DR. TSAKANI NGOMANE BRIEFING TO THE STANDING COMMITTEE ON APPROPRIATIONS 1 SEPTEMBER 2015 THE PRESIDENCY PROGRESS REPORT ON THE IMPLEMENTATION OF THE MEDIUM-TERM

DR. TSAKANI NGOMANEDR. TSAKANI NGOMANEBRIEFING TO THE STANDING COMMITTEE ON APPROPRIATIONS

1 SEPTEMBER 2015

THE PRESIDENCY THE PRESIDENCY

PROGRESS REPORT ON THE IMPLEMENTATION OF PROGRESS REPORT ON THE IMPLEMENTATION OF

THE MEDIUM-TERM STRATEGIC FRAMEWORK THE MEDIUM-TERM STRATEGIC FRAMEWORK (MTSF) 2014-2019: ALIGNMENT OF SPENDING (MTSF) 2014-2019: ALIGNMENT OF SPENDING

OUTCOMES WITH THE POAOUTCOMES WITH THE POA

The Presidency: Department of Planning Monitoring and EvaluationThe Presidency: Department of Planning Monitoring and Evaluation

APPROACH OF THE PRESENTATION APPROACH OF THE PRESENTATION

The focus of this presentation is on the monitoring and evaluation of the Medium Term Strategic Framework (MTSF) as government’s first five year implementation plan of the NDP, covering the financial years 2014/15 to 2018/2019

The presentation is informed by the radical socio-economic transformation agenda. It is organised according to the following themes:

1) growing the economy;

2) strengthening society;

3) building a service oriented public service

1) Outcomes are organised to fit into the 3 afore-mentioned themes

2) Using the performance rating system, the presentation highlights progress in key targets, key challenges and what is being done to address these challenges. Where appropriate, links are drawn to the Nine Point Plan

2


14 outcomes in the PoA aligned with the National Development Plan:

3

1. Quality basic education 2. A long and healthy life for all 3. All people in South Africa are and feel

safe4. Decent employment through inclusive

economic growth 5. Skilled and capable workforce to

support an inclusive growth path 6. An efficient, competitive and

responsive economic infrastructure network

7. Vibrant, equitable, sustainable rural communities contributing to food security for all

8. Sustainable human settlements and improved quality of household life

9. Responsive, accountable, effective and efficient local government system

10. Protect and enhance our environmental assets and natural resources

11. Create a better South Africa, a better Africa and a better world

12. An efficient, effective and development oriented public service

13. Social protection 14. Nation building and social cohesion

WHAT IS THE MTSF AND WHAT DOES IT DO? WHAT IS THE MTSF AND WHAT DOES IT DO?


WHAT IS THE MTSF AND WHAT DOES IT DO? (2) WHAT IS THE MTSF AND WHAT DOES IT DO? (2)

The MTSF outcomes seek to address the triple challenges of unemployment, inequality and poverty espoused in the National Development Plan

The MTSF progress report draws on the Programme of Action (POA) reports presented by the outcome coordinating Ministers to the Cabinet Committees during the financial year

The report does not cover every target in the MTSF – for each outcome the report covers a selection of targets, strategic issues requiring change and provides pointers to critical future focal areas

By focusing on a limited set of key indicators, the methodology enables evidence-based assessment of progress against the NDP

The methodology helps us to focus on outcomes and impacts rather than just activities

4


WHAT IS THE MTSF AND WHAT DOES IT DO? (3)WHAT IS THE MTSF AND WHAT DOES IT DO? (3)

Refinement of some indicators in MTSF chapters for alignment with SONA, the Nine Point Plan, and other recent developments

Proposed refinement timely as mid-2015 represents the end of the first year of the fifth Administration

Using the NDP as the blueprint, DPME and STATSSA are working with departments to ensure that indicators are refined so they are always measurable, accurate, reliable and time-bound.

Areas of under-targeting and over-targeting are being looked into and addressed, and consensus is sought across all contributing governments and spheres. The quality of the data used in the Nine Point Plan will also form part of this ongoing process to ensure credibility.

5

The Presidency: Department of Planning Monitoring and Evaluation 66

2019MTSF

12 now 14 priority

outcomes

2030 NDP

How government is managed

MPAT

Local Government

LGMIM

FSD monitoring

Presidential Hotline

Citizen-based monitoring

Operations management

Strat planning/APPs

Programme planning

Evaluations

Outcomes planning and monitoring


CLASSIFICATION OF PERFORMANCE FOR THIS REPORT CLASSIFICATION OF PERFORMANCE FOR THIS REPORT

Green

Target has been achieved, orTarget has been exceeded, orTarget has almost been achieved, orTarget will be achieved

AmberSome progress or substantial progress towards meeting the target

Red No progress towards meeting the target

BlueSystem for measuring the indicator not yet in place, orData not available or not released during the reporting period under consideration

7

Growing the economy Growing the economy

23-04-20 8


GLOBAL ECONOMIC OUTLOOK GLOBAL ECONOMIC OUTLOOK

Global growth remains weak, affecting Global growth remains weak, affecting South Africa’s major trading partners South Africa’s major trading partners

