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OIE PROCEDURES FOR THE ENDORSEMENT OF NATIONAL OFFICIAL CONTROL PROGRAMMES
WITH REGARD TO FMD AND PPR18- 20 JULY 2017 KIGALI RWANDA
Dr Karim Tounkara
DEVELOPMENT AND CURRENT FMD AND PPR SITUATION IN THE SUB-
REGIONS OF WESTERN, NORTHERN AND EASTERN AFRICA
Regional Representative for AfricaWorld Organisation for Animal Health (OIE)
World Organisation for Animal Health · Protecting animals, Preserving our future | 2
OUTLINE Infection with Foot and Mouth Disease Virus
- Worldwide situation
- Situation in West, Central, Northern, Eastern and SouthernAfrica with overview on current trend
Infection with Peste des Petits Ruminants Virus
- Worldwide situation
- Situation in West, Central, Northern, Eastern and SouthernAfrica with overview on current trend
World Organisation for Animal Health · Protecting animals, Preserving our future | 3
Infection with foot and mouth disease virus
World Organisation for Animal Health · Protecting animals, Preserving our future | 4
Reported distribution of FMD in 2016 and early 2017, serotype A
(data based on reports received up to 10 May 2017)
23 countries
*Data provided by Morocco
*
World Organisation for Animal Health · Protecting animals, Preserving our future | 5
Reported distribution of FMD in 2016 and early 2017, serotype O
(data based on reports received up to 10 May 2017)
37 countries and territories
*Data provided by Morocco
*
World Organisation for Animal Health · Protecting animals, Preserving our future | 6
Reported distribution of FMD in 2016 and early 2017, serotype Asia 1
(data based on reports received up to 10 May 2017)
4 countries
*Data provided by Morocco
*
World Organisation for Animal Health · Protecting animals, Preserving our future | 7
Reported distribution of FMD in 2016 and early 2017, serotype SAT 1
(data based on reports received up to 10 May 2017)
9 countries
*Data provided by Morocco
*
World Organisation for Animal Health · Protecting animals, Preserving our future | 8
Reported distribution of FMD in 2016 and early 2017, serotype SAT 2
(data based on reports received up to 10 May 2017)
11 countries
*Data provided by Morocco
*
World Organisation for Animal Health · Protecting animals, Preserving our future | 9
*
Reported distribution of FMD in 2016 and early 2017, serotype SAT 3
(data based on reports received up to 10 May 2017)
2 countries
*Data provided by Morocco
World Organisation for Animal Health · Protecting animals, Preserving our future | 10
Reported distribution of FMD in 2016 and early 2017, serotype not specified
(data based on reports received up to 10 May 2017)
18 countries
*Data provided by Morocco
*
World Organisation for Animal Health · Protecting animals, Preserving our future | 11
OIE Member Countries’ official FMD status (last update January 2017)
82 MC are officially recognized as free or
having an FMD free zone
World Organisation for Animal Health · Protecting animals, Preserving our future | 12
Percentage of the reporting countries that notified FMD present
(between 2005 and 2016) (data based on reports received up to 10 May 2017)
y = 2E-05x3 – 0.0011x2 + 0.0146x + 0.2586R² = 0.3759
0%5%10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%50%
020406080
100120140160180200
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2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
% affectedcountries
Number of countries
Countries reporting the disease presentCountries reporting the disease absent% affected reporting countries with 95% C.I.
