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/ Slide 1 Kaufman Brothers 13 th Annual Investor Conference Craig DeYoung, VP Investor Relations New York, New York September 14, 2010

Craig DeYoung, VP Investor Relations - ASML · Craig DeYoung, VP Investor Relations New York, New ... included in ASML’s Annual Report on Form 20-F and ... Jan-08 Feb-08 Mar-08

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/ Slide 1

Kaufman Brothers 13th Annual Investor Conference

Craig DeYoung, VP Investor Relations

New York, New York

September 14, 2010

/ Slide 2

Safe Harbor

"Safe Harbor" Statement under the US Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of

1995: the matters discussed in this document may include forward-looking

statements, including statements made about our outlook, realization of backlog, IC

unit demand, financial results, average selling price, gross margin and expenses.

These forward looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties including,

but not limited to: economic conditions, product demand and semiconductor

equipment industry capacity, worldwide demand and manufacturing capacity

utilization for semiconductors (the principal product of our customer base),

including the impact of general economic conditions on consumer confidence and

demand for our customers’ products, competitive products and pricing, the impact

of manufacturing efficiencies and capacity constraints, the pace of new product

development and customer acceptance of new products, our ability to enforce

patents and protect intellectual property rights, the risk of intellectual property

litigation, availability of raw materials and critical manufacturing equipment, trade

environment, changes in exchange rates and other risks indicated in the risk factors

included in ASML’s Annual Report on Form 20-F and other filings with the US

Securities and Exchange Commission.

/ Slide 3

Agenda

� General update

� ASML Business/Market Overview

� Outlook summary

/ Slide 4

General update

/ Slide 5

General update

� Short term: no change

� No customer has delayed shipment of any tool

� Meeting customer demand remains challenging

� Technology conversions continue in each sector

� Bit capacity grows while minimal wafer capacity added

� Medium term: the business may fluctuate

� Continued urgent demand for tools at ASML customers

BUT:

� General Macroeconomic worries

� Cisco cautious and Intel reduces guidance due to PC demand weakness

� Rumored slowdown at Samsung, TSMC, etc

ASML remains diligent in it’s communication with customers in order to detect

any changes in their short/medium term outlook

/ Slide 6

ASML business/market overview

/ Slide 7

685 629949 919

183

742

763 942

930 844

277

1,069

533

958

934

697

555

548

1,053

955

494

581

2369

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Ne

t sa

les Q4

Q3

Q2

Q1

Total net sales M€

2,529

3,5823,768

Numbers have been rounded for readers’ convenience.

2,954

1,596

Guidance: 2010 sales

to grow 10 -15% above historical peak of

€ 3.8 billion

/ Slide 8

Backlog: Record value with 30% less units, ASP grows 60%+ vs prior peak backlog, not creating “oversupply”

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

Ja

n 0

4

Ju

l 04

Ja

n 0

5

Ju

l 05

Ja

n 0

6

Ju

l 06

Ja

n 0

7

Ju

l 07

Ja

n 0

8

Ju

l 08

Ja

n 0

9

Ju

l 09

Ja

n 1

0

Ju

l 10

Ba

cklo

g v

alu

e M

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

Backlog value Units

Backlo

g in u

nitsASP 14.6 ASP 23.8

Units

ASPs

148

101

/ Slide 9

Market overview

� Semiconductor unit growth back to historical trend, “catch

up” capacity investments required in all sectors after a long

period of slow capacity growth

� Share of new technology nodes in total semiconductor

market accelerating as shrink continues to enable reduced

chip cost and increased bit growth

� New technologies nodes require much more immersion

layers and litho tool capacity than actual installed base

allows

/ Slide 10

NAND

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

2008 2009 2010 2011

Imm

ers

ion

Exp

os

ure

s

Snapshot based on average customer product mix (300mm) and layer stacks

DRAM

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

2008 2009 2010 2011

Imm

ers

ion

Exp

os

ure

s

LOGIC

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

2008 2009 2010 2011

Imm

ers

ion

Exp

os

ure

s

MPU

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

2008 2009 2010 2011

Imm

ers

ion

Exp

os

ure

s

Year

Node 8x,6x 6x,5x 5x,4x 4x,3X

Year

Node 5x,4x 4x,3x 4x,3x 3x,2x

Year

Node 9x,6x 9x,6x 6x,4x 6x,4x

Year

Node 6x,4x 6x,4x 4x,3x 3x,2x

Node transitions consume growing numbers of immersion tools while adding little wafer capacity

/ Slide 11

Technology transitions continue with capacity additions required in 2011 to meet forecasted demand*

Wafe

r S

tart

s [

300

mm

eq

uiv

. K

WS

M]

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

16008x nm – 200 mm

9x nm – 200 mm

1XX nm – 200 mm

Max. capacity

6x nm

8x nm

9x nm

2x nm

3x nm

4x nm

5x nm

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

2008 2009 2010 2011

Wafe

r S

tart

s [

300

mm

eq

uiv

. K

WS

M]

