DSS Concepts

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    Basic Concepts of Decision

    Support Systems

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    DecisionSupportSystems

    Is it morningor evening?

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    Concepts from: A Framework forManagement Information Systems

    byG. Anthony Gorry and Michael S. Scott

    MortonSloan Management Review, 1971

    Credited with coining the termdecision support system

    The most cited article ever

    published in Sloan ManagementReview

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    Stages of Decision Making

    (From Herbert Simon) Intelligence (in the military sense of gathering

    information)

    Design (Identifying the alternatives,structuring how the decision will be made) Choice (Picking an alternative or making the

    judgment)

    [Implementation

    later added by otherauthors] [Evaluation]

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    Structured vs UnstructuredDecision Stages

    Each stage can be Structured (automated) orUnstructured

    Structured means that there is an algorithm,

    mathematical formula, or decision rule toaccomplish the entire stage. The algorithm canbe implemented manually or it can becomputerized, but the steps are so detailed thatno little or no human judgment would beneeded.

    Any decision stage that is not structured isunstructured

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    Structured, Semi-structured, andunstructured decisions

    In a structured decision all three stagesare structured

    In a non-structured decision all threestages are unstructured

    A semi-structured decision is one in whichpart, but not all, of the decision isstructured.

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    Key point:

    The realm of Decision Support Systemsis Semi-Structured and unstructuredDecisionsthe type of decisions that

    can benefit from decision support butthe human decision maker is stillinvolved.

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    GSMs Framework

    Managerial Activity (Anthony)

    Decisiontype(Simon

    Operationalcontrol

    Manage-ment

    control

    Strategicplanning

    Structured

    Semi-structured

    Unstructured

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    Some Organizing Frameworks

    and Examples of DSS

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    Alter (1977, 1980)

    Category Example Features Capability focuses on

    File Drawer Equipment monitoring Simple query and reporting Looking up data

    Data Analysis Budget analysis,variance monitoring

    Many data warehouse apps. Looking up data and having itaggregated in some useful way

    Analysis info. Sys. Sales forecastingbased on marketingdata

    DB + small models Mathematical model (e.g.,regression)

    Accounting andfinancial

    Estimating effect ofdecisions on financial

    statements

    What if Letting you change inputs to seethe effect on outputs

    Representationalmodels

    Risk analysis,production planning

    simulations Decision maker providingassumptions to system, systemgenerating a distribution of inputs,then generating a distribution ofoutputs

    Optimization models Truck route planning,material usage

    Algorithms generate optimalsolutions subject to constraints

    Decision maker suppliesassumptions and systemgenerates best outcome

    Suggestion models Credit scoring Structured processing steps DSS makes recommendation, butdecision maker has final say

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    Text oriented DSS

    DB-orientedSpreadsheet orientedSolver orientedRule oriented

    Holsapple and Whinston (1996)Five types of DSS

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    Hackathorn and Keen (1981)

    Personal DSS

    Group DSS

    Organizational DSS

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    Specific problem/organizationversus

    general DSS generator

    Can yousay

    VISICALC?

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    General Categories of DSS (FromPower, Chapter 1)

    Data driven

    Model driven

    Knowledge driven Document driven

    Communications driven and group DSS

    Function specific or general DSS Web Based

    }I squeezed

    Alter to these3!

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    DSS categorized by type of task(Jones)

    Choice (pick one of several alternatives) Judgment (assessment or prediction) Ranking

    More complex problem (has multiple, ofteninterrelated, parts) Diagnosis or scientific discovery (hypothesis

    generation and testing) Pattern identification, sense-making Your fave?

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    Source Power, Page 17, Figure 1.1

    ExternalData

    InternalData

    DatabaseComponent

    User Interface

    Component

    ModelComponent

    CommunicationsComponent

    Users

    The Components of DSS

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    DSS Classification Viewed fromthree Directions

    Decision

    Task Technology

    DecisionMaker(s)