20
1 PEMEX September 2008

dcf pemex outlook 080923 i · 2008-12-10 · 3 • The SEC permits oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose only proved reserves that a company has demonstrated

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    1

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: dcf pemex outlook 080923 i · 2008-12-10 · 3 • The SEC permits oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose only proved reserves that a company has demonstrated

1

PEMEX

September 2008

Page 2: dcf pemex outlook 080923 i · 2008-12-10 · 3 • The SEC permits oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose only proved reserves that a company has demonstrated

2

• This presentation contains forward-looking statements. We may also make written or oral forward-looking statements in our periodic reports to the National Banking and Securities Commission (CNBV) and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), in our annual report, in our proxy statements, in our offering circulars and prospectuses, in press releases and other written materials and in oral statements made by our officers, directors or employees to third parties.

• We may include forward-looking statements that address, among other things, our:

− drilling and exploration activities,

− import and export activities,

− projected and targeted capital expenditures and other costs, commitments and revenues; and liquidity, etc.

• Actual results could differ materially from those projected in such forward-looking statements as a result of various factors that may be beyond our control. These factors include, but are not limited to:

− changes in international crude oil and natural gas prices,

− effects on us from competition,

− limitations on our access to sources of financing on competitive terms,

− significant economic or political developments in Mexico,

− developments affecting the energy sector, and

− changes in our regulatory environment.

• Accordingly, you should not place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. In any event, these statements speak only as of their dates, and we undertake no obligation to update or revise any of them, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

• These risks and uncertainties are more fully detailed in PEMEX’s most recent PEMEX prospectus filed with the CNBV and available through the Mexican Stock Exchange (www.bmv.com.mx) and the Form 20-F filing, as amended, with the SEC (www.sec.gov). These factors could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statement.

Forward-Looking Statements

Page 3: dcf pemex outlook 080923 i · 2008-12-10 · 3 • The SEC permits oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose only proved reserves that a company has demonstrated

3

• The SEC permits oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose only proved reserves that a company has demonstratedby actual production or conclusive formation tests to be economically and legally producible under existing economic and operating conditions. We use certain terms in this document, such as total reserves, probable reserves and possible reserves, that the SEC'sguidelines strictly prohibit us from including in filings with the SEC. Investors are urged to consider closely the disclosure in our Form 20-F, “File No. 0-99” available from us at www.pemex.com or Marina Nacional 329 Floor 38 Col. Huasteca, Mexico City 11311 or at (52 55) 1944 9700. You can also obtain this Form from the SEC by calling 1-800-SEC-0330.

• EBITDA is a non-GAAP measure.

Cautionary Note

Page 4: dcf pemex outlook 080923 i · 2008-12-10 · 3 • The SEC permits oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose only proved reserves that a company has demonstrated

4

PEMEX Overview

Financial Highlights

Lines of Business

Content

Page 5: dcf pemex outlook 080923 i · 2008-12-10 · 3 • The SEC permits oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose only proved reserves that a company has demonstrated

5

Global

National

• 3rd in crude oil production

• 11th integrated oil company(1)

• 11th in crude oil reserves(1)

• 14th in natural gas production(1)

• 13th in refining capacity(1)

(1) PIW 2007 Rankings, December 3, 2007. Petroleum Intelligence Weekly.

• Major supplier of crude oil to the US

• Largest Latin-American company

• Credit ratings:– S&P BBB+– Fitch BBB– Moody’s Baa1

• Sole producer of crude oil, natural gas and refined products

• Sole marketer of refined products

• Most important source of government income

National and International Relevance

• Sales as percentage of GDP:– 2006 12%– 2007 11%

Page 6: dcf pemex outlook 080923 i · 2008-12-10 · 3 • The SEC permits oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose only proved reserves that a company has demonstrated

6

(2)

Crude Oil and Natural Gas Reserves

• Long life of reserves based on 2007 production(3)

- Proved reserves: 9 years- 2P reserves: 19 years

• Crude oil represents 71% of proved reserves; 68% is located offshore

• Reserves figures are certified by third parties since 1998

Reserves as of December 31, 2007MMMboe

(1) In accordance with the definition of proved reserves under Rule 4.10 (a) of Regulation S-X under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933. Probable and possible reserves were obtained through the difference between 3P reserves and proved reserves.

(2) Figures may not total due to rounding.(3) Reserves as of December 31, 2007, and average production in 2007 (1.603 MMMboe).

