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© OECD/IEA 2017 Digitalisation and Energy: a spotlight on industry IEA Workshop on Energy Management Systems and Digital Technologies Araceli Fernandez, 12 December 2017 IEA

Digitalisation and Energy: a spotlight on industry · Sources: Based on BNEF (2017), Utilities, Smart Thermostats and the Connected Home Opportunity; Holdowsky et al. (2015), Inside

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Page 1: Digitalisation and Energy: a spotlight on industry · Sources: Based on BNEF (2017), Utilities, Smart Thermostats and the Connected Home Opportunity; Holdowsky et al. (2015), Inside

© OECD/IEA 2017

Digitalisation and Energy: a spotlight

on industry

IEA Workshop on Energy Management Systems and Digital Technologies

Araceli Fernandez, 12 December 2017

IEA

Page 2: Digitalisation and Energy: a spotlight on industry · Sources: Based on BNEF (2017), Utilities, Smart Thermostats and the Connected Home Opportunity; Holdowsky et al. (2015), Inside

© OECD/IEA 2017

Digital technologies are everywhere….

Page 3: Digitalisation and Energy: a spotlight on industry · Sources: Based on BNEF (2017), Utilities, Smart Thermostats and the Connected Home Opportunity; Holdowsky et al. (2015), Inside

© OECD/IEA 2017

Which line shows the cost decline of sensors?

0

20

40

60

80

100

2008 2010 2012 2014 2016

2008 = 100

Page 4: Digitalisation and Energy: a spotlight on industry · Sources: Based on BNEF (2017), Utilities, Smart Thermostats and the Connected Home Opportunity; Holdowsky et al. (2015), Inside

© OECD/IEA 2017

Drivers of digitalization: data, analytics, and connectivity

Since 2008, data collection, storage, and transmission costs have declined by over 90%

Sources: Based on BNEF (2017), Utilities, Smart Thermostats and the Connected Home Opportunity; Holdowsky et al. (2015), Inside the Internet of Things; IEA (2017), Renewables; Tracking Clean Energy

Progress; World Energy Investment; Navigant Research (2017), Market data: Demand Response. Global Capacity, Sites, Spending and Revenue Forecasts.

0

20

40

60

80

100

2008 2010 2012 2014 2016

2008 = 100

EV batteries

Utility-scale PV

Data storage

Internet bandwidth

Sensors

Page 5: Digitalisation and Energy: a spotlight on industry · Sources: Based on BNEF (2017), Utilities, Smart Thermostats and the Connected Home Opportunity; Holdowsky et al. (2015), Inside

© OECD/IEA 2017

Digital analytics enables the fourth industrial revolution

1784 1870 1969 TODAY

Page 6: Digitalisation and Energy: a spotlight on industry · Sources: Based on BNEF (2017), Utilities, Smart Thermostats and the Connected Home Opportunity; Holdowsky et al. (2015), Inside

© OECD/IEA 2017

Digitalization in industry can take diverse forms

Digital technologies can enable sustainability improvements within industrial plants and beyond the

plant fence

Page 7: Digitalisation and Energy: a spotlight on industry · Sources: Based on BNEF (2017), Utilities, Smart Thermostats and the Connected Home Opportunity; Holdowsky et al. (2015), Inside

© OECD/IEA 2017

Industry has a long history of using digital technologies

Improving productivity and ensuring safety were the main initial drivers of digitalization in industry,

which facilitated process optimisation and energy savings from coupling EMS with digital technologies.

