Day 1_Session 2_Mapping Social Protection Systems

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    Mapping Existing Social Protection Systemand Estimating Coverage Gaps

    Capacity Development Workshop on Measuring Social

    Protection

    1416 May 2013

    BPS Statistics Indonesia, Jakarta, Indonesia

    Cline Peyron Bista et Florence Bonnet

    Social Protection Department,

    International Labour Office, Geneva

    Disclaimer: The views expressed in this paper/presentation are the views of the

    author and do not necessarily reflect the views or policies of the Asian Development

    Bank (ADB), or its Board of Governors, or the governments they represent. ADB

    does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in this paper and accepts no

    responsibility for any consequence of their use. Terminology used may not

    necessarily be consistent with ADB official terms.

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    Outline of the presentation

    1. Mapping national social protection system &

    identify coverage gaps 1.1. Main questions to be answered

    1.2. How to? Main steps and data requirements

    1.3 A tool: the ILO social security inquiry

    2. Some results & a key issue 2.1. Example of categorization tree of schemes and benefits

    allowing the construction of meaningful data and indicators

    2.2 From the categorization to examples of specific indicators

    3. Concluding remarks: international initiative for the harmonization (& standardization)

    of social protection data

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    1. Mapping national social

    protection system and identify gapsof coverage

    1.1 Main questions to be answered

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    Mapping | Questions to ask about the overall

    social protection system

    Mapping national social protection

    system | Main questions

    Mapping national social protection

    system | Source and tool

    Coverage

    Who is covered: How many (poor-

    non poor, workers in formal/

    informal employment and other

    vulnerable groups)?

    What are the benefits provided

    (risks covered) and what is the

    amount?

    What are the (potential/actual)

    impacts of these benefits?

    Spending and financing

    Who is paying (financing sources);

    How much (how much for the

    benefits, how much for the

    administration)?

    Inventory of existing social

    protection schemes and

    programmes in the country

    Collect information on deliveredbenefits, coverage, spending

    and financing

    Sources: administrative data

    from social security schemes asprimary source (coverage,

    impacts)

    Tool: ILO social security inquiry

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    Mapping | Questions to ask about the overall

    social protection coverage

    Estimate coverage gaps and identify

    coverage needs | Main questions

    Estimate coverage gaps &

    identify coverage needs

    Since the identification of gaps in coverage,

    together with the reasons for their existence

    and ways of filling them, are the main

    objectives, the following questions need to

    be answered:

    Who are those not currently covered but

    in need of coverage?

    What are their needs?

    What are the risks they are exposed to?

    What are the options for the coverageextension?

    What are their employment situation?

    In what measure can they contribute?

    What is the potential cost of the

    coverage extension?

    Mainly household surveys(household income & expenditure surveys,

    Labour force surveys)

    Considering those who are not

    covered: identification of

    different groups and coverage

    needs in order to provide useful

    info for adequate options for

    social security extension

    Key factors regarding social

    security extension Labour market structure

    Ability to work and Status in

    employment

    Capacity to contribute;

    Poverty status; etc

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    1. Mapping national social

    protection system

    1.2. Main steps |Inventory of schemesand data required

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    Diagnostic (1)| Classical data gathering method required on

    social protection (1)

    Step 1| List of existing national social protection schemes and

    characteristics of each of them Contributory, non contributory or universal

    Public versus private schemes,

    Statutory scheme or not

    Compulsory or voluntary

    Step 2 |For each scheme, identify and define benefits provided Covered risk or function (health, old age, disability, survivor,

    work injury, unemployment, family/children, maternity,

    poverty and social exclusion) => link with floor guarantees

    Benefits in cash or in kind Periodicity: periodic benefits versus lump sum benefits

    Means-tested or non means-tested social benefits

    Complementary or non complementary benefits

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    Diagnostic (1)| Classical data gathering method required on

    social protection (2)

    Steps 3 & 4 |Data collection at scheme and benefit levels Financial data: scheme spending and revenue

    Expenditure at a scheme level

    Benefits (in cash or in kind), Administrative costs, Transferto other schemes, Other spending

    Revenue at a scheme level Social contributions (employers, employees/protected

    persons); Contributions from the government; Transfersfrom other schemes; Transfers from the rest of the world;Other receipts

