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Dr. Michael Duffy, Iowa State University Extension Economist Iowa Land Value Survey 2012

Dr. Michael Duffy, Iowa State University Extension Economist

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2012. Iowa Land Value Survey. Dr. Michael Duffy, Iowa State University Extension Economist. Statewide Average. $8,296. up 23.7% up $1,588. High Grade Land. $10,181. up 24.2% up $1,983. Medium Grade Land. $7,773. up 24.3% up $1,517. Low Grade Land. $5,119. up 20.2% - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Dr. Michael Duffy, Iowa State University Extension Economist

Iowa Land Value Survey2012

Statewide Average

$8,296up 23.7%up $1,588

High Grade Land

$10,181up 24.2%up $1,983

Medium Grade Land

$7,773up 24.3%up $1,517

Low Grade Land

$5,119up 20.2%up $862

Northwest

$11,404up 2.8%up $83

high $12,890med $11,011

low $7,162up 36.8%up $3,066

North Central

$9,560up 30.0%up $2,204

high $10,765med $8,691low $6,303

Northeast

$8,523up 29.1%up $1,921

high $10,708med $7,815low $5,288

West Central

$9,216up 24.2%up $1,797

high $11,128med $8,619low $5,877

Central

$9,365up 20.4%up $1,583

high $11,139med $8,466low $5,718

East Central

$8,420up 18.4%up $1,310

high $10,201med $8,128low $5,013

Southwest

$7,015up 18.8%up $1,110

high $8,818med $6,732low $4,484

South Central

$4,308up 26.4%up $901

high $6,437med $4,219low $2,562

Southeast

$6,172up 8.2%up $467

high $8,879med $5,685low $3,226

AVERAGE VALUESall grades 1950−2012

19501954

19581962

19661970

19741978

19821986

19901994

19982002

20062010

$0

$1,000

$2,000

$3,000

$4,000

$5,000

$6,000

$7,000

$8,000

$9,000

PERCENTAGE CHANGE from previous year, 1951−2012

-35%

-25%

-15%

-5%

5%

15%

25%

35%

AVERAGE VALUESadjusted for inflation

19501954

19581962

19661970

19741978

19821986

19901994

19982002

20062010

$- $1,000 $2,000 $3,000 $4,000 $5,000 $6,000 $7,000 $8,000 $9,000

Inflation adj values

PERCENTAGE CHANGE adjusted for inflation

-35%

-25%

-15%

-5%

5%

15%

25%

35%

2012 AVERAGE VALUES

PERCENTAGE CHANGE

POSITIVE FACTORSaffecting land values

Commodity Pric

es (Higher)

Favorable In

terest Rates

Cash/C

redit Availa

bility

Good Farm

Economy / R

eturn

to La

nd

Safe Investm

ent / La

ck of O

thers

Land Availa

bility (L

imite

d Supply)0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

80%

63%

15% 14% 12% 10%

NEGATIVE FACTORS affecting land values

Weath

er

Politics

/ Congre

ss & A

dmin

Land to

o High (B

ubble Burst?)

Input Costs

(Higher)

Poor Yields

Stock

Mark

et / Eco

nomy/Global

0%5%

10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%

43%

18% 18%15% 14% 13%

WHO PURCHASED farmland

Investors 18%

Existing Farmers

78%

New Farmers 3%

Others1%

WHO PURCHASED farmland

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

Farmers Investors New Farmers Other

SALES ACTIVITYrelative to previous year

1986

1987

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

More Less Same

sales activity from previous yearCHANGE IN

More – 64% Less – 8%Same – 28%

More – 64%Less – 5% Same – 31%

More – 30%Less – 38%Same – 32%

More – 63%Less – 13%Same – 24%

More – 65% Less – 14%Same –21%

More – 59% Less – 12%Same – 29%

More – 51%Less – 18%Same –31%

More – 52%Less – 23%Same –25%

More – 41%Less – 11%Same – 48%

SUMMARY• Record land values continuing with new records being

recorded in different categories

• Regional differences are occurring

• Farmers are 78% of purchasers compared to just 56% in 2005

• Increased sales as people make adjustments to taxes and higher land prices

• Major uncertainties in many factors that determine land values

• Land increased 64% in past 3 years but it decreased in value the year before that

• Need to keep a realistic perspective

For more information, visit

www.extension.iastate.edu/topic/landvalue