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Source: Daily FX
Value Previous Change YTD Value Previous Change YTD
118.1770 118.2105 -0.03% -0.25% 1.1838 1.1927 -0.75% -1.39%
99.8370 99.1532 0.69% 0.73% 1.1853 1.1933 -0.67% 1.32%
99.8032 99.0121 0.80% -1.46% 0.8764 0.8799 -0.40% -0.12%
134.8437 134.3607 0.36% 1.06% 1.3505 1.3556 -0.38% -2.08%Source: NBS 110.3500 109.6500 0.64% -1.28%
Source: Bloomberg
Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg
Value Next decision Value
3.00% 7.6.2018 0.00%
Deposit facility 1.75% 1.75%
Lending facility 4.25% 0.50%
Repo operations (one week) 2.41% -0.75%
Source: NBS Source: Bloomberg
15.5.2018 14.5.2018 Change (bps) 15.5.2018 14.5.2018 Change(bps)
2.00% 2.00% 0.00 -0.361% -0.360% -0.001
2.59% 2.58% 0.01 -0.369% -0.371% 0.002
2.86% 2.86% 0.00 -0.326% -0.326% 0.000
3.06% 3.05% 0.01 -0.271% -0.271% 0.000
Source: Reuters Source: Bloomberg, EBF
Note: Values are with 1 day delay Note: Values are with 1 day delay
Value Previous Change (bps) Value Previous Change(bps)
1.939% 1.934% 0.005 0.038% 0.060% -0.022
2.321% 2.330% -0.009 0.388% 0.429% -0.041
2.493% 2.501% -0.008 0.991% 1.035% -0.044
-0.782% -0.782% 0.000 2.865% 2.868% -0.003
-0.716% -0.716% 0.000 2.931% 2.937% -0.006
-0.643% -0.645% 0.002 3.016% 3.014% 0.002
Sources: ICE, Bloomberg Sources: IBA, Bloomberg
Overall trading at the Belgrade Stock Exchange RSD22,59mn (€0,20mn). No bonds trading.
Serbian Public Debt Agency sold 10y T-bonds in the amount of RSD14,5bn, yield 4.9%
Euro slides against dollar. Trading at $1.182.
European stocks slightly changed. Stoxx 600 up 0.1%, FTSE 100 up 0.2%, DAX down 0.1%.
U.S. equities down. S&P 500 and Dow Jones down 1%.
Oil steady (WTI $71.10; Brent $78.19). Gold still below $1.300 ($1.294,52).
Financial Market Analysis
Treausury and ALM department
DAILY REPORT
Flash
Dinar slightly changed against euro (118,1770).
Bank of the Group
May 16, 2018
Key events
TimeCountry/
RegionEvent Period Previous Forecast
11:00 EU
EU
FX rates and money market
FX rates on domestic market International markets
Currency Currency
CPI (yoy) APR F 1.3% 1.2%
11:00 CPI (mom) APR F 1.0% 0.3%
GBP/RSD GBP/USD
USD/JPY
National Bank of Serbia Interest rates Major interest rates
EUR/RSD EUR/USD
USD/RSD EUR/CHF
CHF/RSD EUR/GBP
United Kingdom (BOE) 21.6.2018
Switzerland (SNB) 21.6.2018
Serbia - Interbank interest rates Serbia Europe - Interbank interest rates - Europe
Next decision
Key policy rate Eurozone (ECB) 14.6.2018
US (FED) 13.6.2018
BELIBOR 6M EURIBOR6M
Libor interest rates Interest rate Swap
Libor 1M (USD) EURIBOR ISDA 3Y FIXING
BEONIA EONIA
BELIBOR1M EURIBOR1M
BELIBOR3M EURIBOR3M
Libor 3M (CHF) USD ISDA 5Y FIXING
Libor 6M (CHF) USD ISDA 10Y FIXING
Libor 3M (USD) EURIBOR ISDA 5Y FIXING
Libor 6M (USD) EURIBOR ISDA 10Y FIXING
Libor 1M (CHF) USD ISDA 3Y FIXING
1.18
1.19
1.2
1.21
1.22
1.23
1.24
1.25EUR/USD
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
117
118
119
120
121
122EUR mio EUR/RSD
Turnover on FX market (right axis)
Date Currency
Source: Public Debt Management Agency
Moody's S&P Fitch
Ba3 BB BB
Outlook Stable Stable Stable
Date 17.3.2017 15.12.2017 15.12.2017 Sources: Bloomberg, JPMorgan
Source: Bloomberg
Date Value Previous Date Value Previous
