Dra. Claudia E. Natenzon, Lic. Silvia Gonzlez, Lic. Elvira Gentile, Lic. Diego Ros y Srta. Cecilia Boudn PIRNA FFyL UBA AIACC LA 26: Component SOCIAL VULNERABILITY, CLIMATIC CHANGE AND FLOODS AIACC LA26: Impact of Global Change on the Coastal Areas of the Rio de la Plata. Sea Level Rise and Meteorological Effects Social Vulnerability in Relation to: 1.Identification of people (number of) that can be affected in a direct way (located between the sea leavel and 5 metres). 2. Elaboration of a social vulnerability index (SVI) for the area in study. 3. Analysis of land use and inventory of goods/infrastructure that could be affected directly. 4. Case studies: La Boca/ Avellaneda and Gral. Lavalle. AIACC LA26: Impact of Global Change on the Coastal Areas of the Rio de la Plata. Sea Level Rise and Meteorological Effects 1.Number of people living in the area of possible affectation: AMBA Sector. Source: INDEC Remainder units: 18.Ensenada,19.Berisso, 20.Magdalena, 21.Punta Indio, 22.Chascoms, 23.Castelli, 24.Tordillo, 25.Gral. Lavalle y 26.La Costa Political-administrative Units Inhabitants (CNP 1991) 1. Tigre San Miguel Hurlingham Tres de Febrero San Martn San Fernando San Isidro Vicente Lpez Capital Federal La Matanza Ezeiza Esteban Echeverra Lomas de Zamora Lans Avellaneda Quilmas Berazategui TOTAL of AMBA AIACC LA26: Impact of Global Change on the Coastal Areas of the Rio de la Plata. Sea Level Rise and Meteorological Effects 2. Social Vulnerability Index Statistical evaluation for a preliminary identification of administrative units with a conjunction of indicative features that allow us to characterize high social vulnerability situations. The selection of indicators is a result of the relationship between the representativeness of basic social, demographic and economic aspects, and the availability,free of charge of the data. AIACC LA26: Impact of Global Change on the Coastal Areas of the Rio de la Plata. Sea Level Rise and Meteorological Effects The indicators have been clustered into sub-indexes: a. demographic indicators b. conditions of life indicators c. work/ production/ consumption indicators AIACC LA26: Impact of Global Change on the Coastal Areas of the Rio de la Plata. Sea Level Rise and Meteorological Effects Total population Population's density Index of potential dependence: the young Index of potential dependence: the elderly a. Demographic Indicators : AIACC LA26: Impact of Global Change on the Coastal Areas of the Rio de la Plata. Sea Level Rise and Meteorological Effects a. Demographic Indicators : AIACC LA26: Impact of Global Change on the Coastal Areas of the Rio de la Plata. Sea Level Rise and Meteorological Effects a. Demographic Indicators : Administrative units of the area in study Total population Population density (inhab/km2) Index of potential dependence: the young Index of potential dependence: the eldery DEMOGRAPHIC SUB -INDEX Avellaneda Berazategui Capital Federal Esteban Echeverria General San Martin General Sarmiento La Matanza La Plata Lanus Moron Tres de Febrero Vicente Lopez341412 AIACC LA26: Impact of Global Change on the Coastal Areas of the Rio de la Plata. Sea Level Rise and Meteorological Effects Populations % in homes with unsatisfied basic needs (NBI). % of homes with boss woman Total rate of infantile mortality Populations % without access to health services b. Conditions of Life Indicators: AIACC LA26: Impact of Global Change on the Coastal Areas of the Rio de la Plata. Sea Level Rise and Meteorological Effects b. Condition of Life Indicators: AIACC LA26: Impact of Global Change on the Coastal Areas of the Rio de la Plata. Sea Level Rise and Meteorological Effects b. Conditions of Life Indicators: Administrative units of the area in study Population in NBI homes (%) Woman boss homes (%) Infantile Mortality Rate Population without health service (%) LIFE CONDITIONS SUB-INDEX Avellaneda Berazategui Berisso Castelli Ensenada Esteban Echeverria General San Martin General Sarmiento La Matanza La Plata Lanus Lomas de Zamora Quilmes San Fernando Tigre Tres de Febrero243312 AIACC LA26: Impact of Global Change on the Coastal Areas of the Rio de la Plata. Sea Level Rise and Meteorological Effects Unemployment Rate Valor agregado bruto total Total of registred cars rate % of salaried of 14 years or more, without previsional taxes. c. Work, Production, Consumption Indicators: AIACC LA26: Impact of Global Change on the Coastal Areas of the Rio de la Plata. Sea Level Rise and Meteorological Effects c. Work, Production, consumption: AIACC LA26: Impact of Global Change on the Coastal Areas of the Rio de la Plata. Sea Level Rise and Meteorological Effects c. Work, production, consumption indicators: Administrative units of the area in study Unenployment rate Total production brute value ($) Salaried (14 y. &+) without previsional Total registred cars rate WORK/ PRODUCTION/ CONSUMPTION SUB -INDEX Berazategui Berisso Ensenada Esteban Echeverria General Sarmiento La Costa La Matanza Quilmes San Fernando Tigre434314 AIACC LA26: Impact of Global Change on the Coastal Areas of the Rio de la Plata. Sea Level Rise and Meteorological Effects 3. Soil Uses, Goods and Infrastructure Exposed Soil Uses Category Urban / Residential Area* Public Office * Social Security * Helth Center * Education * Residential Area of Security * Segurity (Military, police, etc.) IndustrialArea* Industrial Park * Isolated Industry Recreation Area* Sport * Cultural Activity * Outdoor activity Green Space* Squares and parks Port Area* Ports Traffic and Transport* Route and main access * Train * Busses (comunal) * Airport Services* Electricity * Water * Telephon * Gas Agricultural Area* Agriculture * Cattle raising AIACC LA26: Impact of Global Change on the Coastal Areas of the Rio de la Plata. Sea Level Rise and Meteorological Effects 4. Case studies Issues under consideration: a. Current situation (normal) of social vulnerability b. Social vulnerability in disasters c. Proposal of strategies to diminish the vulnerability, and to mitigate the impacts d. Real conditions to carry out that proposal (a, b, c, comparison = range of capacities to cope the disaster cycle consequence of climatic change)