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CURRICULUM VITAE (April, 2020) Christopher Wlezien CONTACT INFORMATION: The University of Texas at Austin Department of Government 158 W 21st ST STOP A1800 Austin, TX 78712-1704 Phone: (within the US) 512-232-7236; (international) +001 512 232 7236 E-mail: [email protected] Homepage: http://www.utexas.edu/cola/depts/government/faculty/cw26629 EDUCATION: Ph.D. University of Iowa, 1989. Dissertation: The Political Economy of the Budgetary Process (Peverill Squire, supervisor) Comprehensive Examination, 1987. Fields: American Politics, Comparative Politics, International Relations B.A. Saint Xavier College, 1984. Major: Political Science; Minors: Mathematics, Economics PROFESSIONAL POSITIONS: Hogg Professor of Government, University of Texas at Austin, 2013- Professor of Political Science, Temple University, 2005-2013 Reader in Comparative Government, Oxford University, 2002-2005 Faculty Fellow, Nuffield College, 2001-2005 University Lecturer of Quantitative Methods and Comparative Politics, Oxford University, 2001-2002 Founding Director, Institute for the Study of Political Economy, University of Houston, 1997-2001 Director of Government Interns, Center for Public Policy, University of Houston, 1996-2001 Associate Professor, Department of Political Science, University of Houston, 1995-2001 Assistant Professor, Department of Political Science, University of Houston, 1989-1995 Director of Political Studies, University of Iowa Social Science Institute, 1988-1989 Research and Teaching Fellow, Department of Political Science, University of Iowa, 1984-1988

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Page 1: CURRICULUM VITAE Christopher Wlezien CONTACT ......CURRICULUM VITAE (April, 2020) Christopher Wlezien CONTACT INFORMATION: The University of Texas at Austin Department of Government

CURRICULUM VITAE

(April, 2020)

Christopher Wlezien

CONTACT INFORMATION:

The University of Texas at Austin

Department of Government

158 W 21st ST STOP A1800

Austin, TX 78712-1704

Phone: (within the US) 512-232-7236; (international) +001 512 232 7236

E-mail: [email protected]

Homepage: http://www.utexas.edu/cola/depts/government/faculty/cw26629

EDUCATION:

Ph.D. University of Iowa, 1989. Dissertation: The Political Economy of the Budgetary Process (Peverill Squire, supervisor) Comprehensive Examination, 1987.

Fields: American Politics, Comparative Politics, International Relations

B.A. Saint Xavier College, 1984.

Major: Political Science; Minors: Mathematics, Economics

PROFESSIONAL POSITIONS:

Hogg Professor of Government, University of Texas at Austin, 2013-

Professor of Political Science, Temple University, 2005-2013

Reader in Comparative Government, Oxford University, 2002-2005

Faculty Fellow, Nuffield College, 2001-2005

University Lecturer of Quantitative Methods and Comparative Politics, Oxford University, 2001-2002

Founding Director, Institute for the Study of Political Economy, University of Houston, 1997-2001

Director of Government Interns, Center for Public Policy, University of Houston, 1996-2001

Associate Professor, Department of Political Science, University of Houston, 1995-2001

Assistant Professor, Department of Political Science, University of Houston, 1989-1995

Director of Political Studies, University of Iowa Social Science Institute, 1988-1989

Research and Teaching Fellow, Department of Political Science, University of Iowa, 1984-1988

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AFFILIATED POSITIONS:

Visiting Scholar, University of Copenhagen, 2018

Visiting Fellow, Australian National University, 2017

Visiting Fellow, Academia Sinica, Taipei, 2016

Faculty Affiliate, Center for European Studies, University of Texas at Austin, 2014-

Visiting Professor, Universitat Mannheim, 2013-2014

Faculty Associate, Policy Agendas Project, University of Texas at Austin, 2013-

Research Associate, Center for the Study of Democratic Citizenship, McGill University, 2010-

Visiting Scholar, European University Institute, Spring, 2010

Hallsworth Visiting Professor, University of Manchester, 2009-2010

Visiting Scholar, Instituto Empresa University (Madrid), 2008-2015

Associate Member, Nuffield College (Oxford), 2008-2016

Professeur Invite’, Sciences Po (Paris), Autumn, 2007

Faculty Affiliate, Institute for Public Affairs, Temple University, 2006-2013

Research Associate, Centre for Research Methods in the Social Sciences, Oxford University, 2004-2005

Visiting Scholar, McGill University, Spring, 2004

Visiting Professor, Juan March Institute (Madrid), December, 2003

Visiting Scholar, Columbia University, 2003-2004

Faculty Affiliate, Institute for the Study of Democratic Government, Oxford University, 2001-2005

Research Associate, Institute for the Study of Political Economy, University of Houston, 2002-2008

EDITORIAL POSITIONS:

Founding Co-Editor, Journal of Elections, Public Opinion, and Parties, 2005-2011

Associate Editor, Public Opinion Quarterly, 2013-2014

Associate Editor, Research and Politics, 2013-

Co-Editor, “Poll-Reviews,” Public Opinion Quarterly, 2013-

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Associate Editor, Parliamentary Affairs, 2012-

Co-Editor, “Poll-Reviews,” Public Opinion Quarterly, 2008-2012

Member, Founding Political Science Editorial Board, Oxford Bibliographies Online, 2010-2012

Category Editor, International Encyclopedia of Political Science, 2007-2011

Editorial Board member:

American Journal of Political Science, 2017-2018

Electoral Studies, 2000-

Journal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties, 2012-

Journal of European Public Policy, 2001-2014, 2019-

Journal of Political Marketing, 2001-2008

Open Political Science Journal, 2007-2015

Political Analysis, 2003-2008

Public Opinion Quarterly, 2007-2008

Social Science Quarterly, 1994-

Social Sciences, 2019-

FELLOWSHIPS, GRANTS, AND AWARDS (not including best paper and publication awards):

Conference Grant, Center for Enterprise and Policy Analytics, University of Texas at Austin, 2019-2020

Workshop Grant, Center for European Studies, University of Texas at Austin, 2019

Research Fellowship, College of Liberal Arts, University of Texas at Austin, 2018

Research Grant, National Science Foundation, 2017-2020

Research Fellowship, College of Liberal Arts, University of Texas at Austin, 2013

Recipient of the Temple University Faculty Research Award, 2012

Research Grant, Netherlands Organization for Scientific Research (NWO), 2011-2015

Conference and Research Grant, Russell Sage Foundation, 2008, 2009

Research Grant, Institute for the Social Sciences, Cornell University, 2007

Research Seminar Fellowship, Institute for Public Affairs, Temple University, 2006, 2007, 2008

Research Grant, Economic and Social Research Council, UK, 2004-2005

Special University Leave, Oxford University, 2003-2004

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Research Methods Grant, Economic and Social Research Council, UK, 2002-2007

Research Grant, Nuffield Foundation, UK, 2002-2003

Research Grant, Office of the Deputy Prime Minister, UK, 2002-2003

Research Grant, National Science Foundation, 2001-2005

Research Grant, Institute for Social and Economic Research, Columbia University, 2000-2001

Research Grant, National Science Foundation, 1997-2000

Supplemental Research Grant, National Science Foundation, 1994-1995

Research Grant, National Science Foundation, 1993-1995

Limited Grant-in-Aid, University of Houston, 1992, 1993

Research Grant, Center for Public Policy, University of Houston, 1991

Research Initiation Grant (Summer Fellowship), University of Houston, 1990

Research Grant, Dirksen Congressional Research Center, 1988-1989, 1989-1990

University Fellowship, Graduate College, University of Iowa, 1987-1988

Research Grant, Collegiate Associations Council, University of Iowa, 1987

Summer Research Fellowship, Graduate College, University of Iowa, 1985-1988

RESEARCH:

AUTHORED BOOKS:

The Timeline of Presidential Elections: How Campaigns Do (and Do Not) Matter, with Robert S. Erikson.

University of Chicago Press, 2012. Named a top ten political book of 2012 by The New Yorker magazine.

Degrees of Democracy: Politics, Public Opinion and Policy, with Stuart Soroka. New York: Cambridge

University Press, 2010. The 2013 winner of the American Political Science Association’s Seymour Martin

Lipset award.

AUTHORED E-BOOK:

The 2012 Campaign and the Timeline of Presidential Elections, with Robert S. Erikson. University of

Chicago Press, 2014.

EDITED BOOKS:

The Routledge Handbook of Public Opinion and Voting Behavior, edited with Edward Fieldhouse, Justin

Fisher, Mark Franklin, Rachel Gibson, and Marta Cantijoch. London: Routledge, 2017.

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The UK General Election of 2010, edited with Justin Fisher. London: Routledge, 2011.

Who Gets Represented? edited with Peter Enns. New York: Russell Sage Foundation, 2011.

Britain Votes, edited with Pippa Norris. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2005.

The Future of Election Studies, edited with Mark N. Franklin. Oxford: Elsevier, 2002.

EDITED SPECIAL ISSUES (excluding those published while official journal editor):

Special issue on Advances in the Study of Democratic Responsiveness, edited with Peter Esaiasson.

Comparative Political Studies, vol. 50, 2017.

Special issue on Britain Votes, 2005, edited with Pippa Norris. Parliamentary Affairs, vol. 58, 2005.

Special issue on The Future of Election Studies, edited with Mark N. Franklin. Electoral Studies,

vol. 21, 2002.

Special issue on The Economy and Political Behavior, edited with Christopher J. Anderson. Political

Behavior, vol. 19, 1997.