Slow global economic recovery Slow global economic recovery continues to negatively affect our export continues to negatively affect our export markets and continues to impact on new markets and continues to impact on new investments investments

Global capital flows are likely to shift Global capital flows are likely to shift towards the US (away from developing towards the US (away from developing countries), as the US recovers and countries), as the US recovers and interest rates riseinterest rates rise

Growth in Africa remains strong for now, Growth in Africa remains strong for now, but lower commodity prices and higher but lower commodity prices and higher interest rates are a major riskinterest rates are a major risk

We are implementing the NDP in an unfavourable global We are implementing the NDP in an unfavourable global economic environmenteconomic environment

2013 2014 2015 2016

World

3.4

3.4

3.5

3.8

USA 2.2 2.4 3.1 3.1

Euro Area

-0.5 0.9 1.5 1.6

Japan 1.6 -0.1 1.0 1.2

UK 1.7 2.6 2.7 2.3

China 7.8 7.4 6.8 6.3

India 6.9 7.2 7.5 7.5

Brazil 2.7 0.1 -1.0 1.0

Russia 1.3 0.6 -3.8 -1.1

South Africa

2.2 1.5 2.0 2.1

23-04-20 10

Unemployment remains stubbornly high and Unemployment remains stubbornly high and virtually unchangedvirtually unchanged

11

Compared to the same period in 2013 (Jul-Sept), many jobs were lost in labour intensive sectors e.g. agriculture, manufacturing, utilities, finance & other business services and private households (282 000 in total)

Employment growth sectors over the same period last year were community services, including Government (140 000) and Construction (135 000)

Following a decrease of 122 000 jobs in the first quarter of 2014, employment increased by 39 000 in the second quarter of 2014 and by 22 000 in the 3rd Q


AnalysisThe ongoing weak global economic environment continues to have an impact on economic growth and constrains to historic export marketsGovernment capacity to identify levers to drive growth is not optimalRelations with business are improving, but need to be more strategic

What is to be done:The focus on the Nine Priority Areas is gaining traction:

Unlocking increased private sector investment will require using the infrastructure programme to crowd in the private sector investment, improving regulatory efficiencies at all levels of government

Expand exports especially outside of Europe and China (and focus especially on Africa) by using new opportunities

Focus on trade promotion measures combined with more efficient regulation and possibly export-import financing, in Africa

12

The contribution of productive sectors to growth & The contribution of productive sectors to growth & employment needs to be strengthened (1)employment needs to be strengthened (1)

The Presidency: Department of Planning Monitoring and EvaluationThe Presidency: Department of Planning Monitoring and Evaluation 13

Historically excluded and vulnerable groups Historically excluded and vulnerable groups and small businesses remain vulnerableand small businesses remain vulnerable

AnalysisSmall business is not meeting potential contribution to growth and employment creationInterventions will be required to support existing and develop new small business and cooperatives to facilitate access to formal marketsRevise and develop supporting regulation to unlock SMME potential

What is to be done

•Regulations on targeted procurement to support SMMEs and co-ops must be gazetted

•Resolve challenges related to the 30% set aside target for public sector procurement from SMMEs and co-operative and ensure the September 2015 target is met

•Resuscitate and develop township and rural economies

•Work with key metros to support reducing rep tape for small business


BULK WATER RESOURCES (1)BULK WATER RESOURCES (1)

Analysis

Declining water quality and uncertainties about impacts of climate change, and water crises have emerged across the globe including South Africa

A number of policy interventions have been developed to improve equity in the allocation of water resources and improve investment into water infrastructure

The Mokolo and Crocodile River Water Augmentation Project Phase 1 is at Construction Phase with the de-bottlenecking phase.

This will result in an additional 57% of water delivered to the system, which will enable Eskom to commission four of its Medupi units and meet the forecasted high water demand scenarios until December 2015

The Mzimvubu Water Project in the Eastern Cape is at Preliminary and Feasibility Study phase and has the potential to provide benefits to the surrounding communities and to provide a stimulus for the regional economy in terms of irrigation, forestry, domestic water supply and the potential for hydropower generation, amongst others – the project comprises of four main components

14


BULK WATER RESOURCES (2)BULK WATER RESOURCES (2)

What is to be done:

Develop adequate plans in the case of emergent water sector turbulence in the short-, medium-, and long-term – this should lead speedily to an adoption for an inclusive, integrated National Water Plan that embraces the entire value chain – an integrated legislative and institutional framework is necessary

What is to be done:

Ensure that municipalities have adequate infrastructure and investment plans, including the necessary skills for capital investment and maintenance projects

Despite progress on certain projects there are some slow progress in certain bulk water projects such as the Mzimvubu Multi-Purpose Development Project

Complete Phase 1 of the Mokolo and Crocodile River Augmentation Project

15


DPME is working with DWAS to develop an Integrated Water Plan

The plan will cover all parts of the water value chain from resources development (management of river system, catchment areas, building of dams), bulk regional infrastructure (water treatment plants, reservoirs) and reticulation schemes.

