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Dairy Marketing Dr. Roger Ginder Econ 338 Fall 2007 Lecture # 9

Dairy Marketing Dr. Roger Ginder Econ 338 Fall 2007 Lecture # 9

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NEW APPROACH TO VALUE CHAINS GAIN EFFICIENCY BY ELLIMINATING FUNCTIONS IN THE CHAIN ELLIMINATE COSTS BETWEEN LEVELS IN THE CHANNEL CONVERT PROFIT CENTERS TO COST CENTERS IMPROVE PERFORMANCE OF THE CHANNEL---- LOWER COSTS

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Page 1: Dairy Marketing Dr. Roger Ginder Econ 338 Fall 2007 Lecture # 9

Dairy Marketing

Dr. Roger GinderEcon 338Fall 2007

Lecture # 9

Page 2: Dairy Marketing Dr. Roger Ginder Econ 338 Fall 2007 Lecture # 9

GRAIN PRODUCER

FEED MILL

LIVESTOCK PROD.

SLAUGHTER PLANT

MEAT PROCESSING PLANT

RETAIL DISTRIBUTION

FINAL CONSUMER

Human Consumption Value Chain for Livestock--Pork

Page 3: Dairy Marketing Dr. Roger Ginder Econ 338 Fall 2007 Lecture # 9

NEW APPROACH TO VALUE CHAINS

• GAIN EFFICIENCY BY ELLIMINATING FUNCTIONS IN THE CHAIN

• ELLIMINATE COSTS BETWEEN LEVELS IN THE CHANNEL

• CONVERT PROFIT CENTERS TO COST CENTERS

• IMPROVE PERFORMANCE OF THE CHANNEL----LOWER COSTS

Page 4: Dairy Marketing Dr. Roger Ginder Econ 338 Fall 2007 Lecture # 9

GRAIN PRODUCER

FEED MILL

LIVESTOCK PROD.

SLAUGHTER PLANT

MEAT PROCESSING PLANT

RETAIL DISTRIBUTION

FINAL CONSUMER

Human Consumption Value Chain for Livestock--Pork

Page 5: Dairy Marketing Dr. Roger Ginder Econ 338 Fall 2007 Lecture # 9

NEW APPROACH TO VALUE CHAINS

• IN OTHER CASES FIRMS SEEK TO IMPROVE QUALITY BY BETTER COORDINATING FUNCTIONS IN THE VALUE CHAIN

• IMPROVE PRODUCT QUALITY BY INFUENCING HOW FIRMS AT OTHER LEVELS OPERATE

• COMMUNICATE CONSUMER PREFERENCES MORE ACCURATELY

Page 6: Dairy Marketing Dr. Roger Ginder Econ 338 Fall 2007 Lecture # 9

NEW APPROACH TO VALUE CHAINS

• SOME FIRMS IN THE CHAIN ARE ATTEMPTING TO BECOME “CAPTAIN” OR LEADER OF THE CHAIN

• CAUSE OTHER FIRMS IN THE CHAIN TO OPERATE IN A WAY THAT CREATES MORE VALUE

• For Example “Low Lin” Soybean Oil

Page 7: Dairy Marketing Dr. Roger Ginder Econ 338 Fall 2007 Lecture # 9

INPUT SUPPLY

PRODUCER

ELEVATOR 1ST HANDLER

GRAIN/OILSEED PROCESSOR

REFINER

FOOD MANUFACTURING

RETAIL DISTRIBUTION

FINAL CONSUMER

Human Consumption Value Chain for Grains and Oilseeds Low Lin. Beans

Page 8: Dairy Marketing Dr. Roger Ginder Econ 338 Fall 2007 Lecture # 9

WHAT DETERMINES WHO WILL BE A CAPTAIN?

• OWNERSHIP/ACCESS TO CAPITAL

• ACCESS TO KEY RESOURCES

• ACCESS TO PROPRIETARY TECHNOLOGY

• ACCESS TO CRITICAL KNOWLEDGE

• ACCESS TO CUSTOMERS

Page 9: Dairy Marketing Dr. Roger Ginder Econ 338 Fall 2007 Lecture # 9

INCENTIVES ARE IMPORTANT• The Incentives At Other Levels in the

Value Chain Must be Aligned

• For Low Lin Soybeans This Was the Case– Food Manufacture Willing to Pay More– Syngenta and Other Genetics Companies

Willing to Develop and Market the Genetics– Producers, Elevators, and Processors Willing to

Segregate and Preserve Identity

• For Other Traits Incentives May Not Be So Well Aligned---Especially for “Input Traits” With No Clearly Visible Consumer Benefit