REFEREED JOURNAL ARTICLES:

“Dictionaries, Supervised Learning, and Mass Media Coverage of Public Policy,” with Lindsay Dun and

Stuart Soroka. Political Communication, forthcoming. Paper presented at the Texas Methods Meeting,

Rice University, 2019.

“Elite Interactions and Voters’ Perceptions of Party Positions,” with James Adams and Simon Weschle.

American Journal of Political Science, forthcoming. Paper presented at the Annual Meetings of the

American Political Science Association, Philadelphia, 2016, and Washington, D.C., 2019.

“Freedom of the Press and Public Responsiveness,” with Dan Hiaeshutter-Rice and Stuart Soroka.

Perspectives on Politics, forthcoming. Paper presented at the Annual Meetings of the American

Political Science Association, Washington, DC, 2014, the Midwest Political Science Association,

Chicago, 2017, and the International Communications Association, Washington, DC, 2019.

“Election Forecasting: Too Far Out?” with Will Jennings and Michael Lewis-Beck. International

Journal of Forecasting, forthcoming. Paper presented at the Annual Meetings of the American

Political Science Association, Philadelphia, 2016, and San Francisco, 2017.

“Trends in Public Support for Welfare Spending: How the Economy Matters,” with Stuart Soroka.

British Journal of Political Science, forthcoming. Paper presented at the Annual Meetings of the

American Political Science Association, Chicago, 2013, and the Southern Political Science Association,

New Orleans, 2018.

“Social Welfare Policy Outputs and Governing Parties’ Left-Right Images: Do Voters Respond?”

with James Adams and Luca Bernardi. Journal of Politics, forthcoming. Paper presented at the Annual

Meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, 2017.

“Mass Media and Electoral Preferences during the 2016 US Presidential Race,” with Stuart Soroka.

Political Behavior, vol. 41, 2019. Also see the associated “Correction,” Political Behavior, vol. 41, 2019.

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“Mass Media as a Source of Public Responsiveness to Policy,” with Fabian Neuner and Stuart Soroka.

International Journal of Press/Politics, vol. 24, 2019. Paper presented at the Annual Meetings of the

American Political Science Association, San Francisco, 2015, the Midwest Political Science Association,

Chicago, 2016, the Southern Political Science Association, New Orleans, 2017, and the Southwestern

Political Science Association, Austin, 2017.

“Tracking the Coverage of Public Policy in Mass Media,” with Stuart Soroka. Policy Studies Journal,

vol. 47, 2019. Paper presented at the workshop on Policy Feedback and Feed Forward, University of

Arizona, Tucson, 2017, the Annual Meetings of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago,

2018, the American Political Science Association, Boston, 2018, and the EPOP Group of the Political

Studies Association, Royal Holloway, University of London, 2018.

“Forecasting the 2018 Midterm Election with National Polls and District Information,” with Joseph

Bafumi and Robert S. Erikson. PS: Political Science and Politics, vol. 51, 2018. Paper presented at the

Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, Boston, 2018.

“Election Polling Errors across Time and Space,” with Will Jennings. Nature Human Behaviour,

vol. 2, 2018. Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Association for Public Opinion

Research, Denver, 2018. Also see the associated “Correction,” Nature Human Behavior, vol. 4, 2020.

“An Evaluation of 2016 Election Polls in the United States,” with Courtney Kennedy, Mark Blumenthal,

Scott Clement, Joshua Clinton, Claire Durand, Charles Franklin, Kyley McGeeney, Lee Miringoff,

Doug Rivers, Lydia Saad, and Evans Witt. Public Opinion Quarterly, vol. 82, 2018. Paper presented at

the Annual Meeting of the American Association for Public Opinion Research, New Orleans, 2017.

“Public Opinion and Policy Representation: On Conceptualization, Measurement, and Interpretation.”

Policy Studies Journal, vol. 45, 2017. Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the Midwest Political

Science Association, Chicago, 2014, the Institute for Political Methodology, Taipei, 2016, and the

Inter-University Consortium for Political and Social Research, Ann Arbor, 2016.

“A Cross-National Analysis of the Causes and Consequences of Economic News,” with Stuart Soroka and

Dominik Stecula. Social Science Quarterly, vol. 98, 2017. Paper presented at the Conference on the New

World of Comparative Political Communication, College Station, Texas, 2016.

“The ‘Timeline’ Method of Studying Electoral Dynamics,” with Will Jennings and Robert Erikson.

Electoral Studies, vol. 48, 2017. Paper presented at the Conference on Innovations in Comparative

Political Methodology at Texas A&M University, College Station, Texas, 2015.

“Representative Systems and Policy Punctuations,” with EJ Fagan and Bryan Jones. Journal of European

Public Policy, vol. 24, 2017. Paper presented at the Conference on Political Budgeting across Europe,

College Station, Texas, 2015.

“When do the Rich Win?” with Alex Branham and Stuart Soroka. Political Science Quarterly, vol. 132,

2017. Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the Southern Political Science Association, Puerto Rico,

2016, the Annual Meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, 2016, and the Annual

Meeting of the American Association for Public Opinion Research, Austin, 2016.

“Policy (Mis)Representation and the Cost of Ruling: US Presidential Elections in Comparative Perspective.”

Comparative Political Studies, vol. 50, 2017. Paper presented at the Conference on Advances in the Study

of Democratic Responsiveness, Gothenburg, Sweden, 2014, and the Annual Meeting of the Southern

Political Science Association, San Juan, Puerto Rico, 2016.

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“The Company You Keep: How Citizens infer Parties’ Positions on Europe from Governing Coalition

Arrangements,” with James Adams and Lawrence Ezrow. American Journal of Political Science, vol. 60,

2016. Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, Chicago,

2013, and the Annual Meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, 2015. Winner of the

Pi Sigma Alpha award for the best paper presented at the 2015 Meeting of the Midwest Political Science

Association.

“An Analysis of the Public’s Personal, National and EU Issue Priorities,” with Shaun Bevan and Will

Jennings. Journal of European Public Policy, vol. 23, 2016. Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the

Elections, Public Opinion and Parties Group of the Political Studies Association, Edinburgh, 2014.

“The Timeline of Elections: A Comparative Perspective,” with Will Jennings. American Journal of

Political Science, vol. 60, 2016. Presented at the Annual Meeting of the Elections, Public Opinion and

Parties subgroup of the Political Studies Association, Lancaster, UK, 2013, the Annual Meeting of the

Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, 2014, and the Annual Meeting of the Southern Political

Science Association, New Orleans, 2015.

“The Majoritarian and Proportional Visions and Democratic Responsiveness,” with Stuart Soroka. Electoral

Studies, vol. 40, 2015. Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the Canadian Political Science

Association, Victoria, British Columbia, 2012, the Annual Meeting of the Southwest Political Science

Association, San Antonio, 2014, and the Annual Meeting of the Southern Political Science Association,

New Orleans, 2015.

“Preferences, Problems and Representation,” with Will Jennings. Political Science Research and Methods,

vol. 3, 2015. Presented at the Annual Meeting of the Elections, Public Opinion and Parties Group of the

Political Studies Association, Oxford, 2012, the Annual Meeting of the Comparative Agendas Project,

Antwerp, 2013, and the Annual Meeting of the Southern Political Science Association, New Orleans, 2015.

“Electoral Systems and Opinion Representation,” with Stuart Soroka. Representation, vol. 51, 2015. Paper

presented at the Annual Meeting of the Canadian Political Science Association, Victoria, British Columbia,

2012, the Annual Meeting of the Southwest Political Science Association, San Antonio, 2014, and the

Annual Meeting of the Southern Political Science Association, New Orleans, 2015.

“The Myopic Voter? The Economy and US Presidential Elections,” Electoral Studies, vol. 39, 2015.

Presented at the Conference on Methodological Innovations in the Study of Elections in Europe and

Beyond, College Station, Texas, 2014.

“It’s (Change in) the (Future) Economy, Stupid: Economic Indicators, the Media and Public Opinion,” with

Stuart Soroka and Dominik Stecula. American Journal of Political Science, vol. 59, 2015. Presented at the

Annual Meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, 2013; also presented at the Annual

Meeting of the American Association for Public Opinion Research, Boston, 2013. Also see the associated

“Erratum,” American Journal of Political Science, vol. 60, 2016.

“Polls and the Vote in Britain,” with Will Jennings, Stephen Fisher, Robert Ford, and Mark Pickup.

Political Studies, vol. 61, 2013.

“Political Institutions and the Opinion-Policy Link,” with Stuart Soroka. West European Politics,

vol. 35, 2012. Presented at the European Consortium for Political Research Joint Sessions of Workshops,

St. Gallen, Switzerland, 2011, the Annual Meeting of the Elections, Public Opinion and Parties Group

of the Political Studies Association, Exeter, UK, 2011, and the Annual Meeting of the Midwest Political

Science Association, Chicago, 2012.

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“Markets vs. Polls as Election Predictors: An Historical Assessment,” with Robert S. Erikson. Electoral

Studies, vol. 31, 2012. Presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Association for Public Opinion

Research, Hollywood, Florida, 2009.

“Distinguishing between Most Important Issues and Problems?” with Will Jennings. Public Opinion

Quarterly, vol. 75, 2011. Presented at the Annual Meeting of the Elections, Public Opinion, and Parties

Group of the Political Studies Association, Glasgow, 2009.

“Performance Pressure: Partisan Alignment and the Economic Vote,” with Mark Andreas Kayser.

European Journal of Political Research, vol. 50, 2011. Presented at the Annual Meeting of the American

Political Science Association, Philadelphia, 2006. Winner of the European Politics and Society award

for the best paper presented at the 2006 Meeting of the American Political Science Association.

