13
Domestic Resource Mobilization and the Challenge of Governance Prof. Mushtaq H. Khan Department of Economics SOAS, University of London

Domestic Resource Mobilization and the Challenge of Governance Prof. Mushtaq H. Khan Department of Economics SOAS, University of London

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Domestic Resource Mobilization and the Challenge of Governance Prof. Mushtaq H. Khan Department of Economics SOAS, University of London

Domestic Resource Mobilization and the Challenge of Governance

Prof. Mushtaq H. Khan

Department of Economics

SOAS, University of London

Page 2: Domestic Resource Mobilization and the Challenge of Governance Prof. Mushtaq H. Khan Department of Economics SOAS, University of London

Resource Mobilization and Governance

Governance is rightly identified as an important constraint on resource mobilization in developing countries

Domestic resource mobilization is constrained by institutional weaknesses and political weaknesses and these are governance problems

However the response to these challenges is often posed as one of improving ‘good governance’ and fighting corruption

Problematic confusion between the broad good governance agenda and the specific governance, institutional and political tasks that developing countries have to address

Page 3: Domestic Resource Mobilization and the Challenge of Governance Prof. Mushtaq H. Khan Department of Economics SOAS, University of London

Good governance as an end rather than as means

Good governance is a set of desirable institutional conditions that we do find in more advanced countries Stable property rights Relatively low corruption (but high legal rent seeking) Governments accountable to voters Strong rule of law

These are desirable goals in their own right, but in theory the achievement of these conditions would also help resource mobilization and market-driven growth

Good governance works by improving overall market and political ‘transaction efficiency’

If good governance conditions can be achieved savers will feel confident to save, investors to invest, and both will be served by accountable governments providing public goods

Page 4: Domestic Resource Mobilization and the Challenge of Governance Prof. Mushtaq H. Khan Department of Economics SOAS, University of London

But are these feasible reform objectives?

Good governance has strong abstract theoretical support and its propositions are theoretically plausible

The reform programme is politically attractive and its goals are supported by many constituencies in developing countries as ends in themselves

But just because something is desirable and in theory would improve performance does not mean that it is immediately achievable

The problem is that achieving good governance conditions is very expensive and advanced countries achieved these conditions slowly over a long period

Page 5: Domestic Resource Mobilization and the Challenge of Governance Prof. Mushtaq H. Khan Department of Economics SOAS, University of London

The ‘cost’ of good governance

Stabilizing property rights requires not just a commitment from government but the expenditure of real money on enforcement, arbitration, protection and conflict resolution

Fighting corruption involves having significant legal sources of finance for running politics, a budget large enough that all or most of the redistributive demands in

society can be met through the budget, and regulatory and enforcement structures for converting illegal rent seeking

into legal rent seeking

The political accountability of parties to a broad electorate and not just to powerful clients requires (amongst many other things) the feasibility of maintaining political stability through budgetary redistribution

Page 6: Domestic Resource Mobilization and the Challenge of Governance Prof. Mushtaq H. Khan Department of Economics SOAS, University of London

Good governance is still desirable but…..

This does not mean that improvements in good governance are not achievable in most developing countries

Improvements are both possible and desirable

The question is whether the feasible improvement along this path can be significant enough to make a significant impact on transaction efficiency within a policy period

If the feasible improvement in ‘good governance’ is small, then we have to look for other governance reforms to achieve improvements in resource mobilization and the efficiency of investment allocation

The historical evidence from case studies shows that this is exactly what successful developers did

Page 7: Domestic Resource Mobilization and the Challenge of Governance Prof. Mushtaq H. Khan Department of Economics SOAS, University of London

Governance and Growth

Market-Enhancing Governance: Composite Property Rights Index and Growth(using Knack- IRIS data) 1990-2003

-8

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

10

0 10 20 30 40 50IRIS 'Property Rights' Index 1990

(ranges from 0 to 50)

Gro

wth

Rat

e of

Per

Cap

ita G

DP

199

0-20

03

Diverging Developing Countries

Page 8: Domestic Resource Mobilization and the Challenge of Governance Prof. Mushtaq H. Khan Department of Economics SOAS, University of London

Governance and Growth

Market-Enhancing Governance: Composite Property Rights Index and Growth(using Knack- IRIS data) 1990-2003

-8

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

10

0 10 20 30 40 50IRIS 'Property Rights' Index 1990

(ranges from 0 to 50)

Gro

wth

Rat

e of

Per

Cap

ita G

DP

199

0-20

03

Advanced Countries Diverging Developing Countries

Page 9: Domestic Resource Mobilization and the Challenge of Governance Prof. Mushtaq H. Khan Department of Economics SOAS, University of London

Governance and Growth

Market-Enhancing Governance: Composite Property Rights Index and Growth(using Knack- IRIS data) 1990-2003

-8

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

10

0 10 20 30 40 50IRIS 'Property Rights' Index 1990

(ranges from 0 to 50)

Gro

wth

Rat

e of

Per

Cap

ita G

DP

199

0-20

03

Advanced Countries Converging Developing Countries Diverging Developing Countries

Page 10: Domestic Resource Mobilization and the Challenge of Governance Prof. Mushtaq H. Khan Department of Economics SOAS, University of London

What are the critical governance goals?

Successful resource mobilization and sustained growth in developing countries depends on identifying specific market and government failures that are immediate constraints

A viable strategy should identify governance reforms that are targeted, narrowly defined, and plausibly achievable in a policy cycle

These will differ from country to country because their initial conditions and dominant market failures are different, as are their institutional and political capacities to address these

Narrowly defined governance goals that address specific market failures should be identified in national development strategies

Page 11: Domestic Resource Mobilization and the Challenge of Governance Prof. Mushtaq H. Khan Department of Economics SOAS, University of London

Examples of market failures affecting resource mobilization

Absence of risk-sharing institutions prevents investment in many potentially profitable sectors in developing countries

In theory good governance would solve the problem by allowing efficient stock markets to mobilize resources from venture capitalists for investment in risky sectors

In reality if we rely on this route we will have to wait for a long time to see any significant effects

The alternative is to explore arrangements where government, banks and business associations work to set up a small number of financial instruments to address this problem, perhaps with joint monitoring and a commitment for enforcement that is credible because it is limited to specific instruments

Page 12: Domestic Resource Mobilization and the Challenge of Governance Prof. Mushtaq H. Khan Department of Economics SOAS, University of London

Focus on specific constraints

General good governance reforms can dissipate effort and can amount to lost opportunities for effective reform

The historical experience of state-citizen relationships in advanced countries suggests that accountability is most likely to develop if governments pledge specific service delivery targets for key taxpaying constituencies

The Paris Declaration on ownership gives developing countries the space to define their own strategies to develop accountability through taxation and service delivery

Anti-corruption strategies should similarly focus on a few narrowly defined areas where corruption affects the implementation of critical national strategies

Page 13: Domestic Resource Mobilization and the Challenge of Governance Prof. Mushtaq H. Khan Department of Economics SOAS, University of London

Pragmatic governance strategies

Success can be replicated and scaled up but a big failure can cause demoralization for years to come

Governance priorities should be narrowly defined and feasible

They should be linked to specific targets and priorities identified in national development strategies

It is better to be too conservative and start with very modest programmes

General lip service to good governance or even worse a prioritization of ambitious good governance programmes are unlikely to make an impact on resource mobilization