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Despite Our Best Efforts, Ontologies are not the problem. Tom Gruber tomgruber.org Stealth-Company.com

Despite Our Best Efforts, - Tom Grubertomgruber.org/writing/aaai-ss08.pdf · Despite Our Best Efforts, Ontologies are not the problem. Tom Gruber tomgruber.org Stealth-Company.com

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Page 1: Despite Our Best Efforts, - Tom Grubertomgruber.org/writing/aaai-ss08.pdf · Despite Our Best Efforts, Ontologies are not the problem. Tom Gruber tomgruber.org Stealth-Company.com

Despite Our Best Efforts,Ontologies are not the problem.

Tom Grubertomgruber.org

Stealth-Company.com

Page 2: Despite Our Best Efforts, - Tom Grubertomgruber.org/writing/aaai-ss08.pdf · Despite Our Best Efforts, Ontologies are not the problem. Tom Gruber tomgruber.org Stealth-Company.com

(c) 2007 Thomas Gruber2

outline

Components don’t matterSystems that matter

Collective knowledgeIntelligent Interface

Discuss

context knowledge interface conversation

Page 3: Despite Our Best Efforts, - Tom Grubertomgruber.org/writing/aaai-ss08.pdf · Despite Our Best Efforts, Ontologies are not the problem. Tom Gruber tomgruber.org Stealth-Company.com

(c) 2007 Thomas Gruber3

Where’s the key technology?

context knowledge interface conversation

Page 4: Despite Our Best Efforts, - Tom Grubertomgruber.org/writing/aaai-ss08.pdf · Despite Our Best Efforts, Ontologies are not the problem. Tom Gruber tomgruber.org Stealth-Company.com

(c) 2007 Thomas Gruber4

Which is the important part?

context knowledge interface conversation

Page 5: Despite Our Best Efforts, - Tom Grubertomgruber.org/writing/aaai-ss08.pdf · Despite Our Best Efforts, Ontologies are not the problem. Tom Gruber tomgruber.org Stealth-Company.com

(c) 2007 Thomas Gruber5

What part of the stack iscritical?

context knowledge interface conversation

Page 6: Despite Our Best Efforts, - Tom Grubertomgruber.org/writing/aaai-ss08.pdf · Despite Our Best Efforts, Ontologies are not the problem. Tom Gruber tomgruber.org Stealth-Company.com

(c) 2007 Thomas Gruber6

The Tower of Semantics

context knowledge interface conversation

Page 7: Despite Our Best Efforts, - Tom Grubertomgruber.org/writing/aaai-ss08.pdf · Despite Our Best Efforts, Ontologies are not the problem. Tom Gruber tomgruber.org Stealth-Company.com

“Let them eat layer cake.”

Oops. We didn’t mean that.

context knowledge interface conversation

Page 8: Despite Our Best Efforts, - Tom Grubertomgruber.org/writing/aaai-ss08.pdf · Despite Our Best Efforts, Ontologies are not the problem. Tom Gruber tomgruber.org Stealth-Company.com

(c) 2007 Thomas Gruber8

Field of Dreamers

“If you build it, they will come.”

“If they use it, it will build itself.”

context knowledge interface conversation

Page 9: Despite Our Best Efforts, - Tom Grubertomgruber.org/writing/aaai-ss08.pdf · Despite Our Best Efforts, Ontologies are not the problem. Tom Gruber tomgruber.org Stealth-Company.com

(c) 2007 Thomas Gruber9

“Don't ask what the Web knows,ask what the World knows."

context knowledge interface conversation

Page 10: Despite Our Best Efforts, - Tom Grubertomgruber.org/writing/aaai-ss08.pdf · Despite Our Best Efforts, Ontologies are not the problem. Tom Gruber tomgruber.org Stealth-Company.com

(c) 2007 Thomas Gruber10

World-changing Technology

Everything can be captured.Everything can be stored.Everything can be distributed everywhere.Everyone can talk to everyone.Everyone can learn from everyone.