“From Polls to Votes to Seats: The 2010 British Election,” with Stephen Fisher, Robert Ford, Will Jennings

and Mark Pickup. Electoral Studies, vol. 30, 2011. Presented at the Conference on Methods and Models

for Election Forecasting in the UK, Manchester, 2010.

“Federalism and Public Responsiveness to Policy,” with Stuart Soroka. Publius, vol. 41, 2011. Presented

at the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, Toronto, 2009.

“Balancing, Generic Polls and Midterm Congressional Elections,” with Joseph Bafumi and Robert S.

Erikson. Journal of Politics, vol. 72, 2010. Presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Association

for Public Opinion Research, Anaheim, 2008.

“The Crystallization of Voter Preferences during the 2008 Presidential Election Campaign,” with Robert S.

Erikson and Costas Panagopoulos. Presidential Studies Quarterly, vol. 40, 2010.

“Center-Party Strength and Major-Party Polarization in Britain,” with Jack H. Nagel. British Journal of

Political Science, vol. 40, 2010.

“The Dynamics of Poll Performance during the 2008 Nomination Context,” with Michael Traugott.

Public Opinion Quarterly, vol. 73, 2009.

“A General Empirical Law of Public Budgets: A Comparative Analysis,” with Bryan Jones, Frank

Baumgartner, Christian Breunig, Stuart Soroka, Martial Foucault, Abel Francois, Christoffer Green-

Pedersen, Chris Koski, Peter John, Peter B. Mortensen, Frederic Varone, and Stefaan Walgrave.

American Journal of Political Science, vol. 53, 2009.

“On Filtering Longitudinal Public Opinion Data: Issues in Identification and Representation of True

Change,” with Mark Pickup. Electoral Studies, vol. 28, 2009. Presented at the Workshop on Producing

Better Measures by Combining Data Cross Temporally, Nuffield College, Oxford, 2007.

“Are Political Markets Really Superior to Polls as Election Predictors?” with Robert S. Erikson.

Public Opinion Quarterly, vol. 72, 2008. Presented at the Annual Meeting of the World Association

of Public Opinion Research, Cannes, 2005; also presented at the Annual Meetings of the American

Political Science Association, Chicago, 2005, the American Association for Public Opinion Research,

Montreal, 2006, and the Elections, and the Public Opinion, and Parties Group of the Political

Studies Association, Bristol, UK, 2007, as well as the First World Meeting of the Public Choice

Society, Amsterdam, 2007.

“On the Limits to Inequality in Representation,” with Stuart Soroka. PS: Political Science and Politics,

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Vol. 41, 2008. Presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association,

Philadelphia, 2006; also presented at the Annual Meetings of the Elections, Public Opinion, and

Parties Group of the Political Studies Association, Nottingham, UK, 2006, and the Midwest

Political Science Association, Chicago, 2007.

“The Economy and the Presidential Vote: What Leading Indicators Reveal Well in Advance,”

with Robert S. Erikson. International Journal of Forecasting, vol. 24, 2008. Presented at the 27th

Annual International Symposium on Forecasting, New York, 2007.

“Does Political Information Matter? An Experimental Test Relating to Party Positions on Europe,”

with James Tilley. Political Studies, vol. 56, 2008. Presented at the Biannual Meeting of the

European Consortium of Political Research, Budapest, 2005. Winner of the Political Studies

Association’s Harrison Prize for the best paper published in the 2008 volume of Political Studies.

“Partisan Preferences, Electoral Prospects, and Economic Expectations,” with Matthew Ladner.

Comparative Political Studies, vol. 40, 2007. Presented at the Conference on Perceptions, Preferences

and Rationalization: Overcoming the Problem of Causal Inference in the Study of Political Behavior,

Nuffield College, Oxford, 2004.

“The Horse Race: What Polls Reveal as the Election Campaign Unfolds,” with Robert S. Erikson.

International Journal of Public Opinion Research, vol. 19, 2007. Presented at the Gallup Symposium

on the Science of Pre-Election Polling, Washington, D.C., May, 2002.

“Public Expenditure in the UK: How Measures Matter,” with Stuart Soroka and Iain McLean.

Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series A, vol. 169, 2006. Presented at the Annual Meeting

of the Political Studies Association, Aberdeen, 2002; also presented at the Conference on Budgetary

Policy Change, Oxford, 2002.

“On the Salience of Political Issues: The Problem with ‘Most Important Problem’.” Electoral Studies,

vol. 24, 2005. Presented at the Annual Meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association,

Chicago, 2001; also presented at the Annual Meetings of the Southwest Political Science Association,

New Orleans, 2002, and

“Opinion-Policy Dynamics: Public Preferences and Public Expenditure in the UK,” with Stuart

Soroka. British Journal of Political Science, vol. 35, 2005. Presented at the Annual Meeting of the

EPOP Group of the Political Studies Association, Salford, UK, 2002; also presented at the Annual

Meetings of the American Political Science Association, Boston, 2002, and the Midwest Political

Science Association, Chicago, 2003.

“Whether the Campaign Mattered and How.” Parliamentary Affairs, vol. 58, 2005.

“Opinion Representation and Policy Feedback: Canada in Comparative Perspective,” with Stuart

Soroka. Canadian Journal of Political Science, vol. 37, 2004. Presented at the Annual Meeting of

the Canadian Political Science Association, Halifax, 2003. Winner of the Canadian Political

Science Association’s John McMenemy Prize for the best paper published in the 2004 volume of

the Canadian Journal of Political Science.

“Likely (and Unlikely) Voters and the Assessment of Campaign Dynamics,” with Robert S. Erikson

and Costas Panagopoulos. Public Opinion Quarterly, vol. 68, 2004. Presented at the Meeting of

the World Association of Public Opinion Research, Prague, 2003.

“Public Expenditure in the English Regions: Measurement Problems and (Partial) Solutions,”

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with Gavin Cameron and Iain McLean. Political Quarterly, vol. 75, 2004.

“Patterns of Representation: Dynamics of Public Preferences and Policy.” Journal of Politics,

vol. 66, 2004. Presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association,

Chicago, 1995; also presented at the Annual Meetings of the Southwest Political Science

Association, New Orleans, 1997, and the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, 1998.

Winner of the Pi Sigma Alpha award for the best paper presented at the 1997 Meeting of the

Southwest Political Science Association.

“Measures and Models of Budgetary Policy,” with Stuart Soroka. Policy Studies Journal, vol. 31, 2003.

“Presidential Election Polls in 2000: A Study in Dynamics.” Presidential Studies Quarterly,

vol. 33, 2003. Presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association,

San Francisco, 2001.

“The Timeline of Presidential Election Campaigns,” with Robert S. Erikson. Journal of Politics,

vol. 64, 2002. Presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association,

Boston, 1998; also presented at the Annual Meetings of the Southwest Political Science

Association, San Antonio, 1999, and the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, 2000.

“Reinventing Election Studies,” with Mark N. Franklin. Electoral Studies, vol. 21, 2002.

“Campaign Effects in Theory and Practice,” with Robert S. Erikson. American Politics Research,

vol. 29, 2001. Presented at the Annual Meeting of the Southern Political Science Association,

Atlanta, 2000.

“Ideological Placements and Political Judgments of Government Institutions,” with Christopher

Carman. Public Opinion Quarterly, vol. 65, 2001. Presented at the Annual Meeting of the

Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, 1999; also presented at the Annual Meeting of

the Southern Political Science Association, Savannah, 1999.

“After the Election: Our Forecast in Retrospect,” with Robert S. Erikson. American Politics

Research, vol. 29, 2001.

“An Essay on ‘Combined’ Time Series Processes.” Electoral Studies, vol. 19, 2000. Presented at

the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, Boston, 1998; also presented

at the Annual Meeting of the Southern Political Science Association, Savannah, 1999.

“Presidential Polls as a Time Series: The Case of 1996,” with Robert S. Erikson. Public Opinion

Quarterly, vol. 93, 1999. Presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Association for Public

Opinion Research, St. Louis, 1998; also presented at the Annual Meeting of the Midwest Political

Science Association, Chicago, 1998.

“Social Groups and Political Judgments,” with Arthur H. Miller. Social Science Quarterly,

vol. 78, 1997. Presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association,

New York, 1994.

“The Responsive Public: Issue Salience, Policy Change, and Preferences for European

Unification,” with Mark Franklin. Journal of Theoretical Politics, vol. 9, 1997. Presented

at the Joint Sessions of the European Consortium for Political Research, Bern, Switzerland,

1997; also presented at the Annual Meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association,

Chicago, 1997.

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“Economic Perceptions and Vote Choice: Disentangling the Endogeneity,” with Mark Franklin and

Daniel Twiggs. Political Behavior, vol. 19, 1997. Presented at the Conference on the Economy

and Political Behavior, Houston, 1995.

“Temporal Horizons and Presidential Election Forecasts,” with Robert S. Erikson. American

Politics Quarterly, vol. 24, 1996. Presented at the Annual Meeting of the Southwest Political

Science Association, Dallas, 1995; also presented at the Annual Meeting of the Midwest

Political Science Association, Chicago, 1995.

“Dynamics of Representation: The Case of U.S. Spending on Defense.” British Journal of

Political Science, vol. 26, 1996. Presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Political

Science Association, Chicago, 1992; also presented at the Annual Meeting of the Midwest

Political Science Association, Chicago, 1992.

“The Contamination of Responses to Survey Items: Economic Perceptions and Political

Judgments,” with Nathaniel T. Wilcox. Political Analysis, vol. 5, 1996. Presented at the

Annual Meeting of the Public Choice Society, New Orleans, 1993.