Page 10: Dairy Marketing Dr. Roger Ginder Econ 338 Fall 2007 Lecture # 9

INCENTIVES ARE IMPORTANT• Problems Can Arise With Input Innovations

That Provide:– Producer or Processor Benefits– But No Visible Consumer Benefit

• At a Minimum Consumers Must Be Indifferent Toward Such Innovations

• If Consumers Oppose These Innovations The Value Chain Can Be In Conflict And Fail to Perform Effectively

Page 11: Dairy Marketing Dr. Roger Ginder Econ 338 Fall 2007 Lecture # 9

INPUT SUPPLY

PRODUCER

ELEVATOR 1ST HANDLER

GRAIN/OILSEED PROCESSOR

REFINER

FOOD MANUFACTURING

RETAIL DISTRIBUTION

FINAL CONSUMER

Human Consumption Value Chain for Grains and Oilseeds—Genetic Mod.

Page 12: Dairy Marketing Dr. Roger Ginder Econ 338 Fall 2007 Lecture # 9

GRAIN PRODUCER

FEED MILL

MILK PRODUCER

COOPERATIVE HANDLER

MILK PROCESSING PLANT

RETAILER

FINAL CONSUMER

Human Consumption Value Chain for Organic Milk--

Page 13: Dairy Marketing Dr. Roger Ginder Econ 338 Fall 2007 Lecture # 9

Drug Manufacturer

Vet. Or Animal Health Supplier

MILK PRODUCER

COOPERATIVE HANDLER

MILK PROCESSING PLANT

FOOD MANUFACTURER

RETAILER

Human Consumption Value Chain for Milk---BST

Page 14: Dairy Marketing Dr. Roger Ginder Econ 338 Fall 2007 Lecture # 9

TASTE

Time

Consumer Value

Hierarchy

Source: Ron Olson, General Mills

Consumer Values in Food Products

1960’s 1990’s1980’s1970’s

Page 15: Dairy Marketing Dr. Roger Ginder Econ 338 Fall 2007 Lecture # 9

TASTE

CONVENIENCE

Time

Consumer Value

Hierarchy

Source: Ron Olson, General Mills

Consumer Values in Food Products

1960’s 1970’s 1980’s 1990’s

Page 16: Dairy Marketing Dr. Roger Ginder Econ 338 Fall 2007 Lecture # 9

TASTE

CONVENIENCE

HEALTH BENEFITS

Time

Consumer Value

Hierarchy

Source: Ron Olson, General Mills

Consumer Values in Food Products

1960’s 1970’s 1980’s 1990’s 2000’s

Page 17: Dairy Marketing Dr. Roger Ginder Econ 338 Fall 2007 Lecture # 9

CONSUMER VALUE TRENDS• IT IS GENERALLY ACCEPTED THAT THE

FOOD MANUFACTURER CANNOT IGNORE THE LOWER ITEMS IN THE VALUE HEIRARCHY

• MUST BE ABLE TO PROVIDE ALL THREE

Page 18: Dairy Marketing Dr. Roger Ginder Econ 338 Fall 2007 Lecture # 9

NEW APPROACH TO VALUE CHAINS

• TRAITS FOR PROCESSORS AND FOOD MANUFACTURERS– HIGHER LEVELS OF DESIRED COMPONENTS

– IMPROVED PROCESSING EFFICIENCY

– IMPROVED FUNCTIONALITY IN FOOD MANUFACTURING

– PRODUCT SAFETY

Page 19: Dairy Marketing Dr. Roger Ginder Econ 338 Fall 2007 Lecture # 9

NEW APPROACH TO VALUE CHAINS• NO LONGER VIEW QUALITY OF PRODUCTS AS

STARTING AT FRONT DOOR OF PLANT 0R STORE

• VALUE CLEARLY DEFINED, SHARED, AND UNDERSTOOD BACK THROUGH THE SUPPLY CHAIN

• SUPPLY CHAIN INTERCONNECTED WITH INFORMATION SHARED FROM RAW PRODUCT SOURCES THROUGH BACK DOOR OF PLANT

Page 20: Dairy Marketing Dr. Roger Ginder Econ 338 Fall 2007 Lecture # 9

NEW APPROACH TO VALUE CHAINS

• REQUIRES RADICAL CHANGES IN RAW PRODUCT PROCUREMENT– CONTRACT SPECIFICATIONS FOR SOME

– UNDERSTANDING SUPPLIER COSTS AND CAPABILITIES

– ESTABLISHING TOLERENCES AND TESTING PROTOCOLS

– ARRIVING AT MUTUALLY ACCEPTABLE SOLUTIONS

Page 21: Dairy Marketing Dr. Roger Ginder Econ 338 Fall 2007 Lecture # 9

GRAIN PRODUCER

FEED MILL

MILK PRODUCER

COOPERATIVE HANDLER

MILK PROCESSING PLANT

FOOD MANUFACTURER

RETAILER

Human Consumption Value Chain for Milk—Food Safety

Page 22: Dairy Marketing Dr. Roger Ginder Econ 338 Fall 2007 Lecture # 9

NEW APPROACH TO VALUE CHAINS

• CHANGES IN WHO SUPPLIES RAW PRODUCT– ESTABLISHING A LIST OF “APPROVED”