Insert Semantic Web here

context knowledge interface conversation

Page 11: Despite Our Best Efforts, - Tom Grubertomgruber.org/writing/aaai-ss08.pdf · Despite Our Best Efforts, Ontologies are not the problem. Tom Gruber tomgruber.org Stealth-Company.com

(c) 2007 Thomas Gruber11

Augmenting Human Intelligence

Web 1.0Accessing human knowledge

Web 2.0Gathering human knowledge

Web 3.0Applying human knowledge

How can we use technology to make us smarter,individually and collectively?

context knowledge interface conversation

Page 12: Despite Our Best Efforts, - Tom Grubertomgruber.org/writing/aaai-ss08.pdf · Despite Our Best Efforts, Ontologies are not the problem. Tom Gruber tomgruber.org Stealth-Company.com

(c) 2007 Thomas Gruber12

The Semantic Web Potential

Enable Collective Intelligence

Bring Intelligence to the Interface

How can the Semantic Web fundamentallychange our experience of the world?

context knowledge interface conversation

Page 13: Despite Our Best Efforts, - Tom Grubertomgruber.org/writing/aaai-ss08.pdf · Despite Our Best Efforts, Ontologies are not the problem. Tom Gruber tomgruber.org Stealth-Company.com

Collective Intelligence

Where the Social Web Meetsthe Semantic Web

context knowledge interface conversation

Page 14: Despite Our Best Efforts, - Tom Grubertomgruber.org/writing/aaai-ss08.pdf · Despite Our Best Efforts, Ontologies are not the problem. Tom Gruber tomgruber.org Stealth-Company.com

(c) 2007 Thomas Gruber14

Collective Intelligence1968

"The grand challenge is toboost the collective IQ oforganizations and ofsociety. "

Doug Engelbart

context knowledge interface conversation

Page 15: Despite Our Best Efforts, - Tom Grubertomgruber.org/writing/aaai-ss08.pdf · Despite Our Best Efforts, Ontologies are not the problem. Tom Gruber tomgruber.org Stealth-Company.com

(c) 2007 Thomas Gruber15

Collective Intelligence2001

“The Semantic Web is not aseparate Web but an extension ofthe current one, in whichinformation is given well-definedmeaning, better enablingcomputers and people to workin cooperation.”

Scientific American, May 2001

Tim Berners-Lee

context knowledge interface conversation

Page 16: Despite Our Best Efforts, - Tom Grubertomgruber.org/writing/aaai-ss08.pdf · Despite Our Best Efforts, Ontologies are not the problem. Tom Gruber tomgruber.org Stealth-Company.com

(c) 2007 Thomas Gruber16

Collective Intelligence2006

"The central principle behindthe success of the giants born inthe Web 1.0 era who havesurvived to lead the Web 2.0 eraappears to be this, that theyhave embraced the power of theweb to harness collectiveintelligence" Tim O’Reilly

context knowledge interface conversation

Page 17: Despite Our Best Efforts, - Tom Grubertomgruber.org/writing/aaai-ss08.pdf · Despite Our Best Efforts, Ontologies are not the problem. Tom Gruber tomgruber.org Stealth-Company.com

(c) 2007 Thomas Gruber17

Collective Knowledge is Real

FAQ-o-Sphere - self service Q&A forumsCitizen Journalism – “We the Media”Product reviews for gadgets and hotelsCollaborative filtering for books and music

context knowledge interface conversation

Page 18: Despite Our Best Efforts, - Tom Grubertomgruber.org/writing/aaai-ss08.pdf · Despite Our Best Efforts, Ontologies are not the problem. Tom Gruber tomgruber.org Stealth-Company.com

(c) 2007 Thomas Gruber18

Collective Knowledge Systems

provide new and useful informationfrom large collections of data

based on human contributionsaugmented by technology

get better as more people participateincreasing returns with scale

context knowledge interface conversation

Page 19: Despite Our Best Efforts, - Tom Grubertomgruber.org/writing/aaai-ss08.pdf · Despite Our Best Efforts, Ontologies are not the problem. Tom Gruber tomgruber.org Stealth-Company.com

(c) 2007 Thomas Gruber19

Web 2.0: Collected Intelligence

Intelligent collection?social bookmarking, search

“Database of intentions”attention (click streams)Opinion (ratings, tags)Behavior (buying)

Collected communicationsblogs, wikis, discussion lists

“database of intentions” – Tim O’Reilly

The Wisdom of Clouds

context knowledge interface conversation

Page 20: Despite Our Best Efforts, - Tom Grubertomgruber.org/writing/aaai-ss08.pdf · Despite Our Best Efforts, Ontologies are not the problem. Tom Gruber tomgruber.org Stealth-Company.com

(c) 2007 Thomas Gruber20

Web 3.0: Emergent KnowledgeSystems

provide new and useful informationfrom multiple, large collections of data

based on human contributionsaugmented by technology and structured data

get better as more people participate.with increasing returns at scale

provide answers, solutions, discoveries orother results beyond the original data.

