142
NASA Contractor Report 3076 Current Research on Aviation Weather (Bibliography) Don E. Durham and Walter Frost CONTRACT NASS-29584 DECEMBER 1978 . . . _-- ._ ----, ., ‘. ,: ‘, : ,; .l:-. I --I.-. _..~, .- _ ., __ _. .~ -,_- ,.: ,,, : : ..!” :. ;yr :.. _.. ,I. ;-.: I

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Page 1: Current Research on Aviation Weather (Bibliography)

NASA Contractor Report 3076

Current Research on Aviation Weather (Bibliography)

Don E. Durham and Walter Frost

CONTRACT NASS-29584 DECEMBER 1978

. . . _-- ._ ----, ., ‘. ,: ‘, : ,; .l:-. I --I.-. _..~, .- _ ., __ _. .~ -,_- ,.: ,,, : : ..!” :. ;yr :.. _.. ,I. ;-.: I

Page 2: Current Research on Aviation Weather (Bibliography)

NASA Contractor Report 3076

TECH LIBRARY KAFB, NM

Current Research on Aviation Weather (Bibliography)

Don E. Durham and Walter Frost The University of Tennessee Space Institute Tdlahoma, Tennessee

Prepared for George C. Marshall Space Flight Center under Contract NASB-29584

NASA National Aeronautics and Space Administration

Scientific and Technical Information Office

t

1978

Page 3: Current Research on Aviation Weather (Bibliography)

AUTHORS' ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

The work reported herein was supported by the National Aeronautics

and Space Administration, Marshall Space Flight Center, Space Sciences

Laboratory, Atmospheric Sciences D.ivision, under contract number

NAS%-29584.

The authors are indebted to Mr. John H. Enders of the Aviation

Safety Technology Branch, Office of Advanced Research and Technology

(OAST), NASA Headquarters, Washington, D.C., for his support of this

research. Special thanks also goes to Mr. Dennis W. Camp of Marshall

Space Flight Center who was the scientific monitor of the program.

Mr. John W. Connally, Special Assistant for Aviation Affairs,

U.S. Department of Commerce, was especially helpful in compiling the

bibliography and these efforts are appreciated.

ii

Page 4: Current Research on Aviation Weather (Bibliography)

TABLE OF CONTENTS

CHAPTER PAGE

1, INTRODUCTION ........................ 1

II. ADVANCED METEOROLOGICAL INSTRUMENTS. ........... 4

III. FOG ............................ 7

IV. FORECASTING. ....................... 14

V. ICING. .......................... 18

VI. LIGHTNING. ........................ 21

VII. VISIBILITY ........................ 29

VIII. LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR .................... 31

IX. STORM,HAZARDS. ...................... 36

X. TURBULENCE ........................ 41

XI. TRAINING ......................... 44

BIBLIOGRAPHY . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46

APPENDIXES . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 76

APPENDIX A. TA5ULATION OF NASA, NOAA, AND FAA RESEARCH. . . 77

APPENDIX B NUMERICAL WEATHER PREDICTION . . . . . . . . . 129

APPENDIX C ACRONYMS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 134

. . . 111

L.-

Page 5: Current Research on Aviation Weather (Bibliography)

1. Introduction

It is the purpose of this study to provide a bibliography of

current work being carried out in the various areas relative to

aviation meteorology. Reports in the area of aviation meteorology

from 1975 to the present were compiled and reviewed. These reports

were then summarized to assist anyone desiring a quick review of

current work in aviation meteorology.

With the advent of high speed jet aircraft, expanding business

and pleasure flying, the jumbo jet carrying large numbers of passen-

gers, and the expanding V/STOL aircraft field, particularly the

increasing usage of helicopters, both civil and military, a wide

spectrum of meteorological problems must be addressed by the many

disciplines within the aviation community as well as the meteorolo-

gist if aviation's excellent safety record is to be maintained.

The recent tragedy at Tenerife involving the collision of two 747

jumbo jets of Pan American Airways and KLM can be viewed as an

indicator of future trends if the global expansion of aircraft

operation continues without the same global expansion in aviation

meteorological services. There must be an effective means of

comnunication to apply, distribute, display, and present the opera-

tionally significant weather information on a timely basis for the

controllers, pilots, and operational planners. Such a communica-

tion system does not presently exist. With the elimination of

this problem, noticeable improvements in the orderly and safe flow

of air traffic would be realized. The next decade should see a

marked improvement in weather radar, weather satellites, and in the

Page 6: Current Research on Aviation Weather (Bibliography)

analysis and prediction of the state of,the atmosphere up to 30 km,

utilizing high speed computers. Weather radar will detect severe

weather and produce air traffic conflict displays for air traffic

controllers. Poor visibility as a result of fog will be improved

by weather modification techniques so that adequate visibility for

visual landings and take-offs can be maintained under most conditions.

Technical gaps must be eliminated for future improvements,

especially in light of increased air traffic, particularly in the

terminal area. This area is the most critical from the viewpoint

of planning, dispatch, operations and air traffic control, with

the elements of most serious concern being visibility, turbulence,

low level wind shear, and icing. Accurate observations and fore-

casts of these elements are imperative in the years ahead. The

inability of the weather system to provide this service by pro-

ducing observations and forecasts with the accuracy and detail

required in the future is a serious technical gap demanding prompt

attention by the research community.

Much more theoretical and scientific knowledge of the atmo-

sphere is required before any revolutionary breakthroughs can be

expected in forecasting. The aviation weather service is on the

brink of some very dramatic improvements. The role of automation

in the future of aviation weather service must be accurately

evaluated so that a viable man/machine mix will be achieved. The

science of meteorology will continue to require the intervention of

the meteorologist as the computer can only evaluate data based upon

the information placed into it by the user.

2

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I---

The many different disciplines of the aviation community have

been brought together recently by such meetings as the Meteorologi-

cal and Environmental Inputs to Aviation Systems Workshops, held

first in March 1977 and again in March 1978 at the University of

Tennessee Space Institute, and the OAST Aviatdlon Meteorology R and

D Retreat-presently being held each fall at Wallops Island. It

is through the interaction of such groups that the many faceted

problems of aviation meteorology will be solved.

To aid in the use of the review and accompanying bibliography,

a listing of the subject headings is given below in the order in

which they appear in the text.

Advanced Meteorological Instruments

Fog

Forecasting

Icing

Lightning

Visibilities

Low Level Wind Shear

Storm Hazards/Severe Storms

Turbulence

Training

Appendix A is a tabulation of the research work being carried

out in these areas of aviation meteorology by the National Aero-

nautics and Space Administration, National Oceanic and Atmospheric

Administration, and the Federal Aviation Administration.

Page 8: Current Research on Aviation Weather (Bibliography)

2. Advanced Meteorological Instruments

Advancement in meteorological instruments in the past decade

can be traced to several sources. One of the foremost would be

the increased demand for more up-to-date and accurate weather

forecasts within the aeronautical community as it has expanded

into the age of the jumbo jet, supersonic transport, and concen-

tration of operations in centralized hub areas. Another is from

spinoff technology of the space program. Still another, though

somewhat ambiguous in its nature of application, is military

weapons systems and communication research. Research in automa-

tion of weather forecasting has linked the various meteorological

measuring instruments and shown what systems need to be further

refined.

Williams (1976) surveys uses of radar for measurement and

study of meteorological conditions. The type of radar employed

for a specific type of measurement will depend upon what is to

be measured.

The use of pulse Doppler radar systems to identify and measure

severe storm systems has been studied by Doviak et al (1978),

Hendry and McCormick (1976), Burgess et al (1976), and Frisch and

Strauch (1976). Bohne and Srivastava (1977), Freeman et al (1976),

and Harris (1976) reported on the use of Doppler radar in the

observation of precipitation. Atlas and Brown (1977) used an air-

borne synthetic aperture radar (SAR) for the detection and mapping

of precipitation echoes.

4

Page 9: Current Research on Aviation Weather (Bibliography)

Wang et al (1977) describe the use of lasers for analyzing

rainfall. Toal and Davis (1976) described a multiple laser

beam probe system for turbulence diagnostics.

The future use of satellites in meteorology is very great.

Scofield and Oliver (1975) describe the synchronous meteorological

satellite (SMS) and discuss its advantages and disadvantages.

Strauch and Chadwick (1977) demonstrated how the FM-CW

Doppler radar can be used to measure the Doppler velocity spectrum

of meteorological scatters with the same resolution and ambigui-

ties as a pulse Doppler radar at the same transmitted signal

bandwidth and repetition rate. Chadwick et al (1977) and Goss

et al (1978) surveyed the FM-CW Doppler radar's potential for

application as a device for measuring wind in the lower atmosphere

in all weather conditions. Thus, it may be useful in revealing

wind shear hazards at airports, predicting dispersal of air

pollutants in valleys, near cities, and power plants, and for

predicting the formation and dispersal of fog. The use of acoustic

Doppler radar for real-time measurements of winds is reported by

Davey (1977), Sirmans et al (1976), and Ray and Ziegler (1977).

Campbell and Strauch (1977) report on a low power three cm pulse

Doppler radar that has been constructed inhopes that it will

alleviate,some of the range and velocity aliasing that occurs with

conventional pulse radars.

The use of lidar, light intensity detection and ranging, in atmo-

spheric measurements has increased in this decade, and advances in its

application to mesoscale remote sensing problems are reviewed by Reagan

5

Page 10: Current Research on Aviation Weather (Bibliography)

and Schotland (1975). Such applications of lidar as pollution, meteo-

rology and cloud development are reviewed by Platt (1977) and Derr et al

(1976). Kohl (1977) investigated the use of lidar to measure the slant

range transmission along a landing approach path. Adrian and Orloff

(1977) conducted investigations concerning the characteristics of the

visibility function as determined by the parameters of laser anemometer

systems and the electromagnetic scattering properties of the particles.

Armstrong et al (1976) measured atmospheric aerosols using a transit-

time lidar velocimeter. Fernald and Schuster (1977) also studied the

use of lidar for aerosol measurement.

6

Page 11: Current Research on Aviation Weather (Bibliography)

Current interest in the areas of fog and its effect on aviation

appears to be primarily directed to efforts involving fog modifica-

tion and dispersal. Intensive research and development over the

past decade has led to operational implementation of several tech-

niques for the dispersal of one type of fog and several promising

concepts for the artificial dissipation of another. As Weinstein

(1977) reports, the dispersal of supercooled fog and stratus, i.e.,

liquid water clouds at temperatures below O"C, was the objective

of the most publicized early weather modification experiments and

is presently the only truly operational modification technology.

Weinstein and Kunkel (1976) focus attention on such methods of

supercooled fog dispersal as the airborne dropping of small pellets

of dry ice and ground based chilling of the air, and to such methods

of warm fog dispersal as helicopter downwash mixing, thermal fog

dispersal and hygroscopic particle seeding.

In order to produce a clearing the helicopter downwash must

reach the ground while the helicopter hovers at or above the top

of the fog. Barker et al (1975) use a two-dimensional axially

symmetric computer model to study downwash-induced fog clearing.

The major factors affecting the size and penetration of the downwash

are the strength of the helicopter downwash and the buoyancy of the

downwash. The clearing can be enlarged beyond the size of the pri-

mary downwash by surface-induced divergence and by mixing of dry

air into the fog.

7

Page 12: Current Research on Aviation Weather (Bibliography)

Plank, Spatola, and Johnson (1977) determined values of diffu-

sion coefficients from the observed closing times of-nine conical

shaped clearings in fog produced by hovering helicopters. The dif-

fusion coefficients for the experiments ranged in value from 0.75~1‘0~

to 1.9~10~ cm2/sec. The values were consistent for experiments per-

formed on the same day, but no other correlations with meteorologi-

cal or geometric parameters of clearing were found.

Reinking et-al (1977) describe the warm fog modification

experiments conducted under Project Foggy Cloud VI. The aim was to

develop an inexpensive, reliable, rapid method of dispersing warm

fog and stratus. Several techniques were tested: (a) the dis-

pensing of electrostatically charged droplets from aircraft to

induce fog droplet coalescence and rainout-, and the dispensing of

electrostatically charged bubbles from the surface to collect and

precipitate fog droplets , and (b) spreading and maintaining mono-

molecular films on the water surface to suppress evaporation and

inhibit fog formation. Carroz and Keller (1976) conducted laboratory

tests on charged drop sprays in support of the Project Foggy Cloud

studies.

Also in the area of warm fog dispersal, Tag (1976) suggested

that the use of charged particles or electric fields be considered

as a technique for dissipating warm fogs. The study was done to

determine the degree of improvement one could expect as the result

of one aspect of electrically enhanced coalescence due to an exter-

nally applied electric field on neutral drops. Tag used a numerical

simulation with a one-dimensional microphysical fog model which

8

Page 13: Current Research on Aviation Weather (Bibliography)

r

incorporates the process of collision-aoalescence. He determined

that a noticeable improvement in visibility can be achieved only

under extremely large field strengths, and then only for certain

fog spectra.

A numerical study of the use of highly charged water drops

to clear warm fog has been conducted by Tag (1977). The mechanism

studied is the polarization of neutral fog droplets and their

capture by charged drops. A multi-level microphysical'.model is

used to investigate the degree of visibility improvement resulting

from variations in seeding drop size and charge, the concentration

of seeding material , and the fog being seeded. It was determined

that visibility improvement decreases with decreasing fog droplet

size and increases with increasing seeding rate and seeding drop

charge. Tag (1977) concluded that the charges and treatment con-

centrations simulated in the study would not be adequate for clearing

fog. Consideration of the additional effects of electrostatic precipi-

tation and increased field strengths could make charge drop seeding a

viable method of fog dissipation.

A broad effort is being conducted to develop an operational

warm fog dispersal system (WFDS) using ground based heat sources.

Klein and Kundel (1975) described a method of calculating the

ground jet case. The method can be used for jet velocities of

100 m/set or less, wind velocities below or equal to the jet velocity,

and jet temperatures to three times the ambient value. Kunkel (1975)

reported on field tests which were conducted with a subscale

momentum/heat system to determine the optimum heat and thrust

requirements and combustor positions for a full-scale thermal fog 9

Page 14: Current Research on Aviation Weather (Bibliography)

dispersal system. The impact of the warm fog di-spersal system on

the air quality and noise level was also assessed by Weinstein (1976).

The FAA conducted a study in ,1975 to determine the feasibility and

cost effectiveness of a warm fog dispersal system at Los Angeles Inter-

national (LAX). The Thermokinetic and Modified Passive Thermal methods

were examined. The study conclude&that for LAX, a Thermal fog disper-

sal system would be both feasible and cost effective.

It appears that supercooled fog dispersal will be much easier

to achieve than that of warm fog due to its metastable condition.

A series of controlled and free environment tests to determine the

technical feasibility.of using the cooling resulting from the adia-

batic expansion of compressed air to initiate ice crystal production

in supercooled fog has been done by Kunkel (1976) and Weinstein and

Hicks (1975). It was found that approximately 103cm3 of air, when

compressed to 60 psig and released through a supersonic nozzle,

will produce the same number of ice crystals as does the evaporation

of 1 cm3 of liquid propane. Hicks (1974) discusses the results of

seeding and of an examination of the morphology of ice crystals

produced by propane seeding. The ice crystal production efficiency

of propane spray under various laboratory and field conditions is

described. Beckwith (1975) outlines the different airport fog

dispersal systems so far known and compares their capabilities.

