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Development of an urban growth modelDevelopment of an urban growth model
funded by EC’s FP7 Marie Curie Fellowship
using high - resolution historical data
Kiril Stanilov, April 2010 CASA
advances in astronomy physics genetics
Kiril Stanilov, April 2010 CASA
advances in astronomy physics genetics
inquiries in urban modeling
Kiril Stanilov, April 2010 CASA
data
Greater London
Kiril Stanilov, April 2010 CASA
data
Greater London
Ordnance Survey County Series 1:2,500
Kiril Stanilov, April 2010 CASA
data
Greater London
Ordnance Survey County Series 1:2,500
Kiril Stanilov, April 2010 CASA
data
Greater London
Ordnance Survey County Series 1:2,500
Kiril Stanilov, April 2010 CASA
data
Greater London
1875 1895 1915 1935 1960 1985 2005
Ordnance Survey County Series 1:2,500
Kiril Stanilov, April 2010 CASA
Land use classification
used in model digitized in GIS interpreted from OS maps used in model digitized in GIS interpreted from OS maps
residential apartments low and mid-rise apartments (2 - 6 stories) commercial old fabric old fabrichigh-rise apartments high-rise apartments (over 6 stories) general generalcottage houses cottage houses retail retailterrace houses terrace houses entertainment public housesmews mews movie housessemi-detached houses semi-detached houses dance hallssmall lot detached houses small lot detached houses garages garagesdetached houses detached houses office officelodges lodge industrial industrial works
inn millshotel wharf
institutional public city hall dockslibrary depotpolice station breweryfire station malthousepost office utilities water workshospital gas worksasylum sewer worksalmshouse recreation parks parkspenitentiary commonsprison greensmuseum cemeteries cemeteriesconvalescent home burial groundsmilitary barracks recreation golf course
educational daycare athletic clubschool recreation groundcollege playgrounduniversity stadia stadia
religious church airports airports airportsconvent transportation roads roadsrectory railway lines railway linespriory water rivers riversfriar canals canalssynagogue soft estates estatestemple farms farmshermitage vacant undeveloped undeveloped
allotment gardens allotment gardensnurseries nurseriescleared cleared
Kiril Stanilov, April 2010 CASA
1875 - 2005 residential uses
terraced housing
semi-detached housing
detached housing
multi – family housing
1875 spatial structure
1875�developmentindustrial�uses
Kiril Stanilov, April 2010 CASA
1895 spatial structure
1875�development
1875�95�developmentindustrial�uses
Kiril Stanilov, April 2010 CASA
1915 spatial structure
1875�development
1875�95�development
1895�15�development
industrial�uses
Kiril Stanilov, April 2010 CASA
1935 spatial structure
1875�development
1875�95�development
1895�15�development
1915�35�development
industrial�uses
Kiril Stanilov, April 2010 CASA
1960 spatial structure
1875�development
1875�95�development
1895�15�development
1915�35�development
1935�60�development
industrial�uses
Kiril Stanilov, April 2010 CASA
1985 spatial structure
1875�development
1875�95�development
1895�15�development
1915�35�development
1935�60�development
1960�85�development
industrial�uses
Kiril Stanilov, April 2010 CASA
2005 spatial structure
1875�development
1875�95�development
1895�15�development
1915�35�development
1935�60�development
1960�85�development
1985�05�development
Kiril Stanilov, April 2010 CASA
industrial�uses
1875 - 95 1895 - 15
1915 - 35 1935 - 60
1960 - 85 1985 - 05
1875 - 2005 land development patterns
nucleation
diffusion
infill
Kiril Stanilov, April 2010 CASA
1875 Distance to roads - arterial
developed�land
arterial�roads
Kiril Stanilov, April 2010 CASA
1875 Distance to roads - connector
developed�land
connector�roads
Kiril Stanilov, April 2010 CASA
distance to cbd
residential�1915�35
Kiril Stanilov, April 2010 CASA
distance to cbd
residential�1915�35
Kiril Stanilov, April 2010 CASA
distance to cbd
residential�1915�35
Kiril Stanilov, April 2010 CASA
1875 Distance to rail stations
residentialcommercial
rail�station
Kiril Stanilov, April 2010 CASA
1895 Distance to rail stations
residentialcommercial
rail�station
Kiril Stanilov, April 2010 CASA
1915 Distance to rail stations
residentialcommercial
rail�station
Kiril Stanilov, April 2010 CASA
1935 Distance to rail stations
residential�development�1915�35rail�station
Kiril Stanilov, April 2010 CASA
1935 Distance to rail stations
residential�1915�35developed�land�1915
rail�station
Kiril Stanilov, April 2010 CASA
Identification of suburban centres
residential
commercial
Kiril Stanilov, April 2010 CASA
1875 - 1935 accessibility
distance to arterial roads
distance to connector roads
distance to rail stations
distance to CBD
Kiril Stanilov, April 2010 CASA
1875 - 95
1915 - 35
1895 - 15
1875 accessibility
rail�station
tram�line
Kiril Stanilov, April 2010 CASA
1875 accessibility
rail�station
tram�line
Kiril Stanilov, April 2010 CASA
modeling urban land use
Kiril Stanilov, March 2010 CASA
1875
2005
modeling urban land use
Kiril Stanilov, March 2010 CASA
1875
2005
modeling urban land use
Kiril Stanilov, March 2010 CASA
Conclusions
Kiril Stanilov, April 2010 CASA
2005 modeled2005 actual
1875
Conclusions
Kiril Stanilov, April 2010 CASA
2005 modeled2005 actual
1875
Conclusions
Kiril Stanilov, April 2010 CASA
2005 modeled2005 actual
1875
Conclusions
1895
modeledactual
Kiril Stanilov, April 2010 CASA
Conclusions
1895
1915
modeledactual
Kiril Stanilov, April 2010 CASA
Conclusions
1895
1915
1935
modeledactual
Kiril Stanilov, April 2010 CASA
Conclusions
1895
1915
1935
1960
modeledactual
Kiril Stanilov, April 2010 CASA