“The President, Congress, and Appropriations.” American Politics Quarterly, vol. 24, 1996.

Presented at the Annual Meeting of the Public Choice Society, New Orleans, 1991.

“The Public as Thermostat: Dynamics of Preferences for Spending.” American Journal of

Political Science, vol. 39, 1995. Presented at the Annual Meeting of the Southwest Political

Science Association, San Antonio, 1994; also presented at the Annual Meeting of the

Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, 1994. Winner of the Pi Sigma Alpha award

for the best paper presented at the 1994 Meeting of the Southwest Political Science Association.

“The Impact of Legal Constraints on Voter Registration, Turnout, and the Composition of

the American Electorate,” with Glenn Mitchell. Political Behavior, vol. 17, 1995. Presented

at the Annual Meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, 1989; also

presented at the Annual Meeting of the Southern Political Science Association, Atlanta, 1988.

“Attitudes toward Europe and Referendum Votes,” with Mark Franklin and Michael Marsh.

Electoral Studies, vol. 13, 1994.

“The Politics of Impoundments.” Political Research Quarterly, vol. 47, 1994. Presented at the

Annual Meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, 1989.

“The Courts, Interest Groups, and Public Opinion about Abortion,” with Malcolm Goggin.

Political Behavior, vol. 15, 1993.

“Substitutability and the Politics of Macroeconomic Policy,” with Richard Jankowski.

Journal of Politics, vol. 55, 1993. Presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Political

Science Association, Chicago, 1987; also presented at the Annual Meeting of the Midwest

Political Science Association, Chicago, 1987.

“The Social Group Dynamics of Partisan Evaluations,” with Arthur H. Miller. Electoral Studies,

vol. 12, 1993. Presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association,

Atlanta, 1989.

“The Political Economy of Supplemental Appropriations,” Legislative Studies Quarterly, vol. 18,

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1993. Presented at the Annual Meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, 1988.

“A Reference Group Theory of Partisan Coalitions,” with Arthur H. Miller and Anne Hildreth.

Journal of Politics, vol. 53, 1991. Presented at the Annual Meeting of the Midwest Political Science

Association, Chicago, 1988.

OTHER JOURNAL ARTICLES:

“Understanding Equation Balance in Time Series Regression,” with Peter Enns. The Political

Methodologist, 2017. Paper presented at the Texas Methods Conference, Houston, 2017.

“Leading Economic Indicators, the Polls, and the 2016 Presidential Vote,” with Robert S. Erikson.

PS: Political Science and Politics, vol. 50, 2017. Presented at the Annual Meeting of the Southern

Political Science Association, New Orleans, 2017.

“Forecasting the Presidential Vote with Leading Economic Indicators and the Polls,” with Robert S.

Erikson. PS: Political Science and Politics, vol. 49, 2016. Presented at the Annual Meeting of the

American Political Science Association, Philadelphia, 2016.

“From Polls to Votes to Seats: Forecasting the 2015 British Election,” with Robert Ford, Will Jennings

and Mark Pickup. Electoral Studies, vol. 41, 2016. Presented at the Annual Meeting of the American

Political Science Association, San Francisco, 2015.

“On Causality in the Study of Valence and Voting Behavior,” Political Science Research and Methods,

vol. 4, 2016.

“Forecasting the 2014 House Seat Division in Retrospect,” with Joseph Bafumi and Robert S. Erikson.

PS: Political Science and Politics, vol. 48, 2015.

“National Polls, District Information, and House Seats: Forecasting the 2014 Midterm Election,” with

Joseph Bafumi and Robert S. Erikson. PS: Political Science and Politics, vol. 47, 2014. Presented at

the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, Washington, D.C., 2014.

“Forecasting US Presidential Elections Using Economic and Non-Economic Fundamentals,” with Robert S.

Erikson. PS: Political Science and Politics, vol. 47, 2014.

“Forecasting with Leading Economic Indicators and the Polls in 2012,” with Robert S. Erikson. PS: Political

Science and Politics, vol. 46, 2013.

“The Objective and Subjective Economy and the Presidential Vote,” with Robert S. Erikson. PS: Political

Science and Politics, vol. 45, 2012. Prepared for presentation at the Annual Meeting of the American

Political Science Association, New Orleans, 2012.

“Forecasting House Seats from Generic Congressional Polls: A Post-Mortem,” with Joseph Bafumi and

Robert S. Erikson.” PS: Political Science and Politics, vol. 44, 2011.

“Forecasting House Seats from Generic Congressional Polls: The 2010 Midterm Election,” with Joseph

Bafumi and Robert S. Erikson.” PS: Political Science and Politics, vol. 43, 2010. Presented at the

Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, Washington, D.C., 2010.

“The Economy and the Presidential Vote in 2008.” PS: Political Science and Politics, vol. 42, 2009.

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“Leading Economic Indicators, the Polls and the Presidential Vote,” with Robert S. Erikson. PS: Political

Science and Politics, vol. 41, 2008. Presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science

Association, Boston, 2008.

“Forecasting House Seats from Generic Congressional Polls,” with Joseph Bafumi and Robert S. Erikson.

Extension of Remarks, vol. 30, 2007. Presented at the Annual Meeting of the Northeastern Political

Science Association, Boston, 2006.

“Post-Election Reflections on our Pre-Election Predictions,” with Robert S. Erikson. PS: Political Science

and Politics, vol. 38, 2005. Presented at the Annual Meeting of the Northeastern Political Science

Association, Boston, 2004.

“The Fundamentals, the Polls, and the Presidential Vote.” PS: Political Science and Politics,

vol. 37, 2004. Presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association,

Chicago, 2004.

“Pre-Election Patterns: The Evolution of Voter Preferences,” with Robert S. Erikson. Public

Perspective, November/December, 2002.

“On Forecasting the Presidential Vote.” PS: Political Science and Politics, vol. 34, 2001. Presented

at the Annual Meeting of the Southern Political Science Association, Atlanta, 2000.

“Of Time and Presidential Election Forecasting,” with Robert S. Erikson. PS: Political Science and

Politics, vol. 29, 1996.

“Forecasting the Presidential Vote, 1992,” with Robert S. Erikson. The Political Methodologist,

summer, 1994.

“Judging by the Company Candidates Keep: What's a Democrat to Do?” with Anne Hildreth, Kevin

Leyden, and Arthur H. Miller. Public Opinion, July/August, 1988.

BOOK CHAPTERS:

“Dynamic Representation.” In Robert Rohrschneider and Jacques Thomassen (eds.), Oxford Handbook

of Political Representation in Liberal Democracies. Oxford: Oxford University Press, forthcoming.

“Do Election Campaigns Matter? A Comparative Perspective and Overview,” with Alex Branham.

In Bernard Grofman, Elizabeth Suhay, and Alexander Trechsel (eds.), Oxford Handbook of Electoral

Persuasion. Oxford: Oxford University Press, forthcoming.

“Not Getting Worse: Polling Accuracy.” In Phil Cowley and Robert Ford (eds.), Sex Lies and the

Ballot Box, Greatest Hits. Blackwell Publishing, 2019.

“Dynamics of (National) Electoral Preferences during the 2016 US Presidential Race,” with George Elliott

Morris. In Amnon Cavari, Richard Powell, and Kenneth Mayer (eds.), The 2016 Presidential Election: The

Causes and Consequences of an Electoral Earthquake. Lanham, Maryland: Lexington Books, 2017.

Presented at the Conference on the US Elections of 2016: Domestic and International Aspects, Interdisciplinary

Center (IDC), Herzliya, Israel.

“The Thermostatic Model: Public Opinion, Policy, and Politics.” In Ed Fieldhouse, Justin Fisher, Marta

Cantijoch, Mark Franklin, Rachel Gibson, and Christopher Wlezien (eds), Routledge Handbook of Voting

Behavior and Public Opinion. London: Routledge, 2017.

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“Opinion Polling and the Vote,” with Rob Ford, Will Jennings and Mark Pickup. In Kai Arzheimer, Jocelyn

Evans and Michael Lewis-Beck (eds.), Sage Handbook of Electoral Behavior. London: Sage Publications,

2017.

“Polls and Votes.” In Phil Cowley and Robert Ford (eds.), Sexier Lies and the Ballot Box. Blackwell

Publishing, 2016.

“A Public Opinion and American Democracy Retrospective.” In Steven Balla, Martin Lodge and Edward

Page (eds.), Oxford Handbook of the Classics of Public Policy and Public Administration. Oxford: Oxford

University Press, 2015.

“Electoral Accountability,” with Mark Franklin and Stuart Soroka. In Mark Bovens, Robert Goodin and

Thomas Schillemans (eds.), Oxford Handbook of Public Accountability. Oxford: Oxford University Press,

2014.

“Election Campaigns.” In Lawrence Leduc, Richard Niemi, and Pippa Norris (eds.), Comparing Democracies

IV. London: Sage Publications, 2014.

“Public Reactions to the Economy and Economic Crisis in the UK,” with Stuart Soroka. In Larry Bartels

and Nancy Bermeo (eds.), Mass Politics in Tough Times: Opinion, Votes, and Protest in the Great

Recession. New York: Oxford University Press, 2014.

“Political Institutions and the Opinion-Policy Link,” with Stuart Soroka. In Christine Arnold and

Mark N. Franklin, eds. Assessing Political Representation in Europe. London: Routledge, 2013.

(Originally published in West European Politics, vol. 35, 2012.)