Facy (1974) summarizes fog dispersal techniques in terms of warm

and cold fogs and discusses the effectiveness of the methods.

Silverman and Weinstein (1974) describe the FIDO thermal fog dis-

persal system. The system cost and capabilities are examined.

70

_- - .---. -- ___-_. -_-... _ _ .- . -.._..-.

Page 15: Current Research on Aviation Weather (Bibliography)

II --

The problem of fog forecasting is perhaps as important as

dissipation. Gurka (1976) discusses the use of satellite imagery

in the short range forecasting of fog and stratus formation during

the night. Enhanced IR satellite pictures can provide the forecaster

with a new tool for forecasting the extent of warm air advection fog

and stratus formation. Frequently, areas in which fog and stratus

are likely to form will appear as relatively dark areas on the

satellite pictures taken a few hours after sunset. Ernst (1975)

reports, however, that due to minimal temperature contrasts, non-

detection of "invisible" fog and stratus in IR imagery may occur.

Numerical models have been used to investigate the development

and formation of fog. Williams et al (1975) use a two-dimensional

model for such an investigation. The model is designed to simulate

the formation, development, or dissipation of advection fog in

response to transfer of heat and moisture between the atmosphere

and the surface as driven by advection over horizontal discon-

tinuities in the surface temperature. Kessler and Baker (1976)

developed a fog prediction model expressly for use of radiosonde

data as initial input. While the model is not suitable in its

existing form for general fog prediction, it is useful in probing

mechanisms of fog formation.

Hung and Vaughan (1977) investigated the life cycles of advec-

tion warm fog using a numerical model. The formation, development,

and dissipation were studied. The equation used for the model

included the equations of continuity, momentum, and energy for the

description of density, wind component, and potential temperature, 11

Page 16: Current Research on Aviation Weather (Bibliography)

together with two diffusion equations for the modification of water

vapor mixing ratiosand liquid water mixing ratios.

Dickson and Sagendorf (1977) conducted a series of SFL/oil fog

diffusion tests. The tests were conducted over flat terrain in

conditions of a stable lapse rate with wind less than two m/set.

The light winds appeared to enhance horizontal diffusion of the fog.

Several studies have been done in the area of fog formation

or modeling of fog formation. A turbulent-radiative description

of the low level atmosphere incorporating stratus cloud and fog

was developed by Oliver et al (1978) based on methodology of second

order closure. Illustrative application was made to the formation

and structure of several fog and cloud episodes including advective-

radiative fog and surface fog resulting from the nocturnal lowering

of stratus. Ferri (1974) developed a model which considers the fog

as a dynamical system whereby droplet depletion through fallout is

balanced by a continuous process of evaporation and condensation.

This model may be used to explain why fogs can be maintained for

extended periods of time. Ferri presents equations and compares

numerical examples with experimental data.

Several studies of radiation fog have been conducted. Roach

(1976) estimated that radiative cooling is the principal agent of

droplet growth in radiation fog. He showed gravitation settling to

be the principal limiting factor on droplet growth in radiation fog.

An interpretation of field study observation in the evolution

of radiation fog which led to a considerable clarification of the

principal constraints in the development of radiation fog is

described by Roach et al (1976). Radiation cooling promotes fog 12

Page 17: Current Research on Aviation Weather (Bibliography)

formation while turbulence inhibits it. Gravitational settling of

fog droplets.and soil heat flux emerge as decisive factors. Brown

and Roach (1976) present a numerical model of fog and assess the

effect of cloud cover and solar insulation on dispersing fog for

which it is shown that: (1) a reduction in turbulent diffusion leads

to earlier and thicker fog formation; (b) formation and growth of

fog on a realistic time scale is simulated by the inclusion of

radiative cooling due to water vapor and carbon dioxide and fog

droplets; (c) inclusion of gravitational setting is necessary to

simulate realistic liquid water contents; and (d) the nature of

the underlying surface influences the time of onset of fog. During

the field study, Roach (1976) examined some quasi-periodic oscilla-

tions of lo-15-min. periods in net flux of long wave radiation,

surface temperature, and wind during the development of radiation

fog.

Spencer et al (1976) studied the effects of coronal discharge

on the growth of small droplets in a cloud chamber. It was found

that the discharge produced a large number of nuclei for condensation.

Chylek (1978) investigated the relationship between liquid water

content and the extinction of fogs. Tampieri and Tomasi (1976) also

investigated the relationship between fog droplets and their volume

extinction coefficients. They also attempted to obtain information

about the shape of droplet-size distributions from empirical data

given by transmission measurements. Fitzgerald (1977) rinvestigated

errors in using nephelometers for determining fog droplet size.

Several other studies have been done using a laser fog nephelometer

to determine drop size and distribution by Dickson et al (1975). 13

Page 18: Current Research on Aviation Weather (Bibliography)

4. Forecasting

In recent years the field of weather forecasting has made

significant advances. This can be attributed to several factors.

The automation of the weather services coupled with the use of high

speed computers, better numerical modeling techniques, and the use

of satellites and advanced radars have brought about these advances.

A great deai of work is still being done to better refine the fore-

casts and provide a forecast as accurate and as up-to-date as

possible.

Lindquist (1977) surveys some of the FAA programs to apply

automation to aviation weather study. Ongoing programs include

the Aviation-Automated Weather Observation System (AV-AWOS), the

Aviation Weather and Notice to Airmen System (AWANS), and the

Meteorological and Aeronautical Presentation System (MAPS). Planned

programs include Voice Response System (VRS) and Pilot Self-Brief

Terminal (PSBT). Lieurance (1977) surveyed the weather service

requirements of the next decade. Rocke and Glassburn (1976) explain

that the current FAA Flight Service System (FSS) is outmoded and

obsolete. A new system design is currently being finalized by the

FAA. Beran et al (1977) reviews the current state of aviation

weather forecasting and its effect on weather-related accidents. The

importance of mesoscale modeling and use of new remote sensing

devices is discussed. An assessment of today's services and capa-

bilities is given by Bromley (1977), and progress in meeting these a

challenges is outlined. A review of the effort to develop an AV-AWOS

for unmanned locations is given by Mandel (1975).

14

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The Automation of Field Operations and Services (AFOS) program

of the National Weather Service (NWS) will provide a new dimension

to local weather analysis and forecasting. By providing minicom-

puters, video displays and high speed communications to more than

200 weather stations around the country, AFOS will greatly increase

the forecaster's ability to assess, process, display, and disseminate

meteorological information. Detailed reviews of the AFOS are given

by Klein (1976), Gross (1977), and Glakn (1976). In opposition to

this effort at automation, Snellman (1977) argues for the retention

of human guidance in operational short-range weather forecasting and

against the trend in replacing the present man-machine mix of opera-

tional forecasting with purely machine products, except for the early

hours of the forecast period.

Fawcett .(1977) overviews the current prediction capabilities

at the NWS's National Meteorological Center (NMC). The limits and

prognosis for the future capabilities in weather forecasting are

surveyed by Louise (1976), Pielke (19771, Treussart (1977), and

Ramage (1976). Leith (1978) considers two methods of weather predic-

tion which are being used and the future applicability of both.

The use of radars and radar data for use in forecasting and in

real-time evaluation has become prominent in recent years. Bellon

and Austin (1976) describe a system for preparing short-term weather

forecasting maps through the automatic processing of radar data.

Some of the operational and research uses of weather radar are

reviewed by Smith (1975). Requirements for quantitative measurements

of maximum echo height and echo intensity are emphasized. Some

15

Page 20: Current Research on Aviation Weather (Bibliography)

deficiencies of current weather radars are pointed out. Three ::;

models for forecasting radar echo displacements thro.ugh the use of i.j-

zero-tilt reflectives or vertically integrated liquid water content;<.-

are analyzed by Elvander (1976). The use of radar in the prediction:

of local weather for use in real-time control operations has been

studied by Trettel and Rai (1976) and Hill et al (1977). Payne

(1977) presents a mathematical model for analysis of weather radar

returns. Schaffner (1977) considers the characterization of

weather radar returns, with the aim of providing guidelines for the

simple display of storm watch data and short-term forecast reports.

Atlas et al (1977) describe the use of an airborne synthetic aperture

radar for the detection and mapping of precipitation. Riley and

Johnson (1976) also report on the use of digital radar data for

evaluating precipitation intensities. Haag (1976) reports a method

for recording weather radar data. Thomson (1975) presents an over-

view of the development of acdar meteorology, i.e., acoustic detec-

tion and ranging systems.

The use of satellite data in weather forecasting has become

commonplace, and with the new series of geostationary meteorology

satellites, the linking of satellites with high speed computers and

weather radars will give highly accurate real-time evaluation of

meteorological conditions. Purdom (1976) discusses some of the uses

of the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES) in

forecasting. Miller and Hayden (1978) present results to determine

the impact of satellite retrieval information on the spectral objec-

tive analyses and currently made six-layer numerical forecasts.

16

Page 21: Current Research on Aviation Weather (Bibliography)

Billingsley and Hasler (1975) describe the Image Display and Manipula-

tion System (IDAMS) for earth resources satellite data processing

and the METPAK software pack,age for performing meteorological opera-

ti'ons on IDAMS. Tracton (1976) discusses preliminary sounding data

from Nimbus-6. Satellite.uses in forecasting is reported by Reynolds

and Haar (1977) and Parikh (1978). .Liou (1977), McCleese and Wilson

(1976), Shull and Stephens (1977), Bunting and Conover (1976), and

Weinreb (1977) consider the use of satellites for obtaining informa-

tion about cloud thickness, elevati ons, and such properties as the

water and ice content. Satellites, as reported by Randerson (1977),

Weinmar and Guetter (1977), Gurka (1976) and Slodt and Grant (l976),

cumulus activity and its are also being used to study

related effect.

A bibliography of numer

and forecast

ical forecast ing techniques is given in

Appendix B. While these models contribute in the total forecasting

process, they are not considered to have a direct relation to aviation

meteorology forecasting.

17

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, .,,,,,,,., 11, I, .1,..111 .I I 1m-.mmm11 I , _--.._. . . . ._.._. -_--

5. Icing &.I:.,

, -. The basic problems and areas of necessary research in relation

to aircraft icing have been known since the early days of flying.

Perkins .(1978) concluded that NACA research efforts within the

1940's and 1950's time frame had identified the range of icing para-

meters. He also concluded that the decline in NACA research in icing

was due to the advent of the high altitude jet aircraft. This

aircraft not only operated above the normal levels commonly associ-

ated with icing, but their high climb and descent speeds minimized

the overall icing problem. Perkins also states that the problem

areas that existed in the 1950's when NACA decreased their research

efforts for the most part still exist tolday. The recent increase

in demand for all weather operations , including operation in known

or forecast icing conditions, for helicopters and general aviation

has brought about a moderate resurgence in icing research and

development efforts. Adams (1978) identified several areas in

which this research should be directed.

The problem of protecting an aircraft so that safe operation

within an icing environment can be conducted has been relegated

primarily to the designer. The majority of recent icing research

has been done in relation to testing and certification of helicopters.

Adams (1977) gives a summary of the recent helicopter icing research

that is being done by the Army Research and Technology Laboratories.

Lake (1976) surveyed the status of research on helicopter icing and Itr

deicing and determined that the necessary data base and supporting

theory were not acceptable. Hagen et al (1977) describes the tests

18

Page 23: Current Research on Aviation Weather (Bibliography)

conducted for icing approval of the YUH-16A helicopter. The results

of the tests conducted using the Helicopter Icing Spray System are

discussed. Kitchens and Adams (1977) describe the elements of a

cyclic electrothermal ice protection system for a UH-1H helicopter,

and summarize results of simulated and natural icing flight tests

which have been conducted to date. Forward flight tests were made

using the CH-47 Helicopter Icing Spray System and hovering tests

using the Ottawa Spray Rig. A description of these simulation

systems was given by Adams (1978). Shepherd (1976) reviews the

operating principles of cyclic rotor ice protection systems, con-

sidering practical experience with tests of unprotected and protected

under natural icing conditions. The problem of certifying heli-

copters for operation in icing conditions was considered by Lake

and Bradley (1976). He considered such things as requirements for

testing iced helicopters in forward and hovering flight, rotorcraft

certification, techniques for observing and measuring ice accretion,

performance of iced aircraft, and testing and certification of

he1 i copters. He also outlines problems involved with conducting

natural icing tests.

Another area in which icing research is continuing is in engine

testing. Ice accumulation on engine inlets can cause a restriction

in airflow to the engine, and if shedding occurs can lead to flame-

out or even compressor damage. Test techniques developed at the

Arnold Engineering Development Center to evaluate the effects of

environmental icing on the performance of aircraft turbine propulsion

systems, propulsion system inlets , and aircraft system components

are reported by Berg and Wolff (1976). A new system for preventing

19

Page 24: Current Research on Aviation Weather (Bibliography)

condensate and precipitate icing of gas turbine inlet systems was

described by Gillingham (1976). The system used a combination heat

exchanger/moisture operator called an Anti-Ice Moisture Separator

(AIMS) to provide icing protection without the need to heat the

inlet air to 0°C or above. It is estimated that AIMS systems will

be able to prevent inlet icing at any ambient temperature that may

be encountered.

Another problem is that of icing definitions. Current icing

definitions are given in subjective terms and relate icing severity

to the ability of the reporting aircraft to handle the specific

icing encounter. Adams (1977) makes an assessment of icing defini-

tions and recommends a method which would make icing forecast

easier for the meteorologist to make and more generally applicable

to all users. Newton (1977) also addresses the need for a definition

of the intensity of icing conditions in terms of meteorological

parameters which the forecaster can predict, the manufacturer

can design to, and the pilot can identi:fy.

20

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6. Lightning

A great deal of concern has surfaced recently and a vast

amount of research is being done dealing with lightning and elec-

trostatic dischqrges and their effect on aircraft avionics, advanced

composite materials , and the fuel systems and structures of the

aircraft.

Robb et al (1975) presented a summary of electromagnetic

shielding of aerospace vehicles. In this summary, electromagnetic

shielding of aerospace vehicles may be arbitrarily divided into two

basic aspects: shielding by counter currents induced in the shell

by the incident currents orr,electromagnetic fields, and by symmetry

of current flow. The differences are illustrated between the con-

clusions which might be drawn from the theoretical concepts only

and what has been found to be of most importance in actual measure-

ments in real operational aircraft tested with full-scale average

lightning current magnitudes of 20,000 amperes and with the electrical

systems and engines operating. Two computer programs, APERTURE and

DIFFUSION, reported by Fisher et al (1975) and Maxwell (1975),

have been developed which evaluate the internal magnetic fields

produced by the two most important mechanisms by which external

magnetic fields are coupled to the inside of the aircraft.

Another concern is with induced transient effects of atmospheric

electricity on system avionics. Corbin (1977) presents a review work

done by the Air Force Flight Dynamics Laboratory in this area. It

includes: threat characterization and assessment; analytical

modeling and software development; protection and hardening techniques;

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and design guidelines, criteria, and handbooks. A major aspect of

this work is the assessment of the hazard of static electricity to

such aircraft systems as advanced composite structures, fuel

systems, engines and their controls, external stores and electro- ,$

explosive devices, and structures such as radomes, canopies and

windshields.

