Distracted by thought;Where would I be, doing what?If I wasn’t here?

James Rogauskas, Office Haiku

Project Ploughshares

• Canadian Council of Churches

• 35th year• Elimination of nuclear

weapons• Reducing the resort to

military force• Controlling the supply

of arms• Building Sustainable

peace www.ploughshares.ca

    

of years; and it seems unlikely the LRA will be active in Uganda again.

                                                                                                                                                   

Climate Change Impacts

• Where in the world is the greatest potential impact of climate change?

• What are those impacts?

Drivers of Conflicts and War

• Distinguish between conflict and violence

• What are the drivers of war?

Climate Change Impacts and Drivers of War

With respect to drivers of war, is climate change:

•A game changer•An intensifier •Just one more•No measurable consequence

Military Planners and the UN

Paul Rogers on security, climate change, and military strategic planners.

•What are typical military responses to climate change?•What is the role of the United Nations?

Darfur: A specific case

Was Darfur the first climate change war/genocide?

Conflict drivers in Darfur crisis (2003-2005)

Climate Change: game changer, intensifier, just one more driver, no consequence?

Unknown Unknowns:The Tao of Donald Rumsfeld

“In epistemology and decision theory, the term refers to circumstances or outcomes that were not conceived of by an observer at a given point in time.…The term is used in project planning and decision analysis to explain that any model of the future can only be informed by information that is currently available to the observer and, as such, faces substantial limitations and unknown risk.”

Future Gazing

What should we do in response?a)Ultra-low carbon economy – yesterdayb)Geo-engineeringc)Mitigationd)Build ResilienceChildren of alcohol-dependent parents are at greater risk of developing alcohol problems than other children…However, not all children of alcohol-dependent parents develop such tendencies. 60% to 75% do not. Some studies show no problems.