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Domestic Tourism Survey, 2016 Dr Pali Lehohla Statistician-General #StatsSA #Tourism

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Domestic Tourism

Survey, 2016

Dr Pali Lehohla

Statistician-General

#StatsSA #Tourism

DTS

Demographic information

Day trips taken inside South Africa

Main destinations

Reasons for travelling

Modes of transport used

Overnight trips taken inside South Africa

Living Standard Measure

Information Gathered

The DTS 2016 findings reflect a general pattern of decline in domestic tourism over the past two years as associated with economic stagnation and re-prioritisation of consumer spending that has taken place in the country during that time.

4,4m

6,2m

0,0

1,0

2,0

3,0

4,0

5,0

6,0

7,0

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Mill

ion

Number of unemployed

57,0%

67,2%

10,0

30,0

50,0

70,0

90,0

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Long term unemployment

Labour Market Dashboard

Source: QLFS Q2 2017

Increasing number of unemployed persons were witnessed during 2008 to 2015

28,4%

33,5%

21,4%

25,2%

51,0%

47,6%

36,4%

40,0%

66,6%

62,1%

53,2%

55,5%

0,0

10,0

20,0

30,0

40,0

50,0

60,0

70,0

2006 2009 2011 2015

Per

cen

tage

Approximately 13,8 million South Africans were living below the FPL in 2015, down from a peak of 16,7 million in 2009.

Poverty headcounts based on the FPL, LBPL and UBPL

Findings of the DTS 2016

Day

44,3m 39,4m

Overnight

45,4m

43,0m

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

2015 2016

Day Overnight

A general pattern of decline in domestic

tourism for both day and overnight tripsis observed from 2015 to 2016

Total number of trips (million), 2015 – 2016

Day tripA trip outside of the usual environment, where one leaves and returns within the same day (i.e. do not stay overnight).

Overnight tripA trip outside of one’s usual environment where one night or more is spent away from the usual environment.

Reasons for not undertaking overnight trips in 2016

9,1%

30,4%

37,6%

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40

Pregnancy

In mourning

Disabled

Taking care of sick/ elderly relative

Have young children

I no longer wish to travel

Too much hassle to travel

Sick

No interest/ nothing to see or do that appeals to me

Other

Too old to travel

Worried about safety/ security/ crime

Not enough time to travel

No family/ friends to visit somewhere else

Too expensive/ I would rather spend money on something else

No particular reason

Too busy at work/ school

Trips within 40km radius/family relatives stay within

Financial Reasons

Financial reasons was the dominant reason provided for not taking trips in 2016

9,1%

30,4%

37,6%

Too busy at work/ school

Trips within 40km radius/family relatives stay within

Financial Reasons

Most recent trips has seen a decline in both day and overnight trips between 2015 and 2016

18,5 million

16,2 million

28,0 million 26,0 million

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

2015 2016

Day Overnight

Most recent day and overnight trips, 2015 – 2016

9,1

9,1

8,78,3

8,6 8,5

6,9

7,9

7,1

7,0

6,9

11,8

8,5

9,3

7,28,2

8,7

9,3

7,7

7,0

7,3

7,1

8,0

11,8

4,0

6,0

8,0

10,0

12,0

14,0

16,0

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec

Perc

enta

ge

The number of day trips decreased from 44 million in 2015 to 39 million in 2016.

Total number of day trips taken by month (per cent), 2015 – 2016

2015

A drop in day trips can be seen during March 2016.

Day trips remained the same during the December holiday

period

10,0

6,6

6,9

9,2

6,9

9,0

7,6

7,4

8,06,7

6,1

15,7

9,0

6,4

8,8

7,57,0

8,4

7,9

6,8

8,17,2

6,1

16,9

0,0

2,0

4,0

6,0

8,0

10,0

12,0

14,0

16,0

18,0

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec

Per

cen

tage

The Easter holidays has an effect on trips taken during March and April

Overnight trips also decreased from 45 million in 2015 to 43 million in 2016.

Total number of overnight trips taken by month (per cent), 2015 – 2016

-70

3

-24

-75

5

84

-57

2

-1000

-500

0

500

1000

January February March April May June July August September October November December

-94

0

-1000

-500

0

500

1000

January February March April May June July August September October November December

Change in Day Trips between 2015 and 2016

Change in Overnight Trip between 2015 and 2016

A general decline is noticed across most months for day and overnight trips

The decline in trips taken varies by

LSM group

Day Trip 2015 and 2016 by LSM Group (millions)

39 million day trips were taken between January and December 2016.

9,4%

44,1%46,6%

6,9%

47,5%45,6%

0,0

5,0

10,0

15,0

20,0

25,0

30,0

35,0

40,0

45,0

50,0

LSM 1 - 4 LSM 5 - 7 LSM 8 - 10

2015 2016

In 2015, individuals from LSM group 8-10 undertook the most number of day trips (46,6%) whereas in 2016, it was those in LSM group 5-7 with 47,5%

Overnight Trip 2015 and 2016 by LSM Group (millions)

Domestic tourists in 2016 were predominantly from the broad LSM group 5–7 with 55,3% of overnight trips.