based on computation and inference

context knowledge interface conversation

Page 21: Despite Our Best Efforts, - Tom Grubertomgruber.org/writing/aaai-ss08.pdf · Despite Our Best Efforts, Ontologies are not the problem. Tom Gruber tomgruber.org Stealth-Company.com

(c) 2007 Thomas Gruber21

Roles for Semantic NetTechnology

Composing and integrating user-contributed data across applications

The Gigantic Join

Creating aggregate value from a mix ofstructured and unstructured data

Example: Recommendation engines

context knowledge interface conversation

Page 22: Despite Our Best Efforts, - Tom Grubertomgruber.org/writing/aaai-ss08.pdf · Despite Our Best Efforts, Ontologies are not the problem. Tom Gruber tomgruber.org Stealth-Company.com

(c) 2007 Thomas Gruber22

Ontologies for the Gigantic Join

http://richard.cyganiak.de/2007/10/lod/

context knowledge interface conversation

Page 23: Despite Our Best Efforts, - Tom Grubertomgruber.org/writing/aaai-ss08.pdf · Despite Our Best Efforts, Ontologies are not the problem. Tom Gruber tomgruber.org Stealth-Company.com

(c) 2007 Thomas Gruber23

Travel Recommendation Engine

Mix of structured andunstructured dataMachine learning to extractclusters and syntheticdimensionsInterview users to elicit profileand interestsRecommend destinations andtrips based onmultidimensional matchingOutput is human readableexperiences, selected bymachine inference

context knowledge interface conversationhttp://tomgruber.org/writing/collective-knowledge-systems.htm

Page 24: Despite Our Best Efforts, - Tom Grubertomgruber.org/writing/aaai-ss08.pdf · Despite Our Best Efforts, Ontologies are not the problem. Tom Gruber tomgruber.org Stealth-Company.com

Intelligence at the Interface

The Killer App for Semanticsis your online life.

context knowledge interface conversation

Page 25: Despite Our Best Efforts, - Tom Grubertomgruber.org/writing/aaai-ss08.pdf · Despite Our Best Efforts, Ontologies are not the problem. Tom Gruber tomgruber.org Stealth-Company.com

(c) 2007 Thomas Gruber25

Interaction Paradigms

Breadcrumbs in the forestFollow the leaderAbracadabraRoom service

context knowledge interface conversation

Page 26: Despite Our Best Efforts, - Tom Grubertomgruber.org/writing/aaai-ss08.pdf · Despite Our Best Efforts, Ontologies are not the problem. Tom Gruber tomgruber.org Stealth-Company.com

(c) 2007 Thomas Gruber26

Breadcrumbs in the forest:The Hyperlink

User RoleChoose your path

System Rolesconnect the dots

Technical breakthrough: universal resource identitycontext knowledge interface conversation

Page 27: Despite Our Best Efforts, - Tom Grubertomgruber.org/writing/aaai-ss08.pdf · Despite Our Best Efforts, Ontologies are not the problem. Tom Gruber tomgruber.org Stealth-Company.com

(c) 2007 Thomas Gruber27

Follow the leader:The Portal

User Rolechoose your channels(and consume them)

System Rolesdeliver the content

Technical breakthrough: frictionless broadcastingcontext knowledge interface conversation

Page 28: Despite Our Best Efforts, - Tom Grubertomgruber.org/writing/aaai-ss08.pdf · Despite Our Best Efforts, Ontologies are not the problem. Tom Gruber tomgruber.org Stealth-Company.com

(c) 2007 Thomas Gruber28

Abracadabra:The Search Engine

User Rolestate your query(and shift through results)

System Rolesfind relevant content andfilter on quality

Technical breakthrough: web-scale indexing and ranking

context knowledge interface conversation

Page 29: Despite Our Best Efforts, - Tom Grubertomgruber.org/writing/aaai-ss08.pdf · Despite Our Best Efforts, Ontologies are not the problem. Tom Gruber tomgruber.org Stealth-Company.com

(c) 2007 Thomas Gruber29

Room Service:Intelligence at the Interface

User RoleLive your life

System RolesTell me what I need to know.Help me solve my problems.Help me meet my needs.Work for me. Be proactive.

Technical breakthrough: personalized, context-aware AI

context knowledge interface conversation

Page 30: Despite Our Best Efforts, - Tom Grubertomgruber.org/writing/aaai-ss08.pdf · Despite Our Best Efforts, Ontologies are not the problem. Tom Gruber tomgruber.org Stealth-Company.com

(c) 2007 Thomas Gruber30

What can IaI do?