(1)

14.7

15.1 44.5

14.6

Proved Probable Possible 3P

Page 7: dcf pemex outlook 080923 i · 2008-12-10 · 3 • The SEC permits oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose only proved reserves that a company has demonstrated

7

4.1 4.1 4.3 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.4

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Production Profile

• Increased total production of hydrocarbons and sustained volume since 2004

• Crude oil production has decreased since 2004 due to the natural decline of Cantarell

• Reverted declining trend in natural gas production and increased extraction consistently since 2002

Total hydrocarbon production (MMboed)

Natural gas (MMMcfd)Heavy oil Light oil

Associated gas Non-associated gas

Crude oil (MMbd)

2.0 2.2 2.4 2.5 2.4 2.2 2.1

1.01.00.90.90.91.01.13.13.33.33.43.43.23.1

3.2 3.1 3.1 3.0 3.0 3.1 3.4

1.3 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.9 2.3 2.64.5 4.4 4.5 4.6 4.8 5.4 6.1

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Note: Figures may not total due to rounding.

Page 8: dcf pemex outlook 080923 i · 2008-12-10 · 3 • The SEC permits oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose only proved reserves that a company has demonstrated

8

Sustainable Development

• During 2007 - 2012 PEMEX expects to invest US$7 MMM in its environmental development strategy in order to:

– Reduce sulfur and greenhouse gas emissions (GEI)

– Minimize spills and the impact to the environment

• PEMEX has signed several collaboration agreements to reduce more than 2.3 MMteemissions of greenhouse gases:0.0

0.4

0.8

1.2

1.6

2.0

2003 2004 2005 2006 200720

60

100

140

180

Severity Index Frequency Index

Safety Environment

• PEMEX has a profound commitment to improve the safety of its operations:

– In 2006, the Security and Environmental Protection System (SSPA) was implemented

– In 2007, the Emergency Operation Center (CCAE) was created

Lost workdays / MM hours worked

Disabling accidents / MM hours worked

20.2 MMtCarbons Solutions

50.6 MMtStatoil

181.8 MMtCredit Suisse, Ecosecurities and Mitsui

Number of projects

GEI annual reductionFirm(s)

Page 9: dcf pemex outlook 080923 i · 2008-12-10 · 3 • The SEC permits oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose only proved reserves that a company has demonstrated

9

PEMEX Overview

Financial Highlights

Lines of Business

Content

Page 10: dcf pemex outlook 080923 i · 2008-12-10 · 3 • The SEC permits oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose only proved reserves that a company has demonstrated

10

34 40 47 50 5433

2129

3948

44

30

4

556

69

8698 104

67

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 1H08

Revenue Evolution

Note: Includes sales taxes (IEPS).

By MarketMMMUS$

Exports

Domestic Sales

Crude Oil Exports by Region 1H08100% = 1.4 MMbd

Europe

Rest of America

Far East

USA

Crude exports

Domestic Sales

Other Exports

3%80%

8%

9%

Page 11: dcf pemex outlook 080923 i · 2008-12-10 · 3 • The SEC permits oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose only proved reserves that a company has demonstrated

11

19.4

15.613.8

11.810.9

7.86.97.5

5.55.1

10.1

98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08E

Investments(1)

MMMUS$

(1) Includes upstream maintenance expenditures. (2) Translated at the budgeted 2008 exchange rate of Ps. 11.2 per dollar.

2001 - 2007 Average: 11.0

• 2008 investments will be 76% higher than 2001 - 2007 average

Refining

Gas and Petrochemicals

Exploration and Production(1)

2008E Breakdown

16.2

2.3

0.60.3 Petrochemicals

Page 12: dcf pemex outlook 080923 i · 2008-12-10 · 3 • The SEC permits oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose only proved reserves that a company has demonstrated

12

2Q08 Financial Highlights

(1) Earnings before interests, taxes, depreciation and amortization. Excludes IEPS.(2) Numbers may not total due to rounding.

Apr - Jun

EBITDA (1)

Total sales

Billion pesos

Net income (Loss)

Change

• Income before taxes and duties increased 36.3%, to 248.4 billion pesos, as compared to the second quarter of 2007.

• Net income for the second quarter of 2008 totaled 16.7 billion pesos.

Billion dollars

Income before taxes and duties

286.8 84.8 29.6% 36.1

182.3 248.4 66.1 36.3% 24.1

38.3 16.7 (21.6) 1.6

215.6 303.9 88.3 41.0% 29.5

371.6

2007 2008 2008Apr - Jun Apr - Jun

Page 13: dcf pemex outlook 080923 i · 2008-12-10 · 3 • The SEC permits oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose only proved reserves that a company has demonstrated

13

PEMEX Overview

Financial Highlights

Lines of Business

Content

Page 14: dcf pemex outlook 080923 i · 2008-12-10 · 3 • The SEC permits oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose only proved reserves that a company has demonstrated

14

Upstream Production Strategy: Short Term

• Extra-heavy and light oil blending at FPSO to export a “Maya” grade crude

• Nitrogen injection in the Bermúdez field started during 2Q08

1. Cantarell2. Ku-Maloob-Zaap3. A. J. Bermúdez4. Jujo-Tecominoacán5. Poza Rica6. Bellota Chinchorro7. Cactus Sitio Grande

Projects Injection

N2

N2

N2

N2

H2OGL(1)

GL(1)

(1) Gas lift.(2) Crude oil production for 2Q08.

