COVID-19 Update 2077 Falgun 18 / 2 March 2021/ Tuesday

Government of Nepal Ministry of Health and Population

1

Topline Summary