Team is currently undertaking an assessment of the true extent of the water challenge - water resources availability, water losses, water demand, quality, climate change, pollution

Undertaking an overview of water requirements per sector

Assess infrastructure functionality and investment at all levels

Policy and regulatory framework

Human capital and institutional capacity

16


Indicator Baseline MTSF target Latest available measurement

Note Rating

% of ha acquired land allocated to smallholder producers

New indicator

50% of 1 million ha of acquired ha of land by march 2019

55 881ha were allocated to smallholder producers (15%)NB: 23% (23 464 ha) in Q4

Slow transformation and slow progress. Target will not be met

Number of Hectares allocated to people living and/or working on farms (Labour tenants, farm workers/dwellers)

New indicator

200 000ha 65 359 ha were allocated to farm workers and farm dwellers (18%)

NB:15% (10 986 ha) in Q4

Slow transformation and slow progress, contributing to labour disputes and farm worker unrests. Target will not be met

RURAL DEVELOPMENT (1)RURAL DEVELOPMENT (1)Land reformLand reform


RURAL DEVELOPMENT (2): Land reformRURAL DEVELOPMENT (2): Land reform

Analysis and what needs to be done:Slow transformation in land reform is cause for great concernOur baseline by November 2013 was 9.0% (i.e., of the 30% 1994 target – 82.5m ha), translating to 7.39m ha of 24.5m. The MSTF target is to transfer an additional 2m hectare (ha) by 2019. By end March 2015, 350 750 ha of land were acquired and allocated against an annual target of 390 000 ha—raising the baseline to 9.4%, or 7.74m ha. We had committed to allocate 10 % of the newly acquired hectares of land to people living and/or working on farms, and 50% to smallholders. The sector had however, under-performed on both targetsBoth these actions are critical to the change agenda, where slow progress had resulted in labour disputes and farm worker unrestsRural unemployment is rising from 46.1%, Q4:2014 to 47.7%, Q1:2015, and agriculture’s contribution to GDP had declined by 16.6% from Q3Work led by the Deputy President developing a Social Compact for the agricultural sector is likely to accelerate transformation


RURAL DEVELOPMENT (3): RURAL DEVELOPMENT (3): Improved food securityImproved food security

19

Indicator BaselineMTSF target

Latest available measurement Note Rating

Number of hectares of underutilised land in communal areas cultivated for production

4 m ha (4860 farms) transferred by March 2013 are underutilised

20% of the target met by 2014/15 200 000ha

156 434 ha in communal areas were cultivated

208 projects implemented under Animal and Veld management programme

223 farms were under recapitalisation and development programme

Target likely to be met

Reduction in % of Households vulnerable to hunger

11.5% in 2011, From 23.8% h/holds in 20002 (StatsSA, GHS 2012)

<9.5%by 2019, 10.5% h/holds was achieved in 2007

765 571 people benefitted from DSD food and nutrition initiatives

26 052 h/holds participated in food production initiatives

Learners in 11 531 Quintile 1, 2,& 3 schools benefitted from the School nutrition programme.

Target likely to be met.


A drop in vulnerability to hunger and access to food in 2014 from 2010, but largely due to social grant rather than food production initiatives

Efforts to improve food security need to be intensified and accelerated. The development of an integrated plan to food security and nutrition, is likely to improve performance.

Vulnerability to hunger and access to food, 2002—2014 (GHS 2014, May 2015)

20

RURAL DEVELOPMENT (4): Improved food securityRURAL DEVELOPMENT (4): Improved food security


INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATIONS (ICT) INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATIONS (ICT) INFRASTRUCTURE (1)INFRASTRUCTURE (1)

Analysis

Inadequate infrastructure in rural communities remains a challenge. There are initiatives underway to focus rollout of infrastructure in rural areas while minimising duplications in infrastructure.Coordination of SIP 15 has improved in the last 12 months because there has been engagements with the Department and new Minister, formation of provincial structures for the coordination of ICT infrastructure rollout. The impact has been the alignment of planning in terms of infrastructure rollout, visible progress reports on implementation and plans aimed at improving access to ICTS.Though broadband prices, especially data, have decreased significantly, further work still needs to be done from both a regulatory and policy point of view.The rapid deployment of electronic communications networks is not fully enabled, thus delaying the large scale and rapid deployment of ICT infrastructureFunding for Broadband remains a challenge. There are discussions underway with National and Provincial Treasuries to unlock constraints to funding

21


ICT INFRASTRUCTURE (2)ICT INFRASTRUCTURE (2)

What is to be done

Fast track policy and regulatory interventions to ensure rapid deployment and to reduce cost of broadband rollout is required to ensure we expand ICT access in SA. This includes support of an Open Access Policy Regime to change the market structure and reduce barriers to entry and infrastructure duplication

Fast-tracking the implementation of the rationalisation of ICT SOCs i.e. Broadband Infraco, Telkom and SITA in order to streamline and strengthen the rollout of broadband.

Unlocking of funding constraints through further engagements with Provincial and National Treasuries.

