2
Daily 27th October 2011 Market Indices Market Performance 27.10.2011 25.10.2011 %Chg. ASPI 6,324 6,346 -0.4 MPI 5,651 5,654 -0.1 Turnover (mn) 533.8 700.1 -23.8 Foreign Purchases (mn) 140.4 97.6 43.8 Foreign Sales (mn) 76.2 72.6 5.0 Traded Companies 214 220 -2.7 Market PER (X) 16.3 16.3 0.0 Market Cap (LKR bn) 2,273 2,279 -0.3 Market Cap (US$ bn) 20.5 20.5 -0.3 Dividend Yield (%) 1.7 1.7 0.0 Price to Book (X) 2.1 2.1 0.0 Market Outlook Gainers /Losers (%) Significant Trades (Turnover in LK R Mn) Global Markets Interest Rates & Currencies Index %Chg. 27.10.2011 Sri Lanka - ASPI 6324 -0.35 Prime Lending Rate (Avg. Weighted) 9.2% India - Sensex N/A N/A Deposit Rate (Avg. Weighted) 6.5% Pakistan - KSE 100 11283 -0.91 Treasury Bill Rate (360 Days) 7.3% Taiwan Weighted 7565 0.39 Dollar Denominated Bond Rate 6.3% Singapore - Straits Times 2848 2.80 LKR/US$ (Avg. Rate) 111.1 Hong Kong - Hang Seng 19689 3.26 LKR/EURO (Avg. Rate) 156.0 Disclaimer     D    N    H    M    A    R    K    E    T    W    A    T    C    H 0 50 100  JKH TFIL HVA RCL 11.9 10.0 7.7 6.5 -11.3 -9.6 -9.1 -9.0 KotagalaPlantations Infrastructure Developers Colombo Dockyard Citizens Development (X) Bogala Graphite Talawakelle Tea Estates SMB Leasing (W0015) Union Assurance 5,500 5,700 5,900 6,100 6,300 6,500 6,700        2        0         /        1        0         /        2        0        1        1        2        1         /        1        0         /        2        0        1        1        2        4         /        1        0         /        2        0        1        1        2        5         /        1        0         /        2        0        1        1        2        7         /        1        0         /        2        0        1        1 ASI MPI DNH Financial (Pvt) Ltd. www.dnhfinancial.com +94115700777 This Reviewis pr epa redand issu ed by DNH Fin anc ial (Pv t.) Ltd . (DNH) bas ed oninfor mation in thepubli c do main, int ern all y dev elo pedand oth er sou rce s, bel ieved tobe cor rect. Alth ough allreaso nable car e ha s beentakentoensur e the con ten ts of the Revieware acc urate,DNH and/o r itsDirec tor s, emp loy ees,are not resp onsible  fo r thecorre ctness, us efulne ss, rel iab ilit y of same. DNH mayact as a Bro kerin the inv est men ts which ar e the sub jectof this documentor relatedinvestme nts and ma y have ac ted on or us ed the informat ion cont ai ne d in th is do cument , or the resear ch or an al ys is on which it is base d, before its pu bl icat ion. DN H an d/ or its  pr inc ipa l , the ir res pe ctive Dir ect or s, orEmplo yee s may als o hav e a posit ionor be oth erwiseinterest ed in theinve stment s ref err ed to in this document. Thi s is not an off er to sell or buythe inv est men ts ref err ed to in thi s do cument . This Rev iew maycont ain data whi ch ar e inaccu rat e andunre liable. You her ebywaive irrevocably an y ri gh ts or re me di es in la w or equity you ha ve or ma y ha ve ag ai nst DNH w it h re sp e ct to th e R ev ie w and ag re e to inde mn if y a n d ho ld DN H an d/o r i ts  pri nc ipal , th eir re spect ive di re ct or s an d empl oy ees ha rmles s to the full est extent al lowed by law re gard ing al l ma tters re late d to yo ur us e of th is Re vi ew. DNH  Fin anci al is a fullyowned subsid iaryof Env iron ment al Resou rcesInvestmentPLC (ERI). The ma rket cont inued to sl id e down wa rd s wi th the AS PI an d MP I losi ng 0. 35 % an d 0. 06 % re specti ve ly to cl ose th e trading session at 6,324 and 5,651. Turnover was dis app oin ti ng decl ini ng to LKR 53 4 bn wit h tr adi ng in Joh n Keells Holdings, Trade Finance and HVA Foods acco unting for 30% of the day’s total. Losers outpaced gai ners with Boga la Grap hite, Tala wakelle Plan tati ons and SMB Le as ing (W00 15 ) decl ining by 11 .3%, 9. 6% and 9.1% offset ting adva nces in Kotag ala Plan tati ons, Infra str uctur e Developers and Colombo Dockyard which rose by 11 .9%, 10.0% and 7.7 % respectiv ely . Newly debute d Tr ade Fi na nce and Investment Lt d whic h ha d an IPO issue price of LKR20/- mea nwh ile ope ned at LKR 23 /-, rea ched a hig h of LKR 26/ - befo re cl o si n g at LKR20/- with a tot al of 2.3 mi ll ion sha res traded . Glo ba l m arket s tr ade d largel y hi gher on expectations that European poli cyma ke rs ma y re ach an ag re ement on tackli ng th e Gree k de bt cr isis and amidst heightened spe culation that China will ease monetary policies. Going into the budget season, we expect a number of themes to emer ge over the next couple of we eks whic h wi ll sha pe market tr aje cto ry; vol atilit y in the glo bal mar ket s as they co ntinue to ca pitulate to US andEurozone debt ten sio n, str ong 3Q2 011 cor por ate res ult s rel eas es sho win g a si gnif icant increa se in the qual it y of earnings , decl ining PE and PEG valuat ion s whi ch should tr igger med iumterm buying interest. The convergence of all these fact ors will provide the perf ect ba ckdr op for the Sr i La nka bo urse to comme nce its re- rati n g des pi te the fa ct tha t th e re could be spo radic bu mps along the wa y as we cl imb an upwa rd slope. For those investors that have a hybrid por tfolio with ex po sur e to bot h lo ca l and in ter na tio nal eq uit ies , the curr ent glob al mar ket envir onment prov ides a uniqu e opp or tun ity to botto m fis h acr oss the eme rg ing mar ket s spa ce as it is hig hly li kel y th at the m os t ma rket s ha ve ove r -reacted on the downside leaving a number of ex tr emel y at tr active stocks . In ei th er ca se , we advise in ve stor s to bu ild a port folio of both core and dy na mi c stocks

