Credit rating final.ppt

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    Financial Services and System

    Credit Rating

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    An act of assigning values by estimating worth orreputation of solvency and honesty so as to repose

    trust in persons/institutions ability to repay

    Rating is for instruments Institutions also are rated

    Opinion about credit quality is expressed through

    symbols

    Not a recommendation to purchase, sell or hold

    securities

    Credit Rating

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    Increased

    Default Rate

    Assistance toInvestors to

    Judge the

    Issuers

    Credibility

    Need for Rating

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    1841 - Louis Tappan established the first credit

    rating agency in New York

    Robert Dun acquired the agency and published its

    first rating guide in 1959

    1849- John Bradstrreet another mercantile credit

    rating agency and published a ratings book in 1957

    1909 - John Moody started Moodys Rating Agency

    Evolution

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    1916- Poors Publishing Company issued its first

    ratings

    1922 Standard Statistics Company and Fitch

    Publishing Company published their ratings

    1941- Standard Statistics Company and Poors

    Publishing Company merged together and

    Standard and Poor came into existence

    Evolution

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    1982- Duff and Phelps began providing credit ratingservices from Chicago

    1975 - McCarthy, Crisanty and Maffei was founded

    1975 - Xerox Financial Services acquired Mcarthy,

    Crisanty and Maffei

    1991- Xerox Financial Services was merged with Duff

    and Phelps

    Evolution

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    1987 - Credit Rating Information Services of India Ltd..(CRISIL) was started

    1991 - Information and Credit Rating Agency of India

    Ltd.. (ICRA) was started

    1993 - Credit Analysis and Research Ltd.. (CARE) was

    established

    Onida Individual Credit Rating Agency Ltd.. (Onicra)

    was started in the private sector

    1996- Duff and Phelps started rating in India

    Credit Rating Services in India

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    Benefits of Rating to Investors

    Safeguards against bankruptcy

    Recognition of Risks

    Credibility of issuer

    Easy understandability of investment proposal

    Saving of resources

    Independence of investment decision

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    Benefits of Rating to Investors

    Choice of investment

    Promoters evaluation by the investor and avoid

    influence by a group

    Rating surveillance

    Quick understanding of the rated instrument

    Payment of a reasonable price vis--vis credit

    worthinessDefault risk perception

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    Lower cost of borrowing

    Wider audience for borrowing

    Better image

    Self discipline by companies

    Reduction of cost in public issues

    Motivation for growth

    Self assessment of own status

    Benefits to Issuer

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    Opportunity to understand credit worthiness

    Savings of energy spent on analysis

    Benefits to Brokers and Financial Intermediaries

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    Grading debt instruments according to risk

    preferences

    Source of reliable information

    Identification of strength and weaknesses

    Liquidity and marketability of rated securities

    Impact on capital market

    General Advantages

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    Request by the Company or at the instance of the

    rating agency

    Constitution of team of specialists for collecting

    information and analysis of data collected by the

    company

    Visit to the client, site, collection of industry

    information

    Rating Process

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    Presentation of the findings of the team to theinternal committee

    Internal committee preview the data and findings are

    forwarded to the Rating Committee

    Rating Committee communicates provisional rating

    to the client

    Rating Process

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    Rating Process

    The client can request for revision by furnishing

    additional information

    If revision is requested, the Rating Committee

    reviews the rating

    If the rating is accepted by the client, the rating

    will be published and notified to SEBI

    Rating is an ongoing process and subject to

    revision

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    Rating Methodology

    Manufacturing Companies

    Business Analysis

    Industry Risk

    Market Position

    Operating Efficiency

    Legal Position

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    Rating Methodology

    Financial Analysis Accounting quality

    Earnings protection

    Adequacy of cash flow

    Financial flexibility

    Management Evaluation

    Track record of the management, planning and control system,

    depth of managerial talents and succession plans Evaluation of capacity to overcome adverse situations

