Dynamic Collective Draft

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

  • 8/9/2019 Dynamic Collective Draft

    1/22

    Intertemporal collective consumptiondecisions:

    a revealed preference analysis

    Laurens Cherchye, Bram De Rocky,Jeroen Sabbezand Ewout Verriestx

    [preliminary draft - not to be quoted without permission]

    February 12, 2010

    Abstract

    We provide a revealed preference methodology for analyzing in-tertemporal household consumption behavior in terms of the collec-tive model. Following Mazzocco (2007), we focus on the full commit-ment model and the no commitment model. We develop revealedpreference conditions that allow for testing data consistency withthese intertemporal consumption models in a nonparametric man-ner, i.e. while avoiding imposing (typically nonveriable) paramet-ric/functional structure for the household decision process. In turn,

    CentER, Tilburg University, and Center for Economic Studies, University of Leu-ven. E. Sabbelaan 53, B-8500 Kortrijk, Belgium. E-mail: [email protected]. Laurens Cherchye gratefully acknowledges nancial support from the ResearchFund K.U.Leuven through the grant STRT1/08/004.

    yECARES and ECORE, Universit Libre de Bruxelles. Avenue F.D. Roosevelt 50, CP114, 1050 Brussels, Belgium. E-mail: [email protected].

    zCenter for Economic Studies, University of Leuven. E. Sabbelaan 53, B-8500 Kortrijk,

    Belgium. E-mail: [email protected]. Jeroen Sabbe gratefully acknowl-edges the Fund for Scientic Research - Flanders (FWO-Vlaanderen) for nancial support.

    xCenter for Economic Studies, University of Leuven. E. Sabbelaan 53, B-8500 Kor-trijk, Belgium. E-mail: [email protected]. Ewout Verriest gratefullyacknowledges the Fund for Scientic Research - Flanders (FWO-Vlaanderen) for nancialsupport.

    1

  • 8/9/2019 Dynamic Collective Draft

    2/22

    this implies an operational test for commitment, which can be inter-

    esting from a policy point of view. An empirical application illustratesour methodology. In this application we also discuss an intermediatelimited commitment model that is situated between the full commit-ment and no commitment models.JEL Classication: D11, D12, D13, C14.Keywords: household economics, collective consumption model, in-tertemporal consumption model, commitment, revealed preferences.

    1 Introduction

    There is a growing consensus that a realistic modeling of household con-

    sumption behavior must take into account preference heterogeneity withinthe household. In many cases, the household decision-making process cannotbe explained by the restrictive unitary framework, which models the house-hold as if it were a single decision maker.1 In addition, many householddecisions are inherently intertemporal. For example, such intertemporal in-terdependence typically applies to decisions on family savings, investmentin human capital, housing purchase, fertility decisions, etc. This directlyextends to a consumption setting. In many cases, consumption today im-pacts on consumption tomorrow and vice versa (e.g. because of (dis)savingpossibilities).

    Mazzocco (2007) introduced a household consumption model that takesboth these aspects into account. He uses a collective model, which meansthat he explicitly recognizes that a multi-person household consists of mul-tiple members (decision makers) with their own preferences. As such, themodel considers the observed household consumption behavior as the re-sult of a within-household bargaining process between these members. It(only) assumes that this process yields a Pareto ecient within-householdallocation.2 Next, Mazzocco adopts the life cycle modeling of intertemporalconsumption decisions. Essentially, this obtains a collective extension of the

    1 Many studies reject the empirical validity of the unitary model for multi-person house-hold behavior. See, for example, Lundberg (1988), Thomas (1990), Fortin and Lacroix(1997), Browning and Chiappori (1998), Chiappori, Fortin and Lacroix (2002), Duo(2003) and Cherchye and Vermeulen (2008).

    2 See, for example, Chiappori (1988, 1992) for seminal contributions on the collectivemodel for multi-person household consumption and Apps and Rees (1988) for a closelyrelated approach.

    2

  • 8/9/2019 Dynamic Collective Draft

    3/22

    widely applied unitary life cycle consumption model.3

    More specically, Mazzocco distinguishes between two versions of the in-tertemporal collective consumption model: the full commitment model andthe no commitment model. A main argument is that the two versions havevery dierent policy implications; and this makes it relevant to test (and com-pare) their empirical validity. Mazzocco also developed a characterization ofthe two versions, which eectively establishes such an empirical (commit-ment) test. We will briey recapture the full commitment model and theno commitment model in Section 2; this will also explain Mazzoccos keynotion of commitment. Essentially, commitment refers to the period of timeover which the relative bargaining weights of individual household membersremain constant (enforced by some explicit or implicit intrahousehold con-

    tract).This paper presents a revealed preference characterization (and corre-

    sponding tests) of Mazzoccos full commitment and no commitment models.In the tradition of Afriat (1967) and Varian (1982),4 we derive necessary andsucient conditions for household consumption data to be consistent witha particular model. These conditions then enable checking consistency of agiven data set with the model; in the spirit of Varian (1982), we refer to thisas testing data consistency with the model under study.5 More specically,we are able to verify these conditions in a fully nonparametric way, i.e. theassociated tests do not require an a priori (typically non-veriable) para-

    metric specication of the intrahousehold decision process (e.g. individualpreferences). This contrasts with the tests that were originally proposed byMazzocco (2007), which do require such a parametric specication.