OffshoreOnshore

2

4

1

3

5

6 7

OffshoreOnshore

2

4

1

3

5

6 7

Production(2)

(Mbd)

1,0516971587585 4613

Page 15: dcf pemex outlook 080923 i · 2008-12-10 · 3 • The SEC permits oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose only proved reserves that a company has demonstrated

15

PALEOCANALCHICONTEPEC

CUENCA DECHICONTEPEC

FAJA DE OROMARINA

FAJA DE OROTERRESTRE

VERACRUZ

HIDALGO

PUEBLA

TUXPAN

POZA RICA

GOLFO DEMEXICO

• Discovery: 1926

• Oil gravity: 18-45°API

• Operating wells*: 634

• Drilled wells*: 1,451

• Current production: 27.8 Mbd*

• Target production (2017): 500,000 bd

• Reserves as of January 1, 2008: (MMboe)

• 1P: 626

• 2P: 9,189

• 3P: 17,715

• The project is focused on 3 priority areas:

• Minimizing environmental impact

• Improving well productivity

• Implementing secondary and enhanced recovery processes

* End of April, 2008

Upstream Production Strategy: Chicontepec (ATG)

Page 16: dcf pemex outlook 080923 i · 2008-12-10 · 3 • The SEC permits oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose only proved reserves that a company has demonstrated

16

Upstream Production Strategy: Deepwater*2003 2004 2005 2006

Chuktah-201Nab-1

Noxal-1Lakach-1

Lalail-1

512680

935988

805

2007

* Water depth greater than 500 meters. ** In the process of drilling

• In GOM 7 wells were drilled, discovering 3 non-associated natural gas fields

• Lakach field is the fourth most important gas field, discovered in 2006, with 3P reserves estimated at 1.3 Tcf

• In 2007, Lalail field was discovered and accounted for 0.7 Tcf of 3P gas reserves

• During 2008, Chelem-1 was drilled but it did not discover reserves. Tamil-1 well is in the process of drilling and completion

Chelem-1810

Tamil-1**778

2008

Page 17: dcf pemex outlook 080923 i · 2008-12-10 · 3 • The SEC permits oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose only proved reserves that a company has demonstrated

17

Downstream Strategy: RefiningModernization of the Refining System

Increase heavy crude processing capacity

Raise output of high value added products

Meet sulfur reduction standards for gasoline and diesel

Real time monitoring of the pipeline system

Cadereyta

Madero

MinatitlánSalina Cruz

Tula

Salamanca

National Refining System Capacity: 1,540 MbdKEDC: 2,631 MbdComplexity Index: 11.1

Main Projects

Crude ProcessingMinatitlán refinery reconfiguration

Sulfur reduction in gasoline and diesel within the entire refining system

Salina Cruz refinery reconfiguration

Residual conversion in Tula and Salamanca refineries

Construction of a new refinery (evaluation phase)

DistributionReal time monitoring (SCADA)

Modernization of maritime terminals

Page 18: dcf pemex outlook 080923 i · 2008-12-10 · 3 • The SEC permits oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose only proved reserves that a company has demonstrated

18

Pipelines (km): 9,343Sweetening plantsCapacity (MMcfd):(1) 4,503Liquids recovery plantsCapacity (MMcfd):(1) 5,742

Increase processing capacity

Enhance flexibility of the transportation system

Capacity expansion of the processing system in northern Mexico to capture natural gas liquids

Cogeneration plant in Nuevo Pemex

New compression stations to increase transport capacity in the Central and South Western Regions of Mexico

Step Up Processing and Improve Transportation

Main Projects

Gas Processing Centers

(1) 92% of the sweetening capacity and 69% of the liquids recovery capacity is located in Cd. Pemex, Cactus and Nuevo Pemex.

nReynosa

n

Poza RicaCd Pemex

Nuevo PemexCactus

Matapionchenn

nn n

n

La VentanBurgosnArenque

Coatzacoalcos Area(Cangrejera, Morelos, Pajaritos)

Downstream Strategy: Natural Gas

Page 19: dcf pemex outlook 080923 i · 2008-12-10 · 3 • The SEC permits oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose only proved reserves that a company has demonstrated

19

5

5

5

5

55

Camargo

Tula

San Martín Texmelucan

Pajaritos

Cosoleacaque

Morelos5

5

Escolín

Downstream Strategy: Petrochemicals

Invest in profitable petrochemical chains

Seize Opportunities

Main Projects

Cangrejera

Petrochemical Centers

Capacity expansions in ethylene and styrene

Joint ventures with private sector companies in minority role to integrate the value chains

Page 20: dcf pemex outlook 080923 i · 2008-12-10 · 3 • The SEC permits oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose only proved reserves that a company has demonstrated

20

www.pemex.com

Contact:

Investor Relations(52 55) 1944 9700

[email protected]