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10/20/11 1 Building Evidence on ResultsBased Financing for Health 3 rd Annual Impact EvaluaAon Training Workshop Bangkok, October 1721, 2011 Data Quality Assurance: Sampling, Ques6onnaire, Fieldwork Beatriz Godoy and Juan Muñoz – Sistemas Integrales October 18, 2011 Sampling Health faciliAes and households should be selected through a documented process that gives each unit in the populaAon of interest a probability of being chosen that is posi6ve and known This permits making inferences from the sample to the enAre populaAon with known margins of error (external validity) Samples are generally not simple random samples Samples are instead StraAfied by Region, by Urban/Rural, by IntervenAon / Control, … Selected in two stages or more Area Units in the first stage/s Households in the last stage 2

Day 2 2 Munoz Godoy Data quality assurance EN - World Banksiteresources.worldbank.org/INTHSD/Resources/topics/415176... · 10/20/2011 · 10/20/11 3! Demographic surveys deff= n OurSurvey

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10/20/11  

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Building  Evidence  on  Results-­‐Based  Financing  for  Health  3rd  Annual  Impact  EvaluaAon  Training  Workshop  

Bangkok,  October  17-­‐21,  2011  

Data  Quality  Assurance:  Sampling,  Ques6onnaire,  Fieldwork  

Beatriz  Godoy  and  Juan  Muñoz  –  Sistemas  Integrales  

October  18,  2011  

Sampling  

•  Health  faciliAes  and  households  should  be  selected  through  a  documented  process  that  gives  each  unit  in  the  populaAon  of  interest  a  probability  of  being  chosen  that  is  posi6ve  and  known  –  This  permits  making  inferences  from  the  sample  to  the  enAre  

populaAon  with  known  margins  of  error  (external  validity)  

•  Samples  are  generally  not  simple  random  samples  

•  Samples  are  instead  –  StraAfied  

•  by  Region,  by  Urban/Rural,  by  IntervenAon  /  Control,  …  –  Selected  in  two  stages  or  more  

•  Area  Units  in  the  first  stage/s  •  Households  in  the  last  stage  

2  

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Sampling  error  

•  Sampling  error  is  the  result  of  observing  a  sample  of  n  households  (the  sample  size)  rather  than  all  N  households  in  the  populaAon  of  interest  

•  The  standard  error  e  is  a  measure  of  a  sample’s  precision  

–  The  chances  for  the  true  value  of  an  indicator  being  farther  than  2e  apart  from  its  sampling  esAmate  are  about  95  percent  

•  The  standard  error  e  decreases  with  the  square  root  of  the  sample  size  n.  –  To  reduce  the  error  to  one  half,  the  sample  size  must  be  quadrupled  

•  The  size  of  the  populaAon  N  has  almost  no  influence  on  the  size  of  the  sample  that  is  needed  to  achieve  a  given  precision  

–  To  obtain  naAonal  esAmates,  big  countries  and  small  countries  require  samples  of  about  the  same  size  

•  Increasing  the  sample  size  will  generally  reduce  sampling  errors  

–  However,  it  is  also  likely  to  increase  non-­‐sampling  errors  

3  

Sampling  techniques  

•  Why  two  stages?  –  IntervenAons  are  generally  focused  on  

faciliAes  –  An  updated  list  of  all  households  is  

generally  unavailable  –  A  single-­‐stage  sample  would  be  too  

sca\ered  in  the  territory  •  Why  straAficaAon?  

–  In  order  to  potenAally  improve  precision,  by  gaining  control  of  the  composiAon  of  the  sample  

–  In  order  to  provide  esAmates  for  subgroups  that  would  otherwise  be  poorly  represented  (small  regions,  women-­‐headed  households,  etc.)  

4  

Two-stage sampling solves these problems, but the sample becomes less precise as a result of clustering

These two objectives are generally contradictory in practice

Most stratified samples select households with unequal probabilities. This implies that the survey needs to be analyzed with weights.

The combined result of clustering and stratification is called design effect

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!

deff =nOur Survey

nA Simple Random Sample with the same precision

Our survey will typically have a complex design, with two stages, stratification, etc.

