Does Practical Rationality Constrain Epistemic Rationality

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    Does Practical Rationality Constrain Epistemic Rationality?

    (Forthcoming in Philosophy and Phenomenological

    Researchsymposium on Fantl and McGrath Knowledge in

    an Uncertain World)

    I The Direct Argument

    An issue that looms large in contemporary

    epistemology concerns the relationship between knowledge

    and practical rationality. Jeremy Fantl and Matt McGrath

    provide the most in-depth and rigorous discussion of this

    issue. Their book is an impressive achievement and Ilearned much from studying it.

    Fantl and McGrath (F&M) defend a general principle

    linking knowledge and rational justificationboth practical

    and theoretical:

    KJ: If you know that p, then p is warranted enough to justify

    you in !-ing, for any !. (66)

    For F&M, the justification component of knowledge is

    carrying the theoretical load. Thus they endorse

    JJ: If you are justified in believing that p, then p is warranted

    enough to justify you in !-ing, for any !.(99)

    While I am unclear about whether KJ is true, I am

    inclined to think JJ is false. Most of the discussion of these

    issues has centered on cases that pull intuitions in one

    direction or the other. To their credit, F&M set out to move

    the discussion beyond intuitive judgments about cases.

    They construct a principled argument in defense of JJ.

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    The direct argument" attempts to derive JJ from

    fundamental principles, some of which are analogues of the

    principles used in their argument for KJ. The principle I will

    focus on is central to the argument for KJ and JJ:

    The Unity Thesis: If p is warranted enough to be a reason

    you have to believe that q, for any q, then p is warranted

    enough to be a reason you have to !, for any !.

    It is uncontroversial that theoretical reasons can

    constrain practical reasons. But according to the Unity

    Thesis, practical reasons can constrain theoretical reasons.

    F&M begin by commenting on how we do in fact reason:

    "On a hike, you come to a frozen pond. Do you walk across

    or walk around the frozen pond? Walking around will take a

    while, but you don't want to fall though the ice. How do you

    decide? The crucial issue is whether the ice is thick enough

    to hold you. Suppose you do some checking (you call the

    park authorities) and come to know that the ice is thick

    enough. So the ice is thick enough becomes a reason you

    have to believe other things (e.g. that it is perfectly safe to

    cross it). It would then be very odd not to allow this

    knowledge into your practical reasoning" (73-4)

    F&M argue that as a matter of fact we do not typically

    segregate our reasons for believing and our reasons for

    acting. But they concede that, as a psychological matter, it

    might be possible to do so, e.g., for you to count the ice is

    thick enoughas a reason to believe you will cross safely,

    while at the same time not treating the ice is thick enoughas

    a reason to cross the ice. In their view, however, segregating

    your reasons in this way would be irrational:

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    When p becomes available as a basis for theoretical

    conclusions, it is 'barmy' to ignore p in one's decision-making

    and planning".

    While I agree that in general, reasons for believing will

    (in the relevant sense) be reasons for acting, matters are

    somewhat different when we consider cases with massively

    asymmetrical stakes:

    Suppose crossing the ice rather than walking around the

    pond would save at most a few minutes (and saving the few

    minutes counts for almost nothing). Suppose further that the

    water is deep enough so that if you break through the ice,

    you will certainly drown. When the stakes are so

    asymmetrical, the Unity Thesis seems to run into trouble.

    Consider the proposition:

    Thick: The ice is enough to support your weight.

    On the basis of the testimony of the park authorities, is

    sufficiently warranted to be a reason you have to believe that

    if you cross the ice, it will not break.1But is Thicksufficiently

    warranted to be a reason you have to cross? It would seem

    not. You have everything to lose, and virtually nothing to

    gain. Why risk your life in order to gain a few minutes?2

    The preceding strikes me as the correct way to

    describe the case. The testimony of the park authorities

    makes it rational for you to believe that if you cross, the ice

    1If reasons must be true, we can stipulate that is true.2Note that one cannot hold that Thick issufficiently warranted to be a reason you have to

    cross, but that it is not a good enough reason to justify crossing. Given the specifications

    of the case, Thick is certainly a strong enough reason. Were you certain of Thick, itwould be rational for you to cross. So the problem has to be that it is insufficiently

    warranted to be a reason for you to cross.

