2
2 % NORTH - EAST 60 % SOUTH - WEST 38 % NORTH - WEST Fig 2: Transactions by location The lockdown resulted in a significant uptick in online sales which comprised 11.8% of turnover in Q2 - up from 3.7% in Q1 just as the lockdown was imposed and 3.1% compared to Q2 last year. uu uu 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 2017 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2018 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2019 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2020 Q1 2020 Q2 RESEARCH DUBLIN INDUSTRIAL MARKET Q2 2020 The industrial market has proved one of the most resilient sectors during the pandemic. In total, there were 44,611 sq m worth of transactions in Q2, bringing take-up for the first half of 2020 to 131,408 sq m. While this is down 34% on the same period last year, it is above the level achieved in both H1 2017 and H1 2018. The lockdown resulted in a significant uptick in online sales which comprised 11.8% of turnover in Q2 - up from 3.7% in Q1 just as the lockdown was imposed and 3.1% compared to Q2 last year. The growth in online sales in Q2 resulted in a number of significant deals with 3PLs. JMC Van Trans took 7,897 sq m at part of Unit F, Kilcarbery Business Park, while GLS logistics occupied 6,528 sq m at Unit 200, Northwest Business Park. Lettings in Q2 comprised 88% of activity with sales accounting for 12%. The South-West had the highest market share with 60%, followed by the North-West with 38%. The North-East accounted for just 2% of the market. Unit at Greenhills Road, Tallaght, Dublin 24 which Knight Frank brought to the market in Q2 Source: Knight Frank Research Fig 1: Industrial transactions sq m Source: Knight Frank Research The largest letting in Q2 saw Silent Aire – who manufacture data centre cooling systems - take 13,006 sq m at Unit S1, Park West Industrial Estate which is in addition to the 9,383 sq m that the company took at Unit 56 in Q3 2018. This expansion undoubtedly happened as a result of Ireland’s success in attracting data centre investments. With Host Ireland predicting that Ireland will gain €4.5 billion worth of inward investment from data centre construction by 2025, ancillary industries connected to data centres may become a more influential driver of demand going forward. This was the only deal in excess of 10,000 sq m, comprising 29% of the market. The 5,001-10,000 sq m and the less than 2,500 sq m segments accounted for 32% each, followed by the 2,501-5,000 sq m range with 8%. Source: Knight Frank Research Fig 3: Transactions by deal size 5% 22 % 1,001-2,500 sq m 32% 5,001-10,000 sq m 29% > 10,000 sq m < 501 sq. m 501-1,000 sq m 5% 2,501-5.000 sq m 8%

DUBLIN INDUSTRIAL MARKET Q2 2020 · turnover in Q2 - up from 3.7% in Q1 just as the lockdown was imposed and 3.1% compared to Q2 last year. The growth in online sales in Q2 resulted

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Page 1: DUBLIN INDUSTRIAL MARKET Q2 2020 · turnover in Q2 - up from 3.7% in Q1 just as the lockdown was imposed and 3.1% compared to Q2 last year. The growth in online sales in Q2 resulted

2%NORTH - EAST

60%SOUTH - WEST

38%NORTH - WEST

Fig 2: Transactions by location

The lockdown resulted in a significant uptick in online

sales which comprised 11.8% of turnover in Q2 - up from 3.7% in Q1 just as the

lockdown was imposed and 3.1% compared to Q2 last

year.

uu

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R E S E A R C HD U B L I N I N D U S T R I A L M A R K E T Q 2 2 0 2 0

The industrial market has proved one of the most resilient sectors during the pandemic. In total, there were 44,611 sq m worth of transactions in Q2, bringing take-up for the first half of 2020 to 131,408 sq m. While this is down 34% on the same period last year, it is above the level achieved in both H1 2017 and H1 2018.

The lockdown resulted in a significant uptick in online sales which comprised 11.8% of turnover in Q2 - up from 3.7% in Q1 just as the lockdown was imposed and 3.1% compared to Q2 last year. The growth in online sales in Q2 resulted in a number of significant deals with 3PLs. JMC Van Trans took 7,897 sq m at part of Unit F, Kilcarbery Business Park, while GLS logistics occupied 6,528 sq m at Unit 200, Northwest Business Park.

Lettings in Q2 comprised 88% of activity with sales accounting for 12%. The South-West had the highest market share with 60%, followed by the North-West with 38%. The North-East accounted for just 2% of the market.

