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Dairy Marketing. Dr. Roger Ginder Econ 338 Fall 2007 Lecture #17. Over-Production and Low Prices. Have constantly plagued the dairy industry even before the Great Depression Poor bargaining position for fresh fluid milk High price elasticity --- especially for manufactured milk - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Dairy Marketing
Dr. Roger GinderEcon 338Fall 2007
Lecture #17
Over-Production and Low Prices• Have constantly plagued the dairy industry even before
the Great Depression
• Poor bargaining position for fresh fluid milk
• High price elasticity --- especially for manufactured milk
• Low price elasticity---for fluid and class II Products
• Market orders were considered one of the possible strategies
• The Great Depression Served as a Catalyst For Change
HISTORY OF FMMO’S• In the 1920’s farmer-owned cooperatives were attempting
to deal with the perishable nature of fluid milk and price impacts of over-production on producer price
• They developed a scheme that exploited the different price elasticity for milk going to fluid users
• They attempted to establish a classified pricing program that charged a higher price to fluid users than the price charged to users in the manufacturing milk market
• Thus when their member producers who delivered milk into the pool they received a “blended” price based on the relative amount of the pool going to each
QP
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P %Q % =
QP
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QQ- =
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Elasticity
Po
P1
QoQ1
Demand
Price$/#
Quantity# of milk
Relatively Inelastic Market Demand
Po
P1
QoQ1
Demand
Price$/#
Quantity# of milk
Relatively Elastic Market Demand
DAIRY COOPERATIVE CLASSIFIED PRICING EXAMPLE
Coop prices:Class I = $10.00Class II = $ 8.00
Average use by coop customers:Class I = 50%Class II = 50%
Use by Buyer “A”: Used by Buyer “B”:Class I = 90% Class I = 10%Class II = 10% Class II = 90%
Average price received by coop and its members =“Blend” price = (.5 x $10.00)+ (.5 x $8.00) = $9.00
Price paid by Buyer “A” = Price paid by Buyer “B” =(.9 x $10.00) + (.1 x $8.00) = $9.80 (.1 x $10.00) + (.9 x $8.00) = $8.20
Thus, there was an incentive and opportunity for Buyer “A” to buy milk directly from the producer.
PROBLEMS WITH DAIRY COOPERATIVE CLASSIFIED
PRICING EFFORTS
1. Inability to verify milk weights, tests and usage.
2. Inability to force all producers and milk buyers to comply with their pricing plan.
3. Efforts failed when deflation forced prices down during the Great Depression in the 1930’s
ALTERNATIVES FOR DEALING WITH EXCESS SUPPLY
PROBLEMS IN AGRICULTURE
• Information provision– How much is being produced– What expected prices will be
• Supply control• Demand expansion• Cooperatives• Marketing orders
HISTORY OF FMMO’S• By 1933 the Agricultural Adjustment Act (AAA 1933) was
passed• Permitted “marketing agreements”• Voluntary agreements among processors, handlers, coops, processors• Supreme Court found AAA of 1933 unconstitutional
• In 1935, the AAA of 1935 enabled the first “orders” to be formed
• Permitted secretary of ag to establish orders• Gave powers currently used in FMMO’s today
– Classified pricing– Market wide pooling– Checking of weights and tests– Enforcement of base/surplus plans– Providing market information– Block voting by cooperatives
Market Orders Take Advantage of Differing Elasticity of Demand In
Different Product Markets
They make it possible for farmers to use price discrimination between markets with different elasticity
Po
P1
QoQ1
Demand
Price$/#
Fluid Milk Quantity# of milk
Relatively Inelastic Market Demand
Po
P1
QoQ1
Demand
Price$/#
Mfg. Milk Quantity# of milk
Relatively Elastic Market Demand
FEDERAL MARKETING ORDER
Definition:A regulation, issued by the Secretary of Secretary of Agriculture, that requires the commodity involved to be marketed in accordance with procedures spelled out in the regulation.
Legal Basis:Agricultural Marketing Agreements Act, 1937
A U.S.D.A. regulation that requires Grade A milk buyers to pay specified minimum prices for Grade A milk depending on how that the milk is used.