    At this point, it is also interesting to relate our ndings to the earlier workof Browning (1989) and Cherchye, De Rock and Vermeulen (2007, 2009a,b).Browning provided a revealed preference characterization of the unitary lifecycle model (see also Crawford, 2009, for recent discussion).6 We extend

    3 See, for example, Browning and Crossley (2001) for an extensive overview of theliterature on the unitary life cycle model.

    4 See also Samuelson (1938), Houthakker (1950) and Diewert (1973) for seminal contri-butions on the revealed preference approach to analyzing consumption behavior.

    5

    As is standard in the revealed preference literature, the type of tests that we considerhere are sharp tests; either a data set satises the data consistency conditions or it doesnot.

    6 Crawford (2009) extended Brownings (1989) characterization of the life cycle con-sumption model by accounting for habit formation in the household consumption. Inte-grating these insights in our revealed preference characterization is work for future research.

    3

  • 8/9/2019 Dynamic Collective Draft

    4/22

    this characterization to a collective setting. Next, Cherchye, De Rock and

    Vermeulen established the revealed preference characterization of the staticcollective consumption model. We extend this characterization by accountingfor intertemporal consumption relations.

    The rest of the paper unfolds as follows. The next section briey recap-tures Mazzoccos (2007) modeling of intertemporal collective consumption;we consider the case of full commitment and the case of no commitment. Wewill also discuss the policy relevance of empirical tests of commitment. Sec-tion 3 introduces the revealed preference characterization of the two versionsof the intertemporal collective consumption model. Section 4 provides theempirical results of the no commitment model, the full commitment modeland an intermediate limited commitment model, based on panel data drawn

    from the Russian Longitudinal Monitoring Survey. Section 5 concludes andhints at future research topics. The Appendices contain the proofs of ourresults.

    2 Intertemporal collective consumption with

    and without commitment

    We consider a household with M household members. The household has todecide over the consumption of a bundle of N private goods and a bundle of

    K public goods. Given private and public consumption in the household, theutility of each member m is given by the function um(qm;Q), with qm 2 RN+the private consumption bundle of m, and Q 2 RK+ the public consump-tion bundle.7 Throughout, we will assume that each utility function um iscontinuous, concave, non-satiated and non-decreasing in its arguments.

    The empirical analysis of household consumption starts from a data setS = fpt; Pt; qt; Qtjt = 1;:::;Tg, which pertains to a given number of

    periods T. For each period t 2 f1;:::Tg, the vectors Qt and qt (=XT

    t=1qmt )

    represent the household bundles of public and private goods demanded at t;and we use pt 2 R

    N++ for the price vector of the private commodities and

    Pt 2 RK

    ++for the price vector of the public commodities. In what follows,

    7 Throughout, we will abstract from externalities associated with privately consumedquantities. Importantly, however, our setting can actually account for such externalities.Specically, if an individual is the exclusive consumer of a particular private good, thenwe can account for externalities for this good by formally treating it as a public good.

    4

  • 8/9/2019 Dynamic Collective Draft

    5/22

    we will use yt = pt0qt + Pt0Qt.

    As indicated above, we will adopt a life cycle approach to modeling in-tertemporal collective consumption behavior. In doing so, we will assumeexponential utility discounting. More specically, we will assume m repre-sents the (xed) personal utility discount factor for each individual m. Thesame assumption was made by Crawford (2009), who focused on revealedpreference characterizations of intertemporal consumption models in a uni-tary set-up.8 In what follows, we consider m as given. If this is not the casethen one can, as is suggested in Crawford (2009), perform a grid search thatconsiders dierent possible values of m. See also our empirical applicationin Section 4.

    2.1 Full commitment

    As indicated above, the collective model assumes Pareto eciency. For oursetting with concave utility functions, a Pareto optimal allocation is usuallycharacterized as maximizing a weighted sum of individual utilities um subjectto the given budget constraint. The weights m associated with each um arethen typically interpreted as bargaining weights for the dierent membersm. In the collective set-up, these bargaining weights depend on the so-calleddistribution factors Z. These factors include, for example, exogenous incomeof individual household members, sex ratio within the relevant region, thecountrys divorce legislation, etc. (see, for example, Browning, Bourguignon,Chiappori and Lechene (1994) for more discussion). Importantly, in generalthe value of Z may vary over time periods t. As is currently standard in re-vealed preference tests, we will assume that the distribution factors Z are notobserved. However, the notion will be crucial for sketching the key dierencebetween the full commitment and the no commitment model. In Section 4,we will briey return to the possibility of using information on Z in empiricalapplications.

    The concept of commitment crucially relates to the bargaining weightsmt associated with the dierent periods t. Essentially, it pertains to theextent to which the household members anticipate possible variation in the

    weights mt when choosing their consumption path for the time horizon under

    consideration. In the full commitment model, the bargaining weights mt are

    8 Browning (1989) abstracted from utility discounting, which corresponds to m

    = 1.Evidently, our model includes the assumption

    m= 1 as a special case.