World Organisation for Animal Health · Protecting animals, Preserving our future | 13
Analysis of WAHIS data
Exploring the regional differences for the occurrence of FMD
World Organisation for Animal Health · Protecting animals, Preserving our future | 14
Methodology (1)Regional analysis of data (2005 – 2016)
Defining regional prevalence in 12 years (countries reporting disease presence/total countries reporting)
0% Oceania
1%Europe
5% The Americas
57% Africa
58% Asia
65% Middle East
Analysis focus in 4 regions
World Organisation for Animal Health · Protecting animals, Preserving our future | 15
Results (1): Percentage of the reporting countries that notified FMD present by region
(between 2005 and 2016)(data based on reports received up to 10 May 2017)
0%
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2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
% of countries with FMD present
Middle East Africa Asia America
World Organisation for Animal Health · Protecting animals, Preserving our future | 16
Western Africa
World Organisation for Animal Health · Protecting animals, Preserving our future | 17
FMD situation in Western Africa1 January 2016 – 11 May 2017
Guinea BissauRecurrence Dec. 2016 (types A,O,SAT1,SAT2)
World Organisation for Animal Health · Protecting animals, Preserving our future | 18
FMD trend in Western Africa2005 – 2016
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
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2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
% affected countriesNumber of countries
Countries reporting the disease presentCountries reporting the disease absent% affected reporting countries
World Organisation for Animal Health · Protecting animals, Preserving our future | 19
Central Africa
World Organisation for Animal Health · Protecting animals, Preserving our future | 20
FMD situation in Central Africa1 January 2016 – 11 May 2017
World Organisation for Animal Health · Protecting animals, Preserving our future | 21
FMD trend in Central Africa2005 – 2016
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
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2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
% affected countriesNumber of countries
Countries reporting the disease presentCountries reporting the disease absent% affected reporting countries
World Organisation for Animal Health · Protecting animals, Preserving our future | 22
Northern Africa
World Organisation for Animal Health · Protecting animals, Preserving our future | 23
FMD situation in Northern Africa1 January 2016 – 11 May 2017
* Information for Western Sahara reported by Morocco
AlgeriaNew strain March 2017
& April 2017 (type A)
TunisiaRecurrence April 2017
(type A)
World Organisation for Animal Health · Protecting animals, Preserving our future | 24
FMD trend in Northern Africa2005 – 2016
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
0
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2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
% affected countriesNumber of countries
Countries reporting the disease presentCountries reporting the disease absent% affected reporting countries
World Organisation for Animal Health · Protecting animals, Preserving our future | 25
Eastern Africa
World Organisation for Animal Health · Protecting animals, Preserving our future | 26
FMD situation in Eastern Africa1 January 2016 – 11 May 2017
World Organisation for Animal Health · Protecting animals, Preserving our future | 27
FMD trend in Eastern Africa2005 – 2016
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
02468
101214161820
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2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
% affected countriesNumber of countries
Countries reporting the disease presentCountries reporting the disease absent% affected reporting countries
World Organisation for Animal Health · Protecting animals, Preserving our future | 28
Southern Africa
World Organisation for Animal Health · Protecting animals, Preserving our future | 29
FMD situation in Southern Africa1 January 2016 – 11 May 2017
AngolaRecurrence May 2016
(type unknown)
Mauritius1st occurrence Aug 2016
(type O)
MozambiqueRecurrence Oct. 2016
(type SAT 2)
ZambiaRecurrence Oct. 2016
(type unknown)
South AfricaRecurrence March 2017
(type SAT 2)
World Organisation for Animal Health · Protecting animals, Preserving our future | 30
FMD trend in Southern Africa2005 – 2016
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
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2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
% affected countriesNumber of countries
Countries reporting the disease presentCountries reporting the disease absent% affected reporting countries
World Organisation for Animal Health · Protecting animals, Preserving our future | 31
Results (2): Sub-regional differences in
Africa
0%
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100%
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2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