“Public Opinion and the Presidential Election.” In Janet Box-Steffensmeier and Steven Schier (eds.),

The American Elections of 2012. Lanham, Maryland: Rowman and Littlefield, 2013.

“Inequality in Policy Responsiveness?” with Stuart Soroka. In Peter Enns and Christopher Wlezien (eds.),

Who Gets Represented? New York: Russell Sage Foundation, 2011.

“Group Opinions,” “Connecting Group Opinion to Policy Representation,” and “Final Thoughts on

Who Gets Represented,” with Peter Enns. In Enns and Wlezien (eds.), Who Gets Represented? New

York: Russell Sage Foundation, 2011.

“Election Campaigns.” In Lawrence Leduc, Richard Niemi, and Pippa Norris (eds.), Comparing

Democracies III. Thousand Oaks: Sage Publications, 2010.

“Public Opinion and Public Policy,” with Stuart Soroka. In John C. Courtney and David E. Smith

(eds.), Oxford Handbook of Canadian Politics. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2010.

“Forecasting House Seats from Generic Congressional Polls,” with Joseph Bafumi and Robert S. Erikson.

In Wendy Alvey and Fritz Scheuren (eds.), Elections and Exit Polling. New York: Wiley and Sons,

2008.

“The Relationship between Public Opinion and Policy,” with Stuart Soroka. In Russell J. Dalton

and Hans-Dieter Klingemann (eds.), Oxford Handbook of Political Behavior. Oxford: Oxford

University Press, 2007.

“Whether the Campaign Mattered and How.” In Pippa Norris and Christopher Wlezien (eds.),

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Britain Votes. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2005. (Also published in Parliamentary Affairs,

vol. 58, 2005.)

“Reinventing Election Studies,” with Mark N. Franklin. In Franklin and Wlezien (eds.),

The Future of Election Studies. Oxford: Pergamon Press, 2002. (Originally published in

Electoral Studies, vol. 21, 2002.)

“Temporal Horizons and Presidential Election Forecasts,” with Robert S. Erikson. In James

Campbell and James Garand (eds.), Before the Vote: Forecasting American National Elections.

Thousand Oaks, Calif.: Sage Publications, 2000. (Extended version of an article that originally

was published in the American Politics Quarterly, vol. 24, 1996.)

“The Public as Thermostat: Dynamics of Preferences for Spending.” In Pippa Norris (ed.),

Elections and Voting Behavior: New Challenges, New Perspectives. Aldershot, Hants: Ashgate/

Dartmouth Publishing, 1998. (Originally published in the American Journal of Political Science,

vol. 39, 1995.)

“Abortion Opinion and Policy in the American States,” with Malcolm Goggin. In Goggin (ed.),

Understanding the New Politics of Abortion. Newbury Park, Calif.: Sage Publications, 1993.

“Interest Groups and the Dynamics of Abortion Politics,” with Malcolm Goggin. In Donald Lutz

and Kent Tedin (eds.), Perspectives on American and Texas Politics. Dubuque, Iowa: Kendall/Hunt,

1992. Presented at the Annual Meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, 1991.

“Voting and Elections.” In Mark Jones, William Earl Maxwell and Ernest Crain (eds.), Texas Politics

Today. Cengage Publishing, 9th edition, 1999; revised and extended for the 10th edition, 2001, the 11th

edition, 2003, the 12th edition, 2005, the 13th edition, 2007, the 14th edition, 2009, the 15th edition,

2011, the 16th edition, 2013, the 17th edition, 2015, and the 18th edition, 2017. Revised and extended

for the Texas edition of Steffen Schmidt, Mack Shelley, and Barbara Bardes’ American Government

and Politics Today, Cengage Publishing, 12th edition, 2005, the 13th edition, 2007, the 14th edition, 2009,

and the 15th edition, 2011.

“Political Parties.” In Mark Jones, William Earl Maxwell and Ernest Crain (eds.), Texas Politics

Today. Cengage Publishing, 17th edition, 2015, and the 18th edition, 2017.

ENCYCLOPEDIA ENTRIES:

“Issue Salience and Importance,” with Philip Moniz. In David Redlawsk (ed.), Oxford Research

Encyclopedia of Political Decision-Making. Oxford: Oxford University Press, forthcoming.

“Public Opinion and Public Policy,” with Stuart Soroka. Oxford Research Encyclopedia in Politics, 2016.

DOI:10.1093/acrefore/9780190228637.013.74.

“Public Opinion and Public Policy in Advanced Democracies.” Oxford Bibliographies Online.

Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2011; 2016.

“Public Opinion Polls.” In Miodrag Lovric (ed.), International Encyclopedia of Statistical Science.

New York: Springer, 2011.

“Public Opinion.” In George Kurian, James E. Alt, Simone Chambers, Geoffrey Garrett, Margaret Levi,

and Paula McClain (eds.), International Encyclopedia of Political Science. Washington, D.C.: CQ

Press, 2010.

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EDITORIAL INTRODUCTIONS:

“Editors’ Introduction – In Defense of Political Science,” with Marta Cantijoch, Edward Fieldhouse, Justin

Fisher, Mark Franklin, and Rachel Gibson. In Cantijoch, et al (eds.) The Routledge Handbook of Public

Opinion and Voting Behavior. London: Routledge, 2017.

“Advances in the Study of Democratic Responsiveness: An Introduction,” with Peter Esaiasson.

Comparative Political Studies, vol. 50, 2017.

“Editors’ Introduction—The UK General Election of 2010,” with Justin Fisher. In Fisher and Wlezien

(eds.), The UK General Election of 2010. London: Routledge, 2011. (Also published in the Journal of

Elections, Public Opinion and Parties, vol. 21, 2011.)

“Group Opinion and the Study of Representation,” with Peter Enns. In Enns and Wlezien (eds.), Who Gets

Represented? New York: Russell Sage Foundation, 2011.

“Editors’ Introduction—The British General Election of 2005,” with Justin Fisher. Journal of Elections,

Public Opinion and Parties, vol. 16, issue 1, 2006.

“Introduction: The Third Blair Victory—How and Why?” with Pippa Norris. In Norris and Wlezien

(eds.), Britain Votes. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2005. (Also published in Parliamentary Affairs,

vol. 58, 2005.)

“Editors’ Note,” with Justin Fisher. Journal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties, vol. 15, issues

1 and 2, 2005, vol. 18, issues 1 and 4, 2008, vol. 20, issues 1 and 2, 2010, vol. 21, issue 4, 2011.

“The Future of Election Studies—An Introduction,” with Mark N. Franklin. In Franklin and Wlezien

(eds), The Future of Election Studies. Oxford: Pergamon Press, 2002. (Also published in Electoral

Studies, vol. 22, 2002.)

“The Economics of Politics in Comparative Perspective Revisited,” with Christopher J. Anderson.

Political Behavior, vol. 19, 1997.

PUBLISHED REPORTS AND OTHER PUBLICATIONS:

“US Midterms: Are the Republicans Set to Lose Full Control of Congress?” with Joseph Bafumi and

Robert S. Erikson. Sky News, October 31, 2018. https://news.sky.com/story/us-midterms-are-the-

republicans-set-to-lose-full-control-of-congress-11540862.

“Forecasting the 2018 Midterm Election Using National Polls and District Information,” with Joe Bafumi

and Robert S. Erikson. Sabato’s Crystal Ball – A Labor Day Status Report. Volume XVI, issue 35.

(An abstracted version of an article published in PS: Political Science and Politics, vol. 51, 2018.)

Series of blog posts on electoral preferences leading up to the 2017 UK Election, beginning April 24,

2017, and continuing through June 6, 2017, with Robert Ford, Mark Pickup and Will Jennings.

Polling Observatory. Https://sotonpolitics.org/tag/polling-observatory/

“When do Voters Decide? The Polls, the Fundamentals, and GE 2017,” with Will Jennings. 2017.

London School of Economics British Politics and Policy (LSEBPP) blog. http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/

politicsandpolicy/the-polls-the-fundamentals-and-ge2017/

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An Evaluation of 2016 Election Polls in the United States, with Courtney Kennedy, Mark Blumenthal,

Scott Clement, Joshua Clinton, Claire Durand, Charles Franklin, Kyley McGeeney, Lee Miringoff,

Doug Rivers, Lydia Saad, and Evans Witt. 2017. American Association of Public Opinion Research.

http://www.aapor.org/Education-Resources/Reports/An-Evaluation-of-2016-Election-Polls-in-the-U-S.aspx.

(A truncated and revised version also has been published in Public Opinion Quarterly, vol. 82, 2018.)

“The Public May not be Getting the Policies they Want, but it’s Hard to Measure what they do Want.”

2017. London School of Economics American Politics and Policy (LSEAPP) blog. http://blogs.

lse.ac.uk/usappblog/.

“How to Read the Election Polls – and Keep your Sanity – in Two Easy Steps,” with Robert S. Erikson.

2016. The Monkey Cage. https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-cage/wp/2016/06/08/how-to-

read-the-election-polls-and-keep-your-sanity-in-two-easy-steps/.

Series of bi-weekly blog posts on electoral preferences leading up to the 2015 UK Election, beginning

May 7, 2014, and continuing through May 7, 2015, with Robert Ford, Mark Pickup and Will Jennings.

Manchester Policy Blogs: Polling Observatory. http://blog.policy.manchester.ac.uk/category/polling-

observatory/. Re-posted by the New Statesman at http://may2015.com/ and Huffington Post at

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2015/03/20/uk-election-forecast_n_6909170.html.

“Polls, Polls and Damn Statistics,” with Rob Ford, Will Jennings, and Mark Pickup. 2015. Significance,

January. A publication of the Royal Statistical Society and American Statistical Association. http://www.

statslife.org.uk/significance/politics/2016-polls-polls-and-damn-statistics.