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

16008x nm – 200 mm

9x nm – 200 mm

1XX nm – 200 mm

Max. capacity

6x nm

8x nm

9x nm

2x nm

3x nm

4x nm

5x nm

8x nm – 200 mm

9x nm – 200 mm

1XX nm – 200 mm

Max. capacity

6x nm

8x nm

9x nm

6x nm

8x nm

9x nm

2x nm

3x nm

4x nm

5x nm

2x nm

3x nm

4x nm

5x nm

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

2008 2009 2010 2011

DRAM NAND

Wafe

r S

tart

s [

300

mm

eq

uiv

. K

WS

M]

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

2008 2009 2010 2011

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400 5x nm – 200 mm

6x nm – 200 mm

7x nm – 200 mm

Max. capacity

5x nm

6x nm

7x nm

1x nm

2x nm

3x nm

4x nm

5x nm – 200 mm

6x nm – 200 mm

7x nm – 200 mm

Max. capacity

5x nm

6x nm

7x nm

1x nm

2x nm

3x nm

4x nm

5x nm – 200 mm

6x nm – 200 mm

7x nm – 200 mm

Max. capacity

5x nm – 200 mm

6x nm – 200 mm

7x nm – 200 mm

Max. capacity

5x nm

6x nm

7x nm

5x nm

6x nm

7x nm

1x nm

2x nm

3x nm

4x nm

1x nm

2x nm

3x nm

4x nm

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

2008 2009 2010 2011

Logic+DSP+MCU

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

Wafe

r K

WS

M

6x nm

9x nm

130 nm

2x nm

3x nm

4x nm

5x nm

6x nm

9x nm

130 nm

6x nm

9x nm

130 nm

2x nm

3x nm

4x nm

5x nm

*Litho demand in line with Gartner bit growth demand forecast for DRAM 52%, for NAND 76% in 2011.

Logic demand forecast is 17% unit growth in 2011

Source: ASML Simulation model (6/10)

MPU

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

6x nm

9x nm

2x nm

3x nm

4x nm

2008 2009 2010 2011

Wafe

r K

WS

M

6x nm

9x nm

2x nm

3x nm

4x nm

/ Slide 12

MAIN DRAM SPOT & CONTRACT PRICES (01/2008 - 2010YTD)

0.4

0.8

1.2

1.6

2

2.4

2.8

Ja

n-0

8

Fe

b-0

8

Ma

r-0

8

Ap

r-0

8

Ma

y-0

8

Ju

n-0

8

Ju

l-0

8

Au

g-0

8

Se

p-0

8

Oc

t-0

8

No

v-0

8

De

c-0

8

Ja

n-0

9

Fe

b-0

9M

ar-

09

Ap

r-0

9

Ma

y-0

9

Ju

n-0

9

Ju

l-0

9

Au

g-0

9

Se

p-0

9

Oc

t-0

9

No

v-0

9

De

c-0

9

Ja

n-1

0

Fe

b-1

0M

ar-

10

Ap

r-1

0

Ma

y-1

0

Ju

n-1

0

Ju

l-1

0

Au

g-1

0

Ch

ip A

SP

[$

US

]

1Gb DDR2 800 MHz SPOT PRICE

1Gb DDR2 800 MHz CONTRACT PRICE

1Gb DDR3 1066 MHz SPOT PRICE

1Gb DDR3 1066 MHzCONTRACT PRICE

Source: DRAMeXchange (31/8/2010), ASML MCC

DRAM prices further weakened in August

Still good margins for all DRAM manufacturers

300 mm cash-costs for 5x nm 1 Gb DRAM between 0.8 & 0.9 USD

300 mm cash-costs for 7x nm 1 Gb

DRAM between 1.4 & 1.6 USD

300 mm cash-costs for 6x nm 1 Gb DRAM between 1.0 & 1.2 USD

DRAM

1,6 US$ cash profit

per DDR3 IC (>65% GM, if made at

5x nm)

300 mm cash-costs for 4x nm 1 GbDRAM between 0.65 & 0.75 USD

/ Slide 13

Technology Leadership - Reinforced

Source: ASML

Immersion Lithography:

- Installed Base >160 Systems- leading performance on CD imaging uniformity well below 1 nm and overlay of less than 2 nm-More than 20 NXT installed and producing-38 NXT systems in backlog end Q2 ’10

EUV:- 6 systems shipping thru mid 2011- Taking orders for 2012

NXT:1950i

NXE:3100

/ Slide 14

Outlook summary

/ Slide 15

Outlook summary

� Short term: no change

� Memory customers continue strategic node shrinks and planned capacity addition to meet long term memory demand

� As Foundry sector competition heats up; customers shrink to support growing leading edge demand and add capacity for future

� MPU sector prepares for 22nm ramp consuming increasing quantities of leading edge tools

� Medium term: the business may fluctuate

� Short/Medium term supply/demand issues may present themselves in some sectors

� Long term: sound growth opportunity

� End demand drivers in mobile internet, smart phones, PC’s, tablets, etc…remain solid

� Continued ASP improvement in leading edge tools

� Long term modeling suggests revenue opportunities well beyond current target

/ Slide 16