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BUILDING STRONG ® Dr. Chris Massey, ERDC-CHL June 17-21, 2012 ERDC’s Coastal Storm-Modeling System (CSTORM-MS) 1 Chris Massey, Ty Wamsley, Brad Johnson, and Mary Cialone USACE-ERDC-CHL POC: [email protected] CMWR - June 2012 University of Illinois-Champaign-Urbana

(CSTORM-MS) - Mississippi State · PDF file · 2013-01-10BUILDING STRONG ® June 17-21, 2012 Dr. Chris Massey, ERDC-CHL SMS GUI for Cyclone Models 1. Support for MORPHOS-PBL Cyclone

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BUILDING STRONG®

Dr. Chris Massey, ERDC-CHL June 17-21, 2012

ERDC’s

Coastal Storm-Modeling System

(CSTORM-MS)

1

Chris Massey, Ty Wamsley, Brad Johnson, and Mary Cialone USACE-ERDC-CHL

POC: [email protected]

CMWR - June 2012 University of Illinois-Champaign-Urbana

BUILDING STRONG®

Dr. Chris Massey, ERDC-CHL June 17-21, 2012

ERDC’s Coastal Storm-Modeling System (ERDC CSTORM-MS)

Next Generation Workflow

Not just hurricanes and not just in the Gulf of Mexico.

Expandable and upgradeable system.

Application of high-resolution, highly skilled numerical models in a tightly integrated modeling system with user friendly interfaces

Provides for a robust, standardized approach to establishing the risk of coastal communities to future occurrences of storm events.

2

Morphology (Spiral 2) FY2012

ADH*

+ C2SHORE

BUILDING STRONG®

Dr. Chris Massey, ERDC-CHL June 17-21, 2012

Results

3

•  CSTORM-MS is an efficient, robust, extensible modeling system for quantifying the risk of coastal communities to storm events. •  Its’ streamlined workflow saves time and reduces both computational and personnel cost. •  Model data feeds into CSTORM-DB for easy access and reuse purposes.

Spiral 2 coming Oct 2012

BUILDING STRONG®

Dr. Chris Massey, ERDC-CHL June 17-21, 2012

Example Problem

4

Morganza to the Gulf of Mexico Feasibility Study

BUILDING STRONG®

Dr. Chris Massey, ERDC-CHL June 17-21, 2012

Storm 314 Without Project With Project

Sea

Leve

l Ris

e 0.

35 m

Exi

stin

g W

ater

Lev

el

Sea

Leve

l Ris

e 0.

35 m

Exi

stin

g W

ater

Lev

el

5

BUILDING STRONG®

Dr. Chris Massey, ERDC-CHL June 17-21, 2012

Maximum Surge and Wave Envelopes

m, NAVD88 (2004.65)

NOV104

Water Level

Wave Height

New Orleans to Venice

BUILDING STRONG®

Dr. Chris Massey, ERDC-CHL June 17-21, 2012

Example Model Domains

United States

Gulf of Mexico

Atlantic Ocean

Ø  ADCIRC grid boundaries are shown in black

Ø  PBL/WAM grid boundaries are shown in red

Ø  STWAVE grid boundaries are shown in blue

7

BUILDING STRONG®

Dr. Chris Massey, ERDC-CHL June 17-21, 2012

ADCIRC Coastal Circulation and Storm Surge Model

•  An unstructured finite element hydrodynamics model

•  2D and 3D simulations

•  Wetting/Drying algorithm allows for storm surge inundation over previously dry land

•  Highly portable code

SMS GUI for ADCIRC

http://adcirc.org

BUILDING STRONG®

Dr. Chris Massey, ERDC-CHL June 17-21, 2012

Example ADCIRC Unstructured Mesh

Mesh resolution From 28 km down to 23 m

Approximately 98% of all elements are in the study area.

The mesh consists of approximately 5.4 million elements and 2.7 million nodes.