    5

  • 8/9/2019 Dynamic Collective Draft

    6/22

    held constant, i.e. mt = m for all t. The interpretation is as follows. At

    t = 1, all members decide how to divide the power in the household for theentire future horizon, i.e. for each m they x the weight m that will prevailfor the entire time horizon. Once the members have decided on this relativebargaining power, they are fully committed to it and cannot renegotiateafterwards. Putting it dierently, the full commitment model assumes an(explicit or implicit) contract set up at time t = 1, which stipulates theindividual bargaining weights for all future periods. Inter alia, this meansthat the unanticipated variation in Z over time periods t is irrelevant for thehousehold consumption path that is chosen. While changes of Z that areanticipated at t = 1 can have an impact on the intrahousehold allocation;see our discussion in Section 2.3.

    More formally, under full commitment the household chooses for eacht 2 f1;:::;Tg private consumption quantities qmt and public consumptionquantities Qt that satisfy the following condition:

    q1t ;:::;q

    Mt ;Qt

    2 arg max

    x1t;:::;xM

    t;Xt

    MXm=1

    mTXt=1

    t1m um(xmt ;Xt) (FC)

    s:t:

    TXt=1

    pt0(

    MXm=1

    xmt ) + Pt0Xt 6

    TXt=1

    yt

    Intuitively, this condition requires that the chosen consumption path eec-tively turns out (ex post) to be Pareto ecient for the given (xed) bargainingweights m.

    The revealed preference approach checks whether it is possible to conceiveutility functions um that make observed behavior (captured by the set S)consistent with the condition (FC). If this is the case, then we say the set Sis Full Commitment (FC)-rationalizable.

    Denition 1 Consider a data set S = fpt; Pt; qt; Qtjt = 1;:::;Tg and aspecication of m (m = 1;:::;M). The set S is FC-rationalizable if thereexist utility functions um, bargaining weights m, and private consumption

    bundles qmt 2 RN+ , withXM

    m=1 qmt = qt, such that each

    q1t ;:::;qMt ;Qt

    satises (FC).

    This condition will form the basis for dening our revealed preferencecharacterization of the full commitment model in Section 3.

    6

  • 8/9/2019 Dynamic Collective Draft

    7/22

  • 8/9/2019 Dynamic Collective Draft

    8/22

    the NC-rationalizability condition but not the FC-rationalizability condition,

    then this means that the observed behavior can be modeled as Pareto e-cient for the life cycle consumption model under consideration, but not underthe assumption of constant bargaining weights (i.e. mt =

    m). In this case,we empirically reject commitment within the household under consideration.

    As discussed in Mazzocco (2007) such a test of commitment can haveparticular policy relevance. To see this, we recall that if consumers behaveaccording to the full commitment model, then unanticipated variation in thedistribution factors Z will not impact on the household consumption path.As such, a public policy change that aims at inuencing household behav-ior via the distribution factors is ineective. To be more precise, we mustmake the distinction between anticipated and unanticipated policy changes.

    If household members anticipate a particular policy change (e.g. a changein divorce legislation at period t > 1), then they will take this informationinto account when dening the m at t = 1. On the other hand, if somepolicy measure is unanticipated, then the household cannot respond by rene-gotiating the bargaining weights. We conclude that only anticipated policychanges eectively impact on the household consumption (via the bargainingweights) in the full commitment model.

    The picture is very dierent for the no commitment model. If consumersbehave in accordance with this model (while the data reject full commit-ment), then policy changes do become an eective tool for inuencing house-

    hold consumption behavior. In this case, even an unanticipated policy changecan be taken into account during the renegotiations after the exogenousshock. Thus, policy makers can now exert more control over the decisionprocess inside households by (unanticipated) changes of Z.

    3 Revealed preference characterization

    This section develops revealed preference conditions that are equivalent tothe conditions of the full commitment model in Denition 1 and the nocommitment model in Denition 2. Essentially, these revealed preference

    characterizations will allow us to empirically test data consistency with thetwo models while avoiding a prior specication of the utility functions um

    and the bargaining weights m (full commitment) and mt (no commitment).

    8

  • 8/9/2019 Dynamic Collective Draft

    9/22

    3.1 Full commitment

    The following result gives the nonparametric characterization of the full com-mitment model.

    Proposition 1 Consider a data set S = fpt; Pt; qt; Qtjt = 1;:::;Tg and aspecication of m (m = 1;:::;M). The following conditions are equivalent:(i) The set S is FC-rationalizable:(ii) There exist pricesPmt 2 R

    K+ with

    PMm=1P

    mt = Pt, quantitiesq

    mt 2 R

    N+

    withPM

    m=1 qmt = qt, and numbers u

    mt > 0 such that the following condition

    holds for all s; t 2 f1;:::;Tg andm 2 f1;:::;Mg:

    um

    s um

    t 6

    1

    t1m [(pt0q

    m

    s + Pm

    t 0Qs) (pt0qm

    t + Pm

    t 0Qt)]

    Condition (ii) in this proposition characterizes FC-rationalizability interms of so-called Afriat inequalities (see Varian, 1982; based on Afriat,1967). Our collective model implies that we get a set of Afriat inequali-ties for each member m. Intuitively, for each observation t and memberm, these inequalities dene a utility level umt , which can be interpreted asumt = u

    m (qmt ;Qt). The prices Pmt then express the marginal willingness to

    pay of each member m for the publicly consumed quantities Qt. They can beinterpreted as Lindahl prices since they must add up to the observed prices

    (i.e.PM

    m=1Pmt =

    Pt). Cherchye, De Rock and Vermeulen (2007, 2009a)use a similar concept of Lindahl prices for the public goods in their revealed

    preference characterization of the static collective consumption model.The characterization in condition (ii) is particularly attractive from a

    computational point of view. For a given specication of m, it implies aset of inequalities that are linear in terms of the unknowns Pmt , q

    mt and u

    mt .

