DEHB - 140825 - 2Q14 - ADBS

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  • 8/11/2019 DEHB - 140825 - 2Q14 - ADBS

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    Refer to important disclosures at the end of this report

    BUYBUYBUYBUY RMRMRMRM3.693.693.693.69 KLCIKLCIKLCIKLCI :::: 1,870.991,870.991,870.991,870.99PricePricePricePrice Target :Target :Target :Target :12-Month RM4.55 (Prev RM4.55)

    Shariah Compliant :Shariah Compliant :Shariah Compliant :Shariah Compliant : Yes

    AnalystArhnue TAN+603 2604 [email protected]

    Result Summary

    FYFYFYFY DecDecDecDec ((((RMRMRMRM m)m)m)m) 2Q2Q2Q2Q2014201420142014

    2Q2Q2Q2Q2013201320132013

    1Q1Q1Q1Q2014201420142014

    yoyyoyyoyyoy%%%% chgchgchgchg

    qqqqoqoqoqoq%%%% chgchgchgchg

    P&L ItemsP&L ItemsP&L ItemsP&L Items

    Turnover 221.7 111.6 177.4 98.7 25.0Gross Profit 84.3 53.2 59.6 58.6 41.6

    Opg Profit 61.9 38.0 39.1 63.2 58.6

    EBITDA 80.2 41.4 54.6 93.6 46.7

    Net Profit 54.6 35.3 34.7 54.9 57.3

    Other DataOther DataOther DataOther Data

    Gross Margin (%) 38.0 47.7 33.6

    Opg Margin (%) 27.9 34.0 22.0

    Net Margin (%) 24.6 31.6 19.6

    Financial SummaryFYFYFYFY DecDecDecDec ((((RMRMRMRM m)m)m)m) 2013201320132013AAAA 2014201420142014FFFF 2015201520152015FFFF 2016201620162016FFFFTurnover 553 1,164 1,222 1,222

    Operating Profit 128 214 228 239

    EBITDA 168 290 312 326Net Pft (Pre Ex.) 116 191 209 224

    EPS (sen) 18.1 23.2 25.3 27.2

    EPS Pre Ex. (sen) 14.1 23.2 25.3 27.2

    EPS Gth (%) 46 28 9 7

    EPS Gth Pre Ex (%) 14 64 9 7

    Net DPS (sen) 6.8 7.0 7.0 7.0

    BV Per Share (sen) 80.8 97.0 115.3 135.5PE (X) 20.4 15.9 14.6 13.6

    PE Pre Ex. (X) 26.1 15.9 14.6 13.6

    EV/EBITDA (X) 18.3 10.3 9.2 8.4

    Net Div Yield (%) 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9

    P/Book Value (X) 4.6 3.8 3.2 2.7

    Net Debt/Equity (X) 0.0 CASH CASH CASH

    ROAE (%) 23.6 26.1 23.9 21.7

    At A GlanceIssued Capital (m shrs) 825Mkt. Cap (RMm/US$m) 3,043 / 964

    Avg. Daily Vol.(000) 943

    Price Relative

    Source: Company, AllianceDBS

    83

    133

    183

    233

    283

    333

    0.8

    1.3

    1.8

    2.3

    2.8

    3.3

    3.8

    Aug-10 Aug-11 Aug-12 Aug-13 Aug-14

    Relative IndexRM

    Dayang Enterprise Holdings (LHS) Relative KLCI INDEX (RHS)

    MalaysiaMalaysiaMalaysiaMalaysia EquityEquityEquityEquity ResearchResearchResearchResearch 25 Aug 2014

    Result Snapshot

    Dayang EnterprisesBloomberg: DEHB MK EQUITY|Reuters: DEHB.KL Refer to important disclosures at the end of this report

    Earnings picking up pace Within our and consensus estimates

    RM4.7bn orderbook provides excellent earnings visibility

    Potential earnings upside from new EPCC contracts

    Maintain BUY, TP RM4.55

    Highlights

    Within expectations. Dayang Enterprises (Dayang) 1H14 net profit

    was c.43% of our and consensus estimates. Earnings considered to

    be within expectations as we expect a stronger 2H.

    Hook-up and commissioning works kick in. Dayang turned in

    strong net profit growth of 55% y-o-y and 57% q-o-q. This was

    driven by increased work orders under the Sarawak Shell & Sabah

    Shell hook-up and commissioning (Shell HUC) contract which has an

    estimated value of RM2.4bn. Margins however, declined y-o-y as

    works carried out during the quarter had lower margins.

    Our View

    Earnings to pick up with RM4.7bn orderbook.... We expect

    Dayangs earnings to pick up as the year progresses due to higher

    revenue recognition from the Shell HUC contract. The group hasanother HUC contract from Petronas Carigali (PMO HUC) worth

    RM1.3bn which has been progressing slowly. That said, after roughly

    6 months of delays, progress on the contract will pick up in 4Q14

    and be in fully swing by 1Q15. In addition to these contracts, Dayang

    disclosed that it has received additional work orders from Petronas

    Carigali worth RM570m in 3Q and this will help further secure 2H14

    and FY15 earnings.