BUILDING STRONG®

Dr. Chris Massey, ERDC-CHL June 17-21, 2012

SL15 Mesh Resolution

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BUILDING STRONG®

Dr. Chris Massey, ERDC-CHL June 17-21, 2012

SL15 Mesh Resolution

11

BUILDING STRONG®

Dr. Chris Massey, ERDC-CHL June 17-21, 2012

SL15 Mesh Resolution

12

BUILDING STRONG®

Dr. Chris Massey, ERDC-CHL June 17-21, 2012

SL15 Mesh Resolution

13

BUILDING STRONG®

Dr. Chris Massey, ERDC-CHL June 17-21, 2012

WAM Wave Model

Model Assumptions §  Time dependent wave action balance equation. §  Wave growth based on sea surface roughness and

wind characteristics. §  Nonlinear wave and wave interaction by Discrete

Interaction Approximation (DIA). §  Free form of spectral shape. §  High dissipation rate to short waves.

The global ocean wave prediction model WAM is a third generation wave model.

BUILDING STRONG®

Dr. Chris Massey, ERDC-CHL June 17-21, 2012

SMS GUI for WAM

•  Create and visualize WAM grids and model results

•  Setup input/control files

•  Execute WAM Close-up view of WAM Grid

WAM Controls

New to the SMS

BUILDING STRONG®

Dr. Chris Massey, ERDC-CHL June 17-21, 2012

STWAVE Version 6.0

§  STWAVE is a steady-state finite difference model based on the wave action balance equation.

§  The model is used to compute wave transformation (refraction, shoaling, and breaking) and wind-wave generation.

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Some features of the full-plane model include: §  Wave transformation and generation on the

full 360-deg plane. §  Option for spatially variable winds and surge. §  Option for spatially constant or spatially

variable bottom friction. §  Option for one-dimensional wave

transformation on lateral boundaries.

SMS GUI for STWAVE

BUILDING STRONG®

Dr. Chris Massey, ERDC-CHL June 17-21, 2012

Storm Tracks – Eastern LA & MS

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BUILDING STRONG®

Dr. Chris Massey, ERDC-CHL June 17-21, 2012

Cp Cp Cp

Rp Rp Rp

Track

Forward Speed

Storm Parameters applied in JPM-OS

For any location….. each red box (parameter set) has a joint probability density and a response (surge).

Vf1

Vf3

Vf2

q2 q3 q1

Track 1 Track 2 Track 3

BUILDING STRONG®

Dr. Chris Massey, ERDC-CHL June 17-21, 2012

SMS GUI for Cyclone Models

1.  Support for MORPHOS-PBL Cyclone Model*, ADCIRC’s internal Holland models and ATCF Best Track formats

2.  Ability to read/modify existing cyclone track and characteristics

3.  Ability to create cyclone track via “point-n-click” and add storm characteristics

4.  Ability to auto perturb cyclone data:

•  Speed •  Size

•  Track •  Intensity

Note: NOAA uses the ATCF Best Track.

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*Updated version of TC96

BUILDING STRONG®

Dr. Chris Massey, ERDC-CHL June 17-21, 2012

SMS GUI for Cyclone Models

Setup and run the MORPHOS-PBL Cyclone Wind Model*

Easily create perturbations for storm track/characteristic.

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*Updated version of TC96

BUILDING STRONG®

Dr. Chris Massey, ERDC-CHL June 17-21, 2012

Synthetic Storm Profile

Landfall

Pre-landfall filling

A synthetic storm profile generation routine is being included in the SMS. It generates storm profiles similar to those used in the IPET and other JPM-OS type storms.

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BUILDING STRONG®

Dr. Chris Massey, ERDC-CHL June 17-21, 2012

Circulation ßà Wave Coupling •  One unstructured finite element circulation mesh

–  A single instance of ADCIRC

•  One or more structured wave grids –  Multiple instances of STWAVE

•  Half-Plane •  Full-Plane

STWAVE Snaps

ADCIRC Timeline

Need to be able to synchronize both time and spatial frames of reference.

