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BUILDING STRONG®
Dr. Chris Massey, ERDC-CHL June 17-21, 2012
ERDC’s
Coastal Storm-Modeling System
(CSTORM-MS)
1
Chris Massey, Ty Wamsley, Brad Johnson, and Mary Cialone USACE-ERDC-CHL
POC: [email protected]
CMWR - June 2012 University of Illinois-Champaign-Urbana
BUILDING STRONG®
Dr. Chris Massey, ERDC-CHL June 17-21, 2012
ERDC’s Coastal Storm-Modeling System (ERDC CSTORM-MS)
Next Generation Workflow
Not just hurricanes and not just in the Gulf of Mexico.
Expandable and upgradeable system.
Application of high-resolution, highly skilled numerical models in a tightly integrated modeling system with user friendly interfaces
Provides for a robust, standardized approach to establishing the risk of coastal communities to future occurrences of storm events.
2
Morphology (Spiral 2) FY2012
ADH*
+ C2SHORE
BUILDING STRONG®
Dr. Chris Massey, ERDC-CHL June 17-21, 2012
Results
3
• CSTORM-MS is an efficient, robust, extensible modeling system for quantifying the risk of coastal communities to storm events. • Its’ streamlined workflow saves time and reduces both computational and personnel cost. • Model data feeds into CSTORM-DB for easy access and reuse purposes.
Spiral 2 coming Oct 2012
BUILDING STRONG®
Dr. Chris Massey, ERDC-CHL June 17-21, 2012
Example Problem
4
Morganza to the Gulf of Mexico Feasibility Study
BUILDING STRONG®
Dr. Chris Massey, ERDC-CHL June 17-21, 2012
Storm 314 Without Project With Project
Sea
Leve
l Ris
e 0.
35 m
Exi
stin
g W
ater
Lev
el
Sea
Leve
l Ris
e 0.
35 m
Exi
stin
g W
ater
Lev
el
5
BUILDING STRONG®
Dr. Chris Massey, ERDC-CHL June 17-21, 2012
Maximum Surge and Wave Envelopes
m, NAVD88 (2004.65)
NOV104
Water Level
Wave Height
New Orleans to Venice
BUILDING STRONG®
Dr. Chris Massey, ERDC-CHL June 17-21, 2012
Example Model Domains
United States
Gulf of Mexico
Atlantic Ocean
Ø ADCIRC grid boundaries are shown in black
Ø PBL/WAM grid boundaries are shown in red
Ø STWAVE grid boundaries are shown in blue
7
BUILDING STRONG®
Dr. Chris Massey, ERDC-CHL June 17-21, 2012
ADCIRC Coastal Circulation and Storm Surge Model
• An unstructured finite element hydrodynamics model
• 2D and 3D simulations
• Wetting/Drying algorithm allows for storm surge inundation over previously dry land
• Highly portable code
SMS GUI for ADCIRC
http://adcirc.org
BUILDING STRONG®
Dr. Chris Massey, ERDC-CHL June 17-21, 2012
Example ADCIRC Unstructured Mesh
Mesh resolution From 28 km down to 23 m
Approximately 98% of all elements are in the study area.
The mesh consists of approximately 5.4 million elements and 2.7 million nodes.
BUILDING STRONG®
Dr. Chris Massey, ERDC-CHL June 17-21, 2012
WAM Wave Model
Model Assumptions § Time dependent wave action balance equation. § Wave growth based on sea surface roughness and
wind characteristics. § Nonlinear wave and wave interaction by Discrete
Interaction Approximation (DIA). § Free form of spectral shape. § High dissipation rate to short waves.
The global ocean wave prediction model WAM is a third generation wave model.
BUILDING STRONG®
Dr. Chris Massey, ERDC-CHL June 17-21, 2012
SMS GUI for WAM
• Create and visualize WAM grids and model results
• Setup input/control files
• Execute WAM Close-up view of WAM Grid
WAM Controls
New to the SMS
BUILDING STRONG®
Dr. Chris Massey, ERDC-CHL June 17-21, 2012
STWAVE Version 6.0
§ STWAVE is a steady-state finite difference model based on the wave action balance equation.
§ The model is used to compute wave transformation (refraction, shoaling, and breaking) and wind-wave generation.
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Some features of the full-plane model include: § Wave transformation and generation on the
full 360-deg plane. § Option for spatially variable winds and surge. § Option for spatially constant or spatially
variable bottom friction. § Option for one-dimensional wave
transformation on lateral boundaries.
SMS GUI for STWAVE
BUILDING STRONG®
Dr. Chris Massey, ERDC-CHL June 17-21, 2012
Cp Cp Cp
Rp Rp Rp
Track
Forward Speed
Storm Parameters applied in JPM-OS
For any location….. each red box (parameter set) has a joint probability density and a response (surge).