SUPPLIERS– INSPECTING SUPPLIER FACILITIES– ESTABLISHING REQUIRED SUPPLIER

DOCUMENTATION– MUCH SMALLER # OF SUPPLIERS

Page 23: Dairy Marketing Dr. Roger Ginder Econ 338 Fall 2007 Lecture # 9

SOME DETERMINANTS OF A VALUE CHAIN’S SUCCESS

• FOCUS ON VALUE CREATION IN FINAL PRODUCT FOR CONSUMERS

• SHARING INFORMATION TO CREATE COST SAVINGS OR ADD VALUE

• EQUITABLE SHARING OF RETURNS FOR VALUE CREATION

• MUTUAL TRUST/COOPERATION AMONG PLAYERS

Page 24: Dairy Marketing Dr. Roger Ginder Econ 338 Fall 2007 Lecture # 9

Pricing Raw Milk At The Farm Level

Page 25: Dairy Marketing Dr. Roger Ginder Econ 338 Fall 2007 Lecture # 9

FUNCTION OF PRICE IN AN OPEN MARKET ECONOMY

• Allocative Function– Direct resources (Land, Labor, Capital) to the

highest and best use, given the values tastes and preferences of consumers

– Rations the use of resources so that the available supply fits the existing demand

• Income Distribution Function– For any given quantity produced of a product or

service, a price increase raises (or a price reduction lowers) the level of the producers’ income

y = price * quantity sold

Page 26: Dairy Marketing Dr. Roger Ginder Econ 338 Fall 2007 Lecture # 9

FUNCTION OF PRICE IN AN OPEN MARKET

ECONOMY– For any given quantity of product or service

consumed, a price increase reduces (or a price reduction increases) the amount of other products the consumer can buy (i.e., income)

If a consumer has $3.00 to spend on milk and strawberries and….Milk = $2.00/gal Strawberries =

$1.00/#Milk = $1.00/gal Strawberries =

$1.00/#

Income Distribution Function Continued

Page 27: Dairy Marketing Dr. Roger Ginder Econ 338 Fall 2007 Lecture # 9

FUNCTION OF PRICE IN AN OPEN MARKET ECONOMY

• Competitive Price– Established by market forces– Supply and demand are dominant– Significant volume– Open access to market for buyers/sellers

• Administered Price– Established by non-market forces– May be legislated– May be set by government agency– May be set by other outside entity with ability

to enforce

Page 28: Dairy Marketing Dr. Roger Ginder Econ 338 Fall 2007 Lecture # 9

FUNCTION OF PRICE IN AN OPEN MARKET ECONOMY

• Formula Price– Established by defining a fixed set of

relationships - a formula– A formula price may include some market

prices (i.e., competitive prices)– A formula price may include some

administered prices (e.g., support)– Specifies relationships among a number of

prices and/or product characteristics

Page 29: Dairy Marketing Dr. Roger Ginder Econ 338 Fall 2007 Lecture # 9

MILK PRICE CONCEPTS12. Grade B price

13. Single basing point price

14. Multiple basing point price

15. Competitive price

16. Formula price

17. Administered price

18. Skim price

19. Butter fat price

20. Over order price

21. Protein Price

22. Prod. Price Differntial

1. M-W price

2. NASS price

3. CME price

4. Basic formula price

5. Support price

6. Blend price

7. Class I price

8. Class II price

9. Class III price

10. Class IV price

11. Grade A price

Page 30: Dairy Marketing Dr. Roger Ginder Econ 338 Fall 2007 Lecture # 9

PRICING MANUFACTURING GRADE MILK

•Grade B prices were a critical component of milk pricing system (least common denominator) until 12-31-99

• Reflect total supply of Grade A and Grade B production available for storable products.

• Basis for federal price support programs• Minnesota-Wisconsin Grade B prices historically used

as the basis for pricing Grade A milk used for Class I & II products in Federal Milk Marketing Orders

• M-W was largely based on open market competitive prices not formula prices or Administered Prices

Page 31: Dairy Marketing Dr. Roger Ginder Econ 338 Fall 2007 Lecture # 9

The Issue of the Minnesota-Wisconsin Price Series (M-W)

•M-W defined: The weighted average of Grade B milk prices paid by Minnesota and Wisconsin butter, milk powder and cheese plants.

•Used From 1961 –1995 (1999) to set minimum producer pay prices for Grade A milk in all federal milk marketing orders.

Page 32: Dairy Marketing Dr. Roger Ginder Econ 338 Fall 2007 Lecture # 9

The Issue of the Minnesota-Wisconsin Price Series (M-W)

•Purpose: To establish a uniform minimum pay price in all federal milk orders for pricing Grade A milk used in manufactured dairy products.

– Butter, non-fat milk powder and cheese are sold on national markets.

– Minnesota and Wisconsin used because of the large percentage of its milk is used for manufacturing.

– It also has the largest supply of Grade B milk, and the most vigorous milk plant competition.

Page 33: Dairy Marketing Dr. Roger Ginder Econ 338 Fall 2007 Lecture # 9

Utilization of Milk, Wisconsin, 1993

• Use Percent of Total

• Cheese 86.5%• Ice Cream 0.6%• Condensed milk 2.0%• Other manufactured 1.3%• Total Manufacturer 90.4%• Fluid (beverage) 6.1%• Shipped out-of-state 2.1% (some to

IA)• Kept on the farm 1.4%

Page 34: Dairy Marketing Dr. Roger Ginder Econ 338 Fall 2007 Lecture # 9

Grade A of Milk, 1993

Grade A Grade B

• Wisconsin 90% 10%• Minnesota 86% 14%• United States 95% 5%

Basis for pricing 95% of U.S.milk

Page 35: Dairy Marketing Dr. Roger Ginder Econ 338 Fall 2007 Lecture # 9

Class III Prices Used As the Class I and Class II Mover

• The Grade B Price Was Used To Set the Class III Price

• The Class I And Class II milk received a fixed Premium Above Class III milk

• When Class III ( a competitive price) Moved Up or Down the Class I and II Prices Moved Up and Down With it

Page 36: Dairy Marketing Dr. Roger Ginder Econ 338 Fall 2007 Lecture # 9

FLUID MILK PRICING(Single Basing Point)

• .002$/mi from basing point• 1. Class I differential reflects the cost of transporting milk from basing point• 2. Usually < hauling cost to prevent interorder movement

500 Miles

$1.00

Page 37: Dairy Marketing Dr. Roger Ginder Econ 338 Fall 2007 Lecture # 9

FLUID MILK PRICING(Single Basing Point)

• .002$/mi from basing point• 1. Class I differential reflects the cost of transporting milk from basing point• 2. Usually < hauling cost to prevent interorder movement

500 Miles

$1.00 $2.00

1,000 Miles

Page 38: Dairy Marketing Dr. Roger Ginder Econ 338 Fall 2007 Lecture # 9

FLUID MILK PRICING(Single Basing Point)

• .002$/mi from basing point• 1. Class I differential reflects the cost of transporting milk from basing point• 2. Usually < hauling cost to prevent interorder movement

500 Miles

$1.00 $2.00

1,000 Miles

1,500 Miles

+$3.00

Page 39: Dairy Marketing Dr. Roger Ginder Econ 338 Fall 2007 Lecture # 9

FLUID MILK PRICING(Single Basing Point)

• .002¢/mi from basing point• 1. Class I differential reflects the cost of transporting milk from basing point• 2. Usually < hauling cost to prevent interorder movement

500 Miles

$1.00 $2.00

1,000 Miles

1,500 Miles

+$3.00

2,000 miles

+4.00

Page 40: Dairy Marketing Dr. Roger Ginder Econ 338 Fall 2007 Lecture # 9

MINNESOTA - WISCONSIN PRICE SERIES

•The major price series used for 35 years to price Grade A milk used for manufacturing

•Average Grade B pay price in two states+ Producing > 50% of B milk+ Based on pay prices+ Reported monthly

• Includes most quality, protein and competitive premiums paid Grade B farmers

+ Does not include deductions for hauling, etc.

+ Heavily influenced by cheese plants

Page 41: Dairy Marketing Dr. Roger Ginder Econ 338 Fall 2007 Lecture # 9

MINNESOTA - WISCONSIN PRICE SERIES

– Declining volume of Grade B milk made National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) to discontinue standing behind it

– Replaced in mid 1995 by Basic Formula Price (BFP)

– Really just adjusted M-W -----Stopgap MeasureNo series on BFP - really interim solution

• BFP closely tracks M-W• Professionals will continue to refer to M-W for

next several years• Proposed rule replaced BFP on January 1, 2000

Page 42: Dairy Marketing Dr. Roger Ginder Econ 338 Fall 2007 Lecture # 9

MANUFACTURING MILK PRODUCT MARKETS

• Three major product categories for Grade B milk

– Cheese factories use majority– Butter-powder plants are also important• Butter• Non-fat dry milk

– Production of these hard products creates by-products that also have value

– Cheese plants can recover• whey cream (used to make butter)• whey proteins• lactose– Butter-powder plants produce joint products• cream produces butter and buttermilk powder• skim produces nonfat dry milk