-2011 2.50 Final

7 07-Apr-2010 28-Apr-2010 2.00 Final

8 06-Apr-2009 27-Apr-2009 2.00 Final 9 04-Apr-2008 30-Apr-2008 2.50 Final

10 10-Apr-2007 03-May-2007 1.80 Final

Page 12: Dynamic Levels GM Breweries...Future market is expected to rise in IMFL and Beer segments. Ken Research announced its latest publication on “India Alcoholic Beverages Market Outlook

Page 12 Source: Company, www.dynamiclevels.com

Investment Rationale

The company has a highest Market capitalization of 969.73 crs as Indian

Liquor Company.

Industry PE ratio for the sector is around 20, GM Breweries is trading at 16.64

lower than industry PE ratio.

GM Breweries share price has surged 500% in 1year.

Company’s revenue has jumped by 16.99% annually.

GM Breweries is a zero debt company.

Net profit jumped by 212.93% annually.

Good economies of scales as company Raw material consumption cost

declined by 8% were sales jumped by 16.99%.

Company pays dividend of Rs. 2.50 every year per share.

The company has capacity to process 13.76 crore bulk litres of country liquor

per annum out of which only about 46.15 % has been utilized last year.

Barring the aforesaid deterrents, the company does not foresee any major

threats to its growth and market share in the coming years. The existing

capacity should take care of the company’s requirement at least for the next

Five years and the Company does not foresee any technological obsolescence

for its products.

During the past several years, the Company has started using 180 Ml Glass

bottles embossed with its Registered Logo and also taken adequate legal steps

to ensure that, these bottles are not used by other liquor manufacturers.

To overcome the problem of shortage, wide price fluctuation and heavy

breakages in glass bottles, the Company has started marketing all sizes of

country liquor in PET bottles which has gained wide acceptance from the

consumers.

The company continues to make representations at various levels of the

Government to take effective steps to curb the illicit market in the interest of

the industry, revenue of the state as well as the public health.

We recommend BUY in GM Breweries @ 645 with the target of 760

Page 13: Dynamic Levels GM Breweries...Future market is expected to rise in IMFL and Beer segments. Ken Research announced its latest publication on “India Alcoholic Beverages Market Outlook

Page 13 Source: Company, www.dynamiclevels.com

Disclaimer: Research Disclaimer and Disclosure inter-alia as required under Securities and Exchange Board of India (Research Analysts) Regulations, 2014. Dynamic Equities Pvt. Ltd. is a member of National Stock Exchange of India Ltd. (NSEIL), Bombay Stock Exchange Ltd (BSE), Multi Stock Exchange of India Ltd (MCX-SX) and also a depository participant with National Securities Depository Ltd (NSDL) and Central Depository Services Ltd.(CDSL). Dynamic is engaged in the business of Stock Broking, Depository Services, Investment Advisory Services and Portfolio Management Services. Dynamic Equities Pvt. Ltd. is holding company of Dynamic Commodities Pvt. Ltd. , a member of Multi Commodities Exchange (MCX) & National Commodity & Derivatives Exchange Ltd.(NCDEX). We hereby declare that our activities were neither suspended nor we have defaulted with any stock exchange authority with whom we are registered. SEBI, Exchanges and Depositories have conducted the routine inspection and based on their observations have issued advise letters or levied minor penalty on for certain operational deviations. Answers to the Best of the knowledge and belief of Dynamic/ its Associates/ Research Analyst who prepared this report

DYANMIC/its Associates/ Research Analyst/ his Relative have any financial interest in the subject company? No

DYANMIC/its Associates/ Research Analyst/ his Relative have actual/beneficial ownership of one per cent or more securities of the subject company? No

DYANMIC/its Associates/ Research Analyst/ his Relative have any other material conflict of interest at the time of publication of the research report or at the time of public appearance? No

DYANMIC/its Associates/ Research Analyst/ his Relative have received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months? No

DYANMIC/its Associates/ Research Analyst/ his Relative have managed or co-managed public offering of securities for the subject company in the past twelve months? No

DYANMIC/its Associates/ Research Analyst/ his Relative have received any compensation for investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the subject company in the past twelve months? No

DYANMIC/its Associates/ Research Analyst/ his Relative have received any compensation for products or services other than investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the subject company in the past twelve months? No

DYANMIC/its Associates/ Research Analyst/ his Relative have received any compensation or other benefits from the Subject Company or third party in connection with the research report? No

DYANMIC/its Associates/ Research Analyst/ his Relative have served as an officer, director or employee of the subject company? No

DYANMIC/its Associates/ Research Analyst/ his Relative have been engaged in market making activity for the subject company? No

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