    Financial (expenditure) data at the benefit level Benefit expenditure

    Minimum benefit if exists

    Average benefit

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    Diagnostic (1)| Classical data gathering method required

    on social protection (2)

    Steps 3 & 4 (contd.) |Data collection at scheme and benefit levels

    Data on coverage

    Information on the beneficiary level

    Target groups of the scheme

    Statutory coverage (Qualitative & Quantitative)Protected persons (scheme level)

    Number of persons affiliated by

    age groups and sex

    Number of active contributors by

    age groups and sex

    Information on benefit level

    Actual beneficiaries of the benefit (by sex & age)

    Benefit amount (by sex & age)

    Scope of

    coverage and

    Extent of

    statutory coverage

    Effective coverage

    Extent of

    effective

    coverage (1)Effective coverage

    Extent of

    effective

    coverage (2) Level of

    coverage

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    1. Mapping national social

    protection system

    1.3 A tool: the ILO social security inquiry

    (2-3 slides)

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    Screen shots| A guided tour in the inquiry

    Levels of information & sources

    Inventory of schemes & benefits:

    qualitatiive mapping of social

    protection provision Data collected at the scheme and

    benefit levels on:

    Expenditure and financing

    Coverage (protected persons &

    beneficiaries) and level ofbenefit

    Schemelevel

    National aggregate indicators

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    Step 1 | List of existing national

    social protection schemes and

    characteristics of each of them

    Contributory, not contributoryor universal

    Public versus private

    schemes,

    Statutory scheme or not

    Compulsory or voluntary

    Screen shots |A guided tour in the inquiry

    Armenia - An tentative Inventory of schemes

    Step 1|

    Inventory of social security schemes&definition of each scheme

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    Screen shots |A guided tour in the inquiry

    Armenia - An tentative Inventory of schemes

    For each indentified schemeFirst pat|Textual information & direct links

    Description of the scheme incl. information from

    SSPTWStep 2Data collection ofcoverage data

    and

    Financial data at the scheme

    level

    Step 3 | Identify and define

    benefits provided Covered risk or function

    (health, old age, disability,

    survivor, work injury,

    unemployment, family/children,

    maternity, poverty and socialexclusion) => can be linked

    with the SPF guarantees

    And collect for each of them

    data on

    Expenditure by benefit

    Beneficiaries

    Level of benefits

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    Benefit level| Armenia Old age pension

    data collected

    1. |Definition of benefit: function, periodicity, cash or in-kind, means tested of notA benefit is defined by:

    The function covered: old age,

    survivors, maternity, etc.

    Basic or supplementary benefit

    The periodicity: (periodic or not)

    The type: cash or in kind

    Beneficiaries: individuals or

    households

    Means-tested or not

    2. |Expenditure at the benefit level

    Social protection

    expenditure by function, as apercentage of

    Total social protection

    expenditure

    GDP

    3. | Beneficiaries, if possible by sex &

    age group

    Effective coverage

    Extent of effective

    coverage [2]

    Actual beneficiaries

    4. | Benefit level, if possible by sex &age group

    Effective level of

    coverage: average level

    of benefit related to

    average wage, minimumwage, poverty line

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    Results| Aggregate indicators online

    Indicators can be consulted

    from

    1. the indicators section (mainlytables)

    Consultation of all indicators for agiven country

    Depending on availability, data

    available from 2000 to 2012 for

    expenditure and coverage

    related indicators

    Consultation of All countries for a

    given indicator

    2. From the from page: maps for aselected number of indicators

    Old age pension beneficiaries as a proportion of

    persons above retirement ageUnemployed receiving unemployment benefits

    (periodic cash benefits)

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    2. Some results & a key issue:

    example ofcategorization of schemes andbenefits allowing the construction of

    meaningful data and indicators

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    How to categorize and qualify schemes

    and benefits

    Objectives To structure data collection and allows the calculation of sound

    and meaningful indicators

    To enhance compatibility and comparability of data among

    countries and among international organizations

    To allow switching between the different classifications

    used by various countries or organizations by creatingbridges between these different classifications.

    To allow each of organizations to calculate its respective

    indicators according to its mandates and needs.