Solid state components in control, communication and avionics

equipment are highly susceptible to lightning surges or other forms

of electromagnetic disturbances. To protect these components

transient protectors with low breakdown voltages and short response

times are needed. Chen (1975) examined the operation and the charac-

teristics of gas discharge transient protectors (glow lamps and

gas-filled spark gaps), semiconductor breakdown diode transient

protectors and metal oxide varistor protectors. It is found that

of all types of transient protectors, the gas-filled spark gaps,

semiconductor breakdown diodes and zinc oxide-bismuth oxide varistors

are the most effective. Conti and Cary (1975 and 1976) survey

radome protection techniques which generally involve enclosing the

radome and/or the radar system with suitably distributed metallic

elements. Another source of electrostatic build-up and discharge

is the windscreens and canopies. Sharp (1975) investigates the

effects of results of such an accumulation. He found that the

windscreen or canopy may hold a charge of several thousand volts

relative to its mounting structure. Antennas are also good sources

of electrostatic build-up and lightning stroke attachment. Lee et

al (1978) analyzed responses of aircraft antennas to a broadband

22

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electromagnetic wave such as the nuclear electromagnetic pulse.

They divided antennas into five classes: blades, loops, slots,

bowls, and long wires. For.each class of antenna a detailed

equivalent circuit, input impedence, and effective height at the

antenna% conductor are given.

Kung and Amason (1976) considered the vulnerability of graphite

and boron epoxy to lightning strike damage when proper design

cautions are not taken. They introduced two new design concepts.

The isolation concept--the complete isolation of the advanced

composite structure from lightning current paths. The conductive

concept--the use of graphite composite structure to safely conduct

lightning currents. Laboratory simulated lightning test data

supporting these two design concepts are presented. For accurate

simulation tests of the effects of natural lightning on aircraft

components and systems, certain significant parameters of the

natural environment must be controlled. Clifford (1976) shows that

improper test conditions or controls in the testing of composites

for lightning damage can cause unrealistic damage. Attention is

given to high peak current simulation and the swept-stroke lightning

simulation. Robb et al (1975) conducted swept-stroke studies involv-

ing protected non-metallic structures, and damage and protection in

the case of composite helicopter blades. Additives for paints

over thin metal skins covering fuel tanks are considered, taking

into account strength tests which showed that a very significant

reduction in the puncture voltage could be obtained with the aid of

23 --

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aluminum powder. Philips et al (1975) concluded that a lightning

strike on components made from carbon fiber reinforced plastics is

unlikely to bring about serious and incapacitory structural damage.

The experiments considered showed that the damage caused by simulated

lightning strikes on carbon fiber composites involves a characteristic

burn which volatizes the resin from the fibers. Perry (1975) con-

ducted further studies on boron-containing composites.

A major problem in the area of lightning safety hazards to air-

craft is the effect of lightning on fuel and the fuel systems. After

the Elkton accident, as reported by Auburn (1975), in which a

lightning-induced ignition of the fuel/air mixture in a reserve fuel

tank led to loss of the aircraft, investigations were conducted to

find methods to prevent similar accidents. He reports on the tech-

nology which is evolving that would enable a designer to provide

protection that would eliminate the risk of accidental ignition of

fuel vapors within tanks and vent systems and also on the development

of federal regulations based on this technology. Inspection of

current practices in the aircraft industry by Shaw (1976) revealed

that in many cases the lightning safety problem is considered to be

solved by installing a lightning-proof aircraft filler cap. Plumer

(1977) considers other factors influencing lightning effects on fuel

systems as well as total aircraft lightning interactions. Lippert

(1976) reports on the AFFDL's Advanced Fuel Vulnerability program

aimed at assessing relative vulnerability and identifying hazards

associated with advanced (all but natural petroleum) fuels to deter-

mine their feasibility for use in military aircraft. The initial

considered fuel for testing was liquid hydrogen (LH2). The Air Force i 24

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is also developing for basic computer analysis to apply as a vulner-

ability assessment the Intrasystem Electromagnetic Compatibility

Analysis Program (IAP) as described by Hubert (1975).

D Studies to determine the lightning strike point locations on

aircraft have been done. The location of the lightning strike attach-

ment may present a serious problem especially for military aircraft

and commercial SST. Knuller and Plumer (1975) report on the light-

ning protection program of the S-3A anti-submarine warfare aircraft

which is expected to operate under all weather conditions with a

high lightning strike probability. NASA's study of lightning effects

on the F-8 digital fly-by-wire flight control system is reported by

Plumer (1975). The military is also concerned with atmospheric

electric discharges on advanced radar, ECM, and target detection

systems as summarized by Ormsby (1975). Nanevicz (1975) and Reynolds

(1975) have studied the special problems associated with supersonic

aircraft, taking into account such factors as precipitation charging,

engine charging, engine discharging and tailcap antenna method of

lightning protection using a strip consisting of metal segments con-

nected by means of an appropriate resistance material.

The modeling of lightning hazard has increased due to the cost

associated with full-scale simulation and the associated effect of

trying.to collect lightning strike data from natural sources.

McKague (1977) presents a probabilistic model for analyzing and pre-

dicting aircraft lightning hazards. The model takes into account

three basic factors in calculating the frequency with which a given

type of aircraft will be struck by lightning: a geometric factor,

which may be considered a measure of lightning flash density; and 25

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a service-related factor, which defines the probability of encoun-

tering lightning under a specified set of operating conditions.

Clifford (1975) and Phillpott et al (1975) discuss the value of

determining the location of probable lightning attachment points and

swept-strike lightning zones on new aircraft designs through the use

of lightning attachment points tests.

Plumer and Perry (1975) collected data which makes it possible

to predict with reasonable accuracy the rate of incidence and the

location of lightning strikes in the case of conventionally shaped

aircraft. It is pointed out that altitude limitations or unusual

thunderstorm activity can appreciably increase the incidence of

strikes for a given aircraft. Pierce (1975) considered questions

related to the lightning strike incidence.

While a great deal. of research is being done in the area of

aircraft/lightning interaction and in the protection of aircraft and

sensitive systems to the effects of lightning, continuing research on

the physics of lightning formation and the stroke discharge is also

critical. The mechanism of the basic lightning discharge is described

by Anderson (1975). This mechanism is explained in its three stages:

(1) the leader deposits negative charge during about 10 to 20 micro-

seconds; (2) on contact with the opposing charge center, the return

stroke takes place and overdischarges the lightning channel within

100 microseconds, leaving the channel positive; and (3) slow discharge

takes place for some milliseconds, during which negative charge again

moves into the channel from the cloud charge to neutralize the posi-

tive charge. Golde (1977) presents discussions of several of the

26

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mechanisms of lightning formation, while Smyth and Smyth (1976)

describe many of the observed characteristics of the lightning

discharge.

The electric fields produced by stepped and dart-stepped leaders

which immediately precede the return strokes in lightning discharges

have been studied extensively. Krider et al (1977), Livingston and

Krider (1978), and Jacobson and Krider (1976) studied in detail the

stepped leaders and associated electric field. Hill (1977), building

upon the work of Krider et al, suggests that the energy dissipation

of the field takes place primarily ahead of the advancing secondary

streamer. Orville (1975) used a high speed slitless spectrograph to

study dart leader spectral emissions. Le Vine (1977) also offered a

method for assessing spectral radiation of lightning. The results

indicate that the magnitude of the spectrum of the received signal

can be related to the spectrum of the source current, possibly pro-

viding a means for the study of lightning current wave forms.

The lightning return stroke with its high peak currents and

transient voltages has been studied very extensively. Boyle and

Orville (1976) describe a data analysis method by which the electric

current can be remotely determined. Le Vine et al (1977) measured

the HF and VHF radiations produced during a return stroke. Tiller

et al (1976) studied the properties of the electric field intensity

from first and subsequent lightning return strokes. Properties con-

sidered included electric field wave shape versus distance, initial

peak rise time versus distance, rise time histograms, initial peak

magnitude versus distance normalized initial peak magnitude histograms,

normalized initial peak magnitude versus rise time, ramp starting time 27

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versus distance, and field at 170 microseconds versus distance.

Other studies to measure the field strength and flash properties

have been conducted by Uman et al (1976) and Herman et al (1976).

Also, studies to statistically determine cloud-to-cloud and cloud-

to-ground strike probabilities have been conducted by Buset and

Price (1975) and Prentice and MacKerras (1977).

The intensity of precipitation can be used as an indicator of

lightning. Marshall and Radhakant (1978) found high intensity level

regions on radar precipitation maps to be the sources of lightning

observed by a radio detection finder. Carte and Kidder (1977) studied

the position of lightning flashes in relation to rain and hail. Gas-

kell et al (1977) used airborne studies to characterize atmospheric

currents associated with precipitation and the precipitation element

parameters of charge, diameter, and field. Satellite observation of

lightning parameters has been studied by Turman (1977).

Research in efforts to artificially initiate lightning has

increased. Chaff seeding used to alter lightning production and,

intense electric field in isolated thunderstorms is reported by Priest

(1977). Griffiths (1977) discusses a hypothetical cloud seeding

method for facilitating lightning. Baughman et al (1976) present

results of statistical analyses of data from an investigation of

lightning modification by randomized cloud seeding with silver iodide.

Another method for triggering lightning where rockets with steel wire

attached are fired into thunderclouds is reported by Gary (1975).

28

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T

7. Visibility

The determination of visibility has concerned aviation since the

early days of flight. Douglas (1978) reviewed recent work in visibility

and determined that the greatest advances were in instrumentation tech-

niques used to measure visibility.

Rowe (1978) considered the problems of low ceiling and visibility,

from the viewpoint of. both the meteorologist and flight scheduler, as

the problem of accurately forecasting the onset, duration, and extent

of low ceilings and visibilities. The need for prevailing visibility

and how instruments would determine it were considered. The use of and

forecasting of prevailing visibility is particularly important to the

general aviation community.

Kreid (1977) conducted an analysis of a modulated CW lidar

system for remote sensing of the atmospheric visibility. A tech-

nique for the measurement of phase shift with a modulated CW lidar

system was evaluated by Bufton and Iyer (1978). The single-scatter,

single-wavelength, scalar-backscatter lidar equation was investigated

by Kohl (1977) to determine the transmission along a line from a

point on the ground to the decision height on the three-degree

aircraft glide slope. The Monte Carlo method was used by Kunkel

and Weinman (1976) to calculate monostatic lidar returns from such

atmospheric visibility hazards as thick haze, fog, rain, and stratus

clouds. Parameters which relate to visibility measurement for two

visibility measurement systems, a pulsed array of laser diodes and

a modulated CW He-Cd laser, have been analyzed by Ganiaris (1976).

Weinman (1976) derived multiple scattering contributions to lidar

returns from turbid atmospheres by means of analytical theory. 29

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Shumabukuro et al (1976) determined the atmospheric transmissivity

by measuring the intensity of an extraterrestrial radiation source

at various zenith angles. Investigations have also been done by

Adrian and Orloff (1977) to determine the use of laser anemometers

to measure visibility characteristics and particle size. The

monitoring and determination of slant visual range has been investi-

gated using various visibility measuring devices as reported by

Douglas and Booker (1977). Efforts have been made to predict

sensor equivalent visibility.

30

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8. Low Level Wind Shear

The severe problem of low level wind shear (LLWS), like so

many other problems in aviation meteorology, has begun to attract

serious concern only after several accidents have been attributed

to it. Coons and Mandel (1977) give a status report of the FAA's

Wind Shear Research and Development Program. The report overviews

the research being done into the meteorological conditions giving

rise to hazardous LLWS. Two ground-based wind shear detection systems

are described. Langweil (1976) describes the FAA wind shear program,

which is designed to alleviate the hazards of wind shear in the

terminal area. In response to a number of aircraft accidents which

were attributed to wind shear, the FAA has designed a Low Level

Wind Shear Alert System. This was prompted by analysis of the

accidents which revealed that substantial differences existed

between the reported surface winds measured at centerfield and the

surface winds existing in the approach and departure corridor.

Fujita (1977) examined three separate aircraft accidents related

to wind shear to determine what meteorological similarities existed.

All accidents occurred as the aircraft, either descending or climbing,

lost altitude while experiencing strong wind shear inside a down-

burst cell. Similar spearhead radar echoes were observed to the

north of each accident site. Fredrickson (1977) also reviews acci-

dent patterns in the take-off and approach and examines flight

recorder accident dates in wind shear accidents in an effort to

31

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determine what might be done to alleviate the severity of the

problem.

Frost and Camp (1977) surveyed the various types of wind shear

which cause problems to aircraft operations. The study was limited

to low level wind shears such as might be encountered in the take-off

and landing phases of the flight. The types of shears discussed

were limited primarily to frontal, thunderstorm, and shears associ-

ated with stable and neutral boundary layers. Frost, Camp and Wang

(1978) continued the studies of Frost and Camp (1977) and developed

mathematical models of wind profiles for use in fast-time and manned

flight simulation studies aimed at defining and eliminating these

wind shear hazards. Frost, Crosby, and Camp (1978) developed a com-

puter model to simulate aircraft landing through thunderstorm gust

fronts. Flight paths, as well as control inputs necessary to maintain

specified trajectories, are presented and discussed for aircraft having

characteristics of a DC-8, B-747, augmentor-wing STOL, and a DHC-6.

Sources and causes of LLWS around airports has been investi-

gated to identify what might be hazardous situations. Fichtl et al

(1977) analyzed some potential sources of LLWS in and around air-

ports. The area covered included: wind shear over flat terrain

with near-homogeneous surface properties, the turning layer, shear

flow over inhomogeneous terrain (airport and urban areas), thunder-

storms, turbulent flow fields over bluff bodies (individual build-

ings), and recirculating wake flow downstream of three-dimensional

block bodies. Sowa (1977) considered how unique terrain near an

airport can cause significant LLWS to exist under certain meteoro-

logical conditions. The terrain near two airports, Anchorage,

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Alaska and Portland, Oregon, is considered and specific procedures

that enable the pilot to identify the wind shear are given.

Cox (1976 and 1977) reviewed the multi-dimensional nature of

wind shear investigations. Hardy (1976) investigated the nature of

waves' instabilities, weather conditions leading to strong wind shear

and some of the features of vertical wind shear. Three major regions

were considered: near the surface, in the free atmosphere, and in

the vicinity of a thunderstorm. Melvin (1977) presents. a general

description of wind shear and how it might effect pilots.

Moorehouse (1977 and 1978) investigates the effect of wind shear

on airspeed indication in the landing approach which sometimes has

the appearance to the pilot of less airspeed stability, and thus

causes a potential overcontrol problem. Terry (1976) also compared

airspeed fluctuations with reported windspeeds. Heffley (1977)

performed a simulator experiment to classify important features of

random turbulence for the landing approach flight phase.

The effect of LLWS on STOL, V/STOL, and powered lift STOL is

particularly pronounced. Frost et al (1977) extended the work of

.Kaynyzky (1971) to investigate the performance of a helicopter

landing in the steady state mean flow field behind a tall building.