Speed up and ensure a clear strategy is developed for the relevant departments to move towards e-services

22

Strengthening societyStrengthening society

23


Indicator baselineMTSF target

(2018/19Latest available measurement

Note Rating

ASIDI schools built and handed over against the target

140 (2013) 171 (2016) 106 schools completed cumulative from 2011, and 64 handed over

The 2014/15 target of 150 not met, not clear if MTSF target will be met

Percentage of schools complying with minimum infrastructure norms and standards

46% (2011 School Management Survey)

94% National Education Infrastructure Management System (NEIMS) unable to provide information.

System to monitor this target will be in place by end of the year

Percentage of learners having access to the required textbooks and workbooks in all grades and in all subjects

61% (2011) 100% 95% textbooks99.4% Workbooks

Measurement is based on delivered books, learner access in all grades and in all subjects is still not measured

Percentage of learners who complete the whole curriculum

53% 95% The department does not yet have an instrument to measure this indicator and the School Monitoring Survey scheduled for 2014 has not been done

There is no progress towards meeting the targets, it has not been measured since 2011

24

QUALITY BASIC EDUCATION (1)QUALITY BASIC EDUCATION (1)Infrastructure and Learner Teacher Support MaterialsInfrastructure and Learner Teacher Support Materials


QUALITY BASIC EDUCATION (2)QUALITY BASIC EDUCATION (2)Infrastructure and Learner Teacher Support MaterialsInfrastructure and Learner Teacher Support Materials

AnalysisAlthough the building of ASIDI schools is improving, targets are not met and school sanitation still remains a challenge

Although the infrastructure norms and standards have been published, we cannot determine the extent to which schools are meeting infrastructure norms, a risk for litigation is high if schools are not meeting these norms

Processes developed by DBE to monitor build projects are slowly maturing, but some provinces still struggle to spend their education infrastructure budgets. By end of March 2015, provinces had spent average of 93% of allocated budgets. Eastern Cape and North West (81%) ;Free State (78) and Mpumalanga (75% ) spent below average

Systems for distributing Learner Teacher Support Materials have improved, however, measuring the target of one textbook per learner for each subject remains a challenge As long as there is no mechanism for tracking curriculum coverage, improving pass rates at grade 9 and 12 will remain a challenge

25


QUALITY BASIC EDUCATION (3)QUALITY BASIC EDUCATION (3)Infrastructure and Learner Teacher Support Materials

What is to be doneImprove reporting on progress on ASIDI to clarify targets, outputs (completion and handing over)

Fast track implementation of processes developed by DBE to monitor build projects and improve provincial expenditure on education infrastructure budgets

Develop a system for tracking whether schools meet the infrastructure norms. This is critical to ensure that DBE knows the extent of the problem

Fast track systems to measure learner access to teaching and learning materials

Implement effective tracking systems for curriculum coverage to improve learner performance and the quality of basic education.

26


ANNUAL NATIONAL ASSESSMENTS (ANA) (4)ANNUAL NATIONAL ASSESSMENTS (ANA) (4)

27

AnalysisGrade 3 targets in both literacy and numeracy exceeded, including Grade 6 Home LanguagePerformance in Grade 6 & 9 Maths and First Additional Language is below par

What is to be done Make verification ANA comparable across the yearsIncrease support for teachers in Grade 6 and 9 to close knowledge gaps


NATIONAL SENIOR CERTIFICATE (NSC) (5)NATIONAL SENIOR CERTIFICATE (NSC) (5)

28

AnalysisTargets for Bachelor, Maths and Physical sciences were not met. There was a decline in passes compared to 2013 which was accompanied by fewer number of learners sitting for matric

What is to be doneFast track and strengthen the implementation of the Maths Science and Technology Strategy for ensure improved teacher supply, training and developmentUrgently implement tracking curriculum coverage


Improving Quality of Care The Office of Health Standards Compliance (OHSC) continuously

assesses the quality of health service delivery and entrenches a culture of quality health services

Patient satisfaction surveys conducted in 49% of public sector facilities found that 76% of users of public health services were satisfied with service provided

Re-engineering of Primary Health Care• Significant progress made includes improved access to Primary Health

Care (PHC) for communities, with 1748 Ward Based PHC Outreach Teams being functional, which exceeded annual target of 1500

• District Clinical Specialist Teams with at least three specialists were established across districts nationally

A LONG AND HEALTH LIFE FOR ALL SOUTH AFRICANS (1)A LONG AND HEALTH LIFE FOR ALL SOUTH AFRICANS (1)


HIV & AIDS and Tuberculosis prevented & managed 9.5 million HIV tests conducted, against 2014/15 target of 10 millionAccess to ART for people living with HIV and AIDS expanded with 3.1 million people placed on ART, exceeding 2014/15 target of 3 millionScreening for Tuberculosis (TB) has been expanded, with 15.2 million people reached, which exceeded the target of 6 million The new pulmonary TB defaulter rate and the TB death rate have both declined and remained consistent with the set targets for 2014/15

Improving Maternal and Child Health •Efforts to prevent mother-to-child transmission of HIV continued to yield the desired results, with only 1.5% of babies testing HIV positive at 6-weeks. This exceeded the set target of 2%•Full immunisation coverage rate (90%) for the under 1-year of age was achieved, which was consistent with the set target of 90%