% of reporting FMD present in Africa
North South East West Central
79%
27%
37%
64%
76%
World Organisation for Animal Health · Protecting animals, Preserving our future | 32
Conclusion
More than 50% of countries in Africa Region arereporting disease presence
FMD present in all 5 sub regions: clear sub regionaldifference: Northern and Southern better epidemiologicalsituation
Five serotypes: A, O, SAT 1, SAT 2 and SAT 3
World Organisation for Animal Health · Protecting animals, Preserving our future | 33
Infection with peste des petits ruminants virus
World Organisation for Animal Health · Protecting animals, Preserving our future | 34
Reported distribution of PPR in 2016 and early 2017
(data based on reports received up to 10 May 2017)
*Data provided by Morocco
*
Copyright © 2017, World Animal Health Information and Analysis Department – OIE
29% countries/territories
First occurrence in Georgia
January 2016
First occurrence in MongoliaAugust 2016
World Organisation for Animal Health · Protecting animals, Preserving our future | 35
PPR in Mongolia
© Albert Salemgareyev/ABCK
(December 2016)
More than 3000 deaths in Mongolian Saigas (criticallyendangered)
Reinforces the need to investigate the role of wildlife inPPR epidemiology
©Buuveibaatar Bayabaatar/WCS
World Organisation for Animal Health · Protecting animals, Preserving our future | 36
OIE Member Countries’ official status 2016 for PPR
(last update May 2016)
54 Member
Countries
World Organisation for Animal Health · Protecting animals, Preserving our future | 37
Percentage of the reporting countries that notified PPR present
(between 2005 and 2016) (data based on reports received up to 10 May 2017)
y = -0.0004x2 + 0.013x + 0.1516R² = 0.8
020406080100120140160180200
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2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
No. countries% countries
PPR absent PPR present % Affected reporting countries with 95% C.I.Deterioration
World Organisation for Animal Health · Protecting animals, Preserving our future | 38
PPR situation in Western Africa1 January 2016 – 11 May 2017
World Organisation for Animal Health · Protecting animals, Preserving our future | 39
PPR trend in Western Africa2005 – 2016
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2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
% affected countriesNumber of countries
Countries reporting the disease presentCountries reporting the disease absent% affected reporting countries
World Organisation for Animal Health · Protecting animals, Preserving our future | 40
PPR situation in Central Africa1 January 2016 – 11 May 2017
World Organisation for Animal Health · Protecting animals, Preserving our future | 41
PPR trend in Central Africa2005 – 2016
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2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
% affected countriesNumber of countries
Countries reporting the disease presentCountries reporting the disease absent% affected reporting countries
World Organisation for Animal Health · Protecting animals, Preserving our future | 42
PPR situation in Northern Africa1 January 2016 – 11 May 2017
* Information for Western Sahara reported by Morocco
AlgeriaRecurrence Feb 2016
TunisiaRecurrence Aug 2016
World Organisation for Animal Health · Protecting animals, Preserving our future | 43
PPR trend in Northern Africa2005 – 2016
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2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
% affected countriesNumber of countries
Countries reporting the disease presentCountries reporting the disease absent% affected reporting countries
World Organisation for Animal Health · Protecting animals, Preserving our future | 44
PPR situation in Eastern Africa1 January 2016 – 11 May 2017
World Organisation for Animal Health · Protecting animals, Preserving our future | 45
PPR trend in Eastern Africa2005 – 2016
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
02468
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2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
% affected countriesNumber of countries
Countries reporting the disease presentCountries reporting the disease absent% affected reporting countries
World Organisation for Animal Health · Protecting animals, Preserving our future | 46
PPR situation in Southern Africa1 January 2016 – 11 May 2017
World Organisation for Animal Health · Protecting animals, Preserving our future | 47
PPR trend in Southern Africa2005 – 2016
No countries affected since 2005
World Organisation for Animal Health · Protecting animals, Preserving our future | 48
Conclusion Deterioration of the global PPR situation in the past 12 years
Event in Mongolia raises the question of the role of wildlife
In Africa: All sub regions are infected except Southern
World Organisation for Animal Health · Protecting animals, Preserving our future | 49
Acknowledgments WAHIAD Department
Dr Lina Awada
Dr Paolo Tizzani
Thank you foryour attention
12, rue de Prony, 75017 Paris, France www.oie.int