The performance of the helicopter in an unsteady wind field about

a building is computed for a helicopter landing or taking off on a

six-degree glide slope over the building. A review of the influence

of wind gradients on the longitudinal and lateral motion of V/STOL

aircraft was done by Nelson and Curtin (1977). An experimental

technique is presented for studying the effect of wind shear on the

33

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aerodynamic characteristics of V/STOL aircraft. Hoh (1977) investi-

gated, by analysis and through the use of piloted moving-base

simulators, the effect of wind shear on powered lift STOL airplanes

in the landing configuration. Powered lift airplanes were found

to be more vulnerable to horizontal wind shear than conventional STOL.

Reid (1976) applied a fixed'probestheory to wind tunnel data to

produce estimates of STOL aircraft response to turbulence during the

landing approach. Reid et al (1977) describe four techniques which

can be applied to predict the response of an aircraft to wind shear

and turbulence during the landing approach.

Frost et al (1975) modeled flow over surface obstruction using

the boundary layer Boussinesq approximation to simulate large wind

shears such that adverse flying conditions could be approximated for

helicopters, STOL vehicles, etc.

Several attempts have been made to monitor and detect wind

shear using radar. Browning et al (1978) use a pulsed Doppler

microwave radar technique for obtaining high resolution measurements

of wind shear. Chadwick et al (1976) investigated the use of FM-CW

radar techniques to monitor and process wind data such that real-

time analysis can be done. Chadwick et al (1976) showed that an

FM-CW radar can be used as a Doppler radar to measure winds. Mandics

and Beran (1976) developed an acoustic wind profiling system,

designed to detect hazardous wind shear conditions at an airport.

Preliminary results from the system which was tested at Dulles

International Airport are presented. Gaylor et al (1977) demon-

strated an acoustic echo sounder array to measure instability within

the atmospheric boundary layer. Frost et al (1977) use a series 34

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of instrumented wind towers to measure the effects of buildings

on surface winds.

Hill (1976) investigated wind shear associated with airflow

over mountains and its effect on aircraft during flight. Mitchell

and Hovermale (1977) investigated wind shear associated with a

thunderstorm gust front. Using meteorological tower data, Hall

and Neff (1976) present new observations of the internal structure

and wind shear in thunderstorm gust fronts. They found that even

at distances as great as 16 km from thunderstorms, the wind shear

in density currents from such storms can be a hazard to aircraft

landing and taking off. Goff (1976) also used meteorological tower

data to study cold air outflow from a thunderstorm containing shear

and turbulent zones which may adversely affect an aircraft. Orville

(1977) studied the wind profile in the sub-cloud layer of a thunder-

storm to determine a more complete picture of the wind structure

during pre-thunderstorm conditions.

35

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9. Storm Hazards

In recent years a great deal of research has been directed at

the problem of severe storms and severe weather hazards, hail,

lightning, rain, tornadoes, and wind shear. The objective of the

research into severe storms is to acquire data whose analysis wil

lead to a better understanding, early detection, and prediction o

severe storms and other significant mesoscale events. There is a

need for more accurate measurements of verticle temperature and

moisture profiles as well as detailed internal airflow patterns

to promote better understanding of the structure of convective

storms. Lilly (1975) described the structure and dynamics of

severe convective storms based on current literature.

1

f

Miller (1975) used the dual Doppler radar coplane method of

scanning and data reduction to determine the internal airflow and

radar reflectivity structure of a convective storm. McFarland and

Sasaki (1977) analyzed, from synoptic upper air observations, hori-

zontal wind components, potential temperature, and mixing ratio

fields associated with a severe storm environment in the south

central United States. Eagleman and Lin (1977) used dual Doppler

radar data to analyze three different times during the life cycle

of a severe thunderstorm. The horizontal perturbation and relative

winds, vertical winds, horizontal divergence and vorticity are com-

pared for the three different times of measurement. Wulk and Brown

(1975) describe the application of single Doppler radar analysis in

the study of mesoscale cyclonic circulation and flow around an

36

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obstacle, and various techndlques of dual Doppler analysis. Ray and

Wagner (1976) used radar to infer a dynamical structure from storms

by employing two or more coherent radars positioned to allow con-

struction of the three-dimensional wind field.

Wang and Burns (1975 and 1976) considered forecasting and

warning of severe storms from the vantage point of pattern recogni-

tion by machine. A severe storm pattern recognition machine is

described. Muench (1976) and Georges and Greene (1975) considered

the usefulness of radar data from the point of the short duration

of the storm and the economic feasibility of an operational system.

Lemon et al (1977) survey the potential of single Doppler radar to

provide an improvement in severe thunderstorm warning. Burgess

et al (1976) describe a single Doppler data display which allows

simultaneous presentation of the principal moments of the Doppler

spectrum while retaining ease of viewing and interpretation. Smith

and Hung (1975) used a three-dimensional, nine-element, high fre-

quency CW Doppler sounds array to detect ionosphere disturbances

during periods of severe weather, particularly during periods with

severe thunderstorms and tornadoes. Hung et al (1978) and Hung

and Smith (1978) used a ground-based ionospheric sounding array

to detect atmospheric acoustic-gravity waves associated with severe

storms. The possibility of developing the system as a remote sensor

for the detection and prediction of severe storms is discussed.

Burgess (1977) and Brown and Lemon (1977) report on the use

of single Doppler radar as a method of warning for tornadoes.

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Jeffreys et al (1977) report on the use of a scanning laser Doppler

velocimeter system for measuring naturally occurring tornado-like

phenomena. Hart et al (1977) analyzed the effects of tornadoes on

certain frequencies of radio noise. Umenhofer (1975) discussed the

behavior of overshooting tops in tornado-producing thunderstorms.

The use of Doppler radar to measure and analyze various proper-

ties of convective storms has been made by Hall et al (1976),

Carbone et al (1976), Vaughan and Vonnegut (1976), A.J. Heymsfield

(1976), Elvander (1975), Frisch and Stauch (1976), G.M. Heymsfield

(1976), Zrnic et al (1976), and Brandes (1977).

The turbulence associated with severe storms, either within

the storm or in the surrounding area, is a significant danger to

aircraft. MacPherson and Isaac (1977) used a specially instrumented

T-33 aircraft to study turbulence characteristics of cumulus clouds.

Lee and Kraus (1975) describe a plane shear indicator and instrument

which will graphically depict turbulent wind shear. Mitchell and

Hovermale (1977) numerically investigated thunderstorm gust fronts.

McCarthy and Blick (1976) analyzed the closed loop longitudinal

control to predict the effects of both turbulence and wind shear

on aircraft dynamics and the resulting time history of aircraft

motion during simulated landings. Newton and Frank Lauser (1975)

summarized the migration velocities of convective storms for six

situations with different environmental wind fields. Lin and Chang

(1977) studied the effects of shearing and veering environmental

wind fields on thunderstorms. Orville (1977) studied wind profiles

in the sub-cloud layer of thunderstorms. 38

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The use of satellites in the observation and analysis of

severe storms is increasing. Shenk et al (1975) describe the

Severe Storms Observation Satellite (SOSS). Fujita (1975) presents

a method of severe storm identification based on satellite data.

Dove (1975) considers some of the limitations in the use of SMS-1

satellite imagery in thunderstormdetection. Bunting and Conover

(1976) presented a method to use satellite data to determine a

variety of,cloud conditions including cumulus.

Studies of severe convective storms, including tornadoes,

indicate that hail is almost always associated with them. Danielsen

(1975) reviewed the growth of hail in a convective storm and con-

cluded that hail, rather than rain, is responsible for the large

radar reflectivities, and primarily responsible for the mass loading

of the updrafts. Orville and Kopp (1977) used a two-dimensional

lime dependent cloud model to simulate the evolution of hail cells

and hailstorms. Changron (1977) surveyed the climatology of hail

in North America. Gertzman and Atlas (1977) considered some sampling

errors in the measurement of rain and hail parameters.

Various studies have been conducted in the area of hail sup-

pression. Browning and Atlas (1977) suggested that progress in hail

suppression research requires.simultaneous improvements in methods

of evaluating seeding effects and in monitoring the physical struc-

ture of the hailstorm and the hail. Linkletter and Warburton (1977)

analyzed the effectiveness of AgI in suppressing hail formation.

Sartor and Cannon (1977) considered the knowledge necessary for

modification of thunderstorms to suppress hail from the point of 39

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when, where, and how much to seed. Changnon (1977) described a

method to evaluate the potential value of hail suppression.

The detection of hail by the use of dual wavelength radar

has been studied by Eccles (1975 and 1976), Jameson and Mueller

(1975), and Marker (1976). Observations of the radar reflectivity

of hail have been made by Jameson (1977), Naldvagel and Federer

(1976), and Orville et al (1977). Ulbrich (1977) and Rinehart

et al (1975) studied hail with Doppler radar.

Ulbrich (1978) presented a rain parameter diagram which displays

the relationship between all rainfall parameters defined in terms

of an exponential drop size distribution. Katz (1977) proposed a

probabilistic model for the sequence of daily amounts of precipita-

tion. Studied of rainbands in frontal systems have been done by

Houze et al (1976), Scott and Hobbs (1977), and Herzegh and Hobbs

(1977). Johnson (1976) used a diagnostic model to estimate the

role of convective scale precipitation downdraft in cumulus clouds.

Wang et al (1977), Atlas and Ulbrich (1977), and Crane (1976) used

radar to track and measure rainfall paths and rates.

40

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r 10. Turbulence

Turbulence in the atmosphere is one of the greatest hazards

to flight., whether encountered near the ground during transitional

flight or at cruising altitudes. Burnstein (1978) reports that

NTSB air carrier records from 1964 to. 1975 show 68 accidents involv-

ing clear air,turbulence (CAT). Kuhn et al (1977) considered a

method of detecting CAT by infrared observations of water vapor.

Cadet (1977) measured energy dissipation within intermittent clear

air turbulence patches. Chadwick et al (1976) used FM-CW radar

to detect wind variation in clear air. Bender et al (1976) con-

cluded that CAT probabilities are significantly higher over mountains

than flat terrain. Waco (1976) determined the ratio of turbulent

to total flight miles with respect to altitude.

Taylor (1977) discussed problems encountered by aircraft

operating under conditions of turbulence with respect to: deter-

mination of gust structure, aircraft reaction to gusts of known

structure, and the determination of operating statistics. Terry

(1976) compared airspeed fluctuation and wind speed during landing

to evaluate effects of turbulence on normal landing approaches.

Reid (1978) investigated the adverse effects of turbulence on an

aircraft during landing. Jacobson and Jashi (1977 and 1978) evalu-

ated handling qualities of aircraft in the presence of turbulence.

Yazawa (1977) developed a method for identifying aircraft stability

and control derivatives in the presence of turbulence. Heffley

(1977) performed an analysis and brief simulator experiment to

41

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identify and classify important features of random turbulence for

the landing approach flight phase.

Turbulence in the atmospheric boundary layer has been investi-

gated extensively in recent years. Wyngaard (1977) discusses the

use of contemporary modeling techniques for investigating turb-ulence

in the atmospheric boundary layer.. Bitte and Frost (1976) use a

mathematical model to describe ground-wind induced flow fields

around surface obstructions such as buildings, bridges, or other

man-made structures. Frost et al (1977) used instrumented wind

towers to measure the three components of wind about a simulated

block building. Fichtl and Perlmutter (1976) developed a linear

stochastic model to simulate vertically nonhomogeneous gusts.

Perlmutter et al (1976) considered the effects of nonhomogeneous

gusts on aircraft during take-off and landing.

Angular spectrum measurements of atmospheric turbulence have

been made by Lewis and Ramsey (1977) using a helium-neon milliwatt

laser. Gage and Jasperson (1977) use a Metrac positioning system

to determine diffusion coefficients from turbulence data. Nakatani

et al (1977) used a nitrogen pulse laser to measure turbulence.

Zeman and Lumley (1977) developed a second order model for a buoyancy-

driven layer. Nappo (1977) simulated atmospheric turbulence using

observed and estimated winds. Karma1 and Caughey (1977) investi-

gated the structure of turbulence in the atmospheric boundary layer.

Lilly (1978) presents observational analysis of the turbulent scale

features of a mountain wave. Zeman and Tennekes (1977) reported on

the growth of the planetary boundary layer due to turbulent entrainment.

42

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Hildebrand (1977) investigated a new technique for the investiga-

tion of atmospheric turbulent diffusion using Doppler radar and

radar reflecting chaff. Lessen et al (1977) studied the growth

of an unbounded, density-stratified, turbulent shearing layer in

the presence of a gravity field using the postulate of marginal

instability. Lee and Su (1977) used a numerical method to determine

the stratified shear flows over a long obstacle. Yu (1977) studied

the atmospheric boundary layer with a turbulent energy closure

scheme. Other investigations using a turbulent closure scheme have

been done by Burk (1977), Blackadar (1977), and Berman and Stearns

(1977).

43

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11. Training

Training in the area of aviation meteorology, with emphasis

on safety, is generally considered to be a process of pilot educa-

tion. While this may be true, since most accidents occur during

flight under instrument flight rules, particularly landing under

instrument conditions, the advice of the controller cannot in all

cases be ruled out as having some effect upon the situation in which

the pilot finds himself. Twenty-five accident reports involving

civil aviation aircraft were summarized by the Van Nostrand Rein-

hold Company (1977), with emphasis on pilot error. Causes of the

accidents included icing, failure to take into account destination

weather conditions, incorrect assumptions about position, premature

descent, and pilot panic.

Roscoe (1978) considers the overall workload on the pilot as

a major contributing factor in accidents which occur during take-off

and approach for both visual and instrument conditions. Jennings

and Chiles (1977) conducted a study for the FAA testing time-sharing

ability as a factor in complex performance. Another factor involving

pilot performance is the effect of disturbances which can cause

distortion in the pilot perception of the instruments, studied by

Ephrath and Curry (1977).

The use of simulation in pilot training has increased in recent

years. Spady (1977) conducted a series of tests using an FAA quali-

fied simulator to measure pilot scanning behavior. Belson (1976)

reports on the Compu-Scene , a computer-generated-image visual display

44

Page 49: Current Research on Aviation Weather (Bibliography)

system which has been fitted to provide an infinity view through

the windscreen and side windows on the flight deck. The military

uses motion simulators which can simulate pitch, roll, and yaw.

Hawkins (1977) reports on simulator tests which have been done to

determine cockpit visibility with respect to pilot seating. Waller

(1977) conducted studies to evaluate pilot scanning behavior.

Studies of varying levels of motion parallax from both radial and

vertical motion on perception of the orientation of a runway relative

to the ground have been done by Mertens (1978).

Training cannot solve all the problems associated with safety

in aviation meteorology; if proper or additional training is given

some accidents can be prevented. Cooper et al (1978) reviewed

the problem of training with respect to the areas of turbulence,

visibility, severe storms, lightning and icing. Recommendations

were made as to the future needs in these areas.

45

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APPENDIXES

Page 81: Current Research on Aviation Weather (Bibliography)

APPENDIX A

TABULATION OF NASA, NOAA, AND FAA RESEARCH PAGE

I. ADVANCED METEOROLOGICAL INSTRUMENTS .......... ,78

II. FORECASTING ...................... 89

III. VISIBILITY. ...................... 102

IV. LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR. ................. 105

v. STORM HAZARDS ...................... 108

VI. TURBULENCE. ...................... 112

VII. TRAINING. ....................... 121

-. -

Page 82: Current Research on Aviation Weather (Bibliography)

ADVANCED METEOROLOGICAL INSTRUMENTS

Page 83: Current Research on Aviation Weather (Bibliography)

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em

anal

ysis

, in

tegr

atio

n,

and

field

te

sts,

as

v/

e11

as

cost

ef

fec-

tiv

enes

s st

udie

s,

to

guid

e se

lect

ion

and

deve

lopm

ent

of

sens

ors

or

seuo

r sy

stem

s fo

r sp

ecifi

c ap

plic

atio

ns.