DNH Market Watch Daily 27.10.2011

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Page 1: DNH Market Watch Daily 27.10.2011

8/3/2019 DNH Market Watch Daily 27.10.2011

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/dnh-market-watch-daily-27102011 1/1

Daily

27th October 2011Market Indices Market Performance27.10.2011 25.10.2011 %Chg.

ASPI 6,324 6,346 -0.4MPI 5,651 5,654 -0.1Turnover (mn) 533.8 700.1 -23.8Foreign Purchases (mn) 140.4 97.6 43.8Foreign Sales (mn) 76.2 72.6 5.0Traded Companies 214 220 -2.7Market PER (X) 16.3 16.3 0.0Market Cap (LKR bn) 2,273 2,279 -0.3Market Cap (US$ bn) 20.5 20.5 -0.3Dividend Yield (%) 1.7 1.7 0.0Price to Book (X) 2.1 2.1 0.0

Market Outlook

Gainers /Losers (%)

Significant Trades (Turnover in LKR Mn)

Global Markets Interest Rates & CurrenciesIndex %Chg. 27.10.2011

Sri Lanka - ASPI 6324 -0.35 Prime Lending Rate (Avg. Weighted) 9.2%India - Sensex N/A N/A Deposit Rate (Avg. Weighted) 6.5%Pakistan - KSE 100 11283 -0.91 Treasury Bill Rate (360 Days) 7.3%Taiwan Weighted 7565 0.39 Dollar Denominated Bond Rate 6.3%Singapore - Straits Times 2848 2.80 LKR/US$ (Avg. Rate) 111.1Hong Kong - Hang Seng 19689 3.26 LKR/EURO (Avg. Rate) 156.0

