1

•Daily Operations Briefing Sunday, July 21, 2013

As of 8:30 a.m. EDT

2

Significant Activity: July 20 - 21 Significant Events: None

Tropical Activity:

• Atlantic – No tropical cyclone activity expected during next 48 hours

• Eastern Pacific – Area 1 (Low 10%)

• Central Pacific – Area 1 (Low 0%)

• Western Pacific – No activity threatening U.S. territories

Significant Weather:

• Slight risk of severe thunderstorms – Central/Northern Plains

• Flash Flooding Possible – Central Appalachians & Portions of CA, NV & AZ

• Critical Fire Weather - None

• Red Flag Warnings: WA, OR & WY

• Space Weather: No space weather storms observed/predicted

Earthquake Activity: M 6.5 – offshore New Zealand

Declaration Activity: None

3

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_epac.shtml

This product is updated at approximately 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and

11 PM PDT from May 15 to November 30. Special outlooks may be

issued as conditions warrant.

Atlantic – Tropical Outlook

4

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_epac.shtml

This product is updated at approximately 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and

11 PM PDT from May 15 to November 30. Special outlooks may be

issued as conditions warrant.

Eastern Pacific – Tropical Outlook

5

Eastern Pacific – Area 1

As of 8:00 a.m. EDT

• A broad low pressure area has formed several

hundred miles SSW of Acapulco, Mexico.

• Generally favorable for slow development of this low

during the

• Moving WNW at 10 to 15 mph.

• System has a low chance (10%) of becoming a

tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.

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http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/cphc/

This product is updated at approximately 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and

11 PM PDT from May 15 to November 30. Special outlooks may be

issued as conditions warrant.

Central Pacific – Tropical Outlook

7

Central Pacific – Area 1

As of 8:00 a.m. EDT

• Surface trough located 225 miles SE of Hilo, Hawaii

• Moving WNW

• System has been diminishing in the past 12 hours

• Very low chance (near 0%) of this system becoming

a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours

8

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/noaa/noaad1.pdf

National Weather Forecast

9

Active Watches/Warnings

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/largemap.php

10

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/d13_fill.gif

Precipitation Forecast Days 1-3

DAY 1

DAY 2

DAY 3

11

http://water.weather.gov/ahps/forecasts.php?current_color=flood&current_type=all&fcst_type=fcst&conus_map=d_map

River Forecast – 7 Day

12

Convective Outlooks Days 1 – 3

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Day 1 Day 2

Day 3

13

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/fire_wx/fwdy1.html

Critical Fire Weather Areas Days 1 – 8

Day 1 Day 2

Day 3-8

17

www.spaceweather.com

http://www.swpc.noaa.n/index.html

http://

Space Weather NOAA Scales Activity

Range 1 (minor) to 5 (extreme) Past 24 Hours Current Next 24 Hours

Space Weather Activity: None None None

• Geomagnetic Storms None None None

• Solar Radiation Storms None None None

• Radio Blackouts None None None

HF Communication Impact Sunspot Activity

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/drap/global.html http://spaceweather.com/

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Significant Earthquake – International

M6.5 – offshore New Zealand

• Occurred July 21 at 1:09 a.m. EDT

• 35 mi SSW of Wellington, NZ

• At a depth of 9 miles

• No tsunami generated

• USGS issued a Yellow PAGER alert, indicating:

• Some damage possible; impact relatively localized

• Estimated economic losses are less 1% GDP of NZ

• 94k residents exposed to Strong shaking

• News media sources report power outages &

minor damage in the town of Wellington

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U.S. Wildland Fire Preparedness Levels

As of July 20, 2013

National Preparedness Level: 2 Description: Several Geographic Areas are experiencing high to extreme fire danger. Wildland fire activity is increasing and large

fires are occurring in one or more Geographic Areas. Minimal mobilization of resources from other Geographic Areas is

occurring. There is moderate commitment of national resources with the potential to mobilize additional resources from other

Geographic Areas. PL 2

PL 2

PL 2

PL 3

PL 2

PL 1 PL 5

Minimal Extreme

PL 2

PL 2

PL 1

PL 1

PL 1

PL 3

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http://activefiremaps.fs.fed.us/lg_fire2.php

As of July 21, 2013:

• National Preparedness Level: 2

• Initial Attack Activity: Light (155 new fires)

• New Large Fires: 7

• Large Fires Contained: 2

• Uncontained Large Fires: 20

• Area Command Teams committed: 0

• NIMOs committed: 0

• Type 1 IMT(s) Committed: 1

• Type 2 IMT(s) Committed: 8

National Fire Activity

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Wildfire Summary

Fire Name

(County) FMAG #

Acres

burned % Contained

Est. Containment date

Evacuations

(Residents)