    Targets, pholosphy and strategies

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    Financial Companies

    Regu latory Environment

    Structure and regulatory frame work

    Trends in regulation/deregulation and their impact on

    the company

    Fundamental Analysis

    Liquidity Management

    Asset Quality Profitability and Financial Position

    Interest and Tax Sensitivity

    Rating Methodology

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    Rating Methodology

    Real Estate Developers/Builders

    Project Risk Analysis

    Legal Title of the Property

    Quality of Construction

    Timelines of Delivery

    Indian States

    Economic Risk

    Political Risk

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    Rating Methodology

    Rating of Equity Grading

    Assessment

    Industry and Business Environment

    Competence and Effectiveness of Management

    Promoters Profile

    Marketing Strategies

    Size and Growth of Revenue

    State of Technology and Operational Efficiency

    Liquidity and Asset Quality

    Hedging of Risks etc.

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    Rating of Banks

    CRAMELS System of Rating

    Capital Adequacy

    Ability to maintain minimum capital adequacy ratio

    Resource Raising Ability Trends and diversity of deposit base

    Trends in cost of funds

    Funding policies, viz.. Tenure matching and interest rate

    sensitivities Future plans

    Rating Methodology

    R i M h d l

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    Rating Methodology

    Asset Quality Quality of appraisal system

    Compliance of prudential norms prescribed by RBI

    Exposure in loan portfolios

    Recovery performance and overdue position

    Level of Non-performing assets

    Management Evaluation

    Management style

    Tenure of personnel

    R ti M th d l

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    Earning potential

    Diversity of income profile

    Trends in income profile

    Trends in investment yields

    Trends in fee-based income and

    Expense level

    Liquidity

    Liquid assets

    Dependence on volatile funds

    Unutilized line of credit

    Rating Methodology

    R ti M th d l

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    Rating Methodology

    System and Procedures

    Accounting Systems

    Control Systems

    Regulatory compliance

    Control systems to prevent frauds

    Systems to ensure compliance of rules and

    regulations

    R ti S b l

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    Rating Symbols

    Rating is communicated through Rating Symbols

    Various credit rating agencies have their own

    rating symbols

    Rating for various instruments differs.

    Some agencies plus or minus to the symbol

    Rating symbols shows highest safety to highest

    chances default.

    M it d D it

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    Merits and Demerits

    Merits

    Investors get expert opinion

    Investors get the financial analysis done by experts

    Enables the company to ensure financial discipline

    Enable the company to access low cost funds

    Rating increases companys reputation

    Demerits

    Rating is expensive

    Rating can bring adverse impact on the company

    Downgrading of rating will affect the companys reputation

    Investors cannot fully rely on the rating

    R l t F k

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    Regulatory Framework

    Regulated by SEBI

    Credit Rating Agencies are required to be registered

    with SEBI

    Registration has to be renewed periodicallySEBI has published code of conduct for Credit

    Rating Agencies

    Rating Agencies are expected to exhibit high

    integrity and fairness in their dealings

    Violation of code of conduct will invite penalty

    including suspension/ cancellation of registration.

    R ti S b l

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    Rating Symbols

    Fixed Deposit

    Short Term Instruments

    Debentures

    Fi d D it

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    Fixed Deposits

    FAAA - Very strong degree of safety

    FAA - Strong degree of safety

    FA - Satisfactory degree of safety

    FB - Inadequate safety

    FC - Doubtful safety

    FD - Issue is either in default or

    likely to defaultCRISIL may apply plus or minus signs for ratings from FAA to

    FC to indicate the relative position

    Sh t T I t t

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    P1 Very strong degree of safety

    P2 Strong degree of safety

    P3 Adequate degree of safety

    P4 Minimal safety of payments andlikely to be affected by short term

    adversities.

    P5 Expected to be in default or is in

    default

    Short Term Instruments

    Debent res

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    Debentures

    AAA Highest safety of timely payment

    of interest and principal.

    AA High safety of timely payment

    A Adequate safety

    BBB Sufficient safety for the present

    B Greater Susceptibility to default

    C Vulnerability to default

    D In default or likely to default on

    maturityCRISIL may apply plus or minus for ratings from AA to D to reflect comparative standing

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    "Hard Work is like a cup of milk. Luck is like

    a spoon of sugar. God always gives sugar tothose who have a cup of milk."

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