    Which criteria? What categories? Some established methods (Eurostat, OECD, ILO, ..) propose

    some classifications with bridges from one to the other

    The ILO social protection data are structured as follows

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    Categorisation of schemes & benefits

    Benefits featuresSchemes/ programmes

    definition

    SP

    system

    Older persons Old age

    Survivors*

    Family / childbenefit

    Active age Sickness

    Disability/ Invalidity

    Unemployment

    Employment injury

    Maternity

    Survivors*

    ALMP

    Housing *

    Other social assistance*

    Health care benefit

    Function

    Cash

    In-

    kind

    Type ofbenefit

    periodic

    Lump-sum/

    ad hoc

    periodic

    Lump-sum/

    ad hoc

    Periodicity

    Statutory

    Non

    statutory

    Contributory

    Non

    contributory

    Contributory

    Non

    contributory

    Contributory

    Non

    contributory

    Contributory

    Noncontributory

    Public

    Private

    Public

    Private

    Means-tested

    Not means

    tested

    Means-tested

    Not means

    tested

    Means-tested

    Not means

    tested

    Means-tested or not

    Other criteria

    Mandatory /voluntary benefit

    Complementary /

    main benefit

    Any other?

    Means-tested

    Not means

    tested

    d d | bl l

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    From data to indicators | Public social protection

    expenditure on benefits for older persons

    Benefits featuresSchemes/ programmes

    definition

    SP

    system

    Older persons Old age

    Survivors*

    Family / childbenefit

    Active age Sickness

    Disability/ Invalidity

    Unemployment

    Employment injury

    Maternity

    Survivors*

    ALMP

    Housing *

    Other social assistance*

    Health care benefit

    Function

    Cash

    In-

    kind

    Type ofbenefit

    periodic

    Lump-sum/

    ad hoc

    periodic

    Lump-sum/

    ad hoc

    Periodicity

    Means-tested

    Not means

    tested

    Means-tested

    Not means

    tested

    Means-tested

    Not means

    tested

    Means-tested or not

    Other criteria

    Mandatory /voluntary benefit

    Complementary /

    main benefit

    Any other?

    Statutory

    Non

    statutory

    Contributory

    Non

    contributory

    Contributory

    Non

    contributory

    Contributory

    Non

    contributory

    Contributory

    Noncontributory

    Public

    Private

    Public

    Private

    Means-tested

    Not means

    tested

    i ib i f bli i l i di

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    Distribution of public social protection expenditure

    Expenditure for older persons are the highest

    Health and elderly (pensions

    in particular) represent thebiggest proportions in total

    public social protection

    expenditure.

    Health 2.9%

    Older persons 3.4%

    Active age 2.3%

    Active age includes social

    security expenditure in case ofsickness, disability, employment

    injury, maternity, unemployment

    (1.6%) as well as general social

    assistance (0.7%)

    Public social security expenditureon Unemployment represents

    0.5% of GDP worldwide (1.1% in

    high income countries; 0.2% in

    middle income countries and

    0.02% in low income group)

    Child benefits (either in kind or

    in cash represents less than0.5% of GDP

    1.4% of GDP in high income

    countries and 0.1% in low

    income group of countries

    Children 0.5%

    1.4%

    0.3%

    0.1%

    Eld l | Di t ib ti f th l ti d 65 d

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    Elderly| Distribution of the population aged 65 and over

    and distribution of public SP expenditure for

    elderly

    In Asia

    52% of the world population

    aged 65 and over&

    23 % of the world publicsocial protection expenditure

    for elderly (in 2010)

    In Western Europe

    14% of the world population

    aged 65 and over&

    35 % of the world publicsocial protection expenditure

    for elderly (in 2010)

    In North America, less than

    9 % and close to 24%

    respectively.

    F d t t i di t | Old * i i ld

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    From data to indicators | Older persons* receiving an old age

    pension above statutory pensionable age

    Benefits featuresSchemes/ programmes

    definition

    SP

    system

    Older persons Old age

    Survivors*

    Family / childbenefit

    Active age Sickness

    Disability/ Invalidity

    Unemployment

    Employment injury

    Maternity

    Survivors*

    ALMP

    Housing *

    Other social assistance*

    Health care benefit

    Function

    Cash

    In-

    kind

    Type ofbenefit

    periodic

    Lump-sum/

    ad hoc

    periodic

    Lump-sum/

    ad hoc

    Periodicity

    Means-tested

    Not means

    tested

    Means-tested

    Not means

    tested

    Means-tested

    Not means

    tested

    Means-tested or not

    Other criteria

    Mandatory /voluntary benefit

    Complementary /

    main benefit

    Any other?