Unit at Greenhills Road, Tallaght, Dublin 24 which Knight Frank brought to the market in Q2

Source: Knight Frank Research

Fig 1: Industrial transactions sq m

Source: Knight Frank Research

The largest letting in Q2 saw Silent Aire – who manufacture data centre cooling systems - take 13,006 sq m at Unit S1, Park West Industrial Estate which is in addition to the 9,383 sq m that the company took at Unit 56 in Q3 2018.This expansion undoubtedly happened as a result of Ireland’s success in attracting data centre investments. With Host Ireland predicting that Ireland will gain €4.5 billion worth of inward investment from data centre construction by 2025, ancillary industries connected to data centres may become a more influential driver of demand going forward. This was the only deal in excess of 10,000 sq m, comprising 29% of the market. The 5,001-10,000 sq m and the less than 2,500 sq m segments accounted for 32% each, followed by the 2,501-5,000 sq m range with 8%.Source: Knight Frank Research

Fig 3: Transactions by deal size

5%

22%1,001-2,500 sq m

32%5,001-10,000 sq m

29%> 10,000 sq m

< 501 sq. m

501-1,000 sq m5%

2,501-5.000 sq m8%

Page 2: DUBLIN INDUSTRIAL MARKET Q2 2020 · turnover in Q2 - up from 3.7% in Q1 just as the lockdown was imposed and 3.1% compared to Q2 last year. The growth in online sales in Q2 resulted

Source: Knight Frank Research

Fig 4: Industrial yields

PROPERTY DISTRICT (SQ M) TYPE

Unit S1, Park West Industrial Estate, Dublin 12 South-West 13,006 Letting

Part of Unit F, Kilcarbery Business Park, Dublin 22 South-West 7,897 Letting

Unit 200, Northwest Business Park, Dublin 15 North-West 6,528 Letting

Unit 1, Northern Cross Business Park, Dublin 11 North-West 3,356 Letting

Unit 22, Greenhills Industrial Estate, Dublin 12 South-West 1,908 Letting

Unit 509, Northwest Business Park, Dublin 15 North-West 1,509 Sale

Bay 3, Sarsfield House, Dublin 24 South-West 1,402 Letting

Unit 14C, Stadium Business Park, Dublin 11 North-West 1,393 Letting

Dublin Inland Port, Dublin 11 North-West 1,347 Letting

Unit 7, North Park Business Park, Dublin 11 North-West 1,204 Sale

Source: Knight Frank Research

Dublin Office Market Overview Q2 2020

Occupier Trends Investment Trends Market Outlook

knightfra

nk.com

/res

earch

Research, Q2 2020

Dublin Office Market OverviewWith Special Focus: Working from home and the future of the office

Wealth Report 2020

Under Pressure #3 March 2020

Industrial

Evan Lonergan, [email protected]

Ryan McGettigan, [email protected]

Research

John Ring, Head of Research [email protected]

Robert O’Connor, Research Analyst [email protected]

Dublin PRS Tenant Survey

Prime rents remained stable at €105 psm and owing to the constrained development pipeline - where just 23,226 sq m will be delivered this year of which 44% is already pre-committed – are forecast to remain stable for the remainder of 2020. Speculative development is continuing despite Covid-19 with Palm logistics having commenced construction on Building 1 (15,476 sq m) and 2 (26,612 sq m), Greenogue Business Park, while IPUT will begin construction of Units G (11,177 sq m) and Q (14,869 sq m), Aerodrome Business Park in the second half of 2020. €26.7 million was invested in Q2, bringing the total spend for the first half of 2020 to €51.3 million - almost four times the €14.8 million that transacted

Fig 5: Top 10 Industrial Transactions Q2 2020

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4.0%

4.5%

5.0%

5.5%

6.0%

6.5%

7.0%

7.5%

8.0%

20

15Q

3 20

15Q

42

016

Q1 2

016

Q2

20

16Q

3 20

16Q

42

017

Q1 2

017

Q2

20

17Q

3 20

17Q

42

018

Q1 2

018

Q2

20

18Q

3 20

18Q

42

019

Q1 2

019

Q2

20

19Q

3 20

19Q

42020

Q1 2020

Q2

during the same period last year. Prime yields were unchanged at 5.25%.