A LONG AND HEALTH LIFE FOR ALL SOUTH AFRICANS…2A LONG AND HEALTH LIFE FOR ALL SOUTH AFRICANS…2


HIV & AIDS and Tuberculosis prevented and successfully managed

Indicator 2014 (baseline)

MTSF target

Latest measurement available

Note Rating

Number of people screened for TB

8 million (in 2011)

6 million in 2014/15

15 237 7 91 MTSF target for 2014/15 exceeded significantly

TB (new pulmonary) defaulter rate

6% 6% in 2014/15

5.7% MTSF target for 2014/15 exceeded

Number of men and women 15–49 tested for HIV

8.9 million (2012/13)

10 million in 2014/15

9,566,097 (8 635 866 tests plus 930 231 antenatal clients who accepted HIV testing)

Some progress made, but annual target not achieved

Improving Maternal and Child Health

Infant 1st PCR test positive around 6 weeks rate

2.5% 2% in 2014/15


Antenatal client initiated on ART rate

90% 90% in 2014/15




Universal Health Coverage achieved through implementation of NHI •Finalisation of the White Paper on National Health Insurance (NHI) has lagged behind, and has impacted on the production of the NHI Bill, which was targeted to be released for public consultation in 2014/15

•The health sector has continued to provide technical support visits to the 10 NHI pilot districts across provinces, which is commendable. The MTSF 2014–2019 target, however, was to review the pilot sites and progressively expand to other districts-based on the results of the review.

Prevention and Management of Non-communicable DiseasesAlthough the health sector has produced the National Strategic Plan for Non-Communicable Diseases (NCDs) for 2013-2017, the counselling and screening users of public health services for key NCDs has significantly lagged behind the set targets for 2014/15. Screening awareness raising requires strengthening. The creation of the National Health Commission to ensure inter-sectoral action to address the social determinants of health also requires acceleration



WHAT IS TO BE DONE (5) National Treasury and National DoH to finalise the NHI policy and legislative

frameworks, as well as the funding modality

Finalise the review of the NHI pilot sites to identify key milestones attained, constraints encountered and inform expansion of sites

Managers in the health sector should continuously carry out internal monitoring of the quality of service delivery, and use this monitoring to inform service delivery

Strengthen the screening of NCD interventions among users of public health services and raise awareness amongst communities at large

Operationalise the National Health Commission to ensure inter-sectoral action to address the social determinants of health

Identify and implement intersectoral interventions with other sectors to address the matter of severe acute malnutrition among children

Implement effective measures to turn around the financial audit outcomes

Finalise the review of the NHI pilot sites to identify key milestones attained, constraints encountered and inform expansion of sites

Fast-track the implementation of Operation Phakisa in health


Indicator2014 level (baseline)

MTSF target Latest available measurement

Note Rating

Human Settlements Green Paper approved

White Paper on Housing

Approved by September 2015

Draft chapters completed. Consultative process with stakeholders to commence.

Draft chapters completed and to be approved by MinMec

Evaluation of key human settlements strategic thrusts National Development Plan and the Manifesto

NDP/NEP 31 March 2017 (target date for the last evaluation)

Significant Progress Target(s) almost achieved

Develop a coherent and inclusive approach to land for human settlements

Broad statements of intent in White Paper, Housing and HDA Act

Approved by December 2015(Framework by March 2015)

Draft Policy Framework has been developed

Await draft to be presented at MINMEC

34

SUSTAINABLE HUMAN SETTLEMENTS (1)SUSTAINABLE HUMAN SETTLEMENTS (1)




Note Rating

Backlog on title deeds eradicated; and title deeds to new homeowners in subsidy submarket consistent with house handover

Estimated backlog between 900 000 and 1 495m

900 000 title deeds backlog eradicated by 2019; and title deeds to all new subsidy houses transferred (target of 560 000)

26 297 of backlog addressed; and only 32 750 of 95 210 of title deeds were issued to new households in subsidy housing over last four quarters

The backlog largely remains unaddressed and the deficit in transferring titles to new subsidy residents means the backlog is growing

Number of households benefitting from informal settlements upgrading

290 000 750 000 households assisted through the Informal Settlements Upgrading Programme by 2019

74 017 households in informal settlements were upgraded with improved housing conditions representing 49,3% of the annual target of 150 000 households over year

At this rate the MTSF target will not be met.

