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March 2015
Doing Business in Brazil
Lauro Fiuza, JrVice President of ABEEólica
Top 10 Cummulative Capacity 2014
2
2012
15th
2.5 GW
2013
13th
3.4 GW
2014
10th
5.9 GW
1 China 114.76
2 USA 65.88
3 Germany 39.16
4 Spain 22.99
5 India 22.46
6 UK 12.44
7 Canada 9.69
8 France 9.28
9 Italy 8.66
10 Brazil 5.96
11 Sweden 5.42
12 Portugal 4.91
13 Denmark 4.84
14 Poland 3.83
15 Australia 3.81
16 Turkey 3.76
17 Romania 2.95
18 Poland 2.80
19 Japan 2.79
20 Mexico 2.38
Source: GWEC/ABEEólica
2012
8th
1.08 GW
2013
7th
0.95 GW
2014
4th
2.50 GW
Top 10 New Installed Capacity 2014
3
4th
position
Source: GWEC/ABEEólica
Accumulated Installed Capacity (MW)
44Source: ABEEólica
Capacity
already
contracted
(16.5 GW)
Capacity Contracted Additional Capacity (EPE) Additional Capacity (Sector)Forecast Forecast
Growth of Capacity Contracted and Forecast (MW)
5Source: ABEEólica/MME/EPE
Installed Capacity
66
4 (88.0 MW)
Piauí
13 (69.0 MW)
Paraíba
8 (104.7 MW)
Pernambuco
1 (34.5 MW)
Sergipe
1 (28.0 MW)
Rio de Janeiro
1 (2.5 MW)
Paraná
80% Renewable 20% Nonrenewable
83 (2,345.2 MW)
Rio Grande do Norte
1
45 (1,256.3 MW)
Ceará
2
40 (1,049.0 MW)
Bahia
4
43 (1,148.5 MW)
Rio Grande do Sul
3
13 (238.5 MW)
Santa Catarina
5
Able to Operate plants: 11 (310.8 MW)
Source: ABEEólica
Energy Auctions
7
Results – Auctions of 2014
AuctionContracted
(MW)
MaximumPrice
($/MWh)
AveragePrice
($/MWh)
Negativegoodwill
(%)
Investment(in billions)
($/MWh)
CapacityFactor
(%)
WTGestimative
(2MW)
Blades
Estimative
A-3 2014 551.0 59.11 57.76 2.28 1.10 50 276 827
LER 2014 769.1 59.50 58.82 1.15 1.43 43 385 1,154
A-5 2014 926.0 51.89 51.52 0.73 1.58 47 463 1,389
Total 2,246.1 -- -- -- 4.11 -- 1,123 3,369
Average -- 56.84 56.03 1.39% -- 47 -- --
Up
da
ted P
rice
s (
De
c/1
4)
Source: ABEEólica/cceeExchange rate at the auction date.
Auction Results per Year
Energy Auctions (New plants)
All Sources
Energy Auctions (New plants)
Wind Energy
YearCapacity
(GW)
2009 1.81
2010 2.05
2011 2.91
2012 0.28
2013 4.71
2014 2.25
Total 14.00
Annual Average 2.33
Target 2.0
Atypical year
Average without 2012 =
2.7 GW/year
YearCapacity
(GW)
2009 1.88
2010 5.95
2011 5.17
2012 0.57
2013 7.15
2014 7.61
Total 28.32
Annual Average 4.72
Atypical year
Average without 2012 =
5.5 GW/year
Source: ABEEólica/CCEE 8
Wind Power representes 50% of all new PPAs (2009-2014)
• Realization: 04/27/2015
• Sources:
o Wind
o Biomass
• Begin of Energy Supply (Wind): 07/01/2017
• PPA supply period: 20 years
• Registration:
Alternative Source Auction (LFA)
• Realization: 07/24/2015
• Sources:
o Wind
o Small Hydro
o Biomass
o Natural Gas thermal
• Begin of Energy Supply (Wind): 01/01/2018
• PPA supply period: 30 years for Small Hydro
and 20 year for all others
• Registration :
New Energy Auction (A-3)
Auctions - 2015
SourceNumber of
plantsCapacity (MW) %
Wind 475 11,476 60.6%
Small Hydro 15 201 1.1%
Biomass 13 604 3.2%
Natural Gas Thermal 18 6,648 35.1%
TOTAL 521 18,929 100%
SourceNumber of
plantsCapacity (MW) %
Wind 530 12,895 86.2%
Biomass 40 2,067 13.8%
TOTAL 570 14,962 100%
9Source: ABEEólica/MME/EPE
• Realization: 08/14/2015
• Sources:
o Solar
• Begin of Energy Supply (Wind): 08/01/2017
• PPA supply period: 20 years
1st Reserve Energy Auction (LER)
• Realization: 11/13/2015
• Sources:
o Wind
o Solar
• Begin of Energy Supply (Wind): 01/11/2018
• PPA supply period: 20 years
2nd Reserve Energy Auction (LER)
Auctions - 2015
10Source: ABEEólica/MME/EPE
Operating Performance
“On 11/25/2014 there was another record of wind generation at Northeast subsystem, 2,315 MW,
with 81% of capacity factor, representing 21% of total power generation.”
System Operator - ONS
11Source: ABEEólica
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Wind Characteristics in Brazil
12
Northeast South
Wind Direction – Oct, 2013 Wind Direction – Oct, 2013
Wind Speed (m/s) – Oct, 2013 Wind Speed (m/s) – Oct, 2013
Direction Direction
Time (%) Time (%)
Ave
rag
e Sp
ee
d (
m/s
)
Ave
rag
e Sp
ee
d (
m/s
)
Fre
qu
en
cy (
%)
Fre
qu
en
cy (
%)
Source: AMA/EPE
Operating Performance
13Source: ABEEólica
(Without PROINFA)
Average = 43%
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Benefits and Indexes of Wind 2014
3 millions of tons of CO2
avoided
US$ 1.8 billions ofeconomic charges avoided
Exchange rate = US$ 2.35
6 millions ofhouses supplied monthy, average
12 TWh of wind
generation
US$ 6.2 billions wereinvested on wind sector
14Source: ABEEólica/ccee/BNEF
Certificate of Renewable Energy
• Goal: foster energy market generated from renewable and encouraged sources with high performance
in terms of sustainability.
• Types of certification:
➢ Certification of renewable energy generation plants eligible;
➢ Stamp concession facing consumers of certified energy.
15
ElectricalEnergy
Social and environmental
attributes
WindGenerator
Advantages
• Long Term Credit
• BNDES: competitive long terms
• Credit Lines for Manufacturers
• FINAME from BNDES
• Tax Incentives (Federal, State and Municipal)
16
FINAME (Financing for machinery and equipment)
• What is this? FINAME’s resource is earmarked for financing purchase and sales operations and
exports of Brazilian machinery and equipment, as well as imports of goods of the same nature produced
overseas.
• How to get it? There are goals to be achieved gradually to register the equipment as a FINAME
equipment.
Starting Point
• January 1st, 2013
Stage A-2
• July 1st, 2013
Stage A-3
• January 1st, 2014
Stage A-4
• July 1st, 2014*
Stage A-5
• January 1st, 2015*
Stage A-6
• January 1st, 2016
* Some goals of these stages were postpone.
FINAME Rules
Starting Point
(Reach 3 of 4)
•TowerFabrication (70%)
- itself unit or third
parties
•BladesFabrication - itself
unit or third
parties
•Hub Assembly -
itself unit
•Nacell Assembly
- itself unit
Stage A-2
•TowerFabrication (70%)
- itself unit or third
parties
•Hub Assembly
with national
internal
components -
itself unit
•Nacell Assembly
- itself unit
Stage A-3
•TowerFabrication with
national internal
components -
itself unit or third
parties
•BladesFabrication (40%)
- itself unit or third
parties
•Hub Assembly
with national
internal
components -
itself unit
•Nacell Assembly
- itself unit
Stage A-4
•BladesFabrication (50%)
- itself unit or third
parties
•Hub Assembly
with national
internal
components -
itself unit
•Nacell Assembly
- itself unit
Stage A-5
•TowerFabrication with
60% of national
forged - itself unit
or third parties
•BladesFabrication (60%)
- itself unit or third
parties
•Hub Assembly
with national
internal
components -
itself unit
•Nacell Assembly
- itself unit
Stage A-6
•Nacell Assembly
with national
components -
itself unit
Wind portfolio of BNDES - Evolution
19
2,000,000
1,800,000
1,600,000
1,400,000
1,200,000
1,000,000
800,000
600,000
400,000
200,000
Approvals Financing Wind Farms
Forecast 2014: Growth of 15% compared to 2013 approvals
Exch
an
ge ra
te =
US$
2.5
Opportunities
• Local Content Demand
• Consistent Growth of Wind Power within the Power Matrix
• High Demand for Business Services and Consulting
• Independent O&M Players
• Training Programs for Industry Professionals
20
Challenges
• Early Stage Industry
• Labor Opportunities
• Technology
• Adjustment to Brazilian wind conditions
• R&D
• Grid
• Infrastructure
21
Members
22
23
Bons Ventos Aracati
Wind Farm
CONTACT:
Lauro Fiuza Junior
+ 55 11 2368-0680
www.abeeolica.org.br
Thank You!