A c

once

pt

and

prog

ram

fo

r us

ing

co-

here

nt

lidar

to

m

easu

re

win

ds

from

th

e gr

ound

, ai

rcra

ft,

and

sate

l- lit

es

was

de

velo

ped

and

eval

uate

d in

a

prel

imin

ary

feas

ibilit

y st

udy.

Li

dar

scan

ning

te

chni

ques

fo

r us

e on

ai

rcra

ft an

d sa

tellit

e pl

at-

form

s w

ere

deve

lope

d.

An

acou

s-

tic

rada

r sy

stem

w

as

turn

ed

over

to

th

e FA

A fo

r te

stin

g in

an

op

er-

atio

nal

envi

ronm

ent.

A c

ompl

ete

set

of

oper

atio

nal

man

uals

an

d sy

stem

sp

ecifi

catio

ns

was

pr

epar

ed

for't

he

FAA

win

d sh

.ear

se

nsor

. A

Pr

ogra

m

Dev

elop

emen

t Pl

an

was

pr

epar

ed

for

a Pr

otot

ype

Reg

iona

l O

bser

ving

an

d Fo

reca

stin

g Se

rvic

e (P

RO

FS).

This

pl

an

wou

ld

use

syst

ems

met

hodo

logy

to

de

sign

th

e se

rvic

e an

d gu

ide

futu

re

tech

nolo

gy

trans

fer.

In

the

futu

re

the

grou

p w

ill:

com

plet

e a

feas

ibilit

y an

d pr

elim

inar

y de

sign

st

udy

for

a sa

tellit

e m

ount

ed

glcb

al

win

d m

oni-

torin

g sy

stem

ba

sed

on

a co

here

nt

lidar

te

chno

logy

; st

art

the

airb

orne

ph

ase

of

Dop

pler

lid

ar

prog

ram

; st

art

the

desi

gn

of

the

PRO

FS s

yste

m

by

orga

nizi

ng

an

inte

rdis

cipl

inar

y te

am

mad

e up

of

in

divi

dual

s re

pre-

se

htin

g ea

ch

P!O

AA !4

LC w

ith

back

-

Page 85: Current Research on Aviation Weather (Bibliography)

PRC

JEC

T TI

TLE

P&D

MAN

AGER

SW

POR

TI H

G

PER

’CR

MIN

G

OR

GAN

IZAT

IOFI

O

RG

Al~I

ZAiIO

N

INVE

STIG

ATO

R(s

) O

BJEC

TIVE

S'

grou

nds

and

expe

rtise

in

ob

serv

a-

tions

, fo

reca

stin

g,

and

info

rnaf

fon

diss

emin

atio

n;

and

surv

ey

all

mes

o-

scal

e w

eath

er

rese

arch

an

d de

velo

p-

men

t ac

tiviti

es

whi

ch

will

fm

pact

th

e PR

OFS

effo

rt.

Cre

atio

n of

a

:t pr

otot

ype

PRO

FS fa

cilit

y to

se

rve

nd

as

the

prov

ing

grou

nd

for

new

ob

serv

atio

n fo

reca

stin

g,

and

diss

emin

atio

n of

te

chni

ques

is

pl

anne

d.

This

fa

cilit

y w

ould

, pr

oduc

e sy

stem

s.

for

use

bv

the

N!fS

and

ot

her

gove

rnm

ent

agen

cies

w

ho

have

th

e re

quire

men

t fo

r Pr

O-

vfdi

ng

regf

onal

m

eteO

rOTO

gfC

a1

supp

ort.

Envi

ronm

enta

l R

adio

met

ry

Dep

t. of

C

olrY

oerc

e/N

OAA

N

ave

Prop

agat

ion

Dav

id

C.

Hog

g Th

e ob

ject

ive

is

the

real

izat

ion

of

Labo

rato

ry.

Mar

tin

T.

Dec

ker

mic

row

ave

syst

ems,

pr

imar

ily

radi

o-

Cav

fd

C.

Hog

g itO

AA

Fred

0.

G

uira

ud

met

ric,

for

cont

inuo

us,

rem

ote

Will

fam

L.

Ta

ylor

m

easu

rem

ent

of

atm

osph

eric

te

mpe

ra-

Ed R

. W

estw

ater

tu

re,

wat

er

vapo

r an

d liq

uid

wat

er,

for

use

in

atm

osph

eric

re

sear

ch,

and

by

the

wea

ther

se

rvic

es.

Inte

ract

iol

with

N

NS

on

the

inst

alla

tion

of

a du

al-c

hann

el

wat

er

vapo

r ra

diom

etry

sy

stem

at

D

enve

r ha

s be

en

fnitf

ated

. Th

ey

hope

to

te

st

for

trans

fer

to

the

NW

S at

D

enve

r, a

com

plet

e ne

w

all-w

eath

er

ante

nna

faci

lfty.

Page 86: Current Research on Aviation Weather (Bibliography)

PRO

JEC

T TIT

LE

ESD

UN

fiGER

eteo

rolo

gfca

l R

adar

arl

E.

Gos

sard

Atm

osph

erfc

St

udie

s

Will

iam

H

. H

ooke

S’JP

POR

TIKG

O

RG

ANIZ

ATIO

N

ept.

of

Com

mer

ce/N

OAA

ept.

of

Com

mer

ce/N

OAA

PER

FCR

MIN

O

RG

ANIZ

ATI

dave

Pr

opag

atio

n La

bora

tory

:'O

AA

Mar

e Pr

opag

a:

Labo

rato

ry

NO

AA

INVE

STIG

ATO

R(S

)

arl

E.

Gos

sard

.

Car

roll

Cam

pbel

l us

sell

B.

Cha

dwic

k ar

old

W.

Fran

k at

han

11. K

ohn

ober

t A.

Kr

opflf

.

Jay

Mill

er

illia

n R

. M

onin

ger

enne

th

P.

Mor

an

ordo

n E.

M

orris

on

icha

rd

G.

'Stra

uch

Nfll

fam

H

. H

ooke

Al

fred

J.

Beda

rd

Geo

rge

Chi

mon

as

Fran

c0

Eina

udi

Jean

nette

G

arin

g G

ary

E.

Gre

ene

Dua

ne

A.

Hau

ge'n

M

icha

el

R.

Jone

s J.

C

hand

ran

Kaim

al

0.

Nea

l1

Stra

nd

John

C

. N

ynga

ard

Jess

ie

M.

Youn

g

OBJ

ECTI

VES’

The

over

all

obje

ctiv

e is

to

fn

crea

se

unde

rsta

ndin

g of

th

e dy

nam

ical

pr

oces

ses

cont

rollin

g lo

cal

wea

ther

by

cr

eatin

g an

d us

ing

a m

ulti-

stat

ion

trans

porta

ble

Dop

pler

ra

dar

faci

lity

capa

ble

of

mea

surin

g th

ree-

dim

ensi

ona

win

d fie

lds,

an

d an

FM

-C;!

rada

r fa

cilit

y ca

pabl

e of

se

nsin

g th

e st

ruct

ure

of

the

atm

osph

ere

unde

r cl

ear,

clou

dy,

or

prec

ipita

tion

con-

di

tions

. A

co

mpu

teriz

ed

FM-C

!: ra

dar

syst

em

for

cont

rol

of

ante

nna,

co

ntro

l of

da

ta

reco

rdin

g an

d pr

oces

s in

g an

d fo

r ve

loci

ty

has

been

de

velo

ped.

Th

e FM

-C!4

sys

tem

ha

s be

en

succ

essf

ully

in

tegr

ated

an

d op

erat

ed

over

ph

one

lines

. A

pl

ane

shea

r in

dica

tor

has

been

in

corp

orat

ed

into

FM

-CW

’rada

r. Th

ey

supe

rvis

ed

the

mod

ifica

tion

of

an

air

traffi

c co

ntro

l ra

dar

for

clea

r ai

r w

ind

mea

sure

men

t fo

r th

e FA

A.

The

over

all

obje

ctiv

e is

to

in

crea

se

the

natio

nal

unde

rsta

ndin

g of

th

e at

mos

pher

e by

w

orki

ng

with

th

e.W

PL

prog

ram

ar

eas

and

outs

ide

grou

ps

to

appl

y re

mot

e se

nsor

s to

at

mos

pher

ic

rese

arch

. D

evel

opm

ent

and

inst

-

tion

has

been

m

ade

of

two

sys

tF m

s fo

r de

tect

ion

of

thun

ders

torm

gu

st

front

s at

O

'Har

e an

d D

ulle

s In

ter-

natio

nal

Airfi

s as

w

ell

as

deve

lop

men

t of

an

om

nidi

rect

iona

l w

ind

thre

shol

d se

nsor

. Th

ey

have

.beg

un

to

inst

ruct

th

e FA

A an

d N

:lS

how

to

op

erat

e th

e gu

st

front

de

tect

ion

syst

em.

Page 87: Current Research on Aviation Weather (Bibliography)

PRO

JEC

T TIT

LE

MD

M

#AG

ER

S’JP

POR

TI#G

PE

RFC

RN

ING

O

RG

AKItA

TIO

N

OR

GAN

IZAT

ION

IN

VEST

IGAT

OR

(S)

OBJ

ECTI

VES.

Atm

osph

erfc

SP

eCtro

scoP

Y D

ept.

of

Com

mer

ce/N

OAA

W

ave

Prop

agat

ion

Vern

on

E.

Der

r Th

e ov

eral

l ob

ject

ive

is

to

deve

lop

Labo

rato

ry

Nor

man

L.

Ab

shire

la

ser

and

othe

r op

tical

te

chni

ques

Vern

on

E.

Der

r N

OAA

R

ober

t F.

C

al f

ee

for

rem

ote

geop

hysi

cal

sens

ing.

R

icha

rd

E.

Cup

p Ap

ply

thes

e te

chni

ques

an

d ot

hers

H

ans

L.

Eric

son

to

atm

osph

eric

sc

ienc

e pr

ogra

ms

Gor

don

M.

Lerfa

ld

rele

vant

to

K

lAA

's

mon

itorin

g,

fore

- G

arne

r T.

M

cNic

e ca

stin

g,

and

war

ning

se

rvic

es

and

to

Mad

ison

J.

Po

st

wea

ther

m

odifi

catio

n st

udie

s.

A

Ron

ald

L.

Schw

ieso

w

syst

em-fr

ee

com

paris

on

is

mad

e of

ef

fect

iven

ess

of

rada

r an

d lid

ar

for

sens

ing

clou

ds

as

a fu

nctio

n of

dr

op

let

size

di

strib

utio

n.

Theo

ry

of

scat

terin

g fro

m

disk

-sha

ped

ice

parti

cles

is

us

ed

to

expl

ain

varia

- tio

ns

in

clou

d al

bedo

, an

d re

ietio

ns

betw

een

back

scat

ter

and

extin

ctio

n co

effic

ient

s ob

tain

ed.

Page 88: Current Research on Aviation Weather (Bibliography)

'RO

JEC

T TI

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MD

YM

AGER

S’

JPPO

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FOR

MIN

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OR

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IZAT

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OBJ

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ftal

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n W

allo

ps

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nd,

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rter

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eem

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ter

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Page 89: Current Research on Aviation Weather (Bibliography)

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iulla

hom

a,

TN

3738

8 iu

llaho

ma,

TN

37

388

PBR

Ele

ctro

nics

PB

R E

lect

roni

cs

Athe

ns,

AL

Athe

ns,

AL

Aero

naut

ical

R

esea

rch

Aero

naut

ical

R

esea

rch

Asso

ciat

es

Asso

ciat

es

Prin

ceto

n,

NJ

Prin

ceto

n,

NJ

Ccs

pute

r Sc

ienc

e C

orp.

C

cspu

ter

Scie

nce

Cor

p.

Hun

tsvi

lle.

AL

Hun

tsvi

lle.

AL

Scie

nce

Appl

icat

ions

Sc

ienc

e Ap

plic

atio

ns

dunt

sville

, AL

du

ntsv

ille,

AL

Penn

St

ate

Uni

vers

ity

Penn

St

ate

Uni

vers

ity

Ariz

ona

Stat

e U

nive

rsft~

Ar

izon

a St

ate

Uni

vers

ity

Page 91: Current Research on Aviation Weather (Bibliography)

r

c .

r F

t A

' E

;9

/P

I

l

'RO

JEC

T TI

TLE

AN0

MAN

AGER

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PPO

RTI

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PE

RFO

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ING

O

RG

ANIZ

ATIO

N

OR

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IZAT

ION

IN

VEST

IGAT

OR

(S)

OBJ

ECTI

VES

viat

ion

Wea

ther

Su

stai

ning

D

ept.

of

Com

nerc

e/N

DAA

N

atio

nal

Wea

ther

Se

rvic

e Bo

b St

rickl

er

i Te

chni

cal

data

pa

ckag

e re

com

men

datio

n ng

inee

ring

Syst

ems

Dev

elop

men

t D

oug

Dow

nen

/ to

O

pera

ting

Serv

ices

re

sulti

ng

in

aym

ond

Col

ao

Offi

ce,

Equi

Rm

ent

: im

prov

ed

avai

labi

lity

and

mor

e co

st

Dev

elop

men

t La

bora

tory

ef

fedt

ive

oper

atio

ns

and

mai

nten

ance

20

2)42

6-84

27

8060

13

th

Stre

et

for

such

sy

stem

s as

: tra

nsm

isso

met

ers

Silv

er

Sprin

g,

1iD

209

10.

RVR

sig

nal

data

co

nver

ters

, w

ind

mea

- re

ject

N

o.:

151-

451

sure

men

t de

vice

s,

ceilo

met

ers,

AS

I. te

mpe

ratu

re

equi

pmen

t.

_-

..-_,

Dev

elop

men

t of

G

roun

d D

ept.

of

Tran

spor

tatio

r N

OAA

, N

SSL

E.

Kess

ler

and

Staf

f D

evel

op

and

dem

onst

rate

op

erat

iona

l D

oppl

er

Wea

ther

R

adar

FA

A ut

ility

of

gr

ound

D

oppl

er

wea

ther

ra

dar.

J.

liunc

y (2

02)4

26-8

427

Proj

ect

NO

.: 15

2-46

2-06

_-

Inte

rpre

tatio

n of

W

eath

er

Dep

t. of

Tr

ansp

orta

tior

NO

AA,

NSS

L K.

W

ilk

Prep

are

rule

s fo

r in

terp

reta

tion

of

Echo

es

on

ATC

Rad

ars

FAA

0.

Zitte

l w

eath

er

echo

es

on

en

rout

e an

d J.

D

oole

Y te

rmin

al

rada

rs.

J.

Mun

cy

(202

)426

-842

7

Proj

ect

No.