    Next step - EPCC? Dayangs outstanding orderbook is modest at

    RM400m, largely made up of engineering, procurement, construction

    and commissioning (EPCC) works for the Baronia field. The group is

    competing for more jobs with other fabricators and expects the

    contracts to be awarded by September 2014. If successful, this could

    be a new growth area for the group. The group has a fabrication

    license from Petronas (albeit not as a main fabricator) and has

    recently increased its fabrication capacity in Labuan on expectations

    of entering the sub-contractor fabrication market.

    Recommendation

    Maintain BUY, TP RM4.55....We continue to like Dayang for its steady

    earnings delivery and clean balance sheet. Our TP of RM4.55 is based

    on FY15F 18x PE. Earnings surprises could be on the cards if the

    group secures EPCC contracts.

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    Page 2

    Result Snapshot

    Dayang Enterprises

    Target Price & Ratings History

    Source: AllianceDBS

    Order Book

    Contract DetailsContract DetailsContract DetailsContract Details OriginalOriginalOriginalOriginalContractContractContractContractValue (RMm)Value (RMm)Value (RMm)Value (RMm)

    OutstandingOutstandingOutstandingOutstanding(RMm)(RMm)(RMm)(RMm)

    AdditionalAdditionalAdditionalAdditionalFarm inFarm inFarm inFarm in(RMm)(RMm)(RMm)(RMm)

    TimelineTimelineTimelineTimeline

    2014201420142014 2015201520152015 2016201620162016 2017201720172017 2018201820182018

    Petronas Carigali TMS* 802 180 480 Ends Feb-16

    Brunei Shell Vessel Charter 70 65

    Sarawak/Sabah Shell TMS 400 60 Ext tillMar-16Talisman TMS 125 10 Ends

    Oct-15Murphy Sarawak HUC* 314 300

    Sarawak/Sabah Shell HUC 2,400 2,200

    Petronas Carigali HUC 1,300 1,270 90

    JX Nippon HUC 100 80

    TOTALTOTALTOTALTOTAL 4,1654,1654,1654,165

    TOTAL Incl Farm InTOTAL Incl Farm InTOTAL Incl Farm InTOTAL Incl Farm In 4,7354,7354,7354,735

    * TMS Topside Maintenance Services, HUC Hook-up and Commissioning

    Source: Company, AllianceDBS

    S.No.S.No.S.No.S.No. Da teDateDateDateClosingClosingClosingClosing

    PricePricePricePrice

    TargetTargetTargetTarget

    PricePr icePricePr iceRat ingRat ingRat ingRat ing

    1: 27 Aug 13 2.97 3.93 Buy2: 27 Nov 13 3.51 3.93 Buy

    3: 27 Feb 14 3.58 4.55 Buy

    4: 11 Mar 14 3.79 4.55 Buy

    5: 26 May 14 3.45 4.55 Buy

    6: 10 Jun 14 3.59 4.55 Buy

    Note Note Note No te : Share price and Target price are adjusted for corporate actions.

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    2.79

    2.99

    3.19

    3.39

    3.59

    3.79

    3.99

    Aug-13 Dec-13 Apr-14 Aug-14

    RMRMRMRM

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    Page 3

    Result Snapshot

    Dayang Enterprises

    DISCLOSURE

    Stock rating definitions

    STRONG BUY - > 20% total return over the next 3 months, with identifiable share price catalysts within this time frame

    BUY - > 15% total return over the next 12 months for small caps, >10% for large capsHOLD - -10% to +15% total return over the next 12 months for small caps, -10% to +10% for large capsFULLY VALUED - negative total return > -10% over the next 12 monthsSELL - negative total return of > -20% over the next 3 months, with identifiable catalysts within this time frame

    Commonly used abbreviations

    Adex = advertising expenditure EPS = earnings per share PBT = profit before taxbn = billion EV = enterprise value P/B = price / book ratioBV = book value FCF = free cash flow P/E = price / earnings ratioCF = cash flow FV = fair value PEG = P/E ratio to growth ratioCAGR = compounded annual growth rate FY = financial year q-o-q = quarter-on-quarterCapex = capital expenditure m = million RM = RinggitCY = calendar year M-o-m = month-on-month ROA = return on assetsDiv yld = dividend yield NAV = net assets value ROE = return on equity

    DCF = discounted cash flow NM = not meaningful TP = target priceDDM = dividend discount model NTA = net tangible assets trn = trillionDPS = dividend per share NR = not rated WACC = weighted average cost of capitalEBIT = earnings before interest & tax p.a. = per annum y-o-y = year-on-yearEBITDA = EBIT before depreciation and amortisation PAT = profit after tax YTD = year-to-date

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