“The Media and Public Opinion React to Changes in Economic Conditions, not the State of the Economy,”

with Stuart Soroka and Dominic Stecula. 2015. London School of Economics American Politics and Policy

(LSEAPP) blog. http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/usappblog/2015/01/15/the-media-and-public-opinion-react-to-

changes-in-economic-conditions-not-the-state-of-the-economy-in-general/.

“Forecasting the 2014 Midterm Election,” with Joseph Bafumi and Robert S. Erikson. 2014. London School

of Economics American Politics and Policy (LSEAPP) blog. http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/usappblog/2014/10/27/

national-polls-and-district-information-point-to-a-10-seat-gop-midterm-swing-in-the-house-to-244-seats/.

“Why Likely Voter Polls may be Misleading” with Robert S. Erikson. 2014. The Monkey Cage. http://

www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/monkey-cage/wp/2014/09/24/why-likely-voter-polls-may-be-misleading/.

A sequence of blog posts on the 2014 Scottish Referendum, with Robert Ford, Mark Pickup and Will

Jennings. 2014. Manchester Policy Blogs: Polling Observatory. http://blog.policy.manchester.ac.uk/

category/polling-observatory/.

.

“How Economic and Noneconomic Fundamentals Influence Voter Preferences during US Presidential

Election Campaigns,” with Robert S. Erikson. 2014. London School of Economics American Politics

and Policy (LSEAPP) blog. http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/usappblog/2014/04/21/early-campaign-economic-

perceptions-can-help-to-predict-the-national-verdict-on-election-day/.

“Support for Europe at a Time of Crisis,” with Mark N. Franklin. 2013. EUDO Spotlight 5:1-6.

(A publication of the European Union Democracy Observatory at the Robert Schuman Center

for Advanced Study, Florence, Italy.)

“Party Conventions do Matter,” with Robert S. Erikson. 2012. Transatlantic Voices, Deutsche Welle.

Http://www.dw.de/dw/article/0,,16183288,00.html.

“A Forecast of the 2010 House Election Outcome,” with Joseph Bafumi and Robert S. Erikson. 2010.

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The Huffington Post. Http://www.pollster.com/.

“Uniform Swing, Proportional Swing and all that...,” with Robert Ford, Will Jennings, and Mark Pickup.

2010. Political Betting.com Http://www6.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2010/05/31/the-2010-

uns-proportional-swing-and-all-that%e2%80%a6/, 2010.

“Forecasting the 2010 UK Election,” with Robert Ford, Will Jennings, and Mark Pickup. 2010.

Politics Home. Http://www.politicshome.com/uk/the_poll_centre.html.

An Evaluation of the Methodology of the 2008 Pre-Election Primary Polls, with Michael Traugott,

Glenn Bolger, Darren W. Davis, Charles Franklin, Robert M. Groves, Paul J. Lavrakas, Mark S.

Mellman, Philip Meyer, Kristen Olson, and J. Ann Selzer. 2009. American Association of Public

Opinion Research. Http://www.aapor.org/uploads/AAPOR_Rept_FINAL-Rev-4-13-09.pdf.

“Degrees of Democracy: Public Opinion and Policy in Comparative Perspective,” with Stuart

Soroka. 2004. Center for Advanced Study in the Social Sciences, Working Paper #206. Madrid: Juan

March Institute. Http://www.march.es/ceacs/ingles/Publicaciones/working/working.asp?All=1.

A revised version of this report won the Pi Sigma Alpha award for the best paper presented at the

2007 Meeting of the Southwest Political Science Association.

Identifying the Flow of Domestic and European Expenditure into the English Regions, with Iain

McLean, principal author. 2003. A report for the Office of the Deputy Prime Minister, United Kingdom.

Http://www.local.odpm.gov.uk/research/idenrprt.pdf.

“A Note on the Endogeneity of Ideological Placements of Government Institutions.” 2002. NES Technical

Reports. Ann Arbor: American National Election Studies (NES). Http://www.umich.edu/~nes/

resources/techrpts/techrpts.htm.

“Liberal-Conservative Evaluations of Social Groups.” 1998. NES Pilot Study Reports. Ann Arbor: NES.

Http://www.umich.edu/~nes/resources/papers/papers.htm.

“Ideological Evaluations of Government Institutions and Policy,” with Christopher Jan Carman. 1998.

NES Pilot Study Reports. Ann Arbor: NES. Http://www.umich.edu/~nes/resources/papers/papers.htm.

PAPERS UNDER REVIEW:

“Institutions, Parties, and the Timeline of Elections,” with Will Jennings.

“Measuring Public Preferences for Government Spending,” with Ann-Kristin Kölln.

“Detecting True Relationships in Time Series Data with Different Orders of Integration,” with Peter

Enns and Caroline Moehlecke.

RESEARCH IN PROGRESS (selected):

Information and Democracy: Public Policy in the News, with Stuart Soroka. Under contract at Cambridge

University Press.

“Party Identification and the (Subjective and Objective) Economic Vote,” with Connor Dye and Mark Kayser.

“What Explains Inter-Party Cooperation and Conflict?” with James Adams and Simon Weschle.

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“Policy Feedback.”

BOOK REVIEWS:

Review of Uncivil Agreement: How Politics became Our Identity, by Lilliana Mason. International

Journal of Press/Politics, vol. 25, 2020.

Review of The Government-Citizen Disconnect, by Suzanne Mettler. Political Science Quarterly,

vol. 134, 2019.

Review of American Public Opinion, Advocacy, and Policy in Congress: What the Public Wants and

What it Gets, by Paul Burstein. Political Science Quarterly, vol. 130, 2015.

Review of Citizens, Context, and Choice, edited by Russell J. Dalton and Christopher J. Anderson.

Party Politics, vol. 19, 2013.

Review of The Message Matters: The Economy and Presidential Campaigns, by Lynn Vavreck.

Congress and the Presidency, vol. 37, 2010.

Review of Ten Thousand Democracies: Politics and Public Opinion in America's School Districts,

by Michael Berkman and Eric Plutzer. Political Studies Review, vol. 5, 2007.

Review of Why Budgets Matter: Budget Policy and American Politics, by Dennis S. Ippolito.

Political Science Quarterly, vol. 118, 2003-2004.

Review of By Popular Demand: Revitalizing Representative Democracy Through Deliberative

Elections, by John Gastil. American Political Science Review, vol. 96, 2002.

Review of The Election of 2000, by Gerald M. Pomper, et al. H-Net Reviews, 2001.

Review of Information and Elections, by R. Michael Alvarez. American Political Science

Review, vol. 93, 1999.

Review of Abortion Rates in the United States: The Influence of Opinion and Policy, by

Matthew E. Wetstein. Political Science Quarterly, vol. 112, 1997.

Review of Making Ends Meet: Congressional Budgeting in the Age of Deficits, by Daniel P.

Franklin. Journal of Politics, vol. 56, 1994.

Review of Inside Campaign Finance: Myths and Realities, by Frank J. Sorauf. Social Science

Quarterly, vol. 75, 1994.

ARCHIVED DATA SETS:

“Datasets on Polls and the Timeline of Elections,” with Will Jennings. Vote intention data from 30,916

polls for 271 parties in 351 elections in 45 countries between 1942 and 2017, and regularly updated.

https://liberalarts.utexas.edu/government/faculty/cw26629#datasets-on-polls-and-the-timeline-of-elections

“Policy Votes” database, with Christine Arnold and Mark Franklin. http://www.policyvotes.org/.

“The Timeline of Elections” dataset, with Will Jennings. All vote intention data used in “The Timeline

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of Elections: A Comparative Perspective” American Journal of Political Science.

Https://dataverse.harvard.edu/dataset.xhtml?persistentId=doi:10.7910/DVN/28856

“Degrees of Democracy Dataset,” with Stuart Soroka. Public opinion and budgetary data for Canada,

the United Kingdom, and the United States used in Degrees of Democracy: Politics, Public Opinion

and Policy, Cambridge University Press, 2010. Http://degreesofdemocracy.mcgill.ca/data.html.

“The Timeline of Presidential Election Campaigns—Trial-Heat Polls from 1944-2000,” with Robert S.

Erikson. Inter-University Consortium for Political and Social Research (ICPSR), University of Michigan,

Study Number 1304, 2004. Http://webapp.icpsr.umich.edu/cocoon/ICPSR-STUDY/01304.xml.

“Public Expenditure on Government Services in the UK, 1980-2000” with Stuart Soroka.

UK Data Archive, Study://www.data-archive.ac.uk/findingData/

snDescription.asp?sn=4980&key=wlezen&catg= Number 4980, 2004. Http xmlAll.

“Budgetary Policy and Public Preferences for Spending, 1972-1994,” ICPSR, University of

Michigan, 1996. Http://webapp.icpsr.umich.edu/cocoon/ICPSR-STUDY/01104.xml.

“Voter Registration and Election Laws in the United States, 1972-1992,” with Glenn Mitchell,

ICPSR, University of Michigan, 1995. Http://webapp.icpsr.umich.edu/cocoon/ICPSR-

STUDY/01102.xml.

“Economic Perceptions and Political Judgments: Some Experimental Data,” with Nathaniel T.

Wilcox, ICPSR, University of Michigan, 1994. Http://webapp.icpsr.umich.edu/cocoon/ICPSR-

STUDY/01103.xml.

