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8/4/2019 Cowen Healthcare 10 March 2010
1/18
Julian Heslop
Chief Financial Officer
Cowen Healthcare Conference10th March 2010
1
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2009 Performance summary Beforerestructuring costs
ange
m m CER
Turnover 28,368 24,352 3 16
EPS 121.2p 104.7p 2 16
Free Cash Flow 5,254 4,679 12
2
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Turnover growth despite decline in US Pharma
+7%-13%
Rest ofPharma
2.2bn
4.7bn US growth rate impacted by
losses to generics
+22%
USPharma9.2bn
EmergingMarkets Ph
1.6bn
EuropePharma
3.0bn+20%
.
3
.CER growth ratesRest of Pharma includes Stiefel sales of 248m
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GSK Emerging Markets Pharma 2009 turnover
2009 3.0bn (+20%)
SSA
By region Top markets
(+24%)
China*MENA
16%)
%)
0%)
)
CIS
(+
(
+
(+
1
22%)
(+28%)
+56%)(+6
%
(+36%)
m
South
((
Latina
4
*China includes HKSource: Turnover and growth is GSK 2009 as reported. Growth rates are CER. Rankings are IMS MAT Dec 09Emerging markets by industry definitions incl Consumer and additional markets was 5.6bn (+16%)
GSK ranking # 11 5 3 13 7 1 16 1 1
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Pharmaceuticals turnover analysis
2009 2008 % Change
m m CER
Core* 19,060 15,992 +5%
Influenza** 1,814 338 >100%
Core + influenza 20,874 16,330 +12%
Avandia 771 805 -16%
Products im acted b enerics*** 2 069 3 246 -45%
Total 23,714 20,381 +2%
* Core includes 378m related to 2009 bolt-on acquisitions (e.g. Stiefel and transactions in EMs).
** Influenza includes Relenza and vaccines related to annual influenza, H5N1 pre-pandemic and
5
.
*** Products impacted by generics comprises US sales of Coreg, Imitrex, Lamictal, Paxil, Requip,Valtrex, Wellbutrin and Zofran plus Europe sales of Imitrex, Lamictal, Paxil and Zofran.
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2009 Pharmaceuticals key growth drivers
Advair 4,977m +5%
acc nes , m +
Relenza 720m >100%
Avodart 530m +16%
pz com m +
en o n m +Lovaza 450m +31%
r x ra m +
Tykerb 169m +45%eramyst 142m +72%
Subtotal 11,971m +23%
6
All others 8,903m +1%Subtotal 20,874m +12%
CER growth rates
* Includes H1N1 sales
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New products contributed 1.3bn in 2009 (+55%). .
Pandemrix
Hiberix
US US
7
2008 20092007
Sales from 2007-09 launches; CER growth rates
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Innovative products coming from R&D
in late-stage development
Benl sta
darapladib
~30 phase III assets
MAGE-3
8
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2009 Consumer Healthcare turnover
Horlicks255m +17%
NutritionalHealthcare
Lucozade376m -3%
Panadol393m +10%
OTC Medicines
0.9bn (+3%)
Aquafresh496m -1%
2.3bn (+8%)OralHealthcare1.5bn (+7%)
203m >100%
Sensodyne
NRT339m -1%
9
4.7bn +7%CER growth rates
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2009 Performance summary Beforerestructuring costs
2009 2008 % Change
Turnover 28,368 24,352 3 16
Cost of goods (7,09525.0
)%
(5,77623.7
)%
13 23
: ore ,30.3%
,27.7%
Le al costs 591 611 18 3
Total SG&A (9,200) (7,352) 6 25. .
10% in italics are % of turnover
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2009 Cost of goods analysis Beforerestructuring costs
Cost of goods sold as % of turnover
+0.1%+0.6%
+1.2%
-0.6%
25.0%
23.7%
2008 Generic
com etition
Regional /
Product mix
OE savings Other 2009
11
US and EU
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2009 SG&A analysis excl. legal Beforerestructuring costs
SG&A excluding legal as % of turnover
+0.7%
+1.2%
30.3%+1.6%-1.4%
.
27.7%
2008 OE Savings Investment
markets
Stiefel / HIV Exchange
Gains /
Pensions /
Other
2009
12
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2009 Performance summary Beforerestructuring costs
2009 2008 % Change
Turnover 28,368 24,352 3 16
Cost of goods (7,09525.0
)%
(5,77623.7
)%
13 23
& 9,20032.4%
7,35230.2%
6 25
R&D 3 951 3 506 2 13
13.9% 14.4%
Other oper. income 1,135 541
Operating profit 9,25732.6%
8,25933.9%
(1) 12
13% in italics are % of turnover
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Other operating income
1,135m
Formation of ViiV
Equity disposals& other
Product &IP divestments
Royalties &
Im airments
142009 2008
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Net debt / Free cash flow
1,270m,
5,254m
9,444m10,173m
3,003m
Net debt YE Free Cash Dividends Acquisitions Exchange Net debt YE
15
2008 Flow & other 2009
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Committed to improving returns in R&D
R&D returns over the last decadehave been disappointing1
Our estimates for GSKslate-stage portfolio2
Our goal is to improve this returnby 25% via our R&D strategy
15% 15%15%
10% 10%10%
IRR
5% 5%5%
0% 0%0%
16
1. McKinsey, Nature Reviews, Drug Discovery(Aug 09) for small molecules. 13% for biopharms.2. We have estimated the projected rate of return based on the investment made to create our late stage pipeline and our expectations on future long term
sales performance. Our current late-stage portfolio includes pharma assets (eg small molecules and biopharms) and vaccines launched from 2007onwards plus current phase IIb & III pipeline.
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Highlights
Diversification is progressing well: Stiefel, HIV
estructur ng sav ng as een re nveste n growt mar ets
Additional restructuring will deliver significant savingsm y ; ~ o e o om ne
R&D model is working and new product flow is improving
Actions ongoing to improve returns in R&D
Stron cash eneration continued in 09: FCF of 5.3bn (+12%)
Dividend growth continues (+7% to 61 pence)
17
begins 1Q10
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