Framework to ensure spatial, social and economic integration (spatial targeting) of human settlements developed

To be determined

Framework to be developed by 2014

The Master Spatial Planning Framework has been developed and adopted by Human Settlements MINMEC

Achieved

35




Analysis:Overall – good progress on housing delivery 120 375 of target of 149 000 (80.8%) Weak performance in Upgrading Informal Settlements – 74 017 to the annual target of 150 000 (49.3%)Master Spatial Plan - target achieved; need to incorporate Investment Framework50 Catalytic/250 integrated projects not defined - target not achieved Delay in getting Green/White Paper Framework approval – has negative impact on concluding revision of Human Settlement policies Fair progress on Consolidation of DFI’s, process underwayFair progress with Municipal Accreditation programme but outputs remain imprecise Unsatisfactory Social/Rental performance – 49.9% (aligning rental programmes

within yet to be completed rental policy framework) Unsatisfactory Finance Linked Institutional Subsidy Programme (FLISP)

performance The title deed backlog largely remains unaddressed; and the deficit in transferring

titles to new subsidy residents means the backlog is growing Data reliability/consistency in NDHS M&E and Planning (weak alignment)

36



What is to be done Resolve MTSF performance and target definitions with provinces, metros and agencies (& between NT and NDHS) and reconcile to Strategic Plans/APPs and metro plans (BEPP’s) - reconcile multiple reporting systems Scale up upgrading of informal settlements (reconcile support programmes) - use of USDG to be increased; consolidation of support programmes NUSP & PHPDefine Rental Policy Framework and Strategy to improve rental delivery Rationalisation of DFIs to be reconciled to policy framework being preparedFinalise outstanding issues around accreditation Expenditure Reviews and Evaluations recommendations to be presented for MINMEC approval and used as key informant to White/Green Paper (i.e. Rental and Affordable Housing Frameworks)Finalise catalytic projects and secure/reconcile funding arrangements (define 50 of the 250 integrated projects)Finalise Mining Towns, Strategy/Implementation PlansExpedite Title Deed transfers for reducing backlogComplete Green Paper and commence with sector consultation and table in Parliament

37



MTSF target Latest

available measurement

Note Rating

Detection rate for contact crimes (detection means identifying a suspect or gathering leads)

60 percent 58.9 percent of reported contact crime cases(2014/15) Target of 62% changed based on discussions with the AG

37.18% Latest measurement is below baseline. The annual target is not met

Percentage of detected contact crime cases that result in trial ready case dockets

69 percent 65% for 2014/1575 percent (2018/19)

66.51% Annual target has been met

38

SAFETY AND SECURITY (1)SAFETY AND SECURITY (1)Detection rateDetection rate

NB Targets are below baseline because of a change in the measurement methodology


Indicator

2014 level

(baseline)

MTSF target

Latest available

measurement

Note Rating

Number of criminal backlog cases in court

27 582 26 650 (2014/15), comprisingDistrict Courts: 12 578Regional Courts: 13 754 High Courts: 28

29 480 Target exceeded

Number of criminal court cases finalised with verdict

Verdict 323 800

324 276 (2014/15) 319 149 Substantial progress made but target is not met.

Number of criminal court cases finalised through Alternative Dispute Resolution Mechanism (ADRM)

142 357(2014/15)

149 204 (2014/15) 184 414 Target exceeded

39

SAFETY AND SECURITY (2)SAFETY AND SECURITY (2)An efficient and effective criminal justice systemAn efficient and effective criminal justice system



MTSF target

Latest available measurement

Note Rating

Number of persons convicted for corruption or offences relating to corruption where the amount benefited per case(s) is more than R5 million

52 persons convicted

76 persons convicted 2014/15 (cumulative from baseline)

A total of 199 criminal cases, involving 1021 persons is under investigation and this has led to a cumulative total of 63 convictions since 2009 where the amount benefited per case(s) is more than R5 million.

Some

progress

but target

not met

40

SAFETY AND SECURITY (3)SAFETY AND SECURITY (3)Corruption in the public and private sectors reducedCorruption in the public and private sectors reduced


What is to be done Enhance implementation of crime prevention and combating strategies, in particular, increase visible policing

Ensure greater partnerships with citizens by operationalising Community Policing Forums (CPFs) and especially Community Safety Forums

Moral Regeneration initiatives to be intensified in conjunction with the Social Cluster

Increase the investigative, forensic and prosecuting capacity

Corruption combating strategies must be urgently implemented

The Draft Border Management Agency Bill will be considered by Cabinet next week

All departments to develop individual Drugs Master Plans (DMPs) in line with the National Drugs Master Plan to address substance/drug abuse

Finalise and ensure approval of Gangsterism strategy and Action Plan

WHAT IS TO BE DONE (4) WHAT IS TO BE DONE (4)

41

Building a service oriented Building a service oriented public servicepublic service

42


ACCESS TO BASIC SERVICES (1) ACCESS TO BASIC SERVICES (1)



Note Rating

Sustainable & reliable access to basic services

85% of hhs with access to water

90% 85.5% Unlikely to be achieved

74% of hhs with access to sanitation


72% of hhs with access to refuse removal


88127 HHs using bucket sanitation in formal areas

0 HHs with bucket sanitation in formal areas by 2015

63 000 Target missed

12.8 million HHs on grid

+1.4 million HHs to grid

233 455 Likely to be achieved

75 000 on non-grid

+105 000 HHs to non-grid

14 030 Unlikely to be achieved


ACCESS TO BASIC SERVICES (2)ACCESS TO BASIC SERVICES (2)

Analysis The pace of delivery is not satisfactory to meet the 2019 targetThe “HHs connected to grid” target could be met if number of connections scale up to 280 000 per annum.The absence of a credible project management and delivery planning approach is the major reason for the lacklustre performance

What is to be doneImproving delivery performance will require a project management approach to tackling the planning and institutional constraints experienced. In this regard a business strategy was developed and approved by Cabinet to tackle the obstacles and strengthen coordination.