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    will hold you. But the asymmetrical stakes makes it irrational

    for you to cross. If so, then the Unity Thesis fails. Of course

    F&M would resist this description of the case. They would

    agree that Thickis not sufficiently warranted to be a reason

    for you to cross. But they would also hold that neither is

    Thicksufficiently warranted to be a reason for you to believe

    that if you cross, the ice will not break. On their view, it

    would be barmy for you to appeal to Thickas a reason to

    believe but not to appeal to it as a reason to act. F&M point

    out (in correspondence) that the situation as I describe it,

    would license your saying (or simply believing) seemingly

    crazy things.

    To see this, we need to make the familiar distinction

    between there being a reason for you to do !, and your

    having that reason to do !. In the case we have been

    discussing, Thickis a reason for you to cross the ice. This

    remains true whether or not you possess Thickas a reason

    to cross the ice. On my description of the case, you are

    justified in believing Thick. Now suppose, as F&M suggest,

    we stipulate that you justifiably believe that Thickis a reason

    for you to cross the ice. Finally, if as I hold, Thickis not a

    reason you have to cross the ice, then this is something you

    could recognize. But that means you could be justified in

    believing:

    Strange: The ice is thick enough, and that is a reason for me

    to cross, but I do not have that reason.

    Admittedly, this result is somewhat jarring. How could you be

    justified in believing Strange? I will argue that independently

    motivated principles about the structure of reasons can

    explain how.

    Jonathan Weisberg has defended the following

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    principle:

    No-feedback: If one reasons from premise P to conclusion C

    via lemma L, then if p does not by itself support C, the

    inference from C to L is unjustified.3

    This is a very plausible principle. The main idea is that you

    cannot increase the justificatory power of your evidence

    simply by making inferences from it.4Suppose your evidence

    supports some lemma to just above the threshold for rational

    justification. Even if that lemma is a good inductive reason

    to believe some further conclusion, inferring the conclusion

    from the lemma could result in that conclusion having a level

    of justification below the threshold. This means that we

    cannot allow that any inductively good inference from a

    lemma we justifiably believe yields a justified conclusion.

    According to No-Feedback, the conclusion will be justified

    only if the original evidence supports it.

    Note that as a consequence of No-Feedback, the

    following situation could arise. On the basis of some P, you

    are justified in believing some lemma L, where L is a reason

    to believe C. If you are justified in believing L is a reason to

    believe C, then you will be justified in believing L, and that L

    is a reason to believe C. But you may still be justified in

    believing that you do not have that reason. This is an

    epistemic analogue of (Strange). For example, suppose you

    justifiably believe, on the basis of the muddy footprints

    matching his shoe size, that the butler did it. But the muddy

    footprints just barely justify you in believing this. Suppose

    further that the butler did it is a good inductive reason to

    3Bootstrapping in GeneralPhilosophy and Phenomenological Research 81, 2010. I

    have simplified the statement of the principle for current purposes.4Weisberg argues, correctly I think, that the principle blocks bootstrapping reasoning.

    Unfortunately, the Dogmatist is committed to rejectingNo-feedback.

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    believe that the maid knows who did it. You might

    nonetheless fail to be justified in believing that the made

    knows who did it. That is to say, you could be justified in

    believing

    Strange-epistemic: The butler did it, and that is a reason for

    me to believe that the maid knows about it. But I do not

    have that reason.

    You do not have The butler did it as a reason because it is

    not sufficiently warranted to justify you in believing that the

    maid knows who did it. So when there is epistemic feedback,

    one can end up with justification for epistemic analogues of

    Strange.5

    In No-Feedback, the conclusion C is a belief. But we

    also reason to practical conclusions--intentions or actions. I

    see no reason why we should not generalize NF to apply to

    practical conclusions as well:

    Practical No-Feedback: If one reasons from premises P to

    an intention to act I via lemma L, then if P does not by itself

    support I, then the inference from L to I is unjustified.6

    Practical No-Feedbackshould be as plausible as

    Theoretical No-Feedback. The point of No-Feedbackis that

    if one's initial premise does not support one's practical

    conclusion, then neither does any lemma one might infer

    from one's initial premise. This remains true whether the

    conclusion is a belief inferred directly from the lemma, or

    whether it is an intention inferred from the lemma in

    5This also demonstrates the failure of F&Ms principle (J

    KR for belief) p98

    6We can remain neutral on whether the conclusion of a practical inference is an intention

    or an action.

