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Dr. Michael Duffy, Iowa State University Extension Economist Iowa Land Value Survey 2013

Dr. Michael Duffy, Iowa State University Extension Economist

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2013. Iowa Land Value Survey. Dr. Michael Duffy, Iowa State University Extension Economist. Statewide Average. $8,716. up 5.1% up $420. High Grade Land. $10,828. up 6.3% up $646. Medium Grade Land. $ 8,047. up 3.5% up $ 274. Low Grade Land. $ 5,298. up 3.5% up $ 179. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Dr. Michael Duffy,  Iowa State University Extension Economist

Dr. Michael Duffy, Iowa State University Extension Economist

Iowa Land Value Survey2013

Page 2: Dr. Michael Duffy,  Iowa State University Extension Economist

Statewide Average

$8,716up 5.1%up $420

Page 3: Dr. Michael Duffy,  Iowa State University Extension Economist

High Grade Land

$10,828up 6.3%up $646

Page 4: Dr. Michael Duffy,  Iowa State University Extension Economist

Medium Grade Land

$8,047up 3.5%up $274

Page 5: Dr. Michael Duffy,  Iowa State University Extension Economist

Low Grade Land

$5,298 up 3.5%up $179

Page 6: Dr. Michael Duffy,  Iowa State University Extension Economist

Northwest

$10,960 up 2.8%up $83

high $12,824 med $9,918 low $6,845

down 3.9%down $445

Page 7: Dr. Michael Duffy,  Iowa State University Extension Economist

North Central

$9,818 up 2.7%up $258

high $11,159 med $8,824 low $6,421

Page 8: Dr. Michael Duffy,  Iowa State University Extension Economist

Northeast

$9,161 up 7.5%up $638

high $11,423 med $8,573 low $5,670

Page 9: Dr. Michael Duffy,  Iowa State University Extension Economist

West Central

$9,449 up 2.5%up $233

high $11,591med $8,725low $5,926

Page 10: Dr. Michael Duffy,  Iowa State University Extension Economist

Central

$9,877 up 5.5%up $512

high $11,803med $8,930low $5,918

Page 11: Dr. Michael Duffy,  Iowa State University Extension Economist

East Central

$9,327up 10.8%up $906

high $11,631med $8,567low $5,449

Page 12: Dr. Michael Duffy,  Iowa State University Extension Economist

Southwest

$7,531 up 7.4%up $517

high $9,591med $7,137low $4,592

Page 13: Dr. Michael Duffy,  Iowa State University Extension Economist

South Central

$4,791 up 11.2%up $483

high $7,150med $4,715low $2,843

Page 14: Dr. Michael Duffy,  Iowa State University Extension Economist

Southeast

$6,994 up 13.3%up $822

high $9,785med $6,605low $3,651

Page 15: Dr. Michael Duffy,  Iowa State University Extension Economist

AVERAGE VALUESall grades 1950−2013

19501954

19581962

19661970

19741978

19821986

19901994

19982002

20062010

$0

$1,000

$2,000

$3,000

$4,000

$5,000

$6,000

$7,000

$8,000

$9,000

Page 16: Dr. Michael Duffy,  Iowa State University Extension Economist

PERCENTAGE CHANGE from previous year, 1951−2013

-35%

-25%

-15%

-5%

5%

15%

25%

35%

Page 17: Dr. Michael Duffy,  Iowa State University Extension Economist

AVERAGE VALUESadjusted for inflation

19501954

19581962

19661970

19741978

19821986

19901994

19982002

20062010

$- $1,000 $2,000 $3,000 $4,000 $5,000 $6,000 $7,000 $8,000 $9,000

$10,000

Inflation adj values

Page 18: Dr. Michael Duffy,  Iowa State University Extension Economist

PERCENTAGE CHANGE adjusted for inflation

-35%

-25%

-15%

-5%

5%

15%

25%

35%

Page 19: Dr. Michael Duffy,  Iowa State University Extension Economist

2013 AVERAGE VALUES

Page 20: Dr. Michael Duffy,  Iowa State University Extension Economist

PERCENTAGE CHANGE

Page 21: Dr. Michael Duffy,  Iowa State University Extension Economist

POSITIVE FACTORSaffecting land values

Intere

st ra

tes

Commodity pric

es

Good farm

economy

Land availa

bility

Cash availa

bleYields

Strong demand

-10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

56%

37%

24%

15% 14% 13%11%

Page 22: Dr. Michael Duffy,  Iowa State University Extension Economist

NEGATIVE FACTORS affecting land values

Low commodity prices

Weather Poor yields Govt programs Uncertainty Long term interest rates

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

76%

21%

13% 11% 10% 10%

Page 23: Dr. Michael Duffy,  Iowa State University Extension Economist

WHO PURCHASED farmland

Investors 18%

Existing Farmers

78%

New Farmers 3%

Others1%

Page 24: Dr. Michael Duffy,  Iowa State University Extension Economist

WHO PURCHASED farmland

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

Farmers Investors New Farmers Other

Page 25: Dr. Michael Duffy,  Iowa State University Extension Economist

SALES ACTIVITYrelative to previous year

1986

1987

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

More Less Same

Page 26: Dr. Michael Duffy,  Iowa State University Extension Economist

sales activity from previous yearCHANGE IN

More – 9% Less – 59%Same – 33%

More – 16%Less – 53% Same – 31%

More – 16%Less – 48%Same – 36%

More – 8%Less – 71%Same – 20%

More – 20% Less – 45%Same – 35%

More – 18% Less – 40%Same – 41%

More – 15%Less – 47%Same – 38%

More – 20%Less – 43%Same – 37%

More – 19%Less – 29%Same – 52%

Page 27: Dr. Michael Duffy,  Iowa State University Extension Economist

SUMMARY• 5.1% increase is 9th out of last 10 years

• Except for 2009 first single digit increase since 2003

• Rate of increase slowed throughout the year mimicking drop in crop prices

• NW Iowa showed actual declines in value

• Gross farm income will be the factor to watch for future directions

Page 28: Dr. Michael Duffy,  Iowa State University Extension Economist

For more information, visit

www.extension.iastate.edu/topic/landvalue