: 15

2-46

2-06

Rad

ar

Echo

es

by

Size

an

d C

ept.

of

Tran

spor

tatio

n N

OM

. N

atio

nal

Clim

atic

R

; Ba

ldw

in

Look

at

fil

ms

of

five

rada

r ec

hoes

an

t In

tens

ity

FAA

Cen

ter

obta

in

quan

titat

ive

data

on

re

flec-

As

hevi

lle,

NC

tiv

ity,

inte

nsity

, an

d ge

ogra

phic

J.

W

uncy

ex

tent

of

th

ese

echo

es.

Appl

ies

to

(202

)426

-S42

7 ai

rbor

ne

or

grou

nd

wea

ther

ra

dar

at

any

frequ

ency

on

e ch

oose

s.

Proj

ect

ho.:

152-

462

Page 92: Current Research on Aviation Weather (Bibliography)

PRO

JEC

T TIT

LE

AW

MAN

AGER

SU

PPO

RTI

NG

.O

RG

ANIZ

ATIO

N

PER

FOR

MIN

G

nWAN

IZAf

ION

IN

VEST

IGAT

OR

(S)

OBJ

ECTI

VES

Airb

orne

D

oppl

er

Wea

ther

D

ept.

of

Tran

spor

tatio

n N

OAA

ER

L Bo

bbie

Tr

otte

r Pr

ove

oper

atio

nal

utili

ty

of

Dop

pler

R

adar

FA

A R

. St

rauc

h w

eath

er

rada

r fo

r ai

rbor

ne

com

ner-

Jam

es

Mun

cy

cial

av

iatio

n.

(202

)426

-842

7

Proj

ect

No.

: 15

2-46

2-08

Eval

uatio

n of

R

yan

Stor

m-

Dep

t. of

Tr

ansp

orta

tion

USA

F AF

DL,

W

right

- I.

Man

gold

C

ompa

re

airb

orne

w

eath

er

rada

r w

ith

scop

e FA

A Pa

tters

on

AFB,

O

H

Rya

n St

orm

scop

e.

J.

Mun

cy

(202

)426

-842

7

Proj

ect

No.

: 15

2-46

2-03

Eric

M

ande

l (2

02)4

26-8

427

wea

ther

ob

serv

atio

n,

incl

udin

g cl

oud

Proj

ect

No.

: III

15

3-45

1 co

ver,

ceilin

g an

d vi

sibi

lity.

Page 93: Current Research on Aviation Weather (Bibliography)

FORECASTING

Page 94: Current Research on Aviation Weather (Bibliography)

'RO

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T TI

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IN

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OR

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OBJ

ECTI

VES'

Avia

tion

Safe

ty

Tech

nolo

gy

NAS

A O

ptic

s Br

anch

O

ptic

s Br

anch

,

S-Ap

plie

d La

ser

Tech

nolo

gy

Elec

troni

cs

and

Con

trol

Envi

ronm

enta

l Br

anch

, Th

e ob

ject

ive

of

this

R

TOP

is

to

Labo

rato

ry

com

mun

icat

ions

an

d de

velo

p el

ectro

-opt

ic

rem

ote

atm

o-

:.A.

Wea

ver

Mar

shal

l Sp

ace

Flig

ht

Trac

king

Br

anch

/MSF

C

sphe

ric

flow

se

nsor

s us

ing

the

lase

r

1205

)872

-159

7(FT

s)

Cen

ter,

AL

3581

2 D

oppl

er

tech

niqu

e.

Thes

e se

nsor

s

Ray

theo

n C

O.

will

be

us

ed

to

mea

sure

bo

th

natu

ral

lTO

P Y5

05-0

8-29

Su

dbur

y,

Pi

and

indu

ced

atm

osph

eric

flo

w

phe-

no

men

a em

phas

izin

g th

ose

that

ar

e

M a

nd

S

Com

putin

g,

Inc.

ha

zard

ous

to

airc

raft

oper

atio

ns

both

Hun

tsvi

lle,

AL

in

the

term

inal

ar

ea

and

thos

e en

- co

unte

red

alon

g an

ai

rlane

. Th

e

Lock

heed

M

isse

les

and

prim

ary

obje

ctiv

e fo

r FY

78

w

ill

be

the

fligh

t te

st

of

the

Cle

ar

Air

Spac

e C

o.

Hun

tsvi

lle,

AL

Turb

ulen

ce

(CAT

) D

etec

tion

Syst

em

and

I.!in

d Sh

ear

Syst

em

deve

lopm

ent.

Syst

ec

Com

pute

r Sc

ienc

e C

orp.

fe

asib

ility

stud

ies,

th

eore

tical

Hun

tsvi

lle,

AL

anal

yses

, an

d de

sign

st

udie

s re

quire

d to

ad

vanc

e th

e sy

stem

te

chno

logy

w

ill

Uni

vers

ity

on

Tenn

esse

e be

pe

rform

ed.

In

addi

tion,

br

eadb

oarc

Spac

e In

stitu

te

hard

war

e w

ill

be

used

to

de

tem

ine

Tulla

hom

a,

TN.

3738

8 fe

asib

ility,

ca

pabi

lity,

op

erat

iona

l re

qui

rece

nts;

and

syst

em

hard

war

e an

d

Alab

ama

A a

nd

M U

nive

r- so

ftwar

e sp

ecifi

catio

ns

requ

ired

for

sity

sp

ecia

l ap

plic

atio

ns.

Ther

e ar

e fo

ur

Hun

tsvi

lle,

AL

maj

or

task

s:

Task

1:

Pu

lsed

C

O2

Lase

r D

oppl

er

Cle

ar

Air

Turb

ulen

ce

Det

ectio

n Sy

stem

D

evel

opm

ent.

Task

2:

C

W L

aser

D

oppl

er

Syst

em

Dev

elop

men

t.

Task

3:

Ad

vanc

emen

t of

C

O2

Lase

r D

oppl

er

Tech

nolo

gy

for

Rem

ote

Atm

o-

sphe

ric

Velo

city

M

easu

rem

ents

.

Task

4:

W

ind

Shea

r Sy

stem

St

udy

and

Dev

elop

men

t.

Page 95: Current Research on Aviation Weather (Bibliography)

OBJ

ECTI

VES

Dig

ital

Ope

ratio

ns

for

Gen

eral

Av

iatio

n W

allo

ps

Isla

nd,

VA

Loyd

C

. Pa

rker

(8

04)E

24-3

411

RTC

P 15

05-0

7-18

lr co

llisi

on

advi

sorie

s to

tra

ffic

al

ncon

trolle

d ai

rpor

ts

usin

g st

anda

rd

AV-C

OM

fre

quen

cies

w

ithou

t tra

nspo

ndf

equi

rem

ent;

(3)

a so

lid

stat

e g2

neia

l vi

atio

n cr

ash

reco

rder

ha

ving

cr

itic:

cc

iden

t in

vest

igat

ion

pars

mat

ers

re-

aine

d in

no

n-vo

latil

e st

orag

e;

(4)

-n

adva

nced

ge

nera

l av

iatio

n pi

lot

train

ing

syst

em

for

sing

le

and

twin

en

gine

ai

rcra

ft w

hich

pr

ovid

es

in-

fligh

t si

mul

atio

n an

d ev

alua

tion

of

pilo

ting

proc

edur

e's

for

priv

ate;

co

m-

r.2rc

ia1,

m

ultie

ngin

e an

d in

stru

m2n

t tra

inin

g.

Appr

oach

in

clud

es

stud

ies

of

syst

ems

conc

epts

, sy

stem

s de

fini-

tion,

en

gine

erin

g m

odel

de

velo

pmen

t, ev

alua

tion

and

dem

onst

ratio

n of

te

ch-

_nol

pgy

impr

ov2m

ents

ac

hiev

ed.

Atm

osph

eric

Ac

oust

ics

Dep

t. of

C

omm

erce

/NO

AA

Wav

e Pr

opag

atio

n Fr

eem

an

F.

Hal

l, Jr

. Th

2 ob

ject

ive

is

to

impr

ove

RO

M

and

Labo

rato

ry

othe

r go

vern

men

t ag

ency

ab

ilitie

s

Free

man

F.

H

all

NO

AA

Edm

und

H.

Brow

n in

at

mos

pher

ic

mon

itorin

g,fo

reca

st-

John

E.

G

ayno

r in

g;

war

ning

, an

d re

sear

ch

thro

ugh

Will

iam

D

. N

eff

the

deve

lopm

ent

of

acou

stic

so

undi

ng

Edw

ard

J.

Ow

ens

tech

niqu

es.

A N

OAA

Mar

k VI

I so

unde

r co

mbi

ned

with

a

Dat

a G

ener

al

min

i- co

mpu

ter

and

vario

us

othe

r in

stru

- m

ents

w

ere

inco

rpor

ated

in

to

a m

eteo

rolo

gica

l ob

serv

ing

syst

em

for

the

Air

Forc

e'

and

inst

alle

d at

C

loud

crof

t, M

I. A

NO

AA Il

ark

VII

soun

der

was

in

stal

led

at

Wrig

ht-

Patte

rson

AF

B.

Page 96: Current Research on Aviation Weather (Bibliography)

PRO

JEC

T TI

TLE

AJdD

YiN

AGER

Dig

ital

0per

atio

n.s

Tech

nolo

gy

H.J

.E.

Rei

d,

Jr.

(804

)827

-355

1 (5

12-5

2-03

)

RTC

P #5

05-0

7-13

SLiP

POR

TIN

G

OR

GAN

IZAT

ION

PE

RFO

RM

ING

O

RG

ANIZ

ATIO

N

1

NAS

A La

ngle

y R

esea

rch

Cen

ter

Lang

ley

Stat

ion,

V

A

INVE

STIG

ATO

R(S

) I

OBJ

ECTI

YES

Dev

elop

men

t of

ad

vanc

ed

syst

ems

such

as

N

AVST

AR/G

PS c

oupf

ed

with

th

e ra

pid

adva

nces

in

el

ectro

aics

an

d R

F te

chno

logy

ca

n ha

ve

trem

endo

us

impa

ct

on

futu

re

airc

raft

and

ATC

ope

ra-

tions

. !;o

rk

done

un

der

this

R

TO?

will

, in

co

njun

ctio

n w

ith

FAA

and

DO

D,

iden

tify

pote

ntia

l ca

ndid

ate

conc

epts

fo

r su

ch

futu

re

syst

ems,

de

velo

p th

e te

chno

logy

re

quire

d fo

r. an

d pe

rform

, pr

oof-o

f-con

cept

ex

per-

imen

ts

to

deve

lop

the

data

ba

se

requ

ired

for

futu

re

airc

raft

and

ATC

sy

stem

pl

anni

ng.

The

tech

nolo

gy

will

al

so

be

deve

lope

d fo

r sp

ecia

l ap

plic

atio

ns

such

as

m

ulti-

purp

ose

rada

rs

for

wea

ther

an

d tu

rbul

ence

de

tect

ion

and

wea

ther

pe

netra

ting

map

ping

fu

nctio

ns.

Stud

ies

will

be

pe

rform

ed

to

defin

e us

er-c

lass

re

quire

men

ts

for

GPS

equ

ipm

ent,

and

to

deve

lop

low

-cos

t te

chno

logy

fo

r im

plem

enta

tion

of

L-ba

nd

spie

ad-

spec

trum

us

er

equi

pmen

t. Ex

peri-

m

ents

w

ill

be

perfo

rmed

to

va

lidat

e us

er-c

lass

ca

pabi

litie

s,

and

to

deve

lop

dual

-fail-

oper

atio

nal

redu

n-

danc

y te

chni

ques

w

hich

w

ill

be

re-

quire

d in

fu

ture

sy

stem

s.

Dig

ital

data

lin

k te

chno

logy

w

ill

be

exte

nded

to

us

e w

ith

the

GPS

sys

tem

. an

d co

mbi

ned

expe

rimen

ts

run

In

con-

ju

nctio

n w

ith

F&i.

Page 97: Current Research on Aviation Weather (Bibliography)

P.R

@JE

CT T

ITLE

AR

9 %

V:AG

ER

P.R

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ITLE

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V:AG

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Syst

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neer

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neer

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Anal

ysi

,and

C

ata/

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nnat

ion

Tech

- ,a

nd

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fonn

atio

n Te

ch-

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ogy

for

OA

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cipl

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olog

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r O

A D

isci

plin

es

iJoh

n J.

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uann

iJ

ohn

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nn

: (30

1)98

2-48

34

: (30

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2-48

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TOP

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PER

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OR

GAR

IZAT

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dard

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ace

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ht

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ter

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enbe

lt,

MD

INVE

STIG

ATO

R(S

) O

BJEC

TIVE

S

The

obje

ctiv

es

of

this

R

TOP

are:

(1

) th

e de

finiti

on,

eval

uatio

n,

and

lana

lysi

s of

th

e lo

ng

term

da

ta

iman

agem

ent

requ

irem

ents

as

soci

ated

jw

ith

the

GIe

athe

r &

Clim

ate

Prog

ram

/a

nd

the

dete

rmin

atio

n of

de

velo

pmen

t Ia

ctiv

ity

nece

ssar

y to

m

eet

thes

e ire

quire

men

ts;

(2)

the

surv

ey,

anal

ysi

land

as

sess

men

t of

da

ta

com

pres

sion

'a

nd

imag

e co

ding

sc

hem

es;

and

(3)

the

'sur

vey,

an

alys

is

and

asse

ssm

ent

of

,dat

a ba

se

man

agem

ent

syst

ems

and

appl

icat

ions

so

ftwar

e.

Futu

re

data

an

d in

form

atio

n m

anag

emen

t re

quire

- m

ents

w

ill

be

defin

ed,

anal

yzed

an

d va

lidat

ed

with

re

spec

t to

Se

vere

St

orm

an

d Lo

cal

Nea

ther

re

sear

ch

invo

lvin

g lo

caliz

ed

are.

as

and

rang

ing

in

dura

tion

from

a

few

m

inut

e to

a

few

da

ys.

Glo

bal

Yeat

her

rese

arch

in

volv

ing

larg

e sc

ale

phe-

no

men

a ha

ving

a

perio

d fro

m

seve

ral

days

to

w

eeks

, an

d C

limat

e re

sear

ch

inco

rpor

atin

g lo

ng

term

ch

arac

teris

- tic

s of

th

e at

mos

pher

e,

ocea

n,

and

land

. A

ll w

ork

perfo

rmed

w

ill

be

dire

ctly

re

late

d to

th

e ne

eds

of

the

Wea

ther

I

Clim

ate

prog

ram

an

d w

ill

be

coor

dina

ted

with

th

e D

isci

olin

e C

ente

fo

r D

ata

Man

agem

ent

at

MSF

C in

su

ppor

t of

th

eir

func

tion

for

the

Offi

ce

of

Appl

icat

ions

. Ac

tive

parti

cipa

tion

will

be

est

ablis

hed

and

mai

ntai

ned

on

the

NAS

A Ira

ge

Cod

ing

Pane

l an

d on

th

e D

ata

Base

tia

nage

men

t Sy

stem

s (D

BMS)

Tec

h-

nolo

gy

and

Appl

icat

ions

So

ftuar

e Pa

nel.

The

expe

cted

re

sults

v/

ill

incl

ude

an

asse

ssm

ent

of

the

data

m

anag

emen

t an

d da

ta

tech

nolo

gy

rela

ted

aspe

cts

of

the

long

ra

nge

obje

ctiv

es

of

the

Wea

ther

&

Clim

ate

prog

ram

.