Disclaimer 

 

   D   N   H

   M   A   R   K   E   T   W

   A   T   C   H

0

50

100

 JKH TFIL HVA RCL

11.9

10.0

7.7

6.5

-11.3

-9.6

-9.1

-9.0

Kotagala Plantations

Infrastructure Developers

Colombo Dockyard

Citizens Development (X)

Bogala Graphite

Talawakelle Tea Estates

SMB Leasing (W0015)

Union Assurance

5,500

5,700

5,900

6,100

6,300

6,500

6,700

       2       0        /       1       0        /       2       0       1       1

       2       1        /       1       0        /       2       0       1       1

       2       4        /       1       0        /       2       0       1       1

       2       5        /       1       0        /       2       0       1       1

       2       7        /       1       0        /       2       0       1       1

ASI

MPI

DNH Financial (Pvt) Ltd.www.dnhfinancial.com+94115700777 

This Reviewis preparedand issued by DNH Financial (Pvt.) Ltd. (DNH) based oninformation in thepublic domain, internally developedand other sources, believed 

tobe correct. Although allreasonable care has beentaken toensure the contents of the Revieware accurate,DNH and/or itsDirectors, employees,are not responsible

 for thecorrectness, usefulness, reliability of same. DNH mayact as a Brokerin the investments which are the subjectof this documentor relatedinvestments and 

may have acted on or used the information contained in this document, or the research or analysis on which it is based, before its publication. DNH and/or its

 principal , their respective Directors, orEmployees may also have a positionor be otherwiseinterested in theinvestments referred to in this document. This is not an

offer to sell or buythe investments referred to in this document. This Review maycontain data which are inaccurate andunreliable. You herebywaive irrevocablyany rights or remedies in law or equity you have or may have against DNH with respect to the Review and agree to indemnify and hold DNH and/or its

 principal, their respective directors and employees harmless to the fullest extent allowed by law regarding all matters related to your use of this Review. DNH 

 Financial is a fullyowned subsidiaryof Environmental ResourcesInvestmentPLC (ERI).

The market continued to slide downwards with the ASPIand MPI losing 0.35% and 0.06% respectively to close the

trading session at 6,324 and 5,651. Turnover wasdisappointing declining to LKR534 bn with trading in JohnKeells Holdings, Trade Finance and HVA Foodsaccounting for 30% of the day’s total. Losers outpacedgainers with Bogala Graphite, Talawakelle Plantations andSMB Leasing (W0015) declining by 11.3%, 9.6% and 9.1%offsetting advances in Kotagala Plantations, InfrastructureDevelopers and Colombo Dockyard which rose by11.9%, 10.0% and 7.7% respectively. Newly debuted TradeFinance and Investment Ltd which had an IPO issue priceof LKR20/- meanwhile opened at LKR23/-, reached a highof LKR26/- before closing at LKR20/- with a total of 2.3million shares traded. Global markets traded largelyhigher on expectations that European policymakers mayreach an agreement on tackling the Greek debt crisis andamidst heightened speculation that China will ease

monetary policies.

Going into the budget season, we expect a number ofthemes to emerge over the next couple of weeks which willshape market trajectory; volatility in the global markets asthey continue to capitulate to US and Eurozone debttension, strong 3Q2011 corporate results releases showinga significant increase in the quality of earnings, decliningPE and PEG valuations which should trigger medium termbuying interest.

The convergence of all these factors will provide theperfect backdrop for the Sri Lanka bourse to commence itsre-rating despite the fact that there could be sporadicbumps along the way as we climb an upward slope.

For those investors that have a hybrid portfolio withexposure to both local and international equities, thecurrent global market environment provides a unique

opportunity to bottom fish across the emerging marketsspace as it is highly likely that the most markets have

over-reacted on the downside leaving a number ofextremely attractive stocks. In either case, we adviseinvestors to build a portfolio of both core and dynamicstocks