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How Prepared is Your Community for the Coming “Age Wave”?
Aging in Our Communities Team
Family Living Programs2010 Statewide Cooperative Extension Conference
October 20, 2010 - Madison, WI
Are America’s Communities Ready for the Impacts of an Aging Population?
Maturing of America Survey (2005) – sent to 10,000 communities nationwide
FINDING: Only 46% of U.S. communities have even begun planning efforts to prepare for the impacts of an aging population.
Audience participation using “response cards”
What is your currentage?
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0%
0%
0%
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1. Under 312. 31-40 3. 41-504. 51-605. 61-706. 71-807. Over 80
Which of the following best describes your county?
0%
0%
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0%1. Predominately rural2. Predominately urban3. Mixed4. Don’t know
How prepared is your community/county for the coming “age wave” ?
2007 ReportNational Association of Area Agencies of Aging
SEE PACKET HANDOUT
HOUSING: “Are assisted living optionsavailable and affordable to a broadrange of residents?”
0%
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0%1. Yes2. No3. Don’t know
PLANNING AND ZONING: “Can residents safely and convenientlyget necessary goods and servces w/ohaving to drive?”
0%
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0%1. Yes2. No3. Don’t know
TRANSPORTATION: “Can most residents walk or use communitytransportation to get to a grocery store,doctor’s office, or pharmacy?”
0%
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0%1. Yes2. No3. Don’t know
HEALTH AND SUPPORTIVE SERVICES: “Are inexpensive transportation services offered to and from health care facilities?”
0%
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0%1. Yes2. No3. Don’t know
CULTURE AND LIFELONG LEARNING: “Does the library in your community have a program to deliver books to people in their homes?”
0%
0%
0%1. Yes2. No3. Don’t know
PUBLIC SAFETY: “Would most older adults say they feel safe living in the community?”
0%
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0%1. Yes2. No3. Don’t know
CIVIC ENGAGEMENT AND VOLUNTEER OPPORTUNITIES: “Have older adults been surveyed about their volunteer interests?”
0%
0%
0%1. Yes2. No3. Don’t know
Presentation Outline
• PART 1: Population Aging
• PART 2: Impacts of Aging Populations
• PART 3: Creating Aging-Friendly Communities
AgingWhether we like it or not (or whether we admit it or not), all of us – as individuals - experience aging.
What are some common ways to measure human aging?
Aging in human beings can be measured in a number of ways: chronological, biological, psychological, social, functional, etc.
How is Population Aging Measured?
Measuring/Tracking Population Aging
• Number of persons age 65+ in a population• Percent of a population age 65+ • Median age: the age that divides a
population into numerically equal parts• Number of years that it takes for the
percent persons age 65+ in a population to rise from 7 to 14 percent
Population Aging
Global National State County
Population Aging: A Global Perspective
Within the next 10 years, for the first time in human history….
…the percentage (and number) of persons age 65+ in the world will be greater than those age 5 and younger!
Median Age in 12 Countries
• By the year 2030, the median age of the entire developed world is projected to be 45.
• In Japan and much of southern and eastern Europe, it will be over 50.
From 1900 through 2003, life expectancy at birth increased from 48 to 75 years for men (a gain of 27 years) and from 51 to 80 years for women (a gain of 30 years).
Increase in Life Expectancy: 1900-2003
Increase in Number of Americans Age 65+
?January 2011: Beginning of the “Age Wave”
Percentage of Americans Age 65 and Older: 1900-2050
Aging of the Baby Boomers…• When the baby boomers (aka “aging” boomers) start turning 65 in January 2011, approximately 10,000
people will turn 65 every day— and this trend will continue for 20 years!
• By 2030, one out of every five Americans—some 72 million people—will be 65 years or older.
• By 2050, the 65+ population is projected to be between 80 and 90 million, with those 85 and older close to 21 million.
Percentage of Americans Age 65 Expected to Survive to Age 90
Growth of U.S. Centenarians
100+!
Projected Percentage Increases in the Number of Persons 65+ by Race: 1995-2050
Source: ““A Portrait of Older Minorities” (AARP, 1993)
Population Aging: Wisconsin
Percent of Population Age 65+State Rankings (2000 Census)
Ranked 1st 17.6% Ranked 20th 13.1%
Wisconsin Projections
800,000 to almost 1.5 million
Population Pyramids for Wisconsin 1900 and 2035
Population Aging in Wisconsin:A County Perspective
• In the 2000 Census, almost 18% of Florida’s population was age 65+. By 2035, which Wisconsin counties will have this same percentage or higher?
• In terms of median age, which Wisconsin counties are the oldest?
See Packet Handout: County Population Projections Through 2035
Population Aging in WisconsinPercentage of Persons Age 65+ by County: 2010-2035
Wisconsin’s Age Wave
See Packet Handout
By the year 2035, will the percentof persons age 65+ in your countybe greater than was the case forFlorida in the 2000 Census (~18%)?
0%
0%
0%1. Yes2. No3. Don’t know
Median Age by County (2007)
Oldest Counties:Iron County-- 47.6 yearsVilas County– 46.9 yearsDoor County– 46.1 yearsFlorence County– 45.7 yearsPrice County– 45.6 years
Youngest Counties:Menominee County– 28.0 yearsDunn County– 31.9 yearsEau Claire County– 33.8 yearsPierce County– 34.1 yearsPortage County– 34.7 years
Fastest Aging Counties: Change in Median Age between 2000-2007
Price County: 41.7 –> 45.6
Wood County: 38.0 –> 41.9
Florence County: 41.9 –> 45.7
Ozaukee County: 38.9 –> 42.4
Manitowoc County: 38.3 –> 41.6
Current median age in the United States is 36.7
Preparing for the “Age Wave”To ensure that older Americans don’t just add years to their lives, but that quality is added to those years, it will require PLANNING on behalf of individuals, families, and communities.
At the national, state, county and community level, an important step in the planning process is to examine the impacts of an aging population.
What Impacts Will Population Aging Have on Wisconsin Communities?
Families Housing Transportation Other?
What Impacts Will Population Aging Have on Wisconsin Communities?
See Packet Handout: Small Group Activity – Identifying Impacts
How Will the Aging Population Impact Wisconsin Families?
How Will the Aging Population Impact Housing?
How Will the Aging Population Impact Transportation?
• What are the key attributes or characteristics of aging-friendly communities; that is, when can you tell whether a community offers a supportive environment for persons of all ages, including those who are elderly?
• How can a community measure the extent to which it is aging-friendly?
Creating Aging-Friendly Communities
See Packet Handout - Small Group Activity:Qualities of Aging-Friendly Communities
Qualities or Attributes of an Aging-Friendly Community
• Inclusive• Sustainable• Healthy• Accessible• Interdependent• Engaged
Source: Thomas, W. H., & Blanchard, J. M. (2009). Moving beyond Place: Aging in community. Generations, 33(2), 12-17.
Examples of Wisconsin Communities and Counties Who Have Started to Plan
See Packet Handout: Resources
UW Extension Blog: http://fyi.uwex.edu/agingfriendlycommunities/
See Packet Handout
??Questions We All Need to Ask ??
• Is your community a good place to grow up and grow old?
• Will your community meet your needs when you are 65, 75, 85, 95…or even 105?
• If not, what can you do now to begin to make your community a friendly and supportive environment for persons of all ages?
Are you willing to take the risk?