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    analogues of Strange. I can see no reason to suppose that

    you could be justified in believing Strange-epistemic but not

    Strange. I conclude that the Unity Thesisis false.

    II Outright Belief

    My argument against the Unity Thesisraises issues

    about the nature of binary or outright belief. On a certain

    view of outright belief, my description of the case seems to

    be incoherent. F&M call it The Strong Pragmatic View of

    belief:

    (SPV) You believe that p iff your credence for p is high

    enough for p to be your motivating reason for !-ing for all

    !.(137)8

    A consequence of SPVis that in the asymmetrical stakes

    version of the frozen pond case, you fail to outright believe

    Thick. Given those stakes, your credence for Thickis not

    sufficient to motivate you to cross the ice. And if you do not

    believe Thick, you do not justifiably believe Thick.

    The issues concerning the nature of outright belief are

    too complex for a thorough treatment in this symposium

    piece. What I can do is point out a reason to be worried

    about the correctness of (SPV). Then I will sketch an

    alternative account according to which you do outright

    believe Thickin the asymmetrical stakes case.

    The reason to be worried about (SPV) is that it has the

    consequence that what you believe depends on what you

    prefer.9Suppose in the asymmetrical stakes case, I get

    7 F&M favor SPV, though they do not explicitly endorse it. They also distinguish it from

    what they call weak pragmatic belief.9 Jacob Ross and March Schroeder raise this problem in Belief, Credence, and

    Pragmatic EncroachmentPhilosophy and Phenomenological Research, forthcoming.

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    depressed and stop caring whether I fall through the ice and

    drown.10 According to (SPV), under this scenario I do

    outright believe Thick, because my new preference structure

    has eliminated the massive asymmetry in the stakes. With

    my new preferences, my credence for Thickis high enough

    for it to be my motivating reason to cross the ice. I will save

    time, and it is no longer a priority for me not to fall through

    the ice. So before the change in my preferences, the

    strength of my credence was insufficient for me to count as

    believing Thick. After the change, even though my credence

    for Thickremains unchanged--the strength of my credence

    has not increased--I now count as believing Thick. The mere

    fact that I have stopped caring so much about whether I

    drown entails that I now believe Thick. This strikes me as

    extremely implausible.

    Now consider the view that part of the functional role of

    outright belief is to (defeasibly) dispose one to treat P as true

    in ones reasoning.11 On this account, your outright believing

    disposes you to treat Thickas true in your reasoning. But

    the disposition is defeasible. So while in the normal course of

    events, you will treat Thickas true in your reasoning, in

    cases where the risk of acting on Thickis too great, this

    disposition gets defeated. In these circumstances, you will

    treat Thickonly as probable in your reasoning. But the

    defeasible disposition remains, even when it is defeated.

    Thus, despite the fact that under these circumstances you

    are not treating Thickas true in your reasoning, you continue

    10 It is not clear to me whether SPVrequire rationalmotivation. If so, and we assume

    depression is irrational, we can assume that the preferences change rationally, or at least,

    not irrationally.11

    Versions of this view have been held by various people, though I borrow this

    formulation from Jacob Ross and Mark Schroeder, ibid.

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    to outright believe 12

    III The Subtraction Argument.

    F&Ms` "Subtraction Argument" purports to derive JJ

    from KJ. If the Unity Thesis fails, then so does the argument

    for KJ. I do however think that KJ is more plausible than JJ

    on its own terms. For this reason, it would be of interest if JJ

    could be derived from KJ.

    The Subtraction Argument has three steps:

    (S1) If you know that p, then p is warranted enough to justify

    you in !-ing for any !(KJ).

    (S2) Holding fixed knowledge-level justification, while

    subtracting from knowledge any combination of truth, belief,

    or being ungettiered makes no difference to whether p is

    warranted enough to justify you in !-ing, for any !.

    Therefore

    (S3) If P is knowledge-level justified, then p is warranted

    enough to justify you in !-ing, for any !.