Structures

Threatened

Structures

Destroyed

Fatalities /

Injuries

California (1)

Mountain Fire (Riverside County)

Not Requested 27,245 49% (+24) Mandatory 5,856 23 0 /5

Montana (1)

West Mullan Fire (Mineral County)

Approved July 18 4,551 (+1) 30% (+7) Mandatory 60 0 0/1

Oregon (1)

Pacifica Fire (Josephine County)

Approved July 19 500 75% (+75)

July 21 None 150 7 (+7) 0/0

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FMAG Requests & Declarations

Action (since last report) Total FMAG No. and State

Requests DENIED 0

Requests APPROVED 1 Pacifica Fire (Oregon)

Requests Expected Next 24 Hours 0 None as of 0800 7/20/13

As of July 19, 2013 2013 2012*

FMAGs Approved 14 22

FMAGs Denied 4 12

* Cumulative FMAG figures as of this date in 2012

27

Disaster Requests & Declarations

Declaration Requests in Process Requests

APPROVED (since last report)

Requests DENIED

(since last report)

9 Date Requested 1 0

MO – DR Severe Storms, Straight-line Winds, Tornadoes,

and Flooding July 3, 2013

Approved

July 18, 2013

CO – DR Black Forest Fire July 8, 2013

CO – DR Royal Gorge Fire July 8, 2013

WV – DR Severe Storms, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides July 9, 2013

TX – DR (Appeal) Explosion July 9, 2013

AZ – DR Yarnell Hill Fire July 12, 2013

San Carlos Apache Tribe – Power Outage July 12, 2013

NH – DR Severe Storm and Flooding July 15, 2013

MN – DR Severe Storms, Straight-line Winds, and Flooding July 17, 2013

IA – DR Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding July 18, 2013

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Joint Preliminary Damage Assessments

Region State /

Location Event IA/PA

Number of Counties Start – End

Requested Complete

III PA Severe Storms & Flooding

June 27, 2013

IA 4 0 7/11 - TBD

PA 4 3 7/11 - TBD

V WI Severe Storms & Tornadoes

June 21 – 27, 2013 PA 9 0 7/16 – TBD

VIII SD Flooding

June 19 – 29, 2013 PA 7 7 7/15 – 7/19

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Open Field Offices as of July 21, 2013

31

Deployed Detailed Available Not Available Total

26 2 8 3 39

OFDC Cadre Member Status

Total Available Type 1 Type 2 Type 3 Type 4

10* 2 4 2 2

As of: 07/19/2013

* All Type 1 FCOs are available unless deployed to a Level 1 event

Deployed Available Pending Hire On Board Positions

6 3 1 9 10

Federal Coordinating Officer

Federal Disaster Recovery Coordinator

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MCOV Fleet / Deployment Status

Fully Mission Capable 50 Partially Mission Capable 0 Non-Mission Capable 5 Total Not Deployed 53

MCOV FLEET STATUS MCOV DISASTER SUPPORT DEPLOYMENTS

Location Units

Assigned Available

FMC Deployed

Committed PMC Unavailable DR-State OPCON

En

Route Unit Prep

Open

Request Notes:

DC Cumberland 2 2 0 0 0 DR-4117-OK 2 0 0

MERS Maynard 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0

MERS Frederick 8 8 0 0 0 0 0 0

MERS Thomasville 14 13 0 0 1 0 0 0

DC Ft Worth 20 16 2 0 2 0 0 0

MERS Denver 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0

MERS Bothell 4 3 0 0 1 0 0 0

Sacramento 4 4 0 0 0 0 0 0

TOTAL 55 48 2 0 5 TOTAL 2 0 0 0

Included in above totals, units in route for turn-in. 0 0

Data as of: 07/18/13 @ 1500

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Active IA Disasters - Referral Status & Awards

Data as of: 07/18/13 @ 1500 # Max Grants = Applicants awarded maximum IHP ($31,900 as of FY 2013)

Approved - 307,110

Ineligible - 301,117

Withdrawn - 32,289

Pending (FEMA) - 2,560

Pending (Applicant) - 67,783

IHP Referral Status

$0 $2,000 $4,000 $6,000 $8,000

Average IHP Awards

ONA - $2,473

HA - $5,616

IHP - $5,7870

$200 Million

$400 Million

$600 Million

$800 Million

$1. Billion

$1.2 Billion

$1.4 Billion

$1.6 Billion

$1.8 Billion

Total IHP Awards

Total Awards:

307,110

Total Max Grants:

7,478

Other Needs Assistance $258,209,719

Housing Assistance $1,519,101,773

Total Awards Amount: $1,777,311,492

Legend

# of DRs

Open Registration Period (60 days from Declaration, unless extended)

IHP Active – IHP Assistance period remains open (18 Months from Declaration)

3

18

GA AL

4052

AZ

CA

CO

FL

4068

ID

IL

4116

IA

KS

ME

MA

WI

MN

MT

NV

NM

NC

OH

OR

SC

TN

4060

TX

3363

UT

WA

WY

DE

KY

4057

OK

4117

4078

AR

MO

VT

ND

NE

SD NY

4085

NH

VA

NJ

4086

CT

4087

MS

4101

4081

IN

4058 WV

4071

4061

4059

LA

4080

Active IA Disasters

MI

RI

4089

MD

4091

PA

21 Total IHP Active Disasters (All information on this slide reflects data for these disasters)

Total Referrals - 710,859AK

4122

34

IA Registration Statistics

IA Registrations and IHP Amounts as of July 18, 2013 @ 1500

DR/EM # - State Registrations Approved

Applicants Total HA Approved

Total ONA

Approved Total IHP Approved

4116 - IL 88,570 56,811 $120,160,156 $19,332,519 $139,492,675

4117 - OK 14,528 3,249 $8,851,532 $3,768,894 $12,620,426

4122 - AK 202 33 $31,886 $231,458 $263,344

Totals 103,300 60,093 $129,043,574 $23,332,871 $152,376,445

24 hour change +541 +394 +$128,881,116 +$403,880 +$1,220,896

NPSC Call Data for July 17, 2013

Total Calls Answered (Help Line + Registration Intake) 4,769

Average time to answer call 13 seconds

Maximum / Minimum time to answer a call 28 seconds / 08 seconds

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Housing Inspection Statistics

Inspection Data as of July 18, 2013 @ 1500

DR # - State Inspectors Inspections

Assigned

Inspections

Completed

Inspection %

Complete

Turnaround Time

(Days)

4116 - IL 61 84,116 82,912 98.57% 1.7

4117 - OK 8 7,666 7,491 97.72% 1.9

4122 - AK 0 294 169 57.48% 3.5

TOTAL 69 92,076 90,572 98.37% 1.7

24 hour change -17 +1,113 +1,070 -0.03% 0.0

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IMAT Status National Teams

Team Status Team Status Team Status

Blue/White East West

Regional Teams Team Status Team Status Team Status

Region I Region V IL Region VIII ND/SD/SRST*

Region II NY Region VI-1 OK Region IX-1

Region III Region VI-2 AR Region IX-2

Region IV-

1 Region VII Region X

Region IV-

2 *SRST – Standing Rock Sioux Tribe

= Assigned/Deployed

= Not Mission Capable

= Available/Mission Capable

= Available/Partially Mission Capable

39

Urban Search & Rescue INCIDENT SUPPORT TEAMS (Red-White-Blue) – Monthly On Call Rotation

JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC

WEST CENTRAL EAST

Team Status Team Status Team Status

CA-TF1 Available AZ-TF1 Available FL-TF1 Available

CA-TF2 Available CO-TF1 Available FL-TF2 Available

CA-TF3 Available IN-TF1 Available MA-TF1 Available

CA-TF4 Available MO-TF1 Available MD-TF1 Available

CA-TF5 Available NE-TF1 Available NY-TF1 Available

CA-TF6 Available NM-TF1 Non-operational PA-TF1 Conditionally

Available

CA-TF7 Available NV-TF1 Conditionally Available VA-TF1 Available

CA-TF8 Available TN-TF1 Conditionally Available VA-TF2 Available

WA-TF1 Available TX-TF1 Available OH-TF1 Available

UT-TF1 Available

= Assigned/Deployed = Out-of-Service

= Available/Mission Capable = Available/Partially Mission Capable

40

Region RRCC Regional Watch Center

I Watch/Steady State Maynard MOC (24/7)

II Watch/Steady State 24/7

III Watch/Steady State 24/7

IV Watch/Steady State 24/7

V Watch/Steady State 24/7

VI Watch/Steady State Denton MOC (24/7)

VII Watch/Steady State 24/7

VIII Watch/Steady State Denver MOC (24/7)

IX Watch/Steady State 24/7

X Watch/Steady State Bothell MOC (24/7)

RRCC / Regional Watch Center Status

41

National Team Status

Team/Status Current Location Remarks

National Watch Center Washington, DC Watch/Steady State

NRCC Washington, DC Not Activated

HLT Miami, FL Activated

DEST Washington, DC Not Activated

Mission Capable Partially Mission Capable Not Mission Capable

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