Deff depends on the indicator being measured For socio-economic indicators it is typically 3 or more It can be a little less for demographic indicators It can be a lot more for infrastructure indicators

Deff depends on the cluster size

Socioeconomic surveys try not to

exceed 15-20 households per cluster

Demographic surveys may occasionally do

more

Sampling  -­‐  Design  effect  (deff)  

•  An  adequate  sample  frame  needs  to  be  available  before  a  sample  can  be  selected  –  A  sample  frame  is  a  list  of  all  units  in  the  populaAon  

•  The  sample  frame  for  the  first  stage  is  generally  the  most  recent  list  of  faciliAes  (or  census  enumeraAon  areas)  

•  The  sample  frame  for  the  last  stage  is  generally  developed  specifically  for  each  survey,  by  way  of  a  household  lisAng  operaAon  conducted  in  all  sample  points.  –  The  Ame  and  budget  of  household  lisAng  are  

•  Small  enough  to  be  considered  a  marginal  part  of  the  overall  data  collecAon  effort  

•  Large  enough  to  be  a  headache  if  they  are  forgo\en  or  underesAmated  

Sample  frames  

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•  Household  lisAngs  (and  the  subsequent  selecAon  of  the  households  to  be  visited)  can  be  prepared  –  by  the  same  fieldworkers  who  will  conduct  the  interviews,  or  

–  by  independent  enumerators  

–  The  choice  is  difficult.  

•  Sample  points  larger  than  a  few  hundred  households  may  require  segmentaAon  –  The  sample  point  is  divided  into  smaller  areas  of  approximately  equal  size  called  

segments.  Then  one  (or  maybe  a  few)  of  the  segments  are  randomly  selected  and  listed.  –  SegmentaAon  is  a  de  facto  extra  sampling  stage  that  is  very  difficult  to  supervise.  It  

should  only  be  used  as  a  last  resort.  

•  Beware  of  imitaAons  and  shortcuts  –  Implicit  lisAng  (a.k.a.  “random  walk”)  consists  of  asking  the  interviewers  to  select  every  

n-­‐th  household  on  the  ground  rather  than  on  paper.  It  is  not  a  recommended  opAon.  

Sampling  -­‐  Household  lisAng  issues  

•  None  of  the  following  is  a  soluAon  for  nonresponse  –  Replace  nonrespondents  with  similar  households  –  Increase  the  sample  size  to  compensate  for  it  –  Use  correcAon  formulas  –  Use  imputaAon  techniques  (hot-­‐deck,  cold-­‐deck,  warm-­‐deck,  etc.)  to  

simulate  the  answers  of  nonrespondents  

•  The  best  way  to  deal  with  nonresponse  is  to  prevent  it  –  Some  of  the  above  may  have  a  prevenAve  value  

•  A\riAon  –  Things  that  happen  out  there  in  the  world  –  Things  that  happen  to  us  in  the  project  

Sampling  -­‐  Nonresponse  

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QuesAonnaire  design  Asking  the  right  quesAons  

•  Are  the  relevant  topics  covered?  Is  each  topic  adequately  covered?  

–  Discussions  with  key  stakeholders  –  Indicators  needed  

•  For  monitoring  (MDGS,  Etc.)  

•  For  impact  evaluaAon  

–  Review  of  previous  surveys  –  Review  of  relevant  qualitaAve  studies  

•  Reality  checks  –  PiloAng  –  Field-­‐tesAng  –  To  avoid  respondent  faAgue:  

Maximum  90  minutes  per  respondent  in  a  single  sikng  

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QuesAonnaire  design  Choosing  the  respondents  

•  Each  quesAon  should  be  addressed  to  the  person  who  is  be\er  informed  to  answer  

•  Different  respondents  may  need  to  be  interviewed  in  each  facility  or  household  

•  Who  signs  the  le\er  of  consent?  

•  Proxy  respondents  to  be  avoided  

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QuesAonnaire  design  Assuring  comprehension  

•  Wording  –  Avoid  ambiguous  wording  –  Ask  one  quesAon  at  a  Ame  (don’t  ask  double-­‐barreled  quesAons)  –  Be  clear  who  the  quesAon  refers  to  –  Make  the  reference  period  explicit  –  Make  measurement  units  explicit  –  Avoid  jargon  or  academic  phrases  –  Straighmorward  language  (avoid  double  negaAves)  –  QuesAons  should  be  culturally  sensiAve  and  appropriate  

•  TranslaAon  –  Interviewers  to  read  quesAons  as  they  are  wri\en  –  Back-­‐translaAon  is  needed  –  DiagnosAc  tools  (Peabody,  Mc  Arthur,  etc.)  should  be  adapted  to  local  

context    11  

QuesAonnaire  design  The  flow  of  quesAons  

•  QuesAons  should  be  asked  in  a  logical  order  •  QuesAons  should  only  be  asked  when  applicable  •  The  decision  of  when  and  to  whom  a  quesAon  should  be  asked  should  never  be  len  to  the  interviewer  judgment  

•  This  is  done  by  establishing  an  explicit  skip  pa\ern  

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QuesAonnaire  design  Draning  issues  

•  QuesAon  types  –  Closed  form  –  Yes  /  No  –  MulAple  answer  –  Numeric  –  Textual  

•  “Don’t  knows”  (Don’t  provide  perverse  incenAves  for  them)  •  QuesAon  numbering  •  Graphic  organizaAon  

–  Free  form  –  Grid  –  Flap  

•  Sonware  tools  –  Excel  much  be\er  than  Word  –  Use  formulas  for  quesAon  numbering  –  AutomaAc  translaAon  

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QuesAonnaire  design  Reality  checks  -­‐  PiloAng  

•  Designers  and  analysts  should  be  engaged  •  Sample  does  not  need  to  be  large  or  random  (emphasize  quality  over  quanAty)  

•  PiloAng  is  an  iteraAve  process  

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•  Why  is  good  fieldwork  important?  