Page 8: Digitalisation and Energy: a spotlight on industry · Sources: Based on BNEF (2017), Utilities, Smart Thermostats and the Connected Home Opportunity; Holdowsky et al. (2015), Inside

© OECD/IEA 2017

Energy savings (left axis) Cumulative investment cost (right axis)

Further energy savings remain from improving process controls in industrial

processes

Improvements to industrial process controls produce substantial energy and associated cost savings

Energy efficiency measures relating to improved process control in small to medium US manufacturers

Source: IAC database

0

100

200

300

400

0

100

200

300

400

1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007 2011 2015

US

D (

2010

) m

illio

n

Cum

ulat

ive

savi

ngs

US

D (

2010

) m

illio

ns

Page 9: Digitalisation and Energy: a spotlight on industry · Sources: Based on BNEF (2017), Utilities, Smart Thermostats and the Connected Home Opportunity; Holdowsky et al. (2015), Inside

© OECD/IEA 2017

Illustrative case study: aircraft component light-weighting

The use of 3D printed components in commercial aircraft could lead to significant material

demand and fuel savings

0

5 000

10 000

15 000

20 000

25 000

Conventional

components

AM components

Tons

Metal demand

in 2050

Aluminium alloys Nickel alloys Titanium alloys Fuel savings

0

250

500

750

1 000

1 250

1 500

1 750

Slow

adoption

Mid-range

adoption

Rapid

adoption

Million GJ

Cumulative aircraft fuel savings

to 2050

Source: Huang et al. (2016)

Page 10: Digitalisation and Energy: a spotlight on industry · Sources: Based on BNEF (2017), Utilities, Smart Thermostats and the Connected Home Opportunity; Holdowsky et al. (2015), Inside

© OECD/IEA 2017

Digital plant twins

Virtual feasibility and durability testing of real process plants can accelerate the innovation cycle

by saving time and resources

Page 11: Digitalisation and Energy: a spotlight on industry · Sources: Based on BNEF (2017), Utilities, Smart Thermostats and the Connected Home Opportunity; Holdowsky et al. (2015), Inside

© OECD/IEA 2017

Connecting supply value chains

Linear supply value chains are evolving into complex, dynamic and connected webs facilitating circular

economy concepts.

Page 12: Digitalisation and Energy: a spotlight on industry · Sources: Based on BNEF (2017), Utilities, Smart Thermostats and the Connected Home Opportunity; Holdowsky et al. (2015), Inside

© OECD/IEA 2017

Pre-digital energy systems are defined by unidirectional flows and distinct roles,

The digital transformation of the energy system

Page 13: Digitalisation and Energy: a spotlight on industry · Sources: Based on BNEF (2017), Utilities, Smart Thermostats and the Connected Home Opportunity; Holdowsky et al. (2015), Inside

© OECD/IEA 2017

Pre-digital energy systems are defined by unidirectional flows and distinct roles,

digital technologies enable a multi-directional and highly integrated energy system

The digital transformation of the energy system

Page 14: Digitalisation and Energy: a spotlight on industry · Sources: Based on BNEF (2017), Utilities, Smart Thermostats and the Connected Home Opportunity; Holdowsky et al. (2015), Inside

© OECD/IEA 2017

Providing system flexibility from the demand side

Digitally-enabled demand response shifts electricity consumption to those hours with a surplus of supply. Demand response programs – in buildings, industry and transport - could provide 185 GW of flexibility,

and avoid USD 270 billion of investment in new electricity infrastructure.

Page 15: Digitalisation and Energy: a spotlight on industry · Sources: Based on BNEF (2017), Utilities, Smart Thermostats and the Connected Home Opportunity; Holdowsky et al. (2015), Inside

© OECD/IEA 2017

Building digital resilience

• To date, cyber disruptions to energy have been small

• But cyber-attacks are become easier and cheaper – malware, ransomware,

phishing / whaling, botnets

• Digitalization also increases the “cyber attack surface” of energy systems

• Full prevention is impossible, but impact can be limited:

- Raised awareness, cyber hygiene, standard setting and staff training

- Coordinated and proactive preparation by companies and governments

- Design digital resilience in technologies and systems

• International efforts can help raise awareness and share best practices

Page 16: Digitalisation and Energy: a spotlight on industry · Sources: Based on BNEF (2017), Utilities, Smart Thermostats and the Connected Home Opportunity; Holdowsky et al. (2015), Inside

© OECD/IEA 2017

1. Build digital expertise within their staff.

2. Ensure appropriate access to timely, robust,

and verifiable data.