CONFERENCE PARTICIPATION (other than paper presentations):

PROGRAM CHAIR:

Annual Meeting of the Southern Political Science Association, Austin, Texas, 2019

Annual Meeting of the Elections, Public Opinion, and Parties (EPOP) group of the Political

Studies Association, Oxford, 2004 (chaired with Geoffrey Evans)

Annual Meeting of the Southwest Political Science Association, Corpus Christi, Texas, 1998

ORGANIZER:

Texas Methods Conference, Austin, Texas, 2020 (organized with Alison Craig, John Gerring, and

Stephen Jessee)

Workshop on the Consequences of Partisanship for Public Opinion, Austin, Texas, 2019

(organized with Zeynep Somer-Topcu).

Conference on Advances in the Study of Democratic Responsiveness, Gothenburg, Sweden, 2014

(organized with Peter Esaiasson).

Conference on Homogeneity and Heterogeneity in Public Opinion, Ithaca, 2008 (organized with

Peter Enns)

Conference on Perceptions, Preferences, and Rationalization: Overcoming the Problem of Causal

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Inference in the Study of Political Behavior, Oxford, 2004 (organized with Geoffrey Evans)

Conference on Budgetary Policy Change: Measures and Models, Oxford, 2002 (organized with

Stuart Soroka)

Conference on the Design of Election Studies, Houston, 1999 (organized with Mark N. Franklin)

Conference on the Economy and Political Behavior, Houston, 1995 (organized with Christopher J.

Anderson)

DIVISION CHAIR:

American Political Science Association, Philadelphia, 2016

American Political Science Association, Philadelphia, 2006

Southwest Political Science Association, Houston, 1996

ROUNDTABLE PARTICIPANT:

American Political Science Association, 1996, 1998, 2000, 2004, 2008, 2010, 2012, 2014, 2016

Midwest Political Science Association, 1998, 2012, 2013, 2014

Northeastern Political Science Association, 2004, 2006, 2008

Political Studies Association (EPOP), 2002, 2008, 2012

Southern Political Science Association, 2000, 2014, 2017, 2018

Southwest Political Science Association, 1999, 2002, 2005

PANEL CHAIR:

American Association for Public Opinion Research, 2011

American Political Science Association, 1994, 1997, 2000, 2001, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2008, 2010,

2015, 2017

Midwest Political Science Association, 1993, 1995, 1996, 1999, 2000, 2003, 2006, 2007, 2014, 2015, 2016

Political Studies Association (EPOP), 2004, 2009, 2011, 2012

Public Choice Society, 1991

Southern Political Science Association, 2016, 2017

Southwest Political Science Association, 1992, 1994, 1995, 2000, 2002, 2004, 2007, 2008, 2014

DISCUSSANT:

American Association for Public Opinion Research, 2007

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American Political Science Association, 1991, 1994, 1997, 2000, 2002, 2006, 2007, 2008, 2009. 2010,

2013, 2014, 2015, 2017, 2018, 2019

Midwest Political Science Association, 1990, 1993, 1995, 1996, 2000, 2001, 2003, 2007, 2014, 2015,

2016, 2017, 2019

Political Studies Association (EPOP), 2006

Southern Political Science Association, 2015

Southwest Political Science Association, 1994, 1997, 2000, 2002, 2007, 2008, 2014, 2017

INVITED PRESENTATIONS:

10 Downing Street, 92YTribeca, Aarhus University, Academia Sinica (Taipei), Advertising Research

Foundation (at Google), American Statistical Association (Houston), University of Amsterdam,

University of Antwerp, University of Arizona, Arizona State University, Australian National University,

University of Barcelona, Baylor University, University of California, Berkeley, University of California,

San Diego, Campus den Haag (Leiden University), Center for Political Studies (CPS) at the University of

Michigan, CIDE (Mexico City), CEVIPOF – Sciences Po (Paris), Columbia University, Comparative

Agendas Project (Antwerp), University of Copenhagen, Dartmouth College, ELECDEM (Istanbul),

University of Essex, European University Institute, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Gallup Organization,

George Washington University, Georgetown University, University of Gothenburg, Harvard University,

Hebrew University, Hertie School (Berlin), University of Houston, Humboldt University (Berlin), Indiana

University, Institute for Political Methodology (Taiwan), Interdisciplinary Center (IDC) Herzliya (Israel),

Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research (ICPSR) at the University of Michigan,

University of Iowa, Juan March Institute (Madrid), Kennedy School, Koc University (Istanbul), University

of Leiden, University of Leuven, London School of Economics, Lund University, University of Manchester,

University of Mannheim, University of Maryland, McGill University, University of Melbourne, University

of Michigan, University of Minnesota, University of Montreal, University of Munich, National Centre for

Research Methods (UK), National Chengchi University (Taipei), National Press Club, National Taiwan

University, New York University, University of North Carolina, Northern Illinois University, Northwestern

University, University of Nottingham, Nuffield College, Oxford University, University of Pennsylvania,

Pennsylvania State University, University of Pittsburgh, Rice University, University of Rochester, Sciences

Po (Paris), Simon Fraser University, University of Southampton, Stanford University, SUNY at Stony Brook,

University of Surrey, University of Sydney, Temple University, University of Texas at Austin, University

of Texas at Dallas, Texas A&M University, University of Tokyo, University of Toronto, Trinity College

Dublin, Trinity College Hartford, University College London, University of Vienna

OTHER PROFESSIONAL ACTIVITIES:

Member, Committee on 2020 Election Polling, American Association for Public Opinion Research, 2019-

Member, Advisory Board, Election Compass (US), 2019-

Instructor, ICPSR Summer Program in Quantitative Methods of Social Research, Houston, 2019

Member, Advisory Board, Project on Social and Political Change in Britain, 2019-

Member, Conference Site Selection Committee, Southern Political Science Association, 2018-2019

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Member, Advisory Board, Universal Scientific Education and Research Network, 2018-

Vice President, Southern Political Science Association, 2018-2019

Chair, Political Forecasting Group, American Political Science Association, 2017-2019

Member, Steering Committee, Texas Methods Group, 2017-

Member, Advisory Board, Global Public Opinions Project, 2017-

Member, Pi Sigma Alpha Award Committee, Southwest Political Science Association, 2017

Member, Review Panel, Research Foundation – Flanders, 2016-2017

Chair, Manning Dauer Committee, Southern Political Science Association, 2016-2017

Member, Committee on 2016 Election Polling, American Association for Public Opinion Research, 2016-2017

Vice Chair, Political Forecasting Group, American Political Science Association, 2015-2017

Instructor, Institute for Political Methodology, Taiwan, 2016

Member, Advisory Board, Election Compass (US), 2015-2016

Member, Pi Sigma Alpha Award Committee, Southwest Political Science Association, 2015-2016

Chair, Nominating Committee, Elections, Public Opinion and Voting Behavior section of APSA, 2014-2015

Member, Scientific Advisory Committee, Policy Priorities Barometer, 2014-

Member, Advisory Board, GovLis Project, 2014-

Instructor, Winter School on Comparative Electoral Analysis, University of Mannheim, 2014

Member, Innovators Award Committee, American Association for Public Opinion Research, 2013-2014

Academic Advisor, ResponsiveGov.eu, 2013-

Co-organizer, American Politics Speaker Series, University of Texas at Austin, 2013-

Member, Nominations Committee, Political Forecasting Group, American Political Science Association, 2013

Chair, Nominations Committee, Southwest Political Science Association, 2012-2013

Member, Advisory Board, Vote Compass, 2012

Instructor, ELECDEM Methods Training Session, Istanbul, 2012

Chair, Philip E. Converse Book Award Committee, American Political Science Association, 2011-2012

Chair, Best Paper by an Emerging Scholar, Midwest Political Science Association, 2011-2012

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Member, Executive Council, Political Forecasting Group, American Political Science Association, 2011-2013

Contributor, Module 4 Questionnaire, Comparative Study of Electoral Systems (CSES), 2011-2016

Member, Best Graduate Student Paper Committee, American Association for Public Opinion Research, 2011

Advisor, American National Election Studies, 2010-2011

Member, Nominations Committee, Midwest Political Science Association, 2010-2011

Chair, Pi Sigma Alpha Award Committee, Midwest Political Science Association, 2010-2011

Member, Advisory Board, Open Pollster Disclosure Project, Pollster.com, 2010-2011

Member, Editor Selection Committee, Social Science Quarterly, 2009-2010

Chair, Nominating Committee, Political Forecasting Group, American Political Science Association, 2009

Member, Harrison Prize Selection Committee, Political Studies Association, 2009-2010

Member, Advisory Board, British Election Study, 2008-2013

Member, AAPOR Ad Hoc Committee to Evaluate Pre-Election Polls, 2008-2009

Member, Nominations Committee, Southern Political Science Association, 2007-2008

Member, Executive Council, Political Forecasting Group, American Political Science Association, 2007-2009

Member, Editor Selection Committee, Public Opinion Quarterly, 2007-2008

Member, AAPOR Advisory Committee, 2007-2008

Elected Member, International Statistical Institute, 2006-

Member, Best Paper Selection Committee, Elections, Public Opinion, and Voting Behavior Section,

American Political Science Association, 2006-2007

Member, Fulbright Program Selection Committee, Institute of International Education, 2006-2010

Member, Organizing Committee, Political Forecasting Related Group, American Political Science

Association, 2006-2007

Organizer, Campaigns and Elections Speaker Series, Institute for Public Affairs, Temple University, 2005-2013

Member, Steering Committee, ESRC Spring School in Quantitative Methods for Social Research, 2005-

Member, Advisory Board, British Election Study, 2004-2005

President, Southwest Political Science Association, 2004-2005

Instructor, ESRC Spring School in Quantitative Methods for Social Research, February, 2004