    Thus, an operational test of the full commitment model can use standardlinear programming techniques to verify the inequalities.

    As a nal remark, we can relate the characterization in Proposition 1 tothe revealed preference characterizations of Browning (1989) and Crawford(2009), who focused on unitary intertemporal consumption. These authors

    characterize rational intertemporal behavior in terms of so-called cyclicalmonotonicity conditions. It is easy to verify that condition (ii) in Proposition1 can equally be expressed in terms of such cyclical monotonicity conditions;in this case, we will get such a condition for each m. Interestingly, thesecyclical monotonicity conditions will also imply a set of linear inequalities,

    9

  • 8/9/2019 Dynamic Collective Draft

    10/22

    which can thus be checked through linear programming. However, the veri-

    cation of these conditions is computationally more complex than checkingthe Afriat inequalities in Proposition 1. Essentially, for a given data set thenumber of cyclical monotonicity inequalities will generally be (often substan-tially) higher than the number of Afriat inequalities. Therefore, we chooseto focus on the Afriat inequalities in this paper.

    3.2 No commitment

    Let us then provide the nonparametric characterization of the no commit-ment model.

    Proposition 2 Consider a data set S = fpt; Pt; qt; Qtjt = 1;:::;Tg and aspecication of m (m = 1;:::;M). The following conditions are equivalent:(i) The set S is NC-rationalizable:(ii) There exist prices Pmt 2 R

    K+ with

    PMm=1P

    mt = Pt, quantities q

    mt 2

    RN+ with

    PMm=1 q

    mt = qt, and numbers

    mt ; u

    mt > 0 such that the following

    condition holds for all s; t 2 f1;:::;Tg andm 2 f1;:::;Mg:

    ums umt 6

    mt [(pt0q

    ms + P

    mt 0Qs) (pt0q

    mt + P

    mt 0Qt)]

    Thus, we get a characterization in terms of Afriat inequalities that isclosely similar to the characterization of the full commitment model in Propo-

    sition 1. The only dierence in the Afriat inequalities is the replacement ofthe given 1=t1m by the unknown mt . The main implication is that the Afriat

    inequalities in Proposition 2 are no longer linear in terms of unknowns (incasu Pmt , q

    mt ,

    mt and u

    mt ). This makes it dicult to directly verify these

    Afriat inequalities for a given set S.However, the Afriat inequalities in Proposition 2 are exactly the ones

    that apply to the static collective model studied by Cherchye, De Rock andVermeulen (2009a). These authors have shown that their conditions canequivalently be formulated in terms of mixed integer programming (MIP)constraints, which can be checked through standard MIP techniques. Essen-tially, they build on the well-known equivalence between the Afriat inequali-

    ties conditions that we consider here and the so-called Generalized Axiom ofRevealed Preference (GARP) introduced by Varian (1982). Given this, weconclude that the nonlinear Afriat inequalities in Proposition 2 can equiva-lently be expressed in MIP terms. In turns, this implies operational tests fordata consistency with the no commitment model.

    10

  • 8/9/2019 Dynamic Collective Draft

    11/22

    One further remark relates to this formal similarity between the intertem-

    poral Afriat inequalities in Proposition 2 and the static Afriat inequalitiesconsidered by Cherchye, De Rock and Vermeulen (2009a). This may appearsomewhat paradoxical given the intrinsically dierent denition of the struc-tural decision problems that underlie the two models. The interpretationpertains to the very nature of the no commitment model under considera-tion. As explained above, the no commitment model accounts for the possi-bility that the member specic bargaining weights change discretely betweenevery two periods t and t + 1. Intuitively, this possibility of (unanticipated)bargaining power shifts make it irrelevant to take into account intertemporalconsiderations when deciding upon the consumption at any period t. There-fore, the intertemporal optimization model generates empirical restrictions

    that coincide with the ones of the static model, which eectively abstractsfrom intertemporal consumption relations.

    Admittedly, the assumption of discrete variation in the bargaining weightsbetween any two periods is a strong one. Indeed, it may often be reasonable toassume a constant bargaining weight for at least a subset of periods. In fact, asimilar qualication applies to the full commitment model: when the numberof periods T gets large, it is often unrealistic to assume exactly the samebargaining weight in all periods t. Therefore, in the next section we will alsodiscuss the possibility of considering intertemporal collective consumptionmodels that are situated between the two extreme (full commitment and no

    commitment) models.

