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Why gold is a strange commodity?A A A + <Read>
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he latest research shows that gold can becomeless valuable over the next decade but it is an
investment unpredictable.
Gold is a special commodity because it is considered a safe havenfor investors as the economy fluctuates. Photo: Reuters.
According to Time, Golden inedible, can not heating your house.However, whenever investors feel the global economy changes,demand for gold will rise.
Consider recent events in China. Beijing adjust yuan exchangerate in an effort to increase export competitiveness.
Meanwhile, gold prices rose by 3%, from $ 1,087 / ounce to $1,116. Nonetheless, this level is still lower than the $ 1,900 mark /ounce set in 8/2011, the US economy slowly recovers.
So we should think how the price of gold and why this metal isstrange commodity?
The price is affected by investor sentiment
Gold is a commodity easily increase and decrease in the short andmediumterm, depending on the economy.
SPDR Gold Shares taken, the trust level in the world big yellowowns a warehouse and store gold, for example, can be seen veryclearly.
In the past year, gold output of Trusts world's second largest goldfell 1%, the same as the domestic economy added jobs for thepeople.
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Economy » World MarketsSend 7:52 am | 19/08/2015
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"It was a lack of interest from US investors into gold because it isnot done anything for you," the portfolio manager for preciousmetals and minerals America Dan Denbow said.
With the S & P 500 rose 10% in the past 12 months, there is littlegood news for the metal industry.
Another proof is that when China moves to raise the currency ofthis country, the demand for gold is rising quickly lost.
Along with the dollar value
The dollar strengthened as a barrier for gold investors.
With signs that the Fed will raise shortterm interest rates later thisyear or early 2016, US investors do not really excited about goldas the greenback.
Dan Denbow quick to point this out. However, gold is still a goodinvestment for some people, in each certain conditions.
Like in Canada, since the weakening of the domestic currency,metal holders have enjoyed the added value of up to 10%.
Gold prices unsustainable
Archive gold as a barrier against rising price wise. "In the year562 BCE, during the reign of the Babylonian kingNebuchadnezzar, an ounce of gold bought 350 loaves of bread.
For now, each loaf is only $ 3.14, an ounce of gold can buy a lot,"said Professor Campbell Harvey finance at Duke University, coauthor of Constant gold, said.
And in 10 years, the price of gold will be able to go down veryfast, Harvey and coauthor Claude Erb said. Both calculate that thevalue of gold is reasonable 825 USD / ounce.
However, this metal can fall to lower opening 350 USD / ounce ifsold off.
Golden Satellite
If you're collecting gold, the advice given is not to invest too muchin this metal.
Even Denbow, investment fund managers said gold bullion shouldnever account for more than 10% rate of one commodityinvestors.
"We told investors that gold is to diversify, for those rainy days.And so if everything goes well, you should not spend too muchtime.
However, this metal will always be ready for the occurrence thatinvestors did not know what to put money into, "he said.
When fear has been increased in 2008, up 5% SPDR Gold Sharesgold holdings during the stock market fell 37% and generalmerchandise funds fell 33%.
Therefore, under Denbow, do not be surprised if gold pricescontinue to fall in the near future.
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