04.02.2016 2.75% 2.79% 18.01.2018 0.47% 0.48%
02.03.2017 2.64% 2.65% 01.02.2018 0.96% 0.96%
07.02.2017 3.48% 3.49% 20.04.2018 1.20% 1.24%
24.10.2017 4.05% 4.65% 16.04.2018 1.78% 1.88%
28.02.2018 3.80% 3.88% 26.03.2018 3.50% 4.00%
08.05.2018 4.15% 4.15% 06.09.2017 4.20%
23.10.2017 5.00% 5.60% Source: Public Debt Management Agency
15.05.2018 4.90% 5.17%
23.06.2016NBS key rate +
0.25%
NBS key rate +
0.25%
Source: Public Debt Management Agency
Source: Public Debt Management Agency Source: Public debt Management Agency
Sources: Ministry of finance, Banca Intesa Sources: Ministry of finance, Banca Intesa
Vrednost Prethodna UST spred
Serbia 5y 2018 3.321% 3.287% 1.221%
Serbia 7y 2020 3.989% 3.957% 1.457%
Serbia 10y 2021 4.193% 4.152% 4.193%Source: Bloomberg
Izvor: Bloomberg
Source: Bloomberg
Fixed income
Scheduled auctions
RSD Government securities EUR Government securities
Instrument Value
No scheduled auctions for today
Serbia Credit rating
2 years 5 years
3 years 10 years
5 years 15 years
Maturity
3 months 53 weeks
6 months 2 years
53 weeks 3 years
Maturity
7 years
10 years
24 month amortizing
Serbian Eurobonds yields (USD)
80
130
180
230
280
330
bps JP Morgan EMBI Srbija
2.8
3.3
3.8
4.3
4.8
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
Serbian 10y Eurobond 2021
Price Yield (right axis)
1.52.53.54.55.56.57.58.59.5
10.511.512.513.514.5
Yields on RSD government securities primary auctions
3m 6m 53w 2y 3y NBS key rate 5y 7y 10y
0.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.54.04.55.05.56.06.57.0
Yields on EUR government securities primary auctions
53w 2y 3y 5y 10y 15y
2
Source: Belgrade Stock Exchange
Source: Belgrade Stock Exchange Source: Belgrade Stock Exchange
Sourc: Bloomberg
TGAS 11,536 11,997,440 -2.24% -1.23% 0.99 22.73 4.23
VDPC 6,600 3,762,000 1.54% 1.54% 0.94 2.15 47.46
NIIS 720 1,254,960 0.70% 0.98% #N/A N/A #N/A N/A #N/A N/A
KMBN 1,862 925,414 3.44% 3.44% 0.45 7.51 6.61
KOPB 4,800 672,000 0.00% 0.00% #N/A N/A #N/A N/A #N/A N/A
HMBG 517 643,148 1.37% 1.37% 0.25 21.45 1.19
INFM 870 593,340 0.00% 0.00% 0.16 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A
SVRL 430 356,040 0.00% 0.00% 0.61 133.58 0.46
SJPT 200 277,000 0.00% -2.44% #N/A N/A #N/A N/A #N/A N/A
SJPR 550 244,200 0.00% 0.00% 0.16 11.09 2.36
VBSE 766 242,822 0.00% 0.00% #N/A N/A #N/A N/A #N/A N/A
IMPL 3,065 236,005 -1.32% 2.17% 1.06 10.88 10.27
Sources: Belgrade Stock Exchange; Bloombeg
0.18%
0.11%
-0.17%
-0.86%
-1.50%
Source: Bloomberg
crobex sbi20
Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg
sofix bet-c
Izvor: Bloomberg Izvor: Bloomberg
Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg
dj balkan
Source: Bloomberg
Belgrade Stock Exchange
Value Previous value Change YTD
Belex 15 740.26 737.44 0.38% -2.94%
Belex line 1,547.66 1,546.88 0.05% -6.96%
Ratios P / B P / EBelex15 0,72 6,53
Turnover 22,589,663 RSD 522,136,623 RSD -95.67%Source: Belgrade Stock Exchange
191,097 € 4,417,224 € -95.67%
The most traded stocks on Belgrade Stock Exchange from the previous day
Company Ticker Price RSDTurnovor
RSD
Daily
change
Weekly
change
MESSER TEHNOGAS AD 11,958,886,688 Din.
VODOPRIVREDNO PREDUZEE 256,905,000 Din.
NIS AD NOVI SAD 117,403,488,000 Din.
P/BV P/E ROE Market capitalization
ADSK GPSIKA AD BEOGRAD 156,609,570 Din.