Page 98: Current Research on Aviation Weather (Bibliography)

PRO

JEC

T TI

TLE

PM

YW

AGER

S’

JPPO

RTI

I:G

PER

FCR

MIN

G

OR

GAN

IZAT

ION

O

RG

ANIZ

ATIO

N

INVE

STIG

ATO

R(S

) O

BJEC

TIVE

S

To

deve

lop,

te

st,

and

eval

uate

ne

w

Surfa

ce

Dbs

ervl

ng

Syst

ems

Dep

t. O

f C

omm

erce

/NO

AA

Nat

iona

l U

eath

er

Serv

ice

Mel

vin

Sand

ers,

Jr

. in

stru

men

tatio

n w

hich

us

es

adva

nces

Expl

orat

ory

Inst

rum

enta

tion

Syst

ems

Dev

elop

men

t O

ff.

in

sens

or

and

proc

esso

r te

chno

logy

.

Equi

pmen

t D

evel

opm

ent

Prim

ary

emph

asis

in

th

e de

velo

pmen

t

Vinc

ent

S.

Kurin

o La

bora

tory

of

ne

xt

gene

ratio

n se

nsor

s ha

s be

en

(301

)427

-776

8 80

60

13th

St

reet

on

se

nsor

sy

stem

s ge

ared

to

war

d au

to-

Silv

er

Sprin

g,

MD

209

10

mat

ing

man

ual

obse

rvat

ions

. In

frare

d

Proj

ect

No.

: W

A810

3 (IR

) St

ereo

R

adio

met

er

Syst

eman

dLas

er

Pres

ent

S!ea

ther

Id

entif

ier

are

exam

ple

of

this

em

phas

is.

Effo

rts

are

also

to

de

velo

p a

no-m

ovin

g pa

rts

aneo

omet

e an

d a

Rad

io-A

cous

tic

Soun

ding

Sy

stem

(R

ASS)

fo

r ra

dios

onde

ap

plic

atio

ns.

Det

erm

ine

the

feas

ibilit

y of

us

ing

the

ster

eo

radi

omet

ric

mea

sure

men

t te

;h-

niqu

e fo

r th

e pa

ssiv

e de

term

inat

ion

of

clou

d lig

ht

and

amou

nt.

For

the

lase

r pr

esen

t w

eath

er

iden

tifie

r, ex

pand

da

t ba

se

of

lase

r ge

nera

ted

Zi9n

atur

es

for

the

eval

uatio

n of

va

rious

pr

oces

sors

, de

velo

p re

com

men

datio

ns

and

a sp

ecif-

ic

atio

n fo

r th

e gr

oss

stat

es

of

rain

, sn

ow,

fog,

ha

il,

and

clea

r. an

d de

velo

re

com

men

datio

ns

for

addi

tiona

l ex

peri-

m

enta

tion

to

impr

ove

ard

refin

e its

ca

pabi

litie

s.

Usi

ng

the

R4!

+3S

spec

if-

icat

ion

para

met

ers,

ev

alua

te

othe

r pr

essu

re

sens

ors

than

C

.W.

Dev

elop

a

prot

otyp

e la

ser

prec

ipita

tion

yes/

nn

c=

ncnr

m

ndpl

.

Avia

tion

Auto

mat

ic

Wea

ther

D

ept.

of

Tran

spor

tatio

n N

~',:"

,~$

Gle

athe

r Ja

mes

A.

C

unni

ngha

m

TO d

esig

n,

deve

lop,

an

d ev

alua

te

an

Obs

ervi

ng

Stat

ion

Syst

em

Fede

ral

Avia

tion

auto

mat

ic

wea

ther

st

atio

n ca

pabl

e

(AV-

AGIO

S)

Adm

inis

tratio

n (F

AA)

Syst

ems

Dev

elop

men

t O

ff.

of

prov

idin

g av

iatio

n w

eath

er

Equi

pmen

t D

evel

dPm

ent

obse

rvat

ions

of

th

e sa

me

qual

ity

as

Vinc

ent

S.

Mur

ino

Labo

rato

ry

now

pr

ovid

ed

by

hum

an

obse

rver

s.

(301

)427

-776

8 80

60 1

3th

Stre

et

Also

de

velo

pmen

t of

pr

ocur

emen

t Si

lver

Sp

ring,

M

D 2

0910

sp

ecifi

catio

ns.

Proj

ect

No.

: R

D59

07

Page 99: Current Research on Aviation Weather (Bibliography)

PRO

JEC

T TI

TLE

PZD

MAN

AGER

SU

PPO

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NG

PE

RFC

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ING

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RG

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OBJ

ECTI

VES’

I

I

ocal

Fo

reca

st

Appl

icat

ions

N

atio

nal

Hea

ther

Se

rvic

e TO

m

onito

r N

HS

pred

ictio

ns

and

Dep

t. O

f C

omer

ce/N

OAA

Sy

stem

s D

evel

opm

ent

Off

Dal

e A.

Lo

wry

D

avid

J.

Ve

rcel

li ,w

arni

ngs

and

to

upda

te

guid

ance

;

'ince

nt

S.

Mur

ino

Tech

niqu

es

Dev

elop

men

t H

arry

R

. G

lahn

su

pply

gu

idan

ce

to

the

fore

cast

ers

301)

427-

7768

La

bora

tory

D

avid

8.

G

ilhau

sen

'in

the

sam

e fo

rm

as

the

final

pr

oduc

t

806G

13

th

Stre

et

and

to

intro

duce

w

orth

whi

le

new

'reje

ct

No.

: 8C

2702

Si

lver

Sp

ring,

M

D 2

0910

pr

oduc

ts

into

th

e W

X ex

pand

ed

ser-

'vic

es

prog

ram

. Pr

ogra

mm

ing

for

the

Auto

mat

ion

of

Fiel

d O

pera

tions

an

d Se

rvic

es

(AFO

S)

min

icom

pute

rs

will

be

un

der

dire

ctio

n of

th

is

offic

e.

1)

Avia

tion

Mon

itorin

g an

d U

pdat

ing:

Th

e so

ftMar

e ha

s be

en

deve

lope

d fo

r a

syst

em

whi

ch

will

au

tom

atic

ally

m

oni-

tor

avia

tion

term

inal

fo

reca

sts

with

- in

ea

ch

XFO

's

are

of

resp

onsi

bilit

y to

in

sure

th

eir

valid

ity

and

repr

e-

sent

ativ

enes

s.

A p

roto

type

sy

stem

ha

s be

en

desi

gned

to

si

mul

ate

the

Has

hing

ton.

D

.C.

h'SF

0 w

hich

m

onito

rs

12

term

inal

s.

2)

Com

pute

r-!!o

rded

Fo

reca

st:

The

con-

pu

ter

prog

ram

th

at

prod

uces

th

e C

!IF

also

pr

ints

ou

t th

e m

atrix

of

di

gita

l fo

reca

sts

upon

w

hich

th

e C

;('F

is

base

d Th

e m

atric

es

and

CH

F's

for

42

stat

ion

can

be

calle

d up

on

th

e 1!

%36

0/4D

KCR

T sy

stem

. Th

is

pair

of

prod

ucts

w

ill

be

impl

emen

ted

alon

g w

ith

AFO

S.

3)

POP

Upd

atin

g:

,Dur

ing

1977

TO

L de

ve!o

oad

and

star

ted

test

ina

two

sche

mes

to

up

date

PO

P fo

reca

sts

for

the

12-2

4-hr

. pe

riod.

Th

e fir

st

sche

me

is

base

d on

M

A

data

in

th

e ar

ea

of

inte

rest

. Th

e ot

her

sche

me

is

base

d on

su

rface

ob

serv

atic

ns

at

poin

ts

surro

undi

ng

the

area

of

in

tere

st.

Test

s sh

ow

only

m

argi

nal

impr

ovem

ents

ov

er

curre

nt

KOS

POP

pred

ictio

n by

ei

ther

sy

stem

.

Page 100: Current Research on Aviation Weather (Bibliography)

'RQ

JEC

T TI

TLE

AND

UN

AGER

SU

PPO

RTI

NG

PE

RFC

RM

ING

O

RG

ANIZ

ATIO

N

OR

GAN

IZAT

ION

IN

VEST

IGAT

OR

(S)

OBJ

ECTI

VES'

4)

Flas

h Fl

ood

Aler

ting:

D

eriv

atio

ns

have

be

en.n

ade

for

the

nece

ssar

y re

latio

nshi

ps

for

the

smal

l M

DR

box

es

of

the

futu

re.

6)

Inte

ract

ive

Fcre

cast

ing:

AD

L st

arte

d th

is

AFO

S ta

sk

to

crea

te

a fo

reca

stin

g sy

stem

m

ore

pow

erfu

l th

an

eith

er

man

or

m

achi

ne

wor

kinq

al

one.

Syst

ems

Dev

elop

men

t an

d N

atio

nal

Wea

ther

Se

rvic

e In

tegr

atio

n of

th

e fo

reca

ster

s ai

d Ex

perim

enta

tion

Dep

t. of

C

o~er

ce/N

O~

Syst

ems

Dev

elop

men

t O

ff.

FGre

CaS

ter

Aids

an

d H

ugh

M.

O'N

eil

and

appl

icat

ion

prog

ram

s in

to

the

Inte

grat

ed

Syst

ems

AFO

S so

ftwar

e at

,WSi

O's

, W

SO's

, an

d Ao

plic

atio

ns

Labo

rato

ry

i R

FC's

. Tr

ansl

ate

resu

lts

of

tech

- 80

60

13th

St

reet

ni

ques

de

velo

pmen

t in

to

AFO

S co

apat

- Vi

ncen

t S.

M

urin

o (3

01)4

27-7

768

Silv

er

Sprin

g,

MD

209

10

ible

so

ftwar

e pr

ogra

ms.

An

alyz

e;

man

-mac

hine

in

tera

ctio

n an

d oo

tiniz

e so

ftwar

e th

roug

h ex

perim

enta

tion.

Pr

ojec

t N

o.:

8C27

037

Dev

elop

a

mul

ti-po

sitio

n op

erat

ing

syst

em.

Auto

mat

ed

Avia

tion

Wea

ther

Fo

reca

st

Proj

ect,

Avia

- D

ept.

of

Def

ense

N

atio

nal

Wea

ther

Se

rvic

e To

ex

amin

e m

etho

ds

to

gene

raliz

e

tion

I:lea

ther

D

esig

n U

.S.

Air

Forc

e sy

stem

s D

evel

opm

ent

Off.

D

r. R

ober

t G

. M

iller

th

e M

odel

O

utpu

t St

atis

tics

(MO

S)

Stud

y Ta

sk

Tech

niqu

es

Dev

elop

ffien

t ap

proa

ch

by

rem

ovin

g kn

own

limita

- La

bora

torie

s tio

ns

and

cons

train

ts.

To

sele

ct

Vinc

ent

5.

Mur

ino

8060

13

th

Stre

et

the

mos

t pr

omis

ing

of

thes

e m

etho

ds

(301

)427

-176

8 Si

lver

Sp

ring,

M

D 2

0910

an

d pr

opos

e a

prog

ram

fo

r de

velo

ping

an

d te

stin

g in

au

tom

ated

av

iatio

n

Proj

ect

No.

: A!

5902

fo

reca

stin

g ap

plic

atio

ns.

To

dete

r- m

ine

the

feas

ibilit

y of

a

softw

are

syst

em

whi

ch

both

de

velo

ps

and

appl

ies

MO

S eq

uatio

ns

in

a re

al-ti

me

oper

atio

n.

4

Page 101: Current Research on Aviation Weather (Bibliography)

PRO

JEC

T TI

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MD

M

KAG

ER

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OR

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OR

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IZAT

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AA

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iona

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vere

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ons

'Ken

Wilk

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R O

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EE

La

bora

tory

D

on

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man

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ETEO

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ispl

ay

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iona

l Se

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orm

s Ke

nnet

h I\e

lk

FOR

OBJ

ECTI

VES

SE

E

Labo

rato

ry

Dav

e Zi

ttel

ADVA

NC

ED M

ETEO

RO

LOG

ICAL

INST

RU

MEN

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man

, O

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rote

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nsor

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plic

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omm

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e Pr

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n D

onal

d \I.

R

eran

La

bora

tory

R

ober

t M

. H

arde

sty

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n N

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ober

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. H

uffa

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r A.

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ank

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ave

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. U

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Page 102: Current Research on Aviation Weather (Bibliography)

PRO

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r La

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Er

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n M

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e Pr

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rl E.

G

ossa

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ad

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bora

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arro

ll C

ampb

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sell

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k H

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ank

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li AD

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EOR

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STR

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ENTS

L.

Ja

y M

iller

!.J

illia

m

R.

f?lo

ning

er

Kenn

eth

P.

1Gor

an

Gor

don

E.

Wor

rison

R

icha

rd

G.

Stra

uch

Seve

re

Loca

l 5t

Om

S D

e?t-

of

Co~

erce

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~ N

atio

nal

51ea

ther

Se

rvic

e M

ikha

il A.

Al

aka

Pred

i ct

jon

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ems

Dev

elop

men

t O

ff R

onal

d M

. R

eap

Tech

niqu

es

Dev

elop

men

t Je

ss

P.

Cha

rba

Vinc

ent

S.

Xutin

o La

bora

tory

!4

ilson

A.

Sh

affe

r FO

R O

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S S

EE

(301

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lity

test

s at

AR

C a

nd

LaR

C.

The

appr

oach

ta

ken

is

that

of

fly

ing

the

devi

ces

on

actu

al

trans

port

airc

raft

(e.g

., 74

7's,

C

C-1

0's,

L-

loll's

, et

c.).

Com

paris

ons

of

the

vorte

x ch

arac

teris

tics

with

an

d w

ithou

t th

e de

vice

s ar

e m

ade

by

prob

ing

the

airc

raft'

s w

ake

with

sp

ecia

lly

inst

rum

ente

d pr

obe

airc

raft

(e.g

., D

FRC

's

T-37

, AR

C's

Le

ar

Jet,

and

the

FAA'

s D

C-g

). To

fa

cilit

ate

wak

e pr

obin

g,

spec

ializ

ed

vorte

x vi

sual

izat

ion

syst

ems.

are

bein

g us

ed

and

deve

lope

d.

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w

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ob

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be

met

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de

velo

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ex

perim

enta

ze

chni

ques

an

d th

eore

tical

nu

mer

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ne

thod

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ders

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nera

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nulti

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eir

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ai

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an-lo

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dis-

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turb

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ECTI

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rcra

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or

der

to

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land

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ake

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to

6 m

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to

2 m

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with

out

sign

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detri

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ai

rcra

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. Ex

peri-

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w

ill

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cond

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fli

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and

in

grou

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fa

cilit

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and

theo

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stud

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will

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m

ade

on

inno

vativ

e te

chni

ques

to

re

duce

th

e w

ake

vorte

x be

hind

tra

nspo

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rcra

ft.

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Page 122: Current Research on Aviation Weather (Bibliography)

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Page 128: Current Research on Aviation Weather (Bibliography)

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join

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mul

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w

ill

be

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of

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-up

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re

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asso

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w

ind

shea

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w

visi

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ndin

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r ci

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n m

ater

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sy

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airc

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in

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en

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man

su

rviv

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ility

in

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, ra

mp,

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d po

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es.