    4 Empirical application

    We have introduced revealed preference conditions that allow for empiricallytesting data consistency with the intertemporal collective consumption modelunder full commitment and under no commitment. This eectively obtains atest of commitment, and we have argued that such a test has particular pol-icy relevance. Practical applications that use these conditions complementexisting empirical studies that have focused on revealed preference analysis

    of household consumption behavior in terms of the static collective consump-tion model, which abstracts from intertemporal consumption behavior. SeeCherchye, De Rock, Sabbe and Vermeulen (2008) and Cherchye, De Rockand Vermeulen (2009a,c) for empirical studies of the static model that makeuse of a demand panel drawn from the Russian Longitudinal Monitoring Sur-

    11

  • 8/9/2019 Dynamic Collective Draft

    12/22

    vey (RLMS). The application in this paper will draw on the same data set

    to assess the empirical performance of the intertemporal collective modelsunder consideration.

    4.1 Data

    The Russian Longitudinal Monitoring Survey is an extensive panel data setcontaining detailed consumption expenditure data of various categories ofcommodities for a large sample of households. We focus on two-person house-holds (M = 2). Every household in our sample is observed for eight non-consecutive years ranging from 1994 until 2003, with missing data points for1997 and 1999. In order to abate the concern of the non-separability between

    consumption and leisure (see, e.g., Browning and Meghir (1991)), couples areexcluded from the sample if not every member is employed. These selectioncriteria result in an overall sample of 148 couples.

    The commodity bundle under consideration consists of 21 nondurables.It comprises (1) food outside the home, (2) clothing, (3) car fuel, (4) woodfuel, (5) gas fuel, (6) luxury goods, (7) services, (8) housing rent, (9) bread,(10) potatoes, (11) vegetables, (12) fruit, (13) meat, (14) dairy products, (15)fat, (16) sugar, (17) eggs, (18) sh, (19) other food items, (20) alcohol and(21) tobacco. Throughout our empirical exercises, we will assume that woodfuel, gas fuel and housing rent represent public consumption, while all othergoods are assumed to be private. Real prices (pt;Pt) have been discountedusing compound real interest rates in Russia obtained from Thomson ReutersDatastream, taking into account the two years with lacking data. See Cher-chye, De Rock and Vermeulen (2009a,c) for a more detailed discussion of thedata (including our selection of private and public goods).

    4.2 Results

    Intertemporal collective rationality is tested for each household separately,thereby avoiding preference homogeneity assumptions across households. Thissubsection describes the setup of the testing phase and the results for the

    commitment models discussed in Section 3. Given the disparity in the em-pirical results of these two extreme (full commitment and no commitment)models, we will conclude the section with an introductory discussion on anintermediate limited commitment model.

    12

  • 8/9/2019 Dynamic Collective Draft

    13/22

    4.2.1 No commitment

    It was already stated in Section 3 that the revealed preference implicationsof the no commitment model are identical to those of the static collectivemodel. In this respect, Cherchye, De Rock and Vermeulen (2009a) foundthat all households are consistent with the static collective model for the dataunder study. Thus, we conclude that the data also satisfy the intertemporalcollective model that assumes no commitment; the pass rate is 100%.

    However, to adequately test the empirical validity of the model, oneshould complement the testing exercise with a power analysis. For a givendata set, such a power analysis quanties the probability of detecting be-havior that is not consistent with the model subject to testing. Evidently,

    a high pass rate has little value if the model is hard to reject empirically,i.e. the model has low discriminatory power. We refer to Bronars (1987)and Andreoni and Harbaugh (2006) for detailed discussions on power issuesrelated to revealed preference tests such as ours.

    In this respect, we can again refer to Cherchye, De Rock and Vermeulen(2009a). These authors show that the discriminatory power tends to berather low for the static collective model that is empirically equivalent tothe no commitment model under study.9 As argued by Beatty and Crawford(2009), this puts the pass rate of 100% somewhat into perspective.

    4.2.2 Full commitment

    Let us then consider the full commitment model. Conditional on the discountfactors m, the characterization in Proposition 1 implies a set of inequalitiesthat is linear in the unknowns (um, P

    mt , q

    mt ). Together with the linear

    aggregation constraints on public good prices and private good quantities,FC-rationalizability can thus be tested by a standard linear programmingalgorithm. However, in our application the value of m is not given priorto the analysis. To solve this problem, we perform a double grid searchprocedure, which allows the discount factors for the two individuals (1 and

    9 To be more precise, Cherchye, De Rock and Vermeulen concluded that the static col-lective consumption model has reasonable discriminatory power if assignable informationis available for the privately consumed quantities. If no such assignable quantity informa-tion is available, however, then power turns out to be rather low. The no commitmentmodel under consideration complies with the static model without assignable quantityinformation.

    13

  • 8/9/2019 Dynamic Collective Draft

    14/22

    2) to vary discretely between 0.50 and 1 (with steps of 0.01). This requires

    solving about 2600 linear programs per household.10

    The tests show that the full commitment model is rejected for all 148couples, i.e. no household behavior is FC-rationalizable. These results arerobust for any values of1 and 2 that we consider. Given the data set underconsideration, this should not be very surprising. The underlying assumptionthat the relative bargaining weights can be fully predetermined over a timespan of 10 years (with 8 observations) is indeed a very demanding premise.

