Operations Management Outlook

Chicago Chapter Professional Development Webinar

May 14, 2009

The Economy

In the last 16 months, the U.S. economy has lost 5.7 million jobs.

Employment Trend

1990 Recession

2001 Recession

February 2009

Recent Headlines

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UK Manufacturers Report Pay Freezes, Deferments -Financial Times

Alcoa Reaches Deal To Save Jobs, Cuts Aluminum Output-Wall Street Journal

Caterpillar Speeds Up Layoff Plans –Associated Press

Honda North America Announces Production, Pay Cuts -Wall Street Journal

The Economic Outlook

Recent Headlines

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Firms Race to Regain Control over Inventories–Wall Street Journal

Economy Sinks Under Weight of Inventory-Washington Post

Manufacturing Crash Empties Inventories, Sets Stage for Rebound- Bloomberg

Durable Goods Orders Unexpectedly Rise 3.4 Percent-Bloomberg

Northern New Jersey County & Statewide Unemployment Rates (3/09 Not Seasonally Adjusted)

New Jersey Statewide Unemployment Rate (Not Seasonally Adjusted) = 8.7%

Northern New Jersey County Unemployment Rates

Bergen 7.2%Essex 9.5%Hudson 9.7%Hunterdon 6.3% Mercer 7.4%Middlesex 8.0%Morris 6.7%Passaic 10.8%Somerset 6.8%Sussex 8.5%Union 8.9%Warren 8.2%

Lowest & Highest County Unemployment RatesLowest = Hunterdon County 6.3% Highest = Cape May County 15%

Source: http://lwd.dol.state.nj.us/labor/lpa/content/maps/laus_month.pdf

Employment Outlook –Who Is Hardest Hit Nationally? (3/09)

• New Jersey Unemployment Rate (Seasonally Adjusted) 8.3% vs. National 8.5%

Source: http://lwd.dol.state.nj.us/labor/lwdhome/press/2009/041509_unemployment.html

• In March 2009, states with the highest unemployment were– Michigan 12.6 percent.  – Oregon 12.1 percent – South Carolina 11.4 percent – California 11.2 percent * – North Carolina 10.8 percent * – Rhode Island 10.5 percent – Nevada 10.4 percent – Indiana 10.0 percent 

* Unemployment rates are the highest on record for these states (All state series began in 1976.)

Source:http://www.bls.gov/news.release/laus.nr0.htm

Unemployment Trend Is Improving- But Difficulties Remain

• The Conference Board Employment Trends Index (ETI) "While we see a continued sharp fall in the ETI, the decline was not as strong as in

the previous four months, suggesting that the most intense stage of job losses may be behind us…“

Source: www.conference-board.org/economics/employment.cfm

• ISM April 2009 Report on Business Survey RESPONDENTS ARE SAYING ...– "International customers are having trouble getting cash for new orders, even

though they need/want the equipment." (Computer & Electronic Products) – "Starting to see some signs of increased production and demand from some

automotive customers." (Fabricated Metal Products) – "Business conditions continue to be soft, but agriculture-related products are still

quite bullish." (Machinery) – "We are optimistic that things will change for the better in 3Q." (Chemical

Products) – "Starting to hear of slight upticks in orders from some sectors of our business but

not all." (Electrical Equipment, Appliances & Components)

Source: www.ism.ws/ISMReport/MfgROB.cfm?navItemNumber=12942

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APICS Employment Index

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Preliminary results from a new industry survey show that hiring will increase in the next six months in the operations and supply chain field.

•48% of survey respondents with hiring responsibility indicated that they anticipate hiring in the next 12 months.•80% of plan to hire within one or more the following operational areas

― Execution and Control of Operations― Purchasing/CRM― Quality― Resource Planning― Supply Chain Management

APICS Support

APICS Support

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• In 2009, we added services and content to help members navigate this economy.– Enhanced APICS magazine and Operations Management Now

editorial coverage of the economy to help members anticipate issues and use the APICS BOK to solve them

– Continued distribution of economy related APICS content to higher level executives to ensure they know the value of APICS-educated employees

– Extended unemployment benefits to up to 18 months to help our members keep up their network and skills during a tough economy

– Developed a strategy for increasing Career Center job postings to make it easier for members in transition to obtain new jobs

APICS Support(continued)

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– Created a new e-membership option for young professionals to provide them with a head start on their careers in a competitive market

– Collaborated with the Supply Chain Council to give our members access to additional information and training, including the SCORmark benchmarking tool

– Launched a presence on Facebook, LinkedIn, and YouTube to extend the reach and power of the APICS community

– Developed a new quarterly salary survey that will help members understand their value in the marketplace and improve their negotiating position.

– Expanded the focus of APICS to industries outside manufacturing to provide members with increased career opportunities.

Operations Management Now

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• This new column highlights the relevance of the operations management profession and the OMBOK to economic news.

A New Formula for CEO

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• According to Spencer Stuart, in 2008, operations replaced finance as the most common career background for the S&P 500 CEOs; more than 30% of these CEOs have operations experience.

• In addition, operations management is the second most common career background for COOs, EVPS, and Senior VPs.

• Apple’s new interim CEO, Tim Cook, is an operations professional.

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Register today at apicsconference.org.

Attend APICS 2009 in October 4-6, 2009

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APICS 2009 Learning Paths

• Global Supply Chain• Demand Management, Forecasting, and S&OP• Lean • Basics of Operations Management• Professional Advancement• Special-Interest Topics

Don’t forget to renew your passport!

General Session Speaker

Jason Jennings Business Thought Leader and Best-Selling Author

Attend APICS 2009 in October 4-6, 2009

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Toronto, Ontario is easily accessible from Northern New Jersey.

• Quick trip―only a 90-minute plane flight from New Jersey area airports

• Affordable travel―major airline flights in October 2009 are priced as low as $240

Question and Answer

Thank you.