    Statutory

    Non

    statutory

    Contributory

    Non

    contributory

    Contributory

    Non

    contributory

    Contributory

    Non

    contributory

    Contributory

    Noncontributory

    Public

    Private

    Public

    Private

    Means-tested

    Not means

    tested

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    Worldwide 29.9% of the working age,

    contribute to an old age pension

    scheme (entitled to pension cash

    benefits one reaching pensionable

    age)

    54.6% of the elderly above retirement

    age receive an old age pension

    (45.1% without China)

    Extent of statutory coverage| Old age pensions |

    Extent of effective coverage

    Two dimensions of

    coverage:Persons protected

    (future beneficiaries of an

    old age pension) and the

    actual beneficiaries

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    Extent of effective coverage | Old age

    Asia | Active contributors to an old age pension scheme

    as a proportion of the working age population

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    Extent of effective coverage | Old age

    Asia | Old-age pensioners as a proportion of

    populationabove retirement age (%)

    0,91,02,33,23,53,75,05,67,98,08,18,510,6

    10,7

    13,116,7

    17,119,5

    19,823,1

    24,1

    24,726,4

    27,3

    28,531,734,5 40,142,2 47,4

    48,0

    56,0

    56,

    5 62,564,2

    72,9

    73,677,680,0

    80,2

    80,383,0

    83,387,089,2

    89,891,495,2

    95,998,1

    100,0

    100,0

    100,0

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    90

    100

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    90

    100

    PapuaNewGuinea

    onga

    Pakistan

    Bhutan

    Vanuatu

    Samoa

    ambodia

    LaoPeople'sDem.

    Qatar

    WestBankandGa

    za

    Indonesia

    Yemen

    FijiAfghanistan

    SolomonIslands

    SyrianArabRepub

    lic

    SriLanka

    Tuvalu

    Malaysia

    Lebanon

    Indiaman

    Iran,IslamicRep.of

    uwait

    Philippines

    Bangladesh

    VietNam

    ahrain

    Jordan

    Thailand

    Palau

    IraqNauru

    Nepal

    MarshallIslands

    HongKong,China

    srael

    Korea,Republicof

    rmenia

    Tajikistan

    Japan

    Australia

    Azerbaijan

    BruneiDarussalam

    Maldives

    Georgia

    China

    NewZealand

    Kazakhstan

    Uzbekistan

    Kyrgyzstan

    Mongolia

    Timor-Leste

    Old-agepensionersasaproportionof

    populationabove

    retirementage(%)

    Total

    Female

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    Concluding remarks (1)

    Significant growth in the provision of social protection benefits over recent

    decades in many countries

    The recent adoption of the ILO SPFs Recommendation will contribute to this

    process of extension & calls explicitly for the monitoring of social protection

    systems both at national and international levels.

    Even though national dissemination of social protection data have already

    improved in recent years, as of today there no consistent and systematic methods regarding the

    gathering of data and information on provision, coverage, cost or impact

    at national level, many countries face real difficulties in assessing current

    social protection provision gaps and needs

    at the global level, there is a lack of consistent and readily comparableanalysis of provision across countries.

    In 2011, the G20 called for greater coordination between agencies on social

    protection SPIAC-B was subsequently created and agreed to put some

    cooperation efforts towards social protection data and statistics

    Recent initiative for the harmonization of international social protection data

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    Concluding remarks (2)

    Harmonization process should aim at

    an agreement on core standards in defining social protection

    programs

    a set of individual data to be collected at the agreed statistical unit

    levels and on their "definition" or "qualification".

    ensuring comparability and allow switching between the different

    classifications used by various organizations and creating bridgesbetween these different classifications

    allows each of organizations to calculate its respective indicators

    according to its mandates & needs.

    facilitate inter-organisations/ agencies closer collaboration at the

    country level with the focus on their areas of strength. Result in key principles and guidelines regarding social

    security/protection statistics and indicators which should be taken into

    account not just by international organizations but also by provide

    clear guidelines to countries.

    In a way formalising and progressively improve what ADB, OECD

    and ILO started to do on the SPI project