Cuban Public Opinion Survey June 30 – July 13, 2011

Dates of Interviewing: The fieldwork was conducted June 30 – July 13, 2011.

Data Collection Method: Stratified-intercept methodology based on personal, face-to-face interviews in Cuba.

Sample Size: 572 Cuban adults (age 18 and older).

Sample: Interviews were conducted in fourteen (14) Cuban provinces: Ciudad de La Habana, Provincia de La Habana, Pinar del Río, Matanzas, Sancti Spiritus, Villa Clara, Cienfuegos, Ciego de Ávila, Camaguey, Holguín, Guantánamo, Las Tunas, Granma and Santiago de Cuba.

The sample was stratified by province, then by sub-units within each province. Interviewees were allocated by gender and age quotas. The final selection of each interviewee was random.

Respondents: The sample selection for province, gender and age are based on the last available Cuban census data, released in 2002.

Maximum Sample Margin of Error: Margin of error of ± four percent for a 95 percent level of confidence.

Survey Methodology

Demographics

4 4

18 to 2920.8%

30 to 3924.0%

40 to 4921.7%

50 to 5916.1%

60 or Older

17.5%

Age

Demographics: Gender and Age

5

Demographics: Province

6 6

White

49.6%

Afro-

Cuban

50.4%

None

1.2%Primary

5.6%

Intermediary

23.4%

Secondary

39.9%

University or

Higher

25.7%

No Answer

0.3%

Do Not Know

3.8%

Education Race

Demographics: Education and Race

7

1.0%44.4%

1.7%

14.7%

4.2% 9.4%

23.6%

Works for the Cuban Government in a Leading Position

Works for the Cuban Government as an Employee

Works for a Mixed or Foreign Company

Works as Autonomous, Farmer or Private Business Owner

Works Full-Time in the House

Works in the Informal Economy as Main Source of Income

Not working

No answer

31.9%

20.7%

47.4%

Not Working

Student

Retired / Pensioner

Full Sample Those Not Working

(N = 135)

Demographics: Profession or Job

Not Working

No Answer

Yes

23.1%

No

73.1%

No Answer

3.8%

8

Full Sample Those Receiving Remittances (N = 132)

Demographics: Receiving Remittances from Family Members or Friends Abroad

Once A Month

31.8%

At Least Every Year

32.6%At Least Every Six

Months

35.6%

Perspectives on Cuba

10

60.7%

18.2%

3.8%

0.5%

1.4%

3.0%

1.0%

0.2%

1.9%

3.5%

60.7%

11.2%

12.7%

5.0%

1.3%

3.5%

1.1%

0.4%

0.4%

2.4%

40.0%

12.0%

19.7%

1.4%

9.5%

8.8%

1.6%

2.3%

0.2%

2.8%

42.6%

7.6%

12.8%

7.9%

6.9%

6.4%

2.5%

4.7%

1.7%

3.5%

1.4%

43.1%

13.8%

6.8%

2.4%

8.9%

8.5%

4.1%

4.1%

2.5%

1.5%

42.5%

2.2%

11.6%

3.8%

18.2%

4.8%

0.2%

3.6%

1.2%

6.3%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80%

Low Salaries / High Cost of Living

Double Currency Standard

Food Scarcity

Lack of Housing / Dilapidated Housing

Lack of Freedoms / Political System

Embargo / Isolation

Health / Lack of Medicines

Poor Transportation Infrastructure

Other (Drugs / Crime / Corruption)

There are no problems

Hurricanes

July 2011

February 2011

August 2009

November 2008

April 2008

October 2007

What do you think is the biggest problem in Cuba?

11

1.4%0.7%3.1% 4.6%

60.3%61.1%

16.1%20.2%

2.7% 3.2%1.7%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Male Female

Medicines Food Salaries Double Currency Embargo Lack of Freedoms

What do you think is the biggest problem in Cuba? (by gender)

(N = 539)

1.1%

12

8.0%5.4%

0.8%2.2%4.2%

63.9%67.2% 69.4%

58.7%

39.0%

21.0%

17.4%

16.1%18.5% 18.5%

3.3%

2.9%1.7% 2.4%

5.0%

3.0%

1.7%

0.7% 1.6% 7.0%8.7%

2.9% 0.8%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

18-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60 or Older

Food Salaries Double Currency Embargo Lack of Freedoms No Problem

What do you think is the biggest problem in Cuba? (by age)

(N = 539)

13

(N = 539)

What do you think is the biggest problem in Cuba?

(by remittances)

2.6%5.7%

63.1% 60.8%

20.8%12.7%

2.6%4.1%

1.1% 0.7%2.4%0.7%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

They Receive Remittances Do Not Receive Remittances

Food Salaries Double Currency Embargo Crime Lack of Freedoms

14

Do you believe the current government will succeed in solving Cuba’s biggest problem in the next few years?

20.6%

18.5%

26.9%

29.4%

15.0%

13.7%

70.1%

71.2%

70.5%

68.8%

66.0%

77.0%

5.6%

10.3%

2.6%

1.8%

19.0%

7.5%

3.7%

1.8%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

October 2007

April 2008

November 2008

August 2009

February 2011

July 2011

Yes No Do Not Know No Answer

15

22.9% 18.2%

71.5%68.8%

5.9%5.3%

4.4%3.0%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Male Female

Yes No Do Not Know No Answer

(N = 519)

Do you believe the current government will succeed in solving Cuba’s biggest problem in the next few years?

(by gender)

16

21.6%

13.5%20.3%

29.4%20.0%

60.0%

68.8%68.6%72.0%

78.4%

4.7%10.0%5.9%

2.4%6.3%1.8% 4.0% 5.1% 1.3% 5.9%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

18-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60 or Older

Yes No Do Not Know No Answer

(N = 519)

Do you believe the current government will succeed in solving Cuba’s biggest problem in the next few years?

(by age)

17

Generally speaking, would you say things in Cuba are going very well, well, so-so, badly or very badly?

9.4%

5.2%

26.7%24.1%

32.9%

1.7%

1.3%

12.1%

33.3%35.0%

16.2%

2.2%1.6%

15.3%

28.9%31.3%

22.2%

0.5%

4.2%

15.5%

31.4%

29.9%

18.2%

0.7%

2.4%

13.8%

35.3%

26.7%

20.8%

1.0%

9.8%

15.4%

33.7%

19.9% 19.9%

1.4%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

Very Well Well So-so Badly Very Badly No Answer

July 2011February 2011August 2009November 2008April 2008October 2007

So-So

%

6.2% 4.3%

24.3%29.1%

25.7%

22.6%

31.2% 34.6%

8.2%10.6%1.1%

0.3%1.8%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Male Female

Very Well Well So-So Badly Very Badly Do Not Know No Answer

Generally speaking, would you say things in Cuba are going very well, well, so-so, badly or very badly?

(by gender)

18

19

Generally speaking, would you say things in Cuba are going very well, well, so-so, badly or very badly?

(by age)

5.9% 4.4% 4.8% 6.5% 5.0%

21.8% 24.1% 20.2%

28.3%

43.0%

21.0%25.5% 26.6%

23.9%

23.0%

37.8%34.3% 37.1%

29.3%

23.0%

12.6% 10.9%7.3% 10.9%

5.0%0.9% 0.8%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

18-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60 or Older

Very Well Well So-So Badly Very Badly Do Not Know No Answer

20

18.2%

61.7%

18.0%1.2% 0.9%

Has Improved The Same Is Worse Do Not Know No Answer

Overall, would you say your family’s economic situation has gotten worse, improved or stayed the same from one year

ago?

21

16.8%19.5%

60.6% 62.9%

18.8% 17.1%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Male Female

Has Improved The Same Is Worse

Overall, would you say your family’s economic situation has gotten worse, improved or stayed the same from one year

ago? (by gender)

22

17.5%13.4% 16.9%

28.0%

16.3%

55.0%

58.7%64.5%

65.7%

62.2%

20.2%15.3% 18.5%

23.9%

13.0%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

18-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60 or Older

Has Improved The Same Is Worse

Overall, would you say your family’s economic situation has gotten worse, improved or stayed the same from one year

ago? (by age)

23

22.9%

61.0%

10.3%

2.8% 3.0%

Will Improve Will Stay The Same Will Get Worse

Do Not Know No Answer

Do you think the economic situation of your family, during the next 12 months...?

24

20.7%26.0%

19.4%21.0%27.0%

63.9%

60.6%66.1%

53.3%

59.0%

7.0%

16.3%

8.9%8.0%12.6%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

18-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60 or Older

Will Improve Will Stay The Same Will Get Worse

Do you think the economic situation of your family, during the next 12 months...?

(by age)

Attitudes Toward Political and Economic Change

26

If you were given the opportunity to vote to change from the

current political system to a democratic system – with multi-party elections, freedom of speech and freedom of expression

– would you vote in favor of, or against, that change?

75.6%

61.5%

63.0%

75.2%

78.2%

75.5%

14.2%

24.9%

32.4%

5.8%

9.3%

10.5%

8.0%

3.5%

10.2%

13.6%

4.6%

19.0%

4.5%

10.5%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

October 2007

April 2008

November 2008

August 2009

February 2011

July 2011

In Favor Against Do Not Know No Answer

If you were given the opportunity to vote to change from the current political system to a democratic system – with multi-party elections, freedom of speech and freedom of expression

– would you vote in favor of, or against, that change? (by age)

27

66.3%61.0%

79.0%83.2% 82.5%

5.9% 3.6% 7.3%

19.6%21.0%

6.0%5.4%1.6%

1.7%3.6%

12.0%8.7%12.1%10.2%9.2%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

18-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60 or Older

In Favor Against Do Not Know No Answer

28

83,0%

81.8%

86.3%

85.6%

90.7%

88.5%

9.6%

11.0%

12.5%

3.0%

4.1%

2.4%

2.8%

1.6%

7.4%

7.2%

1.2%

11.4%

2.4%

7.5%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

October 2007

April 2008

November 2008

August 2009

February 2011

July 2011

In Favor Against Do Not Know No Answer

If you were given the opportunity to vote to change from the current system to a market economy – with economic freedoms, private property, the possibility for Cubans to

own their own businesses – would you vote in favor of, or against, that change?

If you were given the opportunity to vote to change from the current system to a market economy – with economic freedoms, private property, the possibility for Cubans to

own their own businesses – would you vote in favor of, or against, that change?

(by age)

29

84.8%79.0%

87.9%95.0% 92.7%

0.8%2.2%

1.6% 5.4%

3.0%4.0%

0.8%

2.9%14.0%9.8%

9.7%

2.2%4.2%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

18-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60 or Older

In Favor Against Do Not Know No Answer

Access to Information Technology

31

Do you have access to the Internet or e-mail?

6.6%10.0%

83.4%

5.0%

22.5%

72.6%

8.6%

34.7%

56.7%

4.6%

15.7%

79.7%

9.4%

25.7%

64.9%

9.4%

27.4%

63.2%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

Access to Internet Access to E-mail None

July 2011 February 2011 August 2009 November 2008 April 2008 October 2007

32

How often do you have access to your

e-mail or the Internet?

3.7% 5.1%7.8%

83.4%

Daily Weekly Monthly or Less No Access

33

Do you regularly use a cellular phone?

22.2%

77.8%

25.3%

74.7%

17.4%

82.6%

7.9%

92.1%

7.3%

92.7%

9.9%

90.1%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Uses Cellular Phone Does Not Use Cellular Phone

July 2011 February 2011 August 2009 November 2008 April 2008 October 2007

34

15.2%9.0%

21.8%29.4% 30.7%

91.0%84.8%

78.2%69.3%70.6%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

18-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60 or Older

Yes No

Do you regularly use a cellular phone? (by age)

35

16.5%

3.8%

22.0%

6.5%

89.7%

61.4%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Yes No

E-mail and Internet Only E-mail No Access

Do you regularly use a cellular phone? (by Internet access)

Perspectives of Discussed Reforms

37

26.9%

52.6%

11.4%

9.1%

Yes No Do Not Know No Answer

There has been discussion on the part of Cuba's leaders for reforms to the Cuban system, are actual reforms taking

shape?

38

25.5%23.5%29.0% 30.0%27.2%

52.0%55.2%

55.6%

51.8%51.3%

12.0%9.8%

5.6%11.7%17.6%

7.6%10.9% 9.7% 10.9%

6.0%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

18-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60 or Older

Yes No Do Not Know No Answer

There has been discussion on the part of Cuba's leaders for reforms to the Cuban system, are actual reforms taking

shape? (by age)

39

28.6%

31.2%11.6%

14.9%

9.7% 3.9%

Economic Opening Licenses for Business

Other None

Do Not Know No Answer

(N = 154)

Of the reforms taking place, which is the most beneficial to you?

40

(N = 154)

Of the reforms taking place, which is the most beneficial to you?

(by age)

23.3%20.0%

33.3%28.6%35.7%

44.0%28.6%

28.6% 33.3%

23.3%

13.3%

12.0%11.1%

10.7%

11.5%

20.0%

20.0%

20.0%10.7%5.6%

10.0%

13.9%8.6%14.3%

10.0%4.0%2.9% 2.8%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

18-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60 or Older

Economic Opening Licenses For Business Other None Do Not Know No Answer

41

Beyond what has been discussed, what reform would be most beneficial to you?

2.8% 17.0%

30.8%19.1%

12.4%

1.4%

9.4%7.2%

Political Reform Economic Opening Better Salaries

One Currency Travel Abroad Other

Do Not Know No Answer

42

2.2% 1.0%2.4%5.9% 2.2%

14.3%14.6%

20.2% 18.5% 18.0%

15.0%

37.0%35.5%

39.4%24.4%

18.5%

14.3%

14.6%

31.0%

19.6%

13.0%6.5%

18.5%

12.4%

12.0%

1.1%

1.7%

1.0%3.2%

1.1%4.3%9.7%9.5%

11.8%

4.0%9.2% 7.3% 5.4% 10.0%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

18-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60 or Older

Political Reform Economic Opening Better Salaries One Currency

Travel Abroad Other Do Not Know No Answer

Beyond what has been discussed, what reform would be most beneficial to you?

(by age)

43

Do you believe that substantial economic progress in Cuba is possible without changes to the political system?

31.1%

59.2%

3.8%5.9%

Yes No Do Not Know No Answer

44

Do you believe that substantial economic progress in Cuba is possible without changes to the political system?

(by age)

35.9%41.0%

29.0%22.7%

29.9%

66.4%60.6% 61.3%

54.3%50.0%

2.0%5.4%

1.6%3.6%6.7%

7.0%4.3%8.1%5.8%4.2%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

18-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60 or Older

Yes No Do Not Know No Answer