    From these results , we can conclude that full commitment is not a very re-alistic working assumption for real-life situations with a constantly changingenvironment. Similarly, Browning (1989) rejected perfect foresight over theentire time horizon when testing the nonparametric unitary life-cycle model.

    The results also suggest that the collective model with full commitment hassubstantial power, which contrasts with our ndings for the no commitmentmodel. We see a more detailed power analysis of the full commitment modelunder consideration as an interesting avenue for further research.

    4.2.3 Limited commitment

    The above results indicate that neither of the two extreme (full commitmentand no commitment) models provides a completely satisfactory descriptionof observed couples behavior: the no commitment model has little power,and the full commitment model is rmly rejected. This section provides a

    rst exploration of an intermediate collective model that puts more structureon the data than the no commitment model but less structure than thefull commitment model. Specically, we consider a limited commitmentmodel that focuses on continuous subsets of periods that satisfy the fullcommitment restrictions.11 The interpretation is that the bargaining weightis held constant within these subsets of periods while it can vary between thesubsets. Intuitively, the model assumes that households can only commit fora limited period of time.

    10 As already stated in Section 2, Browning (1989) assumes = 1 when testing theunitary life-cycle model. Next, Crawford (2009) considers a grid search procedure with

    ranging from 0.95 to 1, but the tests are run on quarterly instead of yearly data. Whencompared to these studies, we may safely conclude that our analysis is quite exible byconsidering the range 0.5 - 1.

    11 A similar model was considered by Browning (1989) in his revealed preference analysisof the life cycle consumption model for the unitary context.

    14

  • 8/9/2019 Dynamic Collective Draft

    15/22

    Table 1 presents pass rates for this limited commitment model. It reports

    the number (# pass) and percentage (% pass) of households that satisfy thecommitment restrictions for the rst consecutive T periods, starting fromperiod 1 (1994). The column with heading T = 8 corresponds to the fullcommitment model, which has been discussed before. As indicated above,the pass rate for this model is zero. We see that relaxing the constancy of thebargaining weight leads to ever increasing pass rates, up to the point wherethe model is no longer rejectable if T = 1.

    Generally, the results in Table 1 suggest that intermediate models situatedbetween the full and no commitment models can be useful for empiricalanalysis of collective consumption behavior. First, we nd that the degree ofcommitment (measured by the number of consecutive periods for which full

    commitment holds) can vary substantially across households. Subsequentresearch may relate this variation to dierences in the distribution factors Zacross households. Next, our results also indicate that limited commitmentmodels may have reasonable power. For example, we nd that only about43% of all households satisfy the model restrictions for T = 2, and the passrate decreases quite rapidly for higher T.

    Table 1 : Limited commitment over the rst T periods (couples)Periods T = 8 T = 7 T = 6 T = 5 T = 4 T = 3 T = 2 T = 1# pass 0 1 5 11 37 47 63 148% pass 0 0.68 3.38 7.43 25 31.8 42.6 100

    5 Summary and conclusions

    We have developed a revealed preference methodology for analyzing house-hold behavior in terms of collective models that account for intertemporalconsumption relations. By focusing on Mazzoccos (2007) concept of com-mitment, we have provided revealed preference tests for the full commit-ment model and the no commitment model. These tests are intrinsicallynonparametric, i.e. they avoid imposing (typically nonveriable) paramet-ric/functional structure for the household decision process. We have argued

    that comparing the test results for the two model specications can be usefulfrom a policy perspective.

    We have applied our methodology to panel data drawn from the RussianLongitudinal Monitoring Survey (RLMS). For these data, we conclude thatthe no commitment model is not rejected but has low discriminatory power.

    15

  • 8/9/2019 Dynamic Collective Draft

    16/22

    By contrast, the more powerful full commitment model is rejected for all

    households in our sample. Given this, we also provided a rst exploration ofan intermediate limited commitment model that is situated between the twoextreme (full commitment and no commitment) models. Our results suggestthat this limited commitment model has satisfactory power. In addition,it can provide a useful basis for analyzing varying degrees of commitmentacross households.

    Given our results, we see a more extensive revealed preference analysisof collective models with limited commitment as an interesting avenue forfurther research. In doing so, one may also think of enriching the modelspecication by adding intertemporal aspects such as habit formation or ra-tional addiction. Crawford (2009) has provided a revealed preference analysis

    of these aspects in a unitary setting.

    Appendix 1: Proof of Proposition 1

    (i) ) (ii): Suppose condition (i) of Proposition 1 holds for the allocationq1t ;:::;q

    Mt ;Qt

    , with t 2 f1;:::;Tg. Let denote the Lagrange multi-

    plier associated with the household budget constraint. We get the followingrst order constraints for the household optimization problem under FC-rationalizability (with

    @um(qmt;Qt)

    @qmt

    and@um(qm

    t;Qt)

    @Qt(m = 1;:::;M) the subgra-

    dients for the function um at bundle (qmt ;Qt)):

    @um(qmt ;Qt)

    @qmt6

    1

    t1m

    mpt; and

    MXm=1

    mt1m@um(qmt ;Qt)

    @Qt6 Pt.