The initiative will be coordinated by MISA and will comprise the key sector departments, NT & DPME. The objective of this joint operation would be to fast track the planning and implementation of projects & operations & maintenance requirements in the priority districts.


FINANCIAL & ADMINISTRATIVE MANAGEMENT (3)FINANCIAL & ADMINISTRATIVE MANAGEMENT (3)

AnalysisIn the past year municipalities have been supported to develop post audit action plans and ensure they are tabled to Councils 271 municipalities assessed for adequacy in addressing the issues raised by AGDebt owed by municipalities is being responded to but debt owed to municipalities to not given sufficient attentionDebt owed to municipalities is close to R100 billion (almost double the amount since 2009)

What is to be done The support work has been extensively initiated in the current period and the impact on audit outcomes will only be known when the 2014-15 audit results are released around June 2016.The extent of irregular expenditure is a concern particularly in respect of those municipalities where contracts have been awarded to friends and families. This goes beyond just an audit issue and borders on corruption and nepotism. Serious cases should be investigated by DCoG and NT and the Cabinet be advised of appropriate interventionsA clear policy response is needed to address the low payment levels and how to deal with the accumulated debt much of which is considered to be unrecoverable

23-04-20 46

The Presidency: Department of Planning, Monitoring and Evaluation

ANALYSIS (5) ANALYSIS (5)

• During January 2015, the Rand value of invoices paid after 30 days from the date of its receipt amounts to R 382 million whilst the amount for February 2015 amounts to R 378 million, thereby representing a marginal improvement of 1.0% amounting to R 4 million.

• When comparing the amount paid after 30 days in February 2014 (R327 million) with that of the amount paid in in February 2015 (R378 million), it is evident that there has been a regression of 15.6% regression amounting to R 51 million.

• For the period January 2014 to February 2014, the average Rand value of invoices paid after 30 days from the date of its receipt amounts to R441 million whilst the average for the period January 2015 to February 2015 amounts to a R380 million, representing a 13.8% improvement amounting R61 million.

• The average for the period January 2014 to February 2014 is distorted due to the high Rand value of invoices that were paid after 30 days in January 2014 amounting to R554 million.


WHAT IS TO BE DONE WHAT IS TO BE DONE AnalysisA key challenge to building effective institutions is to ensure stable leadership. Data available indicates that on average HoDs stay in a post for only 2.7 years.In addition to the high turnover, that often accelerates after the appointment of new Executive Authorities, the MPAT 2014 data show that 64% of departments either do not have performance agreements in place or it was submitted after the due date and assessments were not done

What is to be done …some progress Special Unit has been established in DPME to investigate cases where there is late or non-payment of correct invoices within 30 days

To address the still lengthy delays in resolving disciplinary cases:

– All departments must capture management of disciplinary cases on PERSAL

Outstanding Performance Agreements must be submitted urgently and backlog assessments must be finalised by EAs and HODs before December 2015

DG in the presidency has established a team (including DPSA and DPME) to manage the political-administrative interface and career incidents

48

Critical Role of Planning Critical Role of Planning Monitoring and EvaluationMonitoring and Evaluation

49

The Presidency: Department of Planning Monitoring and Evaluation

Key issuesWe need to know where we want to go:

NDP, MTSF, outcomesWe need to focus on outcomes we want to achieve,

not just the activities we do (outcome or results focus) – and then plan how we will get there Outcome delivery agreements, programme planning

We have to monitor whether we are getting there (MPAT, FSD, outcomes)

And we have to evaluate if we are getting to where we want to get to, what impact we are having, are we being effective, efficient, delivering value for money etc

5050

If we don’t know how we will make it happen it is

unlikely to happen


STRENGTHENING PLANNING DATASTRENGTHENING PLANNING DATA

• Different parts of government use different data sets and different assumptions in their plans

• This results in plans that over- or understate what the proposed actions can achieve and public announcements are made based on untested assumptions

• Statistics South Africa and DPME are working on a process to improve data quality, including:– Updating the social accounting matrix using Census 2011 data– Developing a growth accounting framework

• Both outputs will inform the modelling of the socio-economic impact of policies leading to better policy decisions including the monitoring of the 9 point plant

The Presidency: Department of Performance Monitoring and Evaluation

Looking at the effectiveness of the engine room

Management Performance Assessment (MPAT)

Local Government Management Improvement Model (LGMIM)

5252

53

Human Resource and Systems Management• HR Strategy and Planning• HR Practices and Administration• Management of Performance• Employee Relations• IT systems

Governance & Accountability • Service Delivery Improvement• Management Structures• Accountability• Ethics• Internal Audit• Risk Management• Delegations

Strategic Management• Strategic Planning• Programme Management • Monitoring & Evaluation

Financial Management• Supply Chain Management• Asset management • Revenue Management• Compensation to employees• Goods and Services• Transfer Payments• Liability Management