SVRLJIG AD SVRLJIG 407,671,390 Din.
SOJAPROTEIN AD 2,979,104,800 Din.
KOMERCIJALNA BANKA AD BEOGRA 31,315,034,072 Din.
KOPAONIK AD BEOGRAD 740,750,400 Din.
HEMPRO AD BEOGRAD 150,432,524 Din.
Regional stock exchanges
Index Country/Region ValueValue from the previous
dayChange YTD
LUCIC PRIGREVICA AD NOVI SAD 394,882,400 Din.
VALJAONICA BAKRA SEVOJNO AD 492,810,696 Din.
IMPOL SEVAL AD SEVOJNO 2,888,109,655 Din.
Crobex Hrvatska 1,846.43 1,843.09 0.19%
SBITOP Slovenija 889.51 888.49 10.29%
SOFIX Bugarska 643.17 644.24 -5.06%
BET Rumunija 8,680.35 8,755.58 11.95%
DJ Stoxx Balkan 50 Balkan 462.95 470.01 -1.68%
1,500
1,600
1,700
1,800
1,900
2,000
2,100
2,200
2,300
CROBEX
350
400
450
500
550
600
650
700
750
SOFIX
5,500
6,000
6,500
7,000
7,500
8,000
8,500
9,000
9,500
BET
300
400
500
600DJ Stoxx Balkan 50
500
550
600
650
700
750
800 Belex 15
-3.00% -2.24%
0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.06% 0.15% 0.28% 0.70%
3.44%
FITO TGAS SJPT JESV ALFA AERO MTLC ENHL NIIS KMBN
Daily change of Belex 15 members
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800Belex line
600
650
700
750
800
850
900
950
SBITOP
3
Source: Bloomberg
dow jones s&p
Izvor: Bloomberg Izvor: Bloomberg
Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg
nasdaq dax
Izvor: Bloomberg Izvor: Bloomberg
Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg
nikkei dj stoxx
Izvor: Bloomberg Izvor: Bloomberg
Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg
Izvor: Bloomberg Izvor: Bloomberg
Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg
Source: Bloomberg
Snežana Topalović 201-1400 Snežana Spasojević 201-3621Vladimir Gavović 201-1263 Dragomir Milin [email protected] Biljana Radosavljević 201-3610
Darko Karanović 201-3624
Boban Todorović 201-3627Dragan Ignja 201-3626
Index Country/Region Value Previous value Change YTD
World stock exchanges
S&P 500 US 2,711.45 2,730.13 -0.68% 1.42%
Dow Jones Industrial US 24,706.41 24,899.41 -0.78% -0.05%
DAX Germany 12,970.04 12,977.71 -0.06% 0.41%
NASDAQ US 7,351.63 7,411.32 -0.81% 6.49%
Dow Jones Stoxx 600 EU 392.37 392.19 0.05% 0.82%
FTSE UK 7,722.98 7,710.98 0.16% 0.46%
ContactFinancial Market analysis Customer execution office (fixed income)
Dealing
Disclaimer
This overview is written to inform and does not represent a call for making business decisions and buying or selling mentioned financial instruments. Banca Intesa ad Beograd does not guarantee exactness of summoned data.
Information, opinions and commentaries in this overview are given with the best intention according to available data provided from relevant sources and as a result of professional attitudes and orientations of analytical team working in
Banca Intesa ad Beograd. Banca Intesa ad Beograd does not assume responsibility for possible loss and damage caused by business activities according to any element and contents of the overview. This document may only be
reproduced in whole or in part together with the name of Banca Intesa Beograd.
Nikkei 225 Japan 22,818.02 22,865.86 -0.21% 0.23%
14,00015,00016,00017,00018,00019,00020,00021,00022,00023,00024,00025,00026,00027,00028,000
Dow Jones Industrial
1,700
1,800
1,900
2,000
2,100
2,200
2,300
2,400
2,500
2,600
2,700
2,800
2,900
3,000
S&P 500
4,0004,2004,4004,6004,8005,0005,2005,4005,6005,8006,0006,2006,4006,6006,8007,0007,2007,4007,6007,800
NASDAQ Composite
260
280
300
320
340
360
380
400
420DJ Stoxx 600
9,000
11,000
13,000
15,000
17,000
19,000
21,000
23,000
25,000
Nikkei 225
\
8,000
9,000
10,000
11,000
12,000
13,000
14,000DAX
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85Oil Brent (USD/bbl)
1,050
1,100
1,150
1,200
1,250
1,300
1,350
1,400Gold
\
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40 Vix Index
4