3. Build flexibility into policies to accommodate

new technologies and developments.

4. Experiment, including through “learning by

doing” pilot projects.

5. Participate in broader inter-agency

discussions on digitalization.

6. Focus on the broader, overall system benefits.

7. Monitor the energy impacts of digitalization

on overall energy demand.

8. Incorporate digital resilience by design into

research, development and product

manufacturing.

9. Provide a level playing field to allow a variety

of companies to compete and serve

consumers better.

10. Learn from others, including both positive

case studies as well as more cautionary tales.

1. Build digital expertise within their staff.

2. Ensure appropriate access to timely, robust,

and verifiable data.

3. Build flexibility into policies to accommodate

new technologies and developments.

4. Experiment, including through “learning by

doing” pilot projects.

5. Participate in broader inter-agency

discussions on digitalization.

6. Focus on the broader, overall system benefits.

7. Monitor the energy impacts of digitalization

on overall energy demand.

8. Incorporate digital resilience by design into

research, development and product

manufacturing.

9. Provide a level playing field to allow a variety

of companies to compete and serve

consumers better.

10. Learn from others, including both positive

case studies as well as more cautionary tales.

1. Build digital expertise within their staff.

2. Ensure appropriate access to timely, robust,

and verifiable data.

3. Build flexibility into policies to

accommodate new technologies and

developments.

4. Experiment, including through “learning

by doing” pilot projects.

5. Participate in broader inter-agency

discussions on digitalization.

6. Focus on the broader, overall system benefits.

7. Monitor the energy impacts of digitalization

on overall energy demand.

8. Incorporate digital resilience by design into

research, development and product

manufacturing.

9. Provide a level playing field to allow a variety

of companies to compete and serve

consumers better.

10. Learn from others, including both positive

case studies as well as more cautionary tales.

1. Build digital expertise within their staff.

2. Ensure appropriate access to timely, robust,

and verifiable data.

3. Build flexibility into policies to accommodate

new technologies and developments.

4. Experiment, including through “learning by

doing” pilot projects.

5. Participate in broader inter-agency

discussions on digitalization.

6. Focus on the broader, overall system benefits.

7. Monitor the energy impacts of

digitalization on overall energy demand.

8. Incorporate digital resilience by design into

research, development and product

manufacturing.

9. Provide a level playing field to allow a variety

of companies to compete and serve

consumers better.

10. Learn from others, including both positive

case studies as well as more cautionary tales.

1. Build digital expertise within their staff.

2. Ensure appropriate access to timely, robust,

and verifiable data.

3. Build flexibility into policies to accommodate

new technologies and developments.

4. Experiment, including through “learning by

doing” pilot projects.

5. Participate in broader inter-agency

discussions on digitalization.

6. Focus on the broader, overall system benefits.

7. Monitor the energy impacts of digitalization

on overall energy demand.

8. Incorporate digital resilience by design

into research, development and product

manufacturing.

9. Provide a level playing field to allow a variety

of companies to compete and serve

consumers better.

10. Learn from others, including both positive

case studies as well as more cautionary tales.

1. Build digital expertise within their staff.

2. Ensure appropriate access to timely, robust,

and verifiable data.

3. Build flexibility into policies to accommodate

new technologies and developments.

4. Experiment, including through “learning by

doing” pilot projects.

5. Participate in broader inter-agency

discussions on digitalization.

6. Focus on the broader, overall system benefits.

7. Monitor the energy impacts of

digitalization on overall energy demand.

8. Incorporate digital resilience by design into

research, development and product

manufacturing.

9. Provide a level playing field to allow a variety

of companies to compete and serve

consumers better.

10. Learn from others, including both positive

case studies as well as more cautionary tales.

No-regrets policy recommendations

Page 17: Digitalisation and Energy: a spotlight on industry · Sources: Based on BNEF (2017), Utilities, Smart Thermostats and the Connected Home Opportunity; Holdowsky et al. (2015), Inside

© OECD/IEA 2017

iea.org/digital

[email protected]

IEA