Know about your contextKeep you informed and connectedHelp you rememberHelp you discoverWork for you

context knowledge interface conversation

Page 31: Despite Our Best Efforts, - Tom Grubertomgruber.org/writing/aaai-ss08.pdf · Despite Our Best Efforts, Ontologies are not the problem. Tom Gruber tomgruber.org Stealth-Company.com

(c) 2007 Thomas Gruber31

Helps you organize, share, anddiscover

context knowledge interface conversationhttp://twine.com

Page 32: Despite Our Best Efforts, - Tom Grubertomgruber.org/writing/aaai-ss08.pdf · Despite Our Best Efforts, Ontologies are not the problem. Tom Gruber tomgruber.org Stealth-Company.com

(c) 2007 Thomas Gruber32

Helps you connect, discover,stay in touch

context knowledge interface conversation

• find gems fromgeotagged trips

http://tagmaps.research.yahoo.com/http://loopt.com

Page 33: Despite Our Best Efforts, - Tom Grubertomgruber.org/writing/aaai-ss08.pdf · Despite Our Best Efforts, Ontologies are not the problem. Tom Gruber tomgruber.org Stealth-Company.com

(c) 2007 Thomas Gruber33

Helps you discover things youcare about

context knowledge interface conversation

Page 34: Despite Our Best Efforts, - Tom Grubertomgruber.org/writing/aaai-ss08.pdf · Despite Our Best Efforts, Ontologies are not the problem. Tom Gruber tomgruber.org Stealth-Company.com

(c) 2007 Thomas Gruber34

Works for you

context knowledge interface conversation

Page 35: Despite Our Best Efforts, - Tom Grubertomgruber.org/writing/aaai-ss08.pdf · Despite Our Best Efforts, Ontologies are not the problem. Tom Gruber tomgruber.org Stealth-Company.com

(c) 2007 Thomas Gruber35

Your Assistant that Learns

35context knowledge interface conversation

Page 36: Despite Our Best Efforts, - Tom Grubertomgruber.org/writing/aaai-ss08.pdf · Despite Our Best Efforts, Ontologies are not the problem. Tom Gruber tomgruber.org Stealth-Company.com

(c) 2007 Thomas Gruber36

What makes an InterfaceIntelligent?

It knows a lot about you.It understands you in context.It is proactive.It gets better with experience.

context knowledge interface conversation

Page 37: Despite Our Best Efforts, - Tom Grubertomgruber.org/writing/aaai-ss08.pdf · Despite Our Best Efforts, Ontologies are not the problem. Tom Gruber tomgruber.org Stealth-Company.com

(c) 2007 Thomas Gruber37

multidimensionalsort

databaselookup

reasoning& learning

graphtraversal

Knowledge and Reasoning

Hyperlink Portal Search I@I

mylinks

my PIMmy page

my queries

my online life

context knowledge interface conversation

Serv

ice

to H

uman

s

Page 38: Despite Our Best Efforts, - Tom Grubertomgruber.org/writing/aaai-ss08.pdf · Despite Our Best Efforts, Ontologies are not the problem. Tom Gruber tomgruber.org Stealth-Company.com

(c) 2007 Thomas Gruber38

multidimensionalsort

databaselookup

reasoning& learning

graphtraversal

Knowledge, Reasoning,Collective Intelligence

Collected Aggregated Emergent

our content

our lifestreams

our interests

our online lives

context knowledge interface conversation

Share ourinformation

Share ourexperience

Learn fromCollectiveKnowledge

Serv

ice

to H

uman

s

Page 39: Despite Our Best Efforts, - Tom Grubertomgruber.org/writing/aaai-ss08.pdf · Despite Our Best Efforts, Ontologies are not the problem. Tom Gruber tomgruber.org Stealth-Company.com

(c) 2007 Thomas Gruber39

Last Word: What I Think Matters

When we’re making our layer of the cake,consider how it contributes to these goals:

How to get useful knowledge from allthose intelligent people on the InternetHow to give the benefit of this knowledgeto everyone.

context knowledge interface conversation

Page 40: Despite Our Best Efforts, - Tom Grubertomgruber.org/writing/aaai-ss08.pdf · Despite Our Best Efforts, Ontologies are not the problem. Tom Gruber tomgruber.org Stealth-Company.com

(c) 2007 Thomas Gruber40

For more information

Tom Gruberhttp://tomgruber.org/

Collective Knowledge Systemshttp://tomgruber.org/writing/collective-knowledge-systems.htm

Intelligence at the Interfacehttp://tomgruber.org/news/sdforum-dec13.htm

Rights: Attribution No Derivativeshttp://tomgruber.org/writing/aaai-ss08.htm