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Vice-Chair, Steering Committee, ESRC Spring School in Quantitative Methods for Social

Research, 2002-2005 (Acting Chair, 2002-2003)

Co-Convener, Political Science Seminar Series, Nuffield College, 2002-2005

External Examiner, Birkbeck College, 2002-2004

Convener, American Politics Seminar Series, University of Oxford, 2001-2002

Member, Site Selection Committee, Southwest Social Science Association, 2001-2003

Member, Award Committee for the Best Graduate Student Paper, Midwest Political Science

Association, 2001-2002

Member, Nominations Committee, Southwest Social Science Association, 1998-2001

Member, Executive Council, Southwest Political Science Association, 1998-1999

Member, Planning Committee, American National Election Study, 1997-1998

Vice President, Southwest Political Science Association, 1997-1998

Member, Resolutions Committee, Southwest Social Science Association, 1995-1998

Convener, Political Economy Speaker Series, University of Houston, 1992-2001

Referee for Acta Politica, American Journal of Political Science, American Journal of Sociology,

American Political Science Review, American Politics Research, American Sociological Review,

Annals of Applied Statistics, British Journal of Political Science, British Journal of Politics and

International Relations, Cambridge Review of International Affairs, Canadian Journal of Political

Science, Cognitive Systems Research, Comparative European Politics, Comparative Political Studies,

Comparative Politics, Conflict Management and Peace Science, East European Politics, Societies, and

Culture, Economics and Politics, European Journal of Political Research, European Political Science

Review, European Union Politics, French Politics, German Politics, Government and Opposition,

International Journal of Educational Research, International Journal of Forecasting, International Journal

of Public Opinion Research, International Political Science Review, International Security, International

Studies Quarterly, Journal of Common Market Studies, Journal of Conflict Resolution, Journal of

Elections, Public Opinion, and Parties, Journal of Energy Policy, Journal of European Public Policy,

Journal of Experimental Political Science, Journal of Health Politics, Policy, and Law, Journal of

International and Comparative Social Policy, Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, Journal of

Political Ideologies, Journal of Political Marketing, Journal of Politics, Journal of Public Policy, Journal

of Theoretical Politics, Journalism and Mass Communication Quarterly, Legislative Studies Quarterly,

Nature, Open Communication Journal, Open Political Science Journal, Parliamentary Affairs, Party Politics,

Perspectives on Politics, Policy Sciences, Policy Studies Journal, Policy Studies Journal Yearbook,

Political Analysis, Political Behavior, Political Communication, Political Psychology, Political Research

Exchange, Political Research Quarterly, Political Science Quarterly, Political Science Research and

Methods, Political Studies, Political Studies Review, Politics and Policy, Polity, Presidential Studies

Quarterly, Public Budgeting and Finance, Public Choice, Public Opinion Quarterly, Publius, Quality and

Quantity, Quarterly Journal of Political Science, Regulation and Governance, Representation, Scandinavian

Political Studies, Social Science Quarterly, Socio-Economic Review, Sociological Quarterly, State and

Local Government Review, State Politics and Policy Quarterly, Statistics, Politics, and Policy, West

European Politics, World Politics, Agence Nationale de la Recherche, the Arts and Humanities Research

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Council, Austrian Science Fund, the Brookings Institution, the British Academy, Danish Council for

Independent Research, the Economic and Social Research Council, European Research Council, Israel

Science Foundation, MacArthur Foundation, National Science Foundation, Netherlands Organization for

Scientific Research, Nuffield Foundation, Research Foundation – Flanders, Russell Sage Foundation,

Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council of Canada, Strasbourg Institute for Advanced Study,

Swiss Science Foundation, Time-sharing Experiments for the Social Sciences, University of Paris, and

numerous university and commercial presses, including California, Cambridge, Chicago, Columbia,

Michigan, Oxford, Princeton, Stanford, and Yale.

DEPARTMENT, COLLEGE AND UNIVERSITY SERVICE (selected since 2001):

Promotion and Tenure Committee, Department of Government, University of Texas, 2019

Elected member, Executive Committee, Department of Government, University of Texas, 2019-

Chair, Methods Search Committee, Department of Government, University of Texas, 2017-2018

Elected member, Executive Committee, Department of Government, University of Texas, 2014-2018

Search Committee, Department of Government, University of Texas, 2017

Promotion and Tenure Committee, Department of Government, University of Texas, 2017

Co-Chair, Search Committee, Department of Government, University of Texas, 2015-2016

Promotion and Tenure Committee, Department of Government, University of Texas, 2015

Search Committee (2), Department of Government, University of Texas, 2014-2015

Promotion and Tenure Committee, Department of Government, University of Texas, 2014

Chair, Methods field, Department of Government, University of Texas, 2014-2018

Search Committee, Department of Government, University of Texas, 2013-2014

Chair, Committee on Research, Department of Government, University of Texas, 2013-2014

Search Committee, Department of Political Science, Temple University, 2011-2012

Lecture Coordinator, Department of Political Science, Temple University, 2011-2012

Chair, Tenure Committee, Department of Political Science, Temple University 2010-2011

Faculty Advisor, Pi Sigma Alpha, Delta Rho Chapter, Temple University, 2008-2009

Chair, Merit Committee, Department of Political Science, Temple University, 2007-2009

Chair, Tenure Committee, Department of Political Science, Temple University 2008-2009

Chair, Technology Committee, College of Liberal Arts, Temple University, 2008-2009

Founder and Organizer, Temple-Penn Consortium in Political Science Research Methods, 2007-2013

Chair, Department Chair Search Committee, Temple University, 2007

American Politics Field Coordinator, Department of Political Science, Temple University, 2006-2007

Technology Committee, College of Liberal Arts, Temple University, 2006-2009

Graduate Examiner, Department of Political Science, Temple University, 2006-2007, 2008-2009, 2009-2010

Personnel Committee, Department of Political Science, Temple University, 2006-2007

Chair, Search Committee, Department of Political Science, Temple University, 2005-2006

Merit Committee, Department of Political Science, Temple University, 2005-2009

Graduate Committee, Department of Political Science, Temple University, 2005-2006

International Scholarship Review Committee, Temple University, 2005-2006

Course Director, Comparative Government MPhil, Department of Politics, Oxford University, 2004-2005

Masters Examiner, Department of Politics, Oxford University, 2002-2003, 2004-2005

Post-Doctoral Fellow Selection Committee, Nuffield College, 2003-2004

Chair of Masters Examining, Department of Politics, Oxford University, 2002-2003

Technical Services Fellow, Nuffield College, 2002-2004

Studentship Selection Committee, Nuffield College, 2001-2002

MPhil Panel, Department of Politics, Oxford University, 2001-2005

Politics Group Representative to the Economics Group, Nuffield College, 2001-2003

Graduate Studies Committee, Department of Politics, Oxford University, 2001-2002, 2004-2005

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COURSES TAUGHT:

American government and politics

American politics survey

American Society

Campaigns and elections

Comparative political behavior

Comparative methods

Political institutions

Politics and economics

Political representation

Presidency

Presidential Elections

Public opinion and public policy

Public policy

Research methods

Multivariate analysis

Formal analysis

Research design

Time series analysis

Time series cross section analysis

Hierarchical linear modeling

GRADUATE STUDENTS (in Political Science with Ph.D. in hand):

Brendan Apfeld, Alex Branham, Courtney Broscious, Christopher Carman, Bruce Carroll, Darren Davis,

Christopher Garner, John Hindera, Juan Carlos Huerta, Alex Hudson, Kathy Seizer Javian, Kristie Kelly,

Jung-Ki Kim, Jonathan Lewallen, Carol Lewis, Krystyna Litton, Kenneth Miller, Justin Murphy, Laura

Nielsen, Deborah Orth, German Peterson, Callie Rennison, Annelies Russell, Sondra Richards, Gary

Tschoepe, Herschel “Trey” Thomas, Michelle Whyman, Greg Wolf

MEDIA COVERAGE (selected):

Scientific American, Nature, New York Times, Washington Post, Financial Times, Wall Street Journal,

The Guardian, Times of London, The Independent, USA Today, Los Angeles Times, Chicago Tribune,

Le Figaro, Houston Chronicle, Toronto Star, Boston Herald, Austin American-Statesman, Philadelphia

Inquirer, Dallas Morning News, Le Monde, Economist, Wired, National Journal, New Yorker, Time,

Mother Jones, The Atlantic, Business Week, Fortune, Chronicle of Higher Education, New York Review

of Books, The Week, Washington Monthly, The Weekly Standard, Macleans, Smithsonian, The Brookings

Review, Prospect, Washington Post National Weekly, The New Statesman, Congressional Quarterly,

ABC, BBC, CNN, NBC, MSNBC, CNBC, NPR, PBS, Sky, Associated Press, Reuters, Bloomberg, Voice

of America, Deutsche Welle, New Statesman, Al Jazeera, MonkeyCage.org, Vox, Pollster.com, Wonkblog,

Huffington Post, Gallup.com, FiveThirtyEight, Fiscal Times, PoliticsHome.com, RealClearPolitics.com,

Daily Beast, Salon.com, Slate.com, PollingReport.com, Politico, and BrendanNyhan.com.

PROFESSIONAL ASSOCIATIONS:

American Association for Public Opinion Research, American Political Science Association, British

Politics Group, Elections, Public Opinion, and Parties Sub-Group (PSA), International Statistical Institute,

Midwest Political Science Association, Political Methodology Society, Political Studies Association,

Southern Political Science Association, Southwest Social Science Association