13,3%

52,0%

34,7%

10,6%

55,3%

34,1%

0,0

10,0

20,0

30,0

40,0

50,0

60,0

LSM 1 - 4 LSM 5 - 7 LSM 8 - 10

2015 2016

As a proportion of individuals within a particular group the broad LSM group 8–10 was the most likely to travel (1 and a half trips taken per individual)

Total expenditure (in Billion rand), 2013 - 2016

* Numbers have been rounded off

R104bn R110bn

R87bn R87bn

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

2013 2014 2015 2016

Total expenditure on domestic day and overnight trips grew from R104 billion 2013 to R110 billion in 2014

Between 2015 and 2016 expenditure remained constant

The main reason reported for undertaking day trips was:

Shopping

Visiting friends and relatives

Leisure

Shopping VFR Leisure Funeral Business Religion Sporting Other Unspecified

2015 27,4 23,8 16,7 6,3 4,3 5,4 2,0 13,7 0,4

2016 27,0 22,5 13,4 8,2 5,2 5,1 4,1 14,0 0,6

0,0

5,0

10,0

15,0

20,0

25,0

30,0

Perc

enta

ge

Main purpose of most recent day trips, 2015 - 2016

Number of trips by population group, 2015 - 2016

25,5%

43,8%

0,0

10,0

20,0

30,0

40,0

50,0

60,0

70,0

80,0

90,0

100,0

Day trips Overnight trips

Black African

32,1% 32,5%

Day trips Overnight trips

Coloured

28,0%34,5%

0,0

10,0

20,0

30,0

40,0

50,0

60,0

70,0

80,0

90,0

100,0

Day trips Overnight trips

Indian/Asian

64,1%

88,9%

Day trips Overnight trips

White

When comparing travel within population groups, the white population travelled almost twice as frequently than any other population group

The main reason reported for undertaking overnight trips was:

Visiting friends and relatives

Leisure

Funeral

VFR Leisure Funeral Religion Business Shopping SportingCultural

OccasionOther Unspecified

2015 48,7 18,5 14,2 6,3 2,2 0,6 0,8 1,8 6,4 0,6

2016 48,0 17,3 13,8 6,1 2,7 0,6 0,5 1,9 8,5 0,7

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

Perc

enta

ge

Main purpose of most recent overnight trips, 2015 – 2016

Food and beverages

; 16%

Domestic transport;

32%Shopping;

38%

Food and beverages

; 15%

Domestic transport;

36%

Shopping; 40%

LSM 5-7

Food and beverages;

20%

Shopping; 21%

Accommodation; 24%Domestic

transport; 30%

LSM 8-10LSM 1-4

LSM groups by expenditure (R’000) on most recent overnight trips, January–December, 2016

LSM 1–4 spent slightly more than third on shopping when on overnight trips

LSM 5–7 spent most of their money on shopping and transport while taking overnight trips

LSM 8–10 spent nearly a quarter of their money on paid accommodation while on overnight trips

MP7,7%

KZN8,4%

EC10,1%

FS4,3%

NW9,8%

NC4,3%

WC13,2%

GP23,0%

Gauteng , Limpopo and Western Cape

were the most popular destinations

for day travellers

LP17,3%

Percentage of most recent day trips by province of destination, 2016

MP10,5%

EC12,2%

FS4,8%

NW7,5%

NC2,5%

WC9,7%

GP13,4%

LP17,0%

KZN13,0%

The main destination for overnight travel was Limpopo followed by

Gauteng and KwaZulu-Natal

Percentage of most recent overnight trip by province of destination, 2016

50% 49%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

2015 2016

36% 36%

2015 2016

3%4%

2015 2016AIRPLANE

BUS

TAXI

Cars and Taxis were the most used mode of transport for overnight trips.

9% 8%

2015 2016

CAR

The use of busses for overnight trips decreased over this period, while the use of airplanes rose

Main mode of transport for overnight trips, 2015 - 2016

Accommodation

73,3%4,4%

4,1%

3,9%

12,6%

Other

Self Catering

Hotel

Holiday home

of tourists made

use of unpaidaccommodation

when undertaking an

overnight trip bystaying with

friends or relatives

73%

STAYING WITH FRIENDSOR RELATIVES

Accommodation used on most recent overnight trip, 2016

Day travelers who were

married were more

likely to travel than

others.

Individuals aged 25 - 44 made up 40,3% of day

travellers & travelled the

most compared to other

age groups

40,3% 37,3%

28,8%

Those who completed

secondary school undertook most day trips.

25,2%

Main reason for undertaking

day (25,2%) trips for LSM

group 8-10, was leisure.

Profile of day travellers in terms of Age, education, marital status and LSM

Those who had never

been married were

more likely to undertake

overnight trips

Individuals aged 25 - 44 made up 40,1% of

overnight travellers

40,1% 33,7%

27,9%

Those who completed

secondary school undertook most overnight

trips

37,7%

Main reason for

undertaking overnight

(37,7%) trips for LSM

group 8-10, was leisure.

Profile of overnight travellers in terms of Age, Education, Marital status and LSM

Thank you