•  Basically,  because  bad  fieldwork  can  be  disastrous  Survey Month

Households reporting illnesses, accidents (Q407)

Households reporting chronic

deseases (Q401)

Households reporting

agricultural activities (Q901)

Number of crops

reported (Q911)

Households reporting livestock

activities (Q918)

Households reporting fishing activities (Q924)

Total Nb of durables

(Section 12)

Nb of HH having credit (Section 13)

HH size mean

Number of lines with food consumption

1 1,645 705 572 1,352 563 17 9,538 1,017 7.8 95,687

2 1,352 624 503 1,299 530 13 8,853 937 7.5 99,491

3 996 577 507 1,421 502 12 9,818 910 7.6 96,028

4 898 642 486 1,469 504 25 9,301 880 7.9 96,139

5 816 545 436 1,243 464 3 9,180 811 7.1 97,094

6 691 513 477 1,442 465 23 9,667 841 7.5 97,315

7 625 529 465 1,338 494 26 9,621 738 7.5 108,432

8 658 498 439 1,264 433 17 9,437 707 7.3 100,888

9 769 552 433 1,244 428 11 9,584 740 7.2 98,893

10 858 534 468 1,227 436 25 9,224 719 7.4 98,415

11 743 517 399 1,165 411 10 9,294 737 7.2 97,138

12 693 464 356 1,133 440 25 9,722 705 7.1 96,052

Fieldwork  and  data  management  

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Fieldwork  and  data  management  Fieldwork  organizaAon  

•  Organized  into  teams  –  Supervisor  –  2-­‐4  Interviewers  –  Data  entry  operator  –  Anthropometrics  /  Bio-­‐tesAng  professional    

•  A  realisAc  survey  plan  –  Who  visits  which  locality  and  when  –  Few  teams  working  for  a  longer  period,  rather  than  

many  teams  working  for  a  short  period  •  A  realisAc  work  plan  

–  What  to  do  in  each  locality  and  how  long  does  it  take  to  do  it  –  Time  is  needed  to  find  the  correct  respondents  –  Time  is  needed  for  quality  assurance    –  Teams  need  Ame  to  move  between  localiAes  

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Specialized teams (for facilities and for households) or dual- role teams?

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Fieldwork  and  data  management  Fieldworker  selecAon  

•  Need  to  consider  –  Gender  –  Age  –  Language  –  EducaAon  (sufficient,  but  not  much  more)  

–  Compliance  with  naAonal  health  regulaAons  

–  Willingness  to  accept  the  realiAes  of  fieldwork  –  Etc.  

•  SelecAon  requires  –  CV  scanning  –  Face  to  face  interviews  –  Be\er  train  more  than  needed,  and  select  the  best  aner  training    

17  

Fieldwork  and  data  management  Fieldworker  training  

•  A  well-­‐defined  training  plan  (measured  in  weeks,  not  in  days)  

•  Senior  speakers  for  plenary  sessions  •  A  group  of  master  trainers  to  conduct  the  group  sessions  in  parallel  

•  Lodging,  catering  and  transportaAon  •  Equipment  and  supplies  •  Households  for  field  pracAce  •  Space  for  plenary  and  group  sessions  

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Fieldwork  and  data  management  Quality  assurance  

•  Human  supervision  –  Visual  scruAny  of  completed  quesAonnaires  –  Observing  interviewers  during  fieldwork  –  Check-­‐up  interviews  

•  Computer-­‐based  checks  (Computer  Assisted  Field  Edits:  The  CAFE  approach)  –  Use  the  computer  to  detect  inconsistencies  while  the  team  is  in  the  

cluster  and  can  correct  them  by  re-­‐visiAng  the  households  –  Timely  available  datasets  are  also  useful  for  

•  Monitoring  fieldwork  •  Analysis  of  parAal  datasets  •  Opportune  decision-­‐making  

–  Avoid  “data  cleaning”  •  Reliance  on  external  fieldwork  implementaAon  firms  makes  

the  above    parAcularly  challenging  

Need to implement adequate data transmission and concentration protocols

The  bo\om  line  

•  Gekng  good  quality  data  is  – Important  

– Difficult  

– Time-­‐consuming  

•  Needs  to  be  accounted  for  at  the  Ame  of  

– Planning  – BudgeAng  

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