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© 2016 Nokia1
Creating new Opportunities with the FutureX Network
Theodore(Tod) Sizer
Nokia Bell Labs
© 2016 Nokia2
Human value: Time
Free Wifi
t
t
© Nokia 20163
We have continuously created tools to augment our physical abilities…and save time
Thinking time….
X 100 X 1000X 500 X 5000
𝑠−1 t
X ??
© Nokia 20164
We have created tools to increase discovery to save time (and waste time?)
Thinking time….
X 10 - X 1000 ?
D t
© Nokia 20165
Need to interface digital & physical realms…to decrease distance and waste, and create time
Thinking time….
© 2016 Nokia6
The Future of All Things and the Creation of Time
Analog Things
Create Time
(by decreasing distance and increasing knowledge
Digital Things
© 2016 Nokia7 <Change information classification in footer>
© 2016 Nokia8
Industrial Revolution
Consumer Evolution
The new digital era
Digitization, delivery & sharing of:
Digitization, distribution & optimization of:
© 2016 Nokia9
The coming revolution
Tech. Revolution Enabling Technology Connectivity
Financial (1600 − 1740) Stocks & Bonds Banking & Stock Market Infrastructure
1st Industrial (1780 − 1840) Steam Engine & Iron Production Rail and Shipping Networks
2nd Industrial (1880 − 1920) Steel & ChemicalsExtended Transportation NetworksElectricity & Telecom Networks
Scientific-Technical (1940 − 1970) Analog & Digital Signal processing Digital Communications Networks
Information (1985 − 2015)The Web, Cloud computing & Mobile devices
Internet & Broadband Access
Automation of Everything (2015 −) Digital interfaces & Data analysis Future X Network
Technological Revolution (def):
Interconnection of new systems and technologies
We arehere
+ capacity to profoundly transform economies & society
© Nokia 201610
An estimated $3.8T-$11T market in 2025 Future of automated systems, platforms, infrastructure
1660
Cities
930
Human
1590
170
930
Worksites
160
850
Outside
560740
Vehicles
210
Home
350
200
1160
Retail
410
2025 size in $ billion, adjusted to 2015Data source: McKinsey Global Institute,
The Internet of Things: Mapping the Value Beyond the Hype, June 2015.
High estimateLow estimate
Factory
3700
1210
Est
ima
ted
20
25
Ma
rke
t si
ze in
$B
© 2016 Nokia11
Latency matters … reducing time to save time
0.1 1 10 100
10
100
1000
10000
(km)
RTT(ms)
Light propagation
3 m/s
100 km/h
150 km/h
Speed 100 ms10 ms1 ms
Distance Traveled
3 mm
4.2 cm
2.8 cm
3 cm
42 cm
28 cm
30 cm
4.2 m
2.8 m
Fundamental truth: Low Latency requirement demands Distributed Cloud Architecture
© 2016 Nokia12
Latency & bandwidth matter … for new digital experiences that save time
Edge CloudCore Cloud
1ms10ms100ms1s10s 100us 10us
1kbps
10kbps
100kbps
1Mbps
10Mbps
100Mbps
1Gbps
10GbpsCloud RAN
360° video (hi-res)
Electric grid control
Cloud-assisted driving
Autonomous vehicles
Comms & Chatbots
4k Video streaming
Sensors
Home Sensors
Haptic VR
Remotetraining
360° video (free viewpoint)
Remote control vehiclesHD Video
streaming
360° video (lo-res)
Ban
dw
idth
Latency
Video VR/AR
People & Things
SystemControl
Virtual RAN
360° VR/AR
We arehere
© 2016 Nokia13
The New Architecture for New Value
ConvergedEdge Cloud
2 Software defined, end-end
Smart Network Fabric3
Universal Adaptive Core
4Access agnosticconverged core
modular, decomposednetwork functions
Common data layer
Programmable Network OS
5Dynamiccustomerservices
Dynamicnetwork optimization
Management &Orchestration
SDN NFV
Multi-operatorfederation
self-optimizedcoverage & capacity
MassiveScale Access
1
Long fibers
AccessRemote
Shortwaves & wires
Digital Value Platforms
7 ANP, CSP, ICP, Vertical apps
External data sources
Open APIs
Augmented Cognition Systems
6 Machine learningAnalytics
Humans& Machines
Dynamic Data Security
8
• New trust framework
• Ecosystem sharing
• Mass edge monitoring
© Nokia 201614
Providing Ultra Reliable, Low Latency Systems
Future Communication Network for Industrial Applications
other remote factory sites
data analytics
video processing
data aggregation
control
edgecloud
mobile-edge computing
The Internet
network slicing
control center
back-end cloud
mobile robots and controllers
machine-human interaction
URLLC
URLLC + broadband
mMTC
sensors
New Capabilities create new solutions for machine to machine communication.