Federal Milk Market Order Agreements
The FMMO is an agreement establishing marketing and payment rules:
For milk marketing in a defined geographic area
Federal Milk Market Order Agreements
The FMMO is an agreement among:
U.S. Secretary of Agriculture
For milk marketing in a defined
geographic area
Federal Milk Market Order Agreements
The FMMO is an agreement among:
U.S. Secretary of Agriculture
For milk marketing inProducers a defined(Individual geographic areavotes)
Federal Milk Market Order Agreements
The FMMO is an agreement among:
U.S. Secretary of Agriculture
For milk marketing inProducers a defined(Individual geographic areavotes)
Producer cooperatives
(block votes)
Federal Milk Market Order Agreements
The FMMO is an agreement among:
U.S. Secretary of Agriculture
For milk marketing inProducers a defined Grade A(Individual geographic area handlersvotes) processors
Producer cooperatives
(block votes)
MARKETING ORDERS OBJECTIVES
• To maintain or promote orderly marketing conditions.
• To assure consumers of an adequate and steady supply of the product. (Mainly by reducing producer price and income risks)
• To facilitate producer bargaining efforts.
• To provide information about the commodity’s supply and demand conditions.
FMMO PROGRAM• The FMMO program was initiated to promote “orderly” marketing
to benefit dairy producers, processors, and consumers in a time on National Emergency and Extreme Economic Disruption
• In the post World War II period the U.S. had become a world power and was enjoying a period of “Economic Prosperity”
• New FMMO’s were steadily being formed in 40’s and 50’s
• Some began to question whether market orders were still relevant to their original goals and purposes• “Orderly markets”• Reliable fluid milk supplies• Stable Pricing
FMMO PROGRAM• The FMMO program is expected to promote “orderly” marketing
and represent the interests of dairy producers, processors, and consumers
• Secretary of Agriculture, Orville Freeman, appointed a blue ribbon committee in 1962 to examine the public interest aspects of milk marketing orders
• Federal milk market order study committee– Chair, Edwin G. Nourse– Studied FMMO authority in AAA 1937– Desirable equilibrium consistent with optimum allocation of
nations resources
Nourse Committee Identified Four Broad Purposes in AAA 1935 and AAA
1937• Bring all fluid distributors and handlers in a prescribed
market area under regulatory authority of the order
• Universal compliance• Uniform rules and procedures
• Enforce uniform minimum prices among all handlers on milk used for the same purposes (this places handlers in a uniform competitive position and discourages price wars)
• Provide uniform producer prices (market wide pooling)
• Promote price stability by extending classified pricing to all handlers in the prescribed market
FMMO PROGRAM• Concluded that orders do indeed:
– Extend uniform opportunities in the market to producers– Enforce uniform responsibilities on the entire market rather than
on a certain subset of handlers– Provide for rational resource allocation
• The committee report has provided an overall underpinning as the standard for many of the FMMO decisions and consequences with respect to
– The public interest– Resource allocation– “Orderly” marketing
CONSOLIDATION TO F0RM LARGER ORDERS BEGAN IMMEDIATELY FOLLOWING
THE GREAT DEPRESSION
• Smaller Orders Were Being Combined to Form Larger Orders Covering More Geography
• New Orders Were Steadily Being Formed And Tended To Be Larger Covering Wider Geographic Areas
• Transportation Differentials Started to Become An Issue
• The Use of One Differential For a Larger Area Was Questioned
• The Nourse Report Addressed This Problem Directly Through A Recommendation For Intra-Order Zones
Nourse report specified orders should:
»Provide substantially equal prices to handlers within the order
»Provide different Class I prices within the order to accomplish it
Major population centers where bottling plants are located pay the Class I price for fluid milk
Zones are established around these centers to account for transport cost differences from farm to the Population Center