Vf1
Vf3
Vf2
q2 q3 q1
Track 1 Track 2 Track 3
BUILDING STRONG®
Dr. Chris Massey, ERDC-CHL June 17-21, 2012
SMS GUI for Cyclone Models
1. Support for MORPHOS-PBL Cyclone Model*, ADCIRC’s internal Holland models and ATCF Best Track formats
2. Ability to read/modify existing cyclone track and characteristics
3. Ability to create cyclone track via “point-n-click” and add storm characteristics
4. Ability to auto perturb cyclone data:
• Speed • Size
• Track • Intensity
Note: NOAA uses the ATCF Best Track.
19
*Updated version of TC96
BUILDING STRONG®
Dr. Chris Massey, ERDC-CHL June 17-21, 2012
SMS GUI for Cyclone Models
Setup and run the MORPHOS-PBL Cyclone Wind Model*
Easily create perturbations for storm track/characteristic.
20
*Updated version of TC96
BUILDING STRONG®
Dr. Chris Massey, ERDC-CHL June 17-21, 2012
Synthetic Storm Profile
Landfall
Pre-landfall filling
A synthetic storm profile generation routine is being included in the SMS. It generates storm profiles similar to those used in the IPET and other JPM-OS type storms.
21
BUILDING STRONG®
Dr. Chris Massey, ERDC-CHL June 17-21, 2012
Circulation ßà Wave Coupling • One unstructured finite element circulation mesh
– A single instance of ADCIRC
• One or more structured wave grids – Multiple instances of STWAVE
• Half-Plane • Full-Plane
STWAVE Snaps
ADCIRC Timeline
Need to be able to synchronize both time and spatial frames of reference.
ADCIRC STWAVE
,x yτ τ
, ,u vζ
Information to Exchange
For consistency use the same winds and bathymetry.
22
BUILDING STRONG®
Dr. Chris Massey, ERDC-CHL June 17-21, 2012
The Earth System Modeling Framework
§ The ESMF has multi-agency buy in.
§ Having our models ESMF compliant makes them readily available to be linked with each other and with other agencies’ ESMF compliant models.
§ This leads to expanded collaborations and funding opportunities.
Sponsored By
23
BUILDING STRONG®
Dr. Chris Massey, ERDC-CHL June 17-21, 2012 24
CSTORM-MS Coupling
Schematic for CSTORM-MS Version of Tightly Coupled
ADCIRC+STWAVE
• Controller – 1 cpu • Coupler – 1 cpu (1 coupler/STWAVE) • ADCIRC/STWAVE share cpu’s
• Model coupling between ADCIRC and STWAVE is performed using CSTORM-MS Couplers written in FORTRAN and MPI.
• One benefit of using the ESMF coupling standards is that the individual codes stay virtually autonomous.
• Specification of how the two models are to interact is done with a simple control file (mf_config.in).
• If more than one STWAVE grid is involved, fine detail control over any overlapping regions can be specified by using a (merge_file).
• Couplers take care of coordinate transformations and interpolations.
Expandable !
PC and HPC applications!
BUILDING STRONG®
Dr. Chris Massey, ERDC-CHL June 17-21, 2012
Computational Considerations
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ADCIRC+STWAVE
Max Surge (m)
ADCIRC+UnSwan
Max Surge (m)
Models CPUs Time (min)
Total Time (min)
ADC+STWAVE 256 105 26880+780 ADC+UnSwan 256 197 50432
STWAVE
1.28M Elements 650k Nodes 2.5 Day Simulation
BUILDING STRONG®
Dr. Chris Massey, ERDC-CHL June 17-21, 2012
Philosophy: Efficient and Robust
Model Components • Quasi-3D Shallow Water Hydrodynamics • Probabilistic Representation of Sediment Transport • Includes both Wave and Current Transport • Bed load and Suspended load
Advances in Morphology Response
Shi
p Is
land
Lid
ar
Pre-Katrina
Post-Katrina
Pre-Katrina Post-Katrina Model vs Measured
Modeled
Mississippi Coastal Improvement
Program (MsCIP)
BUILDING STRONG®
Dr. Chris Massey, ERDC-CHL June 17-21, 2012
Coastal Storm - Database and Data Mining Tool
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POC: Jeffrey A. Melby, PhD USACE ERDC Coastal and Hydraulics Lab
2 Mar 2010
Goals – Develop long-term archive/
database of measured and modeled coastal storm data
– Make data easily accessible and understandable to team members
– Integrate contextual data products and tools that support federal decision making
• Emergency management • Risk management/assessment/
communication • Project design and evaluation
BUILDING STRONG®
Dr. Chris Massey, ERDC-CHL June 17-21, 2012
CSTORM-MS
31
Next Generation Workflow
• Expandable
• Upgradeable
• Multi-Scale
• Multi-platform PC to HPC
• More than Hurricanes
• Relocatable to your area
Thank You. [email protected]
Spiral 2 – Oct 2012