Upload
augustus-riley
View
216
Download
1
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
David M. Harrison, Ph.D.Real Estate FinanceTexas Tech University
“In general, the value of a parcel of real estate is the present value of the expected future
benefits associated with ownership of the property right.”
What is Value?
David M. Harrison, Ph.D.Real Estate FinanceTexas Tech University
Market Value vs. Investment Value
Market Value –
Investment Value –
David M. Harrison, Ph.D.Real Estate FinanceTexas Tech University
Basic Valuation Concepts
Sources of Return from RE Investing
Valuation Concerns
David M. Harrison, Ph.D.Real Estate FinanceTexas Tech University
Time-Value of Money Operations
Future Value Future Value of an Annuity Sinking Fund Factor Present Value Present Value of an Annuity Mortgage Constant
David M. Harrison, Ph.D.Real Estate FinanceTexas Tech University
Future Value (FV)
Definition -
»
FV = ?
0 1 2 N
PV=x
FVn = PV(1 + i)n
David M. Harrison, Ph.D.Real Estate FinanceTexas Tech University
Future Value
Ex. Suppose you buy a tract of undeveloped land in rural Texas for $200,000. If the parcel appreciates at an annual rate of 4%, how much will you be able to sell the land for in twelve years?
David M. Harrison, Ph.D.Real Estate FinanceTexas Tech University
Future Value of an Annuity (FVA)
Definition -
»
FVA = ?
0 1 2 N
i
iFVA
n
n
1)1(
AA A
David M. Harrison, Ph.D.Real Estate FinanceTexas Tech University
Future Value of an Annuity
Ex. If you received $25,000 per year from operating an income producing property, how much would you have after 10 years assuming the opportunity cost of capital (i.e., discount rate) is 9%?
David M. Harrison, Ph.D.Real Estate FinanceTexas Tech University
Ordinary Annuity vs. Annuity Due
Ordinary Annuity
A AA
0 1 2 Ni%
A A
0 1 2 Ni%
Annuity Due
A
David M. Harrison, Ph.D.Real Estate FinanceTexas Tech University
Future Value of an Annuity Due
Ex. If you received $25,000 per year, in advance, from operating an income producing property, how much would you have after 10 years assuming the opportunity cost of capital (i.e., discount rate) is 9%?
David M. Harrison, Ph.D.Real Estate FinanceTexas Tech University
Sinking Fund Payment
Definition:
Ex. Suppose you plan on buying a house in 5 years at an expected purchase price of $250,000. You plan on financing the house via a mortgage which requires a 20% ($50,000) down payment. If you currently have no savings, and the discount rate is 7%, how much should you set aside each year in equal installments to satisfy your down payment requirement?
David M. Harrison, Ph.D.Real Estate FinanceTexas Tech University
Present Value (PV)
Definition -
»
FV = x
0 1 2 N
PV= ?
PV = P0 = FV / (1 + i)n
David M. Harrison, Ph.D.Real Estate FinanceTexas Tech University
Present Value
Ex. How much would you be willing to pay for a tract of land that you expect to be able to sell in five years, for $50,000, if the discount rate is 8%?
David M. Harrison, Ph.D.Real Estate FinanceTexas Tech University
Present Value of an Annuity (PVA)
Definition -
» PVA = ?
0 1 2 N
ii
PVAn)1(
11
AA A
David M. Harrison, Ph.D.Real Estate FinanceTexas Tech University
Present Value of an Annuity
Example: How much should you be willing to pay for an income producing (rental) property that provides expected after-tax cashflows of $10,000 per year for the next 10 years, if the discount rate is 8.5%?
David M. Harrison, Ph.D.Real Estate FinanceTexas Tech University
Present Value of an Annuity Due
Example: How much should you be willing to pay for an income producing (rental) property that provides expected after-tax cashflows of $10,000 per year for the next 10 years, with payments made at the beginning of the year, if the discount rate is 8.5%?
David M. Harrison, Ph.D.Real Estate FinanceTexas Tech University
TVM Properties Future Values
An increase in the discount rate
An increase in the length of time until the CF is received, given a set interest rate,
Present Values An increase in the discount rate
An increase in the length of time until the CF is received, given a set interest rate,
Note: For this class, assume nominal interest rates can’t be negative!
David M. Harrison, Ph.D.Real Estate FinanceTexas Tech University
Mortgage Constant
Definition:
Ex. Suppose you borrow $200,000 to purchase a home. The 15-year loan requires monthly payments, and has a stated nominal interest rate (APR) of 6%. What is the mortgage constant (Rm) on this loan, and what is the required monthly payment?
David M. Harrison, Ph.D.Real Estate FinanceTexas Tech University
Amortization
Loan Amortization Schedules
Ex. Consider a $200,000, 15-year, fixed-rate monthly payment mortgage with a contract interest rate of 6%.
What is required monthly payment of this loan? After 5 years, what is the remaining mortgage balance? During the first year, what is the fraction of the total
payments that go toward satisfying accrued interest obligations?
What is the total amount of interest paid over the life of this loan?
David M. Harrison, Ph.D.Real Estate FinanceTexas Tech University
Year Turtle Beach Townhouses Vermont Vacation Villas
0 ($3,500,000) ($5,000,000)
1 $250,000 $400,000
2 $250,000 $450,000
3 $250,000 $500,000
4 $250,000 $550,000
5 $4,500,000 $8,100,000
Alternative Investment Projects
David M. Harrison, Ph.D.Real Estate FinanceTexas Tech University
Net Present Value (NPV)
Definition –
NPV for Turtle Beach Townhouses
NPV for Vermont Vacation Villas
Decision Rules: Independent Projects – Mutually Exclusive Projects –
David M. Harrison, Ph.D.Real Estate FinanceTexas Tech University
Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
Definition –
IRR for Turtle Beach Townhouses
IRR for Vermont Vacation Villas
Decision Rules: Independent Projects – Mutually Exclusive Projects –
David M. Harrison, Ph.D.Real Estate FinanceTexas Tech University
Capitalization Rate (R) Definition –
Capitalization Rate (R) for Turtle Beach Townhouses
Capitalization Rate (R) for Vermont Vacation Villas
Problems: Independent Projects – Mutually Exclusive Projects –
Conclusion:
David M. Harrison, Ph.D.Real Estate FinanceTexas Tech University
Point of Indifference?
Cross-over Rate
Yr. Turtle Beach VT Vacation Villas Difference
0 ($3,500,000) ($5,000,000)
1 $250,000 $400,000
2 $250,000 $450,000
3 $250,000 $500,000
4 $250,000 $550,000
5 $4,500,000 $8,100,000
David M. Harrison, Ph.D.Real Estate FinanceTexas Tech University
Pricing Floating-Rate Securities
Floaters – Pricing Determinants:
» »
Implications of Pricing Determinants:
David M. Harrison, Ph.D.Real Estate FinanceTexas Tech University
Pricing Inverse-Floating Rate Securities
Inverse Floaters – Pricing Determinants:
Example: