Information & Decision SuperiorityCase studies in applying AI planning technologies to military & civil applications

Dr Roberto DesimoneInnovations ManagerKnowledge & Information Systems Division

3QinetiQ Structure - designed to extract value from core technology

Future Systems TechnologyDivision

Estates Division

DefenceSolutionsDivision

Through LifeServicesDivision

TechnologyVenturesFund

Equity investors

MoDSolutionsCustomers

ManagedService

Customers

Sensors & ElectronicsDivision

Knowledge & Information Systems Division

Specialised Channels

Non-MoDSolutions

Customers

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Contents

1 Problem domain - military & civil

2 Case Study 1: Coalition/Joint Planning

3 Case Study 2: Civil Emergency Planning

4 Case Study 3: Integrated Planning & Simulation

5 Future research, applications & exploitation

5Problem Domain - Military & Civil Complex planning tasks in

support of major crises Facilitating collaboration

between multi-agency teams Assisting response co-ordination

& controlling operations Auditing plans to comply with

regulations & policy Training and learning from

responses to major crises

Providing planning aid support to assist decision-making

Help manage planning process in dynamic manner

... above all, support human planners in developing more accurate, consistent, timely, robust plans

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Case 1 - Coalition/Joint Planning Aids

Examine how planning aids can support co-ordinating and integrating coalition/joint operations planning tasks

Capitalise on planning languages for capturing coalition/joint military doctrine and for recording planning decisions and lessons learned

Explore the integration of planning aids with operational C2 systems & develop insertion strategy into future UK/Coalition C2 systems

... above all, support coalition operations planners in developing more accurate, consistent, timely, robust COAs, plan guidance & command directives for lower echelons

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Key Capabilities - Planning Aids

Recording coalition planning decisions & intentions

Determining feasible COAs, coalition and support forces

Resolving resource conflicts & plan inconsistencies

Browsing current & past COAs in multiple contexts

Provide collaborative & dynamic replanning capability

Generate and validate coalition plans reflecting roles, tasks, resources of coalition partners in achieving overall mission/campaign objectives

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Guiding plan choices

directmatch

Plan FragmentLibrary

Recording plan rationale

J5/9 Political

Constraints

J4Logistics

Constraints

J1ORBAT

Info

J2Intelligence

Info J3Operations Constraints

J6Comms & IS Constraints

Hierarchical plan development

Supporting COA generation

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Case 2 - Civil Emergency Planning

Decision support for the emergency planning process

Focussed at strategic (Gold) & tactical (Silver) command levels

Planning, preparing for and preventing major incidents

Co-ordinating responses & controlling operations

Documenting & investigating accidents and responses

Training and learning from responses to major crises

Potential End-users Emergency Services Local authorities Government & Regulatory

Agencies Industry & Commerce

REFINERY

CHEMICAL UNIT

STORAGE TANKS

STORES

Operations Revised !!

For all Police, Fire & Ambulance Units

Deal withCasualties

Ambulance 3

Patrol CordonPolice-Unit 3

Refinery &LPG

Contain FireFire-Unit 2

LPG

Contain FireFire-Unit 1

LPG

Reserve FireFire-Unit 14

Reinforcement Base

Setup PoliceCasualty Bureau

Police-Unit 2Refinery

Move Incident Command

Police-Unit 1Refinery

Across River

Contain SpillFire-Unit 11

River

Contain FireFire-Unit 16

Refinery

…. help manage planning process in dynamic manner, rather than just provide access to relevant information

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Currently

PlanningArchitecture

PlanningArchitecture

Databases

INTERFACE

SimulationsDatabases

SimulationArchitecture

SimulationArchitecture

INTERFACE

Planners

Shared Architecture/ Coupling

Query and DataManager

SimulationsPlanners

Case 3 - Integrating Planning & Simulation

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Query & Data Manager

PLAN QUERY• SOURCES

• QUERY TYPE

• METRICS

• CONSTRAINTS

resultsresults

initiates

Query& data

SIM QUERY• STARTING CONDITIONS

• SIMULATION CONTROL

sets up

Querydetails

Data

Mapping

SimulationsPlanners

Queries - The basis of communication

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Plan QueryManager

Data + Requests

PLANNER

SIMULATOR

Simulation ScriptMatcher/Retriever

PrescriptedSim QueryDatabase

Sim QueryEnactor

GenericSim QueryDatabase

Complex QueryComposer

QDM

Query & Data Manager

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… provide assisted dynamic replanning capability in response to rapidly changing events

Future research, applications & exploitation

Medium & Long-term research Facilitating semantic interoperability through explicit planning & command

decision languages Interleaving planning & simulation to optimise decisions and to support

mission rehearsal & training Natural language interfaces to planners to support coalition/joint operations Highlighting uncertainty & plan robustness measures to support risk

management

Short-term applications & exploitation Technology insertion of planning aids into operational military C2 systems Transition of AI planning & scheduling technology into wider civil

commercial products