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for

fire

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ai

rcra

ft sy

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s w

ill

be

deve

lope

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ater

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and

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ale

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as

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ater

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ve

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ai

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nt

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w

ith

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Nat

iona

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n Sa

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ard,

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reau

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Av

iatio

n

Page 129: Current Research on Aviation Weather (Bibliography)

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yzin

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cide

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solid

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gran

ts

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cont

ract

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stud

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be

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ake

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Page 133: Current Research on Aviation Weather (Bibliography)

APPENDIX B

NUMERICAL WEATHER

PREDICTION

Page 134: Current Research on Aviation Weather (Bibliography)

APPENDIX 6 c

1. Baumhefner, D. N., "Single Forecast Comparison-.Between the--NCAR and GFDL General Circulation Models",'Monthly Weather Review, 104:1175-1177, September, 1976,

2. Blumen, W., "On Dynamical-Statistical Initialyatian for Numeral Weather Prediction," Journal of, the. -At.mosphe.ric. Sciences, 33:2338-2349, December, 1976.

3. Brenner, I. S., "Map Types as kid in Using MOS POPS in Western U.S. ,'I National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration TM NWS WR-107, Salt Lake City, Utah, August, 1976.

4. Cahir, 3. J., J. M. Norman, W. D. Lottes, and J. A. Toth. "New Toals for Forecasters - Real-time Cross Sections Produced in the Field," American Meteorological Society ,Bulletin, 57:1426- 1433, December, 1976.

5. Carter, G. M., !'Automated Prediction of Surface Wind from Numerical Model Output," Monthly. Weather Rev,iew, 103:866-873, October, 1975.

6. Carter, G. M. and H. R. Glahn., "Objective Prediction of Cloud Amount Based on Model Output Statistics," Monthly Weather Review, 104:1565-1572, December, 1976.

7. Carter, G. M., et al., "Comparative Verification of Guidance and Local Aviation/Public Weather Forecasts, No. 1 (October 1975- March 1976)," National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration TDL Office note 76-13, August, 1976.

8. Cornett, J. S. and D. Randerson., "Verification of Same Numerical Models for Operationally Predicting Mesoscale Winds Aloft,: Journal of Applied Meteorology, 16:764-773, August, 1977.

9. Curran, J. C., "A Predictive Parameter for Cumulus Cloud Cover Extent Based on a Simple Theory of the Inversian-Capped Planetary Boundary Layer," Monthly Weather Re,view, 105:981-986, August, 1977.

10. Dallvalle, J. P. and G. A. Hammons., "Use of LFM Data in PE-Based Max/Min Fore-ast Equations", National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration TDL Office Note 76-14, August, 1976.

11. Deaven, D. G., "Salution for Boundary Problems in Isentropic Coordinate Models," Journal of th,e Armgspheric Sciences, 33:1702-1713, September5 1976.

130

Page 135: Current Research on Aviation Weather (Bibliography)

- -

12.

13.

14.

15.

16.

17.

18.

19.

20.

21.

22.

23.

24.

Elsberry, R. L. and G. W, Ley., "On the Strategy of Initialying Nested Grid Meshes in Numerical Weather Prediction", Month!y,'Weath-~-r..R~3iew, 104:797-799, June, 1976,

Failer, A. J. and C. E. Schemn, "Statistical Corrections to Numerical Prediction Equations, Part 2", Monthly ,We,ather Review 105:37-56, January, 1977.

Gates, W. L. and M. E. Schlesinger., "Numerical Simulation of the JanuarNand July Global Climate with a Two-Level Atmospheric Model, "Journal pf'th,e.'At.~q~p~~r;ic‘S~ien~es; 34:36-76, January , 1977.

Gringarten, I. I., "Multi-Predictor Conditional Probabilities," United States Air Force Geophysics Lab TR-76-0239, Hanscom Air Force Base, Massachusetts, October 1976.

Hirata, B., "Experiment in the Production of Probability of Prediction Forecasts for Hawaii Using a Statistical Model", National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration TM NWSTM PR-15 Honolulu, Hawaii, September, 1976.

Hoke, J. E. and R. A. Anthes., "The Initialization of Numerical Models by a Dynamic-Initialization Technqiue," Monthly Weathe.r Review, 104:817-827, July, 1976.

Houghton, D. D. and W. S. Irvine., "Case Study Comparision of the Performance of Operational Prediction Models Used in the United States," 'Monthly Weather Review,.104:817-$27, July, 1976. ---

Hoyt, D. V., "Percent of Possible Sunshine and the Total Cloud Cover," Monthly Weather Review, 105:648-652, May 1977.

Hughes, H., "Model Output Statistics Forecast Guidance," United States Air Weather Service Technical Note 76-3, Scott Air Force Base,Illinois, September, 1976.

Kalnary-Rivas, E." Hugh-Latitude Truncation Errors of Box-Type Primitive Equation Models," Month,ly Weather Review, 104:1066- -- 1069, August, 1976.

Katz, R. W., "Precipitation as a Chain-Dependent Process," Journal of Applied Meteorology, 16:671-676, July, 1977.

Kreitzberg, C. W., "Research on Regional Numerical Weather Prediction," Proceedings of the.SixthConference on Weather Forecasting ,an.d Analysis, Albany, New York, May ,lO-13, 1976, Boston: American Meteorological Society, 1976.

Lyon, H. A. and L. L. LeBlanc., "Weather Probability Forecasts - A Cost Savings Technique in Space Luanch and Missile Test OPerations", Air University Review, 27:45-54, January - February, 1976.

131

Page 136: Current Research on Aviation Weather (Bibliography)

. . ..-. . -. i

25.

26.

27.

28.

29.

30.

31.

32.

33.

34.

35.

36.

37.

Loreny, E. N., "Rapid Procedure for Inverting Del-Square with Certain Computers, ".Md~t~ly'W~~~~~.~.'~~~,iew, 104:961-966, July., 1976.

Loreny, E. C., "An Experiment in Nanliniar Statistical Weather Forecasting", Monthly Weather Review, 105:590-602, May, 1977.

Lund, I. A. and D. D. Grantham., "Persistence, -Runs and Recurrence of Precipitation"; J~arnal'~f_'Applid:_Me.te~~~l.~gy, 16:346 358, April 1977.

MacDonald, A. E., MAN/MOS Program", National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration TM NEW WR-112, Salt Lake City, Utah, February, 1977.

MacPherson, A. K. and R. E. Kelly., "Horizontal Telescoping Grid Model with an Vertically Nested La ,er Using Bi-Cubic Splines", Monthly.Weather Review, 104:932-941, July, 1976.

Mahlman, J. D. and W. J. Maxum., "Method for Calculating More Accurate Budget Results", Morithly'We,ath,er Review, 104:1102- 1106, September, 1976.

Mihok, W. F. and J. E. Kaitala, "U.S. Navy Fleet Numerical Weather Central Operational Fine-Level Global Fourth-Order Primitive Equation Model," Monthly Weathe,r .Review, 104:1527-1550, December, 1976.

Murphy, A. H., "Decision Making Models in the Cost-Lass Ratio Situation and Measures of the Value of Probability Forecasts," Monthly Weather‘Review, 104:1058-1065, August 1976.

Murphy, A. G. and R. L. Winkler, "Experimental Point and Area Precipitation Probability Forecasts for a Foreca-t Area with Significant Local Effects", Atmosphere, 15:61-78, 1977.

Paegle, J. and J. Paegle, "On Geopatential Data and Ellipticity of the Balance Equation; a Data Study," Monthly Wea.ther Review 104:1321-1324. October, 1976.

Paegle, J. , W. G. Zdunkkowski, and R. M. Welch;, "Implicit- Differencing of Predi.ctive Equationssof the Boundary Layer," Monthly Weathe,r,'Review, 104:1321-1324, October, 1976.

Perkey, D. J., "A Description and Preliminary Results from a Fine-Mesh Model for Forecasting Quantitative Precipitation," Monthly Weather Review, 104:1513-1526, December, 1976.

Perkey, D. J., "Prediction of Convective Activity Using a System of Parasitic-Nested Numerical Models," National Aeronautics Space Administration Contractor Report CR=2761, Washington, D. C., December, 1976.

132

Page 137: Current Research on Aviation Weather (Bibliography)

38. Pitcher, E. J., "Application of Stockastic Dynamics Prediction . . to Real Data,"mnal of -1~ Sclew January, 1977.

, 34:3-21,

39. Randerson, D., "Overview of Regional-Scale Numerical Models", Ame~icari.'Meteor6T~~i~.~l'So~!~ty, Bulletin, 57:797-804 July, 1976.

40. Rao, S. T. and Z. H. Feng., "Parameterization of Cloud Droplet Growth by Condensation", 'JQur'ri&l 'of Appli cd 'Meteorology, 16:532-544, May, 1977. -

41. Schlesinger, M. E., "Fast Numerical Method for Eriplicit Integration of the Primitive Equations Near the Poles," Rand Corporation Internal Report, Santa Monica, California, July, 1976.

42. Idcott, B. C. and P. V. Hobbs., "A Theoretical Study of the Evaluation of Mixed-Phase Cumulus Clouds ,” Joufnaj- of the Atmospheric Sciences, 34:812-826, May, 1977.

--

43. Shuman, F. G., "Numerical Weather Prediction," Amer,ican Meteorological Society, Bulletin, 59:5-17, January, 1978.

44. Simmonda, I., “Data Assumilation with a One-Level, Primitive Equation Spectral Model," 33:1155-1171, J-ly, 1976.

JquPria.1 of thd.Atmos#ieri,c-Sciences,

45. Spar, J., 'Monthly Mean Forecase Experiments with the GISS Model Correction," Monthly Weather Review, 105:535-539, April 1977.

46. Thompson, P. D., "How to Improve Accuracy by Combining Independent Forecasts," Monthly Weather. Review, 105:228-229, February, 1977.

47. Traction, M. A. and R. D. McPherson., "On the Impact of Radiometric Sounding Data Upon Operational Numerical Weather Prediction at NMC," American Meteorological Society Bulletin, 58:1201-1209, November, 1977.

48. Umscheid, L., and P. R. Bannon., "A Comparison of Three Global Grids Used in Numerical Prediction Modles," Monthly Weather Review, 105:618-635, May, 1977.

49. Wahl, E. W., "Preliminary Results of a Statistical Long Range Forecasting Attempt", Month.ly Weather Review, 105:529-535, April, 1977.

50. Woodcock, F., "The Evaluation of Yes/No Forecasts for Scientific and AdminT erative Purposes", Monthly WeatherReview, 104: 1209-1214, October 1976.

133

Page 138: Current Research on Aviation Weather (Bibliography)

APPENDIX C

ACRONYMS

Page 139: Current Research on Aviation Weather (Bibliography)

Appendix C

Acronyms

AEHP

AFGWC

AFOS

AIM

AIRMET

AMOSV

ATC

AV-AWOS

AWS

CAA

CAT

CTOL

DH

DOD

DOT

ECM

FAA

FAR

FSS

GA

GFWS

HISS

IAP

Atmospheric Electricity Hazards

Air Force Global Weather Center

Automation of Field Operations and Services

Airmans Information Manual'

Airman Meteorological Advisory

Automated Meteorological Observation Station-Mark V

Air Traffic Control

Aviation-Automatic Weather Observation System

Air Weather Service

Civil Aviation Administration

Clear Air Turbulence

Conventional Take-Off and Landing Aircraft

Decision Height

Department of Defense

Department of Transportation

Electronic Counter Measure

Federal Aviation Administration

Federal Aviation Regulation

Flight Service Stations

General Aviation

Gust Front Warning System

Helicopter Icing Spray System

Intrasystem Analysis Program

135

Page 140: Current Research on Aviation Weather (Bibliography)

-. -.... ..__ -----.__ ___~

IFR

TLS

IMC

IRU

JDOP

LAES

LLWAS

LSI

LWC

MDA

MOS

MSFC

NAFEC

NASA

NEMP

NHC

NMC

NOAA

NSSFC

NSSL

NTSB

NWS

OAST

RVR

SELS

Instrument Flight Rules

Instrument Landing System

Instrument Meteorological Conditions

Integrating Rate Unit

Joint Doppler Operations Program

Landing Aid Experiment Station

Low-Level Wind Shear Alert System

Large Scale Integrated Circuits

Liquid Water Content

Minimum Descent Altitude

Model Output Statistics

Marshall Space Flight Center

National Aviation Facility Experimental Center

National Aeronautics and Space Administration

Nuclear Electromagnetic Pulse

National Hurricane Center

National Meteorological Center

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

National Severe Storms Forecast Center

National Severe Storms Laboratory

National Transportation Safety Board

National Weather Service

Office of Aviation Safety Technology

Runway Visual Range

Severe Local Storms

136

Page 141: Current Research on Aviation Weather (Bibliography)

STOL

SVR

UTSI

VFR

VMC

V/STOL

WPL

WSFO

Short Take-Off a!d Landing Aircraft '\

Slant Visual Range

University of Tennessee Space Institute

Visual Flight Rules

Visual Meteorological Conditions

Vertical and Short Take-Off and Lahding Aircraft

Wave Prop!gation Laboratory

Weather Service Forecast Office

*U.S. OOVERNYENT PRINTING OFFICE: 1979-635-004/34

137

Page 142: Current Research on Aviation Weather (Bibliography)

TECHNICAL REPORT STANDARD TITLE PAG

A TITLE ANO SUBTITLE

December 1978 Current Research on Aviation Weather (Bibliography) 6. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION CODE

7. AUTHOR(S)

Don E. Durham and Walter Frost 8. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION REPOR r

9. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME AND ADDRESS 10. WORK UNIT, NO.

The University of Tennessee Space Institute Tullahoma, Tennessee

12. SPONSORING AGENCY NAME AND ADDRESS

M-274 11. CONTRACT OR GRANT NO.

NAS8-29584 (3. TYPE OF REPORi’ 6 PERIOD COVERE

National Aeronautics and Space Administration Washington, D. C. 20546

I

15. SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES

Prepared under the technical monitorship of the Atmospheric Sciences Division, Space Sciences Laboratory, NASA-Marshall Space Flight Center

16. ABSTRACT

The purpose of this study was to assemble a readily usable reference of basic and applied research programs related to the various areas of aviation meteorology. To accomplish this a literature search was conducted which surveyed the major abstract publications such as the International Aerospace Abstracts, the Meteorological and Geoastrophysical Abstracts, and the Scientific and Technical Aerospace Reports. In addition, NASA and DOT computer literature searches were run; and NASA, NOAA, and FAA research project managers were requested to provide writeups on their ongoing research.

The acquired information was reviewed and assembled into a bibliography that will be readily available to anyone desiring information in the area of aviation meteorology.

17. KEY WORM

Aviation Safety Aviation Weather Fog Icing Lightning Visibility

Wind Shear Severe Storm Turbulence Training

18. OlSTRlBUTlON STATEMENT

Category 47

I IS. SECURITY CLASSIF. (d thla repart) 20. SECURITY CLASSIF. (of thlm ~8s.) 21. NO. OF PAGES 22. PRICE

Unclassified Unclassified 140 $7.25

* For sale by the National Technical Information Service, Springfield, Virginia 22161