Monitoring management performance

54

SECRET

2.1.1 Standard name: Service delivery improvement mechanismsStandard definition: Departments have an approved service delivery charter, standards and service delivery improvement plans and adheres to these to improve services.Standards Evidence Documents LevelDepartment does not have a service charter and service standards

Level 1

Department has a draft service charter and service standards

Service charter and service standards

Level 2

Department has an approved service charter, service standards and SDIP

Department has consulted stakeholders/service recipients on service standards and SDIP

Department displays its service charter

Service charter, service standards and SDIP

Evidence of consultation with stakeholders/ service recipients

Level 3

Level 3 plus:

Department quarterly monitors compliance to service delivery standards

Management considers monitoring reports

Reports are used to inform improvements to business processes

Level 3 plus:

Minutes of management meetings reflecting discussion of service delivery improvement

Progress reports and monitoring reports

Level 4

MPAT measures 31 standards in 4 KPAs, eg:


Understanding why things are working or not working and how they can be

strengthened

National Evaluation System

5555


National evaluation system

Focus on strategic priorities (outcomes) through 3 year National and Provincial Evaluation plans developed by DPME with partners.

Range of types of evaluation – diagnostic, design, implementation, impact, economic

38 evaluations completed, underway or being scoped Evaluation and Research Unit in DPME to drive the system (currently 15

staff) Guidelines, standards, competences, developing training courses,

emphasising use Cross-gov Evaluation Technical Working Group to support the system Departments budgeting for evaluation, part-funded by DPME Building demand – emphasising learning, reports to Cabinet, working

with Parliament, publicising reports Evaluation Repository – 101 evaluations

5656


Sample questions evaluations answering

5757

Grade R Impact of grade R on subsequent learner performance

Business Process ServicesHow is the programme working and how can it be strengthened

RECAP (Land Recapitalisation and Development)•Is the programme developing beneficiaries to participate in commercial production•Are the resources used effectively•How can RECAP be strengthened?CRDP (Comprehensive Rural Development

Programme)•Is the CRDP achieving its goals?•How effectively are institutional arrangements supporting implementation?•Is CRDP value for money?


MEASURES TAKEN TO IMPROVE MONITORING AND MEASURES TAKEN TO IMPROVE MONITORING AND EVALUATION OF MTSF IMPLEMENTATIONEVALUATION OF MTSF IMPLEMENTATION

Key targets in MTSF have been written into performance agreements for 2014-2019 that the President has signed with all Ministers

DPME checking the strategic plans and annual performance plans of national and provincial departments to ensure that they reflect key targets and actions in MTSF. These key targets and actions should be reflected in the performance agreements of HoDs and senior officials. Management Performance Assessments are undertaken across three spheres of govt.

Implementation Forums and Quarterly POA reporting to Cabinet by Coordinating Ministers for the outcomes

Performance Dialogues and Expenditure Reviews held jointly by DPME and National Treasury to ensure alignment between planning, budgeting, monitoring and evaluation

Ongoing Frontline Service Delivery Monitoring, Presidential Hotline and Citizen Based Monitoring to ensure that citizens are heard


R '000 2014/15 2015/16

Per Programme % Spent Main Appr. Q1 Drawings Q1 Exp. Q1 Exp. As % of drawings

Per Programme

1. Administration 99.2% 70 872 16 290 13 180 80.9%2. OME 94.0% 85 604 20 586 16 440 79.9%3. IPM&E 98.2% 59 566 14 040 12 760 90.9%4. Planning 80.2% 88 197 35 352 5 981 16.9%5. Youth 100.0% 414 542 111 759 111 862 100.1%TOTAL 96.6% 718 781 198 027 160 223 80.9%Per Economic Classification Current Payments 91.6% 306 074 86 175 48 516 56.3% Compensation 93.3% 174 670 41 339 35 788 86.6% Goods and Services 89.9% 131 404 44 836 12 728 28.4% Interest / rent on land 0.0% - - - 0.0%Transfer payments 100.0% 409 789 111 228 111 297 100.1%Capital Assets 100.0% 3 409 624 410 65.7%Financial Assets 100.0% - - - 0.0%TOTAL 96.6% 719 272 198 027 160 223 80.9%


• Under-expenditure on compensation mainly due to: • Normal staff turnover• Internal promotions• Delay in salary adjustments for senior managers

• Under-spending in Programme 4 due to: • Payment for the National Income Dynamics

Study amounting to R19 million made in July instead of June

• End of term of the National Planning Commission in May 2015. New Commission expected to be appointed in September 2015.


CONCLUSIONS Much more work to ensure we plan effectively and get a good

picture of performance - improving data, improving analysis, integrating tools to give 360 degree view of performance

The DPME tools provide invaluable resources for Portfolio Committees in understanding how government investment is working, what impact it is having, and how it can be strengthened

Also need better joined up working with NT and DPSA eg around performance dialogue, as well as linkage between SCOA and Portfolio Committees on value for money

How can we assist you to improve oversight and decision-making?

6161


THANK YOU

Tsakani Ngomane, PhDActing DDG: Outcomes Monitoring and Evaluations

Outcome 7 Facilitator: Rural Development

[email protected]

6262