© Nokia 201615
No Changes to Industry Standard InterfacesFactory Test Platform
Auxiliary wireless (LTE or WiFi)
BOSCH APAS Robot
Safety HMS Gateway
IoT Proxy Network NUC PC
BOSCH Rexroth Controller
Machine UEIoT Proxy Terminal
Raspberry Pi
Base-Station
Profinet Protocol
Profinet Protocol
Sensor – Alarm Device
Lean IoTProtocol
Lean IoTProtocol
Light Barrier
mMTC and URLLC (Band 7)
2 to 2.5 ms is a typical required delay between the alarm detection and
message delivery to the controller
© Nokia 201616
Round Trip Time Measurements
5G offers superior low latency connection with high reliability
© Nokia 201617
Ultra Reliable Low Latency Control and flexible Networks
Industrial Robotics Cooperative Collision Avoidance
Volvo Use case
3D Printing - Construction
TeleoperationCooperative Drone ControlDrone Installation of Nokia LTE FCell
18 © Nokia 2016
Converged Access
What: Universal remote node fully programmable for converged 5G mobile and fixed access exploiting deep fiber access.
Benefit: Common access node, common site usage, Multi-Access speed increase.
NetControl
(X)G-Fast
< 100 m
“5G-Fast”(mmW)
DOCSIS 3.1XG-Cable
mMIMOLTE 5G L2/L3
L1
0.1
1
10
100
1000
10000
100000
1990 2000 2010 2020
Capacit
y in M
bps
Year
Convergence @10Gbps
Wireless Cell
DSL Node (small)
DSL Node (large)
Cable Node
Similar architecture Similar throughput
Leverage commonalities to realize truly converged universal remote
Similar signal format
G.fastsignal flow
BaselineLTE
signal flow
DTU FECModMap
VectorPrecoder
iFFT CP in
DTU FEC-1 DemodDe-map
VectorPostcoder
FFT CP out
Packethandling
Errorcorrection
Modulation & Mapping
Cross-talkcancellation
Fast FourierTransform
CyclicPrefix
MAC FECMIMO
PrecoderiFFT CP in
MAC FEC-1 DemodDe-map
MIMOPostcoder
FFT CP out
Retransmission
Retransmission
ModMap
Function benefiting from HW accelerationFunction executed on general purpose processor
19 © Nokia 2016
Future Broadband Access ArchitectureUniversal Remote Access Node
LT
LT
LT
LT
LT
TOR
LT
Metro
SDN controller
Net OS
Edge Cloud
Fiber
Wireless
Future PON
Universal
Remote
(X)G.fast
Cable
…vANC
vCPE
vCPE
vCPE
vCPE
TOR
vANC
Universal
RemotevBNG
vCDN
vCDN
vRAN
vRAN
TOR
vBNG
OLT
Imagine a converged network at fiber-like access speeds and fully programmable
20 © Nokia 2016
Is 5G the last “G”? Should this be our ambition?
Nokia Internal Use
Move to Software/Cloud based Solutions
Capabilities of SDR and SDN are now largely sufficient
Software flexibility can allow continuous network adaptation and improvement
Software support for new applications.
Human Needs for Communication are evolving faster than every 10 years
5G initiatives in Korea and the US are moving faster than standardization.
Usage is exploding.
Dependence is Growing.
New uses proliferating.
Myriad new and diverse devices will dominate
Smartphones and variants will continue.
Ubiquitous connection of machines with new requirements.
5G standard must build Phy layer flexibility into the standard.
Software systems together with rapid service introduction will force market acceleration
21 © Nokia 2016