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Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, Tekn Dr. Chalmers och Ratio Disruptive, Computer Sweden 16 oktober 2014

Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive

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Page 1: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive

Den Disruptiva Utmaningen

Christian Sandström, Tekn Dr. Chalmers och Ratio

Disruptive, Computer Sweden 16 oktober 2014

Page 2: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive

Disruptiveinnovation.se

ChrisSandstrom

www.disruptiveinnovation.se

[email protected]

073 - 705 01 37

Page 3: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive
Page 4: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive
Page 5: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive

Christian Sandström, PhD Disruptive Innovation . se

Page 6: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive
Page 7: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive
Page 8: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive
Page 9: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive
Page 10: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive
Page 11: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive
Page 12: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive
Page 13: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive
Page 14: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive
Page 15: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive
Page 16: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive
Page 17: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive
Page 18: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive
Page 19: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive
Page 20: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive
Page 21: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive
Page 22: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive
Page 23: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive

Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive Innovation . se

BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell-phone market seems unassailable."

Page 24: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive

Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive Innovation . se

Page 25: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive

Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive Innovation . se

Page 26: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive

Varför?

Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive Innovation . se

Page 27: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive

Agenda

Mönster i teknikutveckling

Utmaningar

Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive Innovation . se

Page 28: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive

Disruptiv Innovation börjar som en ful

ankunge. Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive Innovation . se

Page 29: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive

Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive Innovation . se

Page 30: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive
Page 31: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive
Page 32: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive
Page 33: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive
Page 34: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive
Page 35: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive
Page 36: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive
Page 37: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive
Page 38: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive

Christian Sandström, PhD Disruptive Innovation . se

Page 39: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive

Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive Innovation . se

Page 40: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive

Ljudkvalité

Bärbar

Kvalité kunden accepterar

Page 43: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive

Prestanda

Tid

Prestanda kunden

efterfrågar

Page 44: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive

Varför är det så svårt att hantera fula ankungar?

Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive Innovation . se

Page 45: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive

1. Stora företag prioriterar stora

marknader. Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive Innovation . se

Page 46: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive

Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive Innovation . se

Page 47: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive

Allt nytt, banbrytande, börjar definitionsmässigt

som någonting litet. Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive Innovation . se

Page 48: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive
Page 49: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive

Q4 slides 2008:

“Nokia’s longer term strategy remains valid and intact”

Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive Innovation . se

Page 50: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive

Slides från Q2, 2009

Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive Innovation . se

Page 51: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive

2. Kompetens tappar i värde.

Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive Innovation . se

Page 52: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive

“Kugghjulen i räknemaskinerna var företagets själ.“ // Gert Persson, tidigare anställd på Facit Electronics

Page 53: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive
Page 54: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive
Page 55: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive
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Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive Innovation . se

“When Tom West, Data General’s project leader and a former

long-time DEC employee, removed the cover of the DEC

minicomputer and examined its structure, he saw ‘Digital’s

organization chart in the design of the product’”

Christensen (1997)

Page 59: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive

Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive Innovation . se

Page 60: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive

3. Konflikter kring identitet.

Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive Innovation . se

Page 61: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive

Business Week 1997:

“The old-line manufacturing culture continues to impede

Fisher’s efforts to turn Kodak into a high-tech

growth company. Fisher has been able to

change the culture at the very top...

Page 62: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive

… But he hasn’t been able to change the huge

mass of middle managers, and they just

don’t understand this [digital] world.”

Page 63: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive

”Hasselblad’s long-term survival may depend upon how much resources we invest in the development of a new digital camera.”

CEO Jerry Öster vid styrelsemöte,

10 February 1994

Page 64: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive
Page 65: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive

“I had to spend a disproportional amount of time defending the project

instead of working with development activities.”

Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive Innovation . se

Page 66: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive

“If the chemical waste from film processing could be turned

into beer – film would have a bright future!”

Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive Innovation . se

Page 67: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive

4. Ny teknik förändrar

branschstrukturen. Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive Innovation . se

Page 68: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive
Page 69: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive
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• The camera industry: a perfect illustration

Page 71: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive
Page 72: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive

Kodak försökte hitta en roll i den nya värdekedjan

Page 73: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive

‘‘We’re moving into an information-based company,. . .[but] it is very hard to find anything [with profit

margins] like color photography that is legal”. Leo J. Thomas, SVP and director of Kodak research

Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive Innovation . se

Page 74: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive

5. Vem bestämmer över ett företag…?

Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive Innovation . se

Page 75: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive
Page 76: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive

”Den kostnadskrävande utvecklingen av en ny digitalkamera har sålts... ...den optimala

digitala kameran får utvecklas av någon annan. Därmed sparas 15-18 miljoner

kronor... ...som kan investeras i utveckling av konventionella kameror samt att

anpassa dem till digital teknik”.

//Dagens Industri, januari 1998.

Page 77: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive
Page 78: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive
Page 79: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive

Kapitalism handlar om motsatsen – att skapa eller omvandla marknader.

Christian Sandström, PhD Disruptive Innovation . se

Page 80: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive

Vad kan göras?

Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive Innovation . se

Page 81: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive

Separera disruptiv utveckling från övrig

verksamhet. Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive Innovation . se

Page 82: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive

Använd existerande tillgångar på nya sätt.

Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive Innovation . se

Page 83: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive

Christian Sandström, PhD Disruptive Innovation . se

Page 84: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive

Christian Sandström, PhD Disruptive Innovation . se

Page 85: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive

Leta efter nya intäktsmodeller.

Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive Innovation . se

Page 86: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive
Page 87: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive
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Sammanfattning:

Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive Innovation . se

Page 89: Den Disruptiva Utmaningen Christian Sandström, …...BusinessWeek 2007: "Nokia's dominance in the global cell -phone market seems unassailable." Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive

Christian Sandström, PhD www . Disruptive Innovation . se

Disruptiv Innovation är en ful ankunge

Svåra att hantera för att: Stora företag prioriterar stora marknader.

Kompetens tappar i värde. Interna konflikter.

Branschstrukturen förändras. Marknaden bestämmer över företaget.

Lösningar:

Omdefininera tillgångar Ändra intäktsmodeller