    The crucial premise in the subtraction argument is (S2). F&M

    argue for it by considering a case where you are freezing

    12 I am not sure weather the right way to think of outright belief on this view is as a

    defeasibledisposition. That is how Ross and Schroeder describe it. But couldnt your

    having a disposition to treat P as true in your reasoning just amount to the followingcondition being defeasibily true: If P is relevant to your reasoning, you will treat P as

    true? One such defeater would be massively asymmetrical stakes. So if P is relevant toyour reasoning and the stakes are massively asymmetrical, you may not treat P as true. I

    confess that I am not competent enough about the metaphysics of dispositions to have aview about this.

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    cold and see a barn close ahead on the right. There is

    another barn much further ahead on the left. They note that

    because you want to get out of the cold as soon as you can,

    if you know there is a close barn on the right (and

    presumably, there are no countervailing considerations),

    then there is a barn on the rightis warranted enough to

    justify you in heading toward the barn on the right (rather

    than the distant barn on the left). This remains true even if

    there is instead a barn replica on the left and so you are

    gettiered and fail to know there is a barn on the right.

    Similarly if there is no barn on the right but merely a facade,

    you are still justified in heading toward the barn on the right.

    Even if, despite your evidence, you fail to believe there is a

    barn on the right, you remain justified in heading toward the

    barn on the right.

    These intuitive considerations are taken by F&M to

    support (S2). By definition, if you know p, you have

    knowledge-level justification for p. KJ says that if you know

    p, then p is warranted enough to justify you in !-ing for any !.

    The subtraction argument says that subtracting truth, belief

    and being ungettiered, you remain warranted enough to

    justify you in !-ing, for any !. Thus, knowledge-level

    justification for p makes p sufficiently warranted to justify you

    in !-ing for any !.

    As I see it, the main problem with the subtraction

    argument hinges on the notion of being ungettiered. What

    is it to be ungettiered? The only way to define being

    gettiered", without solving the Gettier problem, is this: You

    are gettiered just in case you have justified true belief that

    isn't knowledge. (Indeed the title of Gettier's paper is "Is

    justified true belief knowledge?).

    But this definition raises the question whether the

    existence of high stakes can be a gettier condition? This

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    would be ruled out only if it were impossible for the stakes to

    be high enough to rule out knowledge, without ruling out

    knowledge-level justification. Because the subtraction

    argument attempts to derive the stakes-sensitivity of

    knowledge-level justification from the stakes sensitivity of

    knowledge, it would be question-begging to assume this at

    the outset.

    If you can be gettiered by high stakes, then in order to

    subtract your being ungettiered, while holding fixed your

    knowledge-level justification, we would have to assume that

    the stakes are high enough to preclude knowledge, even

    given your knowledge-level justification. But high stakes

    undermine knowledge by blocking justification for acting.

    Thus you will have knowledge-level justification for p, with

    insufficient warrant for p to justify you in acting. So (S3) will

    not follow.

    Are there other ways of defining being gettiered" that

    exclude high stakes? F&M, at different, places talk about

    "Gettier luck" conditions as well as "truth-relevant"

    conditions. Neither of these specifications is precise enough

    to capture all the conditions discussed in the Gettier

    literature, but no matter. The problem remains. The

    subtraction process begins with stakes low enough for you to

    know P and thus low enough for P to be sufficiently

    warranted to justify you in !-ing. Now suppose we subtract,

    in addition to truth and belief, all the additional truth-

    relevant/no-luck conditions for knowledge. Presumably, low

    (enough) stakes is not a truth-relevant/luck condition. (If it

    were, the subtraction process would result in stakes high

    enough to prevent P from being sufficiently warranted to

    justify you in !-ing and (S3) would not follow). So after the

    subtraction process, low (enough) stakes will remain. But

    then all that follows is:

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    (S3') If P is knowledge-level justified and the stakes are low

    enough for knowing, then p is warranted enough to justify

    you in !-ing, for any !.

    (S3') is weaker than (S3). Just because knowledge-level

    justification for p ensures that p is sufficiently warranted to

    justify acting when the stakes are low enough for knowing, it

    doesn't follow that knowledge-level justification ensures that

    p is sufficiently warranted to justify acting when the stakes

    are too high for knowing. Again, the argument assumes that

    one cannot have knowledge level-justification for P when the

    stakes are too high for knowing. In essence, the subtraction

    argument overlooks the possibility that low enough stakes is

    an independent condition for knowledge.

    Stewart Cohen

    University of Arizona