    Under concavity of the individual utility functions um, we have

    um(qms ;Qs)um(qmt ;Qt) 6

    @um(qmt ;Qt)

    @qmt

    0(qms q

    mt )+

    @um(qmt ;Qt)

    @Qt

    0(QsQt)

    16

  • 8/9/2019 Dynamic Collective Draft

    17/22

    Now dene for each t

    Pmt =m

    t1m

    @um(qmt ;Qt)@Qt

    , m = 1;:::;M 1,

    PMt = Pt M1Xm=1

    Pmt , and

    m =

    m, m = 1;:::;M:

    Then we obtain

    um

    (qm

    s ;Qs) um

    (qm

    t ;Qt) 6

    1

    t1m m

    pt0(qm

    s qm

    t ) +

    1

    t1m m

    P

    m

    t 0(Qs Qt)()

    um(qms ;Qs) um(qmt ;Qt) 6

    1

    t1mm [(pt0q

    ms +P

    mt 0Qs) (pt0q

    mt + P

    mt 0Qt)]

    Using um(qms ;Qs)=m = ums , this gives condition (ii) of Proposition 1.

    (ii) ) (i): Suppose condition (ii) of Proposition 1 holds. Dene

    um(xm;X) = mins

    ums +

    s1m [ps0(x

    m qms ) + Ps0(X Qs)]

    Varian (1982) has shown that u

    m

    (qm

    t ;Qt) = u

    m

    t .Then consider any consumption path xmt ;Xt such that

    TXt=1

    MXm=1

    [pt0(xmt q

    mt ) + P

    mt 0(Xt Qt)] 6 0;

    then we need that

    MXm=1

    mTXt=1

    1

    t1mum(xmt ;Xt) 6

    MXm=1

    mTXt=1

    1

    t1mum(qmt ;Qt)

    17

  • 8/9/2019 Dynamic Collective Draft

    18/22

    By denition, we have that

    MXm=1

    mTXt=1

    1

    t1mum(xmt ;Xt)

    6

    MXm=1

    mTXt=1

    1

    t1m

    umt +

    t1m [pt0(x

    mt q

    mt ) + Pt0(Xt Qt)]

    Without losing generality, we concentrate on m = 1 for every m = 1;:::;M,which obtains

    M

    Xm=1

    mT

    Xt=1

    1

    t

    1m

    um(xmt ;Xt)

    6

    MXm=1

    mTXt=1

    1

    t1mumt

    +

    MXm=1

    TXt=1

    [pt0(xmt q

    mt ) + Pt0(Xt Qt)]

    6

    MXm=1

    mTXt=1

    1

    t1mumt

    Since um(qmt ;Qt) = umt , we obtain that condition (i) of Proposition 1 is

    satised.

    Appendix 2: Proof of Proposition 2

    (i) ) (ii): Suppose condition (i) of Proposition 2 holds for the allocationq1t ;:::;q

    Mt ;Qt

    , with t 2 f1;:::;Tg. Again, we let denote the Lagrange

    multiplier associated with the household budget constraint, so that we getthe rst order constraints (with

    @um(qmt;Qt)

    @qmt

    and@um(qm

    t;Qt)

    @Qt(m = 1;:::;M) the

    subgradients for the function um at bundle (qmt ;Qt))

    @um(qmt ;Qt)

    @qm

    t

    61

    t1m

    m

    t

    pt, and

    MXm=1

    mt t1m

    @um(qmt ;Qt)

    @Qt6 Pt:

    18

  • 8/9/2019 Dynamic Collective Draft

    19/22

    Next dene for each t

    Pmt =m

    t1m

    @um(qmt ;Qt)@Qt

    , m = 1;:::;M 1,

    PMt = Pt M1Xm=1

    Pmt , and

    mt =

    mt, m = 1;:::;M:

    Like before, we can use concavity of the utility functions um to obtain

    um(qms ;Qs) um(qmt ;Qt) 6

    mt pt0(q

    ms q

    mt ) +

    mt P

    mt 0(Qs Qt)

    ()um(qms ;Qs) u

    m(qmt ;Qt) 6 mt [(pt0q

    ms + P

    mt 0Qs) (pt0q

    mt + P

    mt 0Qt)]

    Using um(qms ;Qs) = ums obtains condition (ii) of Proposition 2.

    (ii) ) (i): Similar to before, we dene

    um(xm;X) = mins

    ums +

    s1m

    ms [ps0(x

    m qms ) + Ps0(XQs)]

    ;

    with um(qmt ;Qt) = umt .

    We again consider xmt ;Xt such that

    TXt=1

    MXm=1

    [pt(xmt q

    mt ) + P

    mt (Xt Qt)] 6 0

    In this case, we need

    MXm=1

    TXt=1

    mt1

    t1mum(xmt ;Xt) 6

    MXm=1

    TXt=1

    mt1

    t1mum(qmt ;Qt):

    Without losing generality, we concentrate on mt =1mt

    . Then we obtain

    by denition that

    19

  • 8/9/2019 Dynamic Collective Draft

    20/22

    MXm=1

    TXt=1

    1

    t1mmt u

    m(xmt ;Xt)

    6

    MXm=1

    TXt=1

    1

    t1mmt

    umt +

    t1m

    mt [pt0(x

    mt q

    mt ) + Pt0(Xt Qt)]

    6

    MXm=1

    TXt=1

    1

    t1mmt u

    mt

    +

    MXm=1

    TXt=1

    [pt0(xmt q

    mt ) + Pt0(Xt Qt)]

    6

    M

    Xm=1

    T

    Xt=1

    1

    t1

    m

    mt umt

    :

    Since um(qmt ;Qt) = umt , we obtain that condition (i) of Proposition 2 is

    satised.

