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Accepted Manuscript Data-driven approaches to integrated closed-loop sustainable supply chain design under multi-uncertainties Zihao Jiao, Lun Ran, Yanzi Zhang, Ziqi Li, Wensi Zhang PII: S0959-6526(18)30587-0 DOI: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2018.02.255 Reference: JCLP 12202 To appear in: Journal of Cleaner Production Received Date: 25 November 2017 Revised Date: 21 February 2018 Accepted Date: 23 February 2018 Please cite this article as: Jiao Z, Ran L, Zhang Y, Li Z, Zhang W, Data-driven approaches to integrated closed-loop sustainable supply chain design under multi-uncertainties, Journal of Cleaner Production (2018), doi: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2018.02.255. This is a PDF file of an unedited manuscript that has been accepted for publication. As a service to our customers we are providing this early version of the manuscript. The manuscript will undergo copyediting, typesetting, and review of the resulting proof before it is published in its final form. Please note that during the production process errors may be discovered which could affect the content, and all legal disclaimers that apply to the journal pertain.

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Page 1: Data-driven approaches to integrated closed-loop … › bundles › Article › pre › pdf › 149608.pdfData-driven approaches to integrated closed-loop sustainable supply chain

Accepted Manuscript

Data-driven approaches to integrated closed-loop sustainable supply chain designunder multi-uncertainties

Zihao Jiao, Lun Ran, Yanzi Zhang, Ziqi Li, Wensi Zhang

PII: S0959-6526(18)30587-0

DOI: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2018.02.255

Reference: JCLP 12202

To appear in: Journal of Cleaner Production

Received Date: 25 November 2017

Revised Date: 21 February 2018

Accepted Date: 23 February 2018

Please cite this article as: Jiao Z, Ran L, Zhang Y, Li Z, Zhang W, Data-driven approaches to integratedclosed-loop sustainable supply chain design under multi-uncertainties, Journal of Cleaner Production(2018), doi: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2018.02.255.

This is a PDF file of an unedited manuscript that has been accepted for publication. As a service toour customers we are providing this early version of the manuscript. The manuscript will undergocopyediting, typesetting, and review of the resulting proof before it is published in its final form. Pleasenote that during the production process errors may be discovered which could affect the content, and alllegal disclaimers that apply to the journal pertain.

Page 2: Data-driven approaches to integrated closed-loop … › bundles › Article › pre › pdf › 149608.pdfData-driven approaches to integrated closed-loop sustainable supply chain

MANUSCRIP

T

ACCEPTED

ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT

Data-Driven Approaches to Integrated Closed-Loop

Sustainable Supply Chain Design under Multi-

Uncertainties

Zihao Jiaoa,b

, Lun Rana,b

*, Yanzi Zhangc, Ziqi Li

a, Wensi Zhang

d

a Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing, 100081, P.R. China b Sustainable Development Research Institute for Economy and Society of Beijing, Beijing, 100081, P.R.

China c Department of Industrial Engineering, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, P.R. China

d School of Economics, Ocean University of China, Qingdao, Shandong, 266100, P.R. China

Abstract

In this paper, the problem of sustainable closed-loop supply chain (CLSC) design under multi-uncertainties is studied. To identify an efficient way to enhance environmental and operational benefits of CLSC, we use “Big Data" and propose data-driven approaches to generating robust CLSC designs that mitigate uncertainty and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions burdens. More specifically, in addressing multi-uncertainties (i.e., buyers’ expectations, demands, and recovery uncertainties), a distributed robust optimization model (DRO) and an adaptive robust model (ARO) are developed for designing carryings and waste disposal facility locations of CLSC. Both models use historical data based on uncertain parameters for previous periods to make decisions on future stages in a robust way. Moreover, we incorporate K-L divergence into an ambiguous set of uncertain parameters to measure the value of data. The results of numerical analysis show the need to account for K-L divergence in an ambiguous set of DRO models, as GHG emission costs increase even when little K-L divergence disturbance is in place. Furthermore, from the data-driven framework, we find that government subsidies and an accurate estimation method (i.e., less K-L divergence) enhance environmental and operational benefits. Regarding model robustness levels, solutions generated from our ARO models outperform deterministic solutions not only in terms of their average objective value but also in terms of differences from ideal solutions.

Keywords: Sustainable Supply Chain, Robust Optimization, Closed-loop Supply Chain, Data-driven Approaches

1. Introduction

Recently, with increasing environmental concerns, social responsibilities, and operational benefits, businesses have become more aware of sustainable supply