ADCIRC STWAVE

,x yτ τ

, ,u vζ

Information to Exchange

For consistency use the same winds and bathymetry.

22

BUILDING STRONG®

Dr. Chris Massey, ERDC-CHL June 17-21, 2012

The Earth System Modeling Framework

§  The ESMF has multi-agency buy in.

§  Having our models ESMF compliant makes them readily available to be linked with each other and with other agencies’ ESMF compliant models.

§  This leads to expanded collaborations and funding opportunities.

Sponsored By

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BUILDING STRONG®

Dr. Chris Massey, ERDC-CHL June 17-21, 2012 24

CSTORM-MS Coupling

Schematic for CSTORM-MS Version of Tightly Coupled

ADCIRC+STWAVE

•  Controller – 1 cpu •  Coupler – 1 cpu (1 coupler/STWAVE) •  ADCIRC/STWAVE share cpu’s

•  Model coupling between ADCIRC and STWAVE is performed using CSTORM-MS Couplers written in FORTRAN and MPI.

•  One benefit of using the ESMF coupling standards is that the individual codes stay virtually autonomous.

•  Specification of how the two models are to interact is done with a simple control file (mf_config.in).

•  If more than one STWAVE grid is involved, fine detail control over any overlapping regions can be specified by using a (merge_file).

•  Couplers take care of coordinate transformations and interpolations.

Expandable !

PC and HPC applications!

BUILDING STRONG®

Dr. Chris Massey, ERDC-CHL June 17-21, 2012

SMS GUI for Coupler

1 2

3

4

5

6

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BUILDING STRONG®

Dr. Chris Massey, ERDC-CHL June 17-21, 2012

SMS GUI for Coupler

BUILDING STRONG®

Dr. Chris Massey, ERDC-CHL June 17-21, 2012

Project Management Summary View

BUILDING STRONG®

Dr. Chris Massey, ERDC-CHL June 17-21, 2012

Computational Considerations

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ADCIRC+STWAVE

Max Surge (m)

ADCIRC+UnSwan

Max Surge (m)

Models CPUs Time (min)

Total Time (min)

ADC+STWAVE 256 105 26880+780 ADC+UnSwan 256 197 50432

STWAVE

1.28M Elements 650k Nodes 2.5 Day Simulation

BUILDING STRONG®

Dr. Chris Massey, ERDC-CHL June 17-21, 2012

Philosophy: Efficient and Robust

Model Components •  Quasi-3D Shallow Water Hydrodynamics •  Probabilistic Representation of Sediment Transport •  Includes both Wave and Current Transport •  Bed load and Suspended load

Advances in Morphology Response

Shi

p Is

land

Lid

ar

Pre-Katrina

Post-Katrina

Pre-Katrina Post-Katrina Model vs Measured

Modeled

Mississippi Coastal Improvement

Program (MsCIP)

BUILDING STRONG®

Dr. Chris Massey, ERDC-CHL June 17-21, 2012

Coastal Storm - Database and Data Mining Tool

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POC: Jeffrey A. Melby, PhD USACE ERDC Coastal and Hydraulics Lab

[email protected]

2 Mar 2010

Goals –  Develop long-term archive/

database of measured and modeled coastal storm data

–  Make data easily accessible and understandable to team members

–  Integrate contextual data products and tools that support federal decision making

•  Emergency management •  Risk management/assessment/

communication •  Project design and evaluation

BUILDING STRONG®

Dr. Chris Massey, ERDC-CHL June 17-21, 2012

CSTORM-MS

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Next Generation Workflow

•  Expandable

•  Upgradeable

•  Multi-Scale

•  Multi-platform PC to HPC

•  More than Hurricanes

•  Relocatable to your area

Thank You. [email protected]

Spiral 2 – Oct 2012