    References

    [1] Afriat, S.N. (1967), The construction of a utility function from expen-diture data, International Economic Review 8, 76-77.

    [2] Andreoni, J. and W. Harbaugh (2006), Power Indices for Revealed Pref-

    erence Tests, University of Winconsin-Madison Department od Eco-nomics Working Paper 2005-10.

    [3] Apps, P.F. and R. Rees (1988), Taxation and the household, Journalof Public Economics, 35, 355-369.

    [4] Beatty, T. and I. Crawford (2009), How demanding is the revealedpreference approach to demand?, Working paper.

    [5] Bronars, S. (1987), The power of nonparametric tests of preferencemaximization, Econometrica, 55, 693-698.

    [6] Browning, M. (1989), A nonparametric test of the life-cycle rationalexpectations hypothesis, International Economic Review 30, 979-992.

    20

  • 8/9/2019 Dynamic Collective Draft

    21/22

    [7] Browning, M., F. Bourguignon, P.-A. Chiappori and V. Lechene (1994),

    Income and Outcomes: A Structural Model of Intrahousehold Alloca-tions, Journal of Political Economy 102, 1067-1096.

    [8] Browning, M. and P.A. Chiappori (1998),"Ecient intra-household al-locations: A general characterization and empirical tests, Econometrica66, 1241-1278.

    [9] Browning, M. and T. Crossley (2001), The life-cycle model of consump-tion and saving, Journal of Economic Perspectives 15, 3-22.

    [10] Browning, M. and C. Meghir (1991), The eects of male and femalelabor supply on commodity demands, Econometrica, 59, 925-951.

    [11] Cherchye L., B. De Rock, J. Sabbe and F. Vermeulen (2008), Nonpara-metric tests of collectively rational consumption behavior: an integerprogramming procedure, Journal of Econometrics 147, 258-265.

    [12] Cherchye, L., B. De Rock and F. Vermeulen (2007), The collective modelof household consumption: a nonparametric characterization, Econo-metrica 75, 553-574.

    [13] Cherchye, L., B. De Rock and F. Vermeulen (2009a), The revealedpreference approach to collective consumption behavior: nonparametric

    testing and sharing rule recovery, CentER Discussion Paper No. 2007-73,University of Tilburg, version 2009.

    [14] Cherchye, L., B. De Rock and F. Vermeulen (2009b), An Afriat Theoremfor the collective model of household consumption, Journal of EconomicTheory, forthcoming.

    [15] Cherchye, L., B. De Rock, and F. Vermeulen (2009c), Opening the blackbox of intra-household decision-making: theory and non-parametric em-pirical tests of general collective consumption models, Journal of Polit-ical Economy 117, 1074-1104.

    [16] Cherchye, L. and F. Vermeulen (2008), Nonparametric analysis of house-hold labor supply: goodness of t and power of the unitary and thecollective model, Review of Economics and Statistics 90, 267-274.

    21

  • 8/9/2019 Dynamic Collective Draft

    22/22

    [17] Chiappori, P.-A. (1988), Rational household labor supply, Econometrica

    56, 63-89.[18] Chiappori, P.-A. (1992), Collective labor supply and welfare, Journal of

    Political Economy 100, 437-467.

    [19] Chiappori, P.-A., B. Fortin and G. Lacroix (1997), Household labor sup-ply, sharing rule, and the marriage marker, Journal of Political Economy110, 37-72.

    [20] Crawford, I. (2009), Habits Revealed, Review of Economic Studies,forthcoming.

    [21] Diewert, W. E. (1973), Afriat and revealed preference theory, Review ofEconomic Studies 40, 419426.

    [22] Duo, E. (2003), Grandmothers and granddaughters: old age pensionand intra-household allocation in South Africa, World Bank EconomicReview 17, 1-25.

    [23] Fortin, B. and G. Lacroix (1997), A test of the unitary and collectivemodels of household labour supply, Economic Journal 107, 933-955.

    [24] Houthakker, H. S. (1950), Revealed preference and the utility function,Economica 17, 159-174.

    [25] Lundberg, S. (1988), Labor supply of husbands and wives: a simultane-ous equations approach, Review of Economics and Statistics 70, 224-235.

    [26] Mazzocco, M. (2007), Household Intertemporal Behaviour: A collectivecharacterization and a test of commitment, Review of Economic Studies74, 857895.

    [27] Samuelson, P. (1948), Consumption theory in terms of revealed prefer-ence, Economica 15, 243-253.

    [28] Thomas, D. (1990), Intra-household resource allocation: an inferentialapproach, Journal of Human Resources 25, 635-664.

    [29] Varian, H. (1982), The nonparametric approach to demand analysis,Econometrica 50, 945-973.

    22