Prices are reduced by cost of transport at points in the zones further from center
Zone charges effectively align Class I prices within and across orders
Location Adjustments Within Orders
CONSOLIDATION TO FORM IOWA FMMO, 5-1-77
1. Cedar Rapids - Iowa City, 9-1-51
2. North Central Iowa, 11-1-57
3. Des Moines, 10-1-58
4. Quad Cities - Dubuque, 1-1-61
a. Dubuque, 10-1-36b. Quad Cities, 12-1-51
(1) Quad Cities, 2-1-40(2) Clinton, 10-1-44
Sac
Li nn
Lee
Ida
Ta ma
Cl ay
Kossut h
Jasper
Lyon
Page
StoryrJones
Fayett e
Adair
Bent on
Wapello
Pocahontas
Osceola
Jefferson
Audubon
Washington
Buena Vista
Black Hawk
Appanoose
Cerro Gordo
Van Buren
Muscatine
Dickinson
Des Moines
Winnebago
Montgomery
Eastern South Dakota#76, 5-1-65
Upper Midwest#68, 6-1-76
Iowa Marketing Area, #79, 5-1-7(and corresponding zones)
Federal Milk Order Marketing Areas in Iowa as of January 1, 1978
III
I
IIPoweshiekPolk
BooneGreeneCarroll
Crawford
Plymouth
O’Brien
Woodbury
Monona
Harrison Shelby
Wright Franklin
FloydChickasaw
WebsterHardin
Louisa
Emmet
Palo AltoHancock
Worth Mitchell Howard WinneshiekAllamakee
BremerButler
HamiltonGrundy
Buchanan Delaware Dubuque
Jackson
Clinton
Guthrie Dallas Johnson
Marshall
Pottawattamie
Mills
Fremont
Madison WarrenMarion Mahaska Keokuk
Adams Union ClarkeLucas
Monroe
Taylor Ringgold
Cherokee
Calhoun
Decatur Wayne Davis
Henry
Scott
HumboldtClayton
Cedar
Sioux
Cass
Iowa
Western Iowa-Nebr.
Intraorder Class I Location or Zone Adjustments
= An amount that is deducted from the order Class I Price to determine an individual handler’s Class I Price
e.g. Iowa orderZone 1 = 0 ¢Zone 2 = 7 ¢Zone 3 = 1.7 ¢/10 miles from closest of
Ames, Marshalltown, or Cedar Rapids
Chicago regional order1 1/2 ¢/10 miles from City Hall
Rationale: To encourage/permit efficient movement of milk for fluid purposes within an order
CONSOLIDATION TO FORM UPPER MIDWEST FMMO, 6-1-76
1. Duluth - Superior, 5-5-41
2. Minneapolis / St. Paul, 11-3-45
3. MN / ND, 11-1-67
4. SE MN / N IA, 5-1-69
FMMO CONSOLIDATION
The Secretary of Agriculture is instructed to
consolidate milk marketing orders from 33 to
10-14 within three years of the enactment of
the Federal Agriculture Improvement and
Reform Act of 1995 (FAIR ACT). (Passed in
1996)
Past
Source: California Department of Food and Agriculture, August, 2000.
Source: California Department of Food and Agriculture, August, 2000.
KEY FMMO PROVISIONS OR REGULATIONS
Have been more or less the same since the AAA was passed
Remained the same after the reforms dictated by the FAIR Act of 1995 were implemented
Despite changes in boundaries and multiple basing points there is little fundamental change
KEY TOOLS USED BY FMMO’s TO CREATE “ORDERLY MARKETS”
1. Pricing
2. Pooling
3. Diversion
4. Allocation
KEY FMMO PROVISIONS OR REGULATIONS
1. Classified Pricing
2. Market-wide Pooling
3. Diversion to Higher Classes
4. Allocation of Milk from Outside
PRICING UNDER FEDERAL MILK MARKETING ORDERS (STEPS)
1. Determine minimum class prices that must be paid by handlers regulated by that order
2. Determine total dollar payment (obligation) required for each regulated handler
3. Determine blend or uniform price to be paid to producer
APPENDIX FOR SUPPLY AND DEMAND
Individual Supply/Demand vs. Market Supply Demand
• The individual firms and consumers in the economy face supply and demand situations
• The market supply and demand is the SUM of all individual supply and demand curves
• Individual and firms may have different elasticity of demand than the consolidated supply and demand curves---especially in a market where there are large numbers of actors
Price
Quantity Produced
Inelastic Supply Individual Producer
Q
SupplyPrice
Quantity Consumed
Inelastic demand Individual Consumer
Q
Demand
Price
Quantity Consumed
Completely Elastic Demand
DemandP
Price
Quantity Produced
Completely Elastic Supply
SupplyP
Price
Quantity Produced
Inelastic Supply Individual Producer
Q
SupplyPrice
Quantity Consumed
Inelastic demand Individual Consumer
Q
Demand
Price
Quantity Consumed
Completely Elastic Demand
DemandP
Price
Quantity Produced
Completely Elastic Supply
SupplyP