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DCT: Poland's Maritime Window on the World November 27th, 2013 Adam Żołnowski Chief Financial Officer

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Page 1: DCT: Poland's Maritime Window on the Worldbpcc.org.pl/uploads/img.uni/img/pdf/logistic_hub_warsaw/DCT... · The move towards larger vessels on key routes will be accelerated by the

DCT: Poland's Maritime Window on the

World

November 27th, 2013

Adam Żołnowski

Chief Financial Officer

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Company Profile Ownership Structure

1

DCT Gdansk is an infrastructure asset majority owned and managed by

Macquarie Group

64% 18%

9% 9% Macquarie Global Infrastructure Fund II

MTAA Superannuation fund

Statewide Superannuation Trust

Westscheme Fund

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Asset Overview

Description

• DCT is a deep-water container terminal offering all

year round ice-free access

• DCT is located at the centre of three major market

growth areas – Polish demand and regional transit

flows (import / export) and transshipment for the

Baltic

Capex investments since port opening

• Key equipment purchases (2 STSs, 7 RTGs, Navis

TOS)

• Rail upgrade (2 rail tracks + 2 new from September

2013)

• Yard upgrade (Rebuilding RoRo ramp into stacking

area and gravel bed)

• Mooring dolphin

Equity investments and commitments

• €135m invested to date

• € 22m undrawn commitments

2

Feature Comments

Invested to date €188m

Terminal area 44 hectares

Berth 1 berth – 650m extended further by mooring

dolphin

Depth: 13.5m and 16.5m

Key equipment 5 STS cranes with capacity for 7

16 RTG cranes

Storage Space 6,553 ground slots

Theoretical capacity p.a. 1.25m TEU

Reefer plugs 336

Warehouse size CFS warehouse (7,200m²) with truck ramps

Key statistics

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Evolution of Containership Size

Source: DP World

The principle of economies of scale is fundamental to the economics of maritime

transportation

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Closest Location to Final Destination DCT as the Most Eastern Deepwater North Continent Port

4

Ports with depth 15,5m or more

DCT Gdansk

Goteborg

Aarhus

Hamburg

Bremenhaven Wilhelmshaven

Le Havre

Antwerp

Rotterdam Zeebrugge

The Gdansk – Le Havre Range and the Ultra-Large Container Vessels

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The Baltic Revolution

5

Past and present transportation patterns

Traditional X/M model The DCT Gdansk alternative

Until the late-2000s, most Polish consumer goods imports were

shipped to northern German, Dutch and Belgian ports, then

transhipped to Gdynia or transported overland.

The opening of DCT Gdansk in 2007 for the first time enabled deep

sea calls direct to the Baltic sea, from whence goods could be

transported onwards by transhipment, rail or road

MOSCOW

KIEV POZNAN

WROCLAW

MOSCOW

KIEV

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DCT Catchment Area

6

• Poland with very limited transit to Eastern part of

Czech Republic (Ostrava/Moravia Region),

Slovakia, Western/Central Ukraine, Belarus,

Russia (Kaliningrad)

Transit (XM) by truck or rail Transshipment (TS) by feeder

• Russia (Kaliningrad and Saint Petersburg), Baltic

Republics, Finland, Germany

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The Advantages to a Shipping Line of Using DCT Gdansk

7

Comparative costs of shipping containers directly to DCT Gdansk – OCT 2012

0

200

400

600

800

1 000

1 200

1 400

1 600

1 800

€ p

er

40

' co

nta

ine

r

Cheapest inland delivery Stevedoring / port duties Deepsea cost

-----------to Warsaw------------ -----------to Wroclaw------------ --------------to Łodz---------------

Source: OSC

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8

The Competitive Container Port Landscape in the Baltic Sea

Norway

Sweden

Germany

Denmark

Poland

Czech Rep.

Lithuania

Latvia

Russia

Ukraine

Estonia

Finland**

Belarus Gdansk*

Gdynia

St Petersburg

Ust Luga

Kaliningrad

Riga

Klaipeda

Helsinki Kotka - Hamina

Muuga Container T.

+4.8%

+9.8%

+8.1%

+9.6%

+8.4%

+8.2%

+7.9% +9.4%

+2.3%

+13.8%

+4.1%

+23.1%

+4.6%

+4.7% +9.8%

+0.0%

+0.0%

+0.0% Port

CAGR 2011-2020

Country

CAGR 2011-2020

2011 2020

2011 2020

Port Capacity

Container Demand

Source : Ocean Shipping Consultants

(1) Excluding Finland as 2020 data not

available

(2) Baltic Russia ports only

Please note that for the purpose of clarity, this

graph does not show ports which capacity is

less than 0.2m TEUs in 2011

LEGEND

1 cm = 1m TEUs

1 cm = 1m TEUs

Significant growth of

container demand in the

Baltic region (CAGR

2011-20 +8.5%)(1)

Poland and Russia are and

are forecast to remain the

largest markets in the region

(56.5% of total market in

2011, 58.1% in 2020)

Large growth of Baltic ports

capacity – from 10.1m TEUs

in 2011 to 18.1m TEUs in

2020 (CAGR 2011-20

+6.6%)

Limited growth of Finnish

and Estonian ports in terms

of capacity, as apposed to a

strong growth of Polish,

Lithuanian and Russian (2)

ports

Based on Base Case

* Includes DCT Gdansk and Gdansk

Container T. A conservative approach has

been taken to the DCT Gdansk potential

capacity development.

**Forecast for 2020 not available.

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9

The move towards larger vessels on key routes will be accelerated by the formation of P3

P3: The Alliance of Three World’s Biggest Shipping Lines

42%

24%

34%

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Expansion plans

Overview

DCT Gdansk has the ambition to become a 7m+ TEUs terminal by 2025-2030

Management has therefore developed an expansion plan to adequately support this growth scenario

2011: Terminal 1 – Existing Capacity 1,000 kTEUs

2012-2014: Terminal 1 – Stretch Capacity Expansion + 500 kTEUs

2013-2022: T2 Expansion + 1,750 kTEUs

2020+: Option North Expansion 750 kTEUs

2020+: Option East Expansion 1,500 kTEUs

Additional expansion plans / Investment opportunities: West Pomeranian Logistics Centre (PLC) adjacent to Terminal 1

Total additional capacity could amount to M 5,5 TEUs

Pomeranian Logistic Center

Adjacent to DCT Gdansk

Ground-lease 30 years

Total development area:

approx 500,000 m2

Possibility to create:

A special economic trading zone

A duty free industrial zone

T2 2013-2022

Option East 2020+

ROZWÓJ NABRZEŻA

2015+

Pomeranian Logistic Center

Rail Terminal

Option North 2020+

T1 Stretch Capacity

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Terminal ‘T2’ 2016+

New yard and

equipment

Terminal 1

Existing infrastructure (cap. 1 000 k TEU)

Yard expansion

2012-2014

(+500k TEU)

Terminal ‘T2’

1750 k TEU

2022

T2 - Driver for Further Capacity Development

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12

1. Poland is developing its export market and needs a strong container port sector to access directly its

export market without depending on NEPs

2. Poland strong dependence on Far East imports stresses importance of direct connection to main

markets (China, Korea, Japan)

• Lower cost of imports via Polish ports should benefit Polish consumers

• GDP driven by consumption should benefit Polish state income by having imports entering Poland via

Polish ports (collection of duties & VAT in Poland)

3. Development of container port sector will create new jobs in the transport and logistic sectors: Polish

companies may serve Polish market and go beyond it – to the CEE market. Current dominance of NEPs has

been favouring German and Benelux logistic operators

4. Attractiveness of Poland for foreign investment will increase as the country develops into the gateway to

the CEE and as a major hub to the BSR: Polish container ports have potential to serve a market of 100 million

people

Importance of Polish Container Ports for the Polish Economy

Throughput(

TEU)

Direct

Employment

(DCT)

Associated

employment

1 mio 580 - 660 700 - 800

4 mio 2270 - 2670 2720 - 3210

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Importance of DCT for the Polish Economy

Government revenues generated by import containers handled by

DCT Gdansk (in `000 PLN)

Source: Customs Office in Poland; October 2013

Fiscal benefits for Polish government

2010 2011 2012 2013F

VAT 798 557 1 419 664 1 511 549 1 665 033

Excise 437 454 24 720 6 579

Duties 127 599 221 175 201 031 219 269

Sum 926 593 1 641 294 1 737 301 1 890 880

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„DCT Gdansk have been informed that the European Commission received a

complaint from Gdynia Container Terminal, majority owned by Hutchison Whampoa

on 19th April 2013, alleging that the Port Authority of Gdansk (ZMPG) has unfairly

favoured DCT Gdansk by granting them the lease for the land on which the second

terminal will be constructed without a public tender. The complaint alleges that this is

in breach of EU State Aid laws and Polish procurement legislation”

GCT Complaint

Polish container terminals need to work together in order create complimentary

and effective container port system….

… otherwise the biggest beneficiary of surge of Polish import/export volumes

will be German and Benelux ports.

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THANK YOU!

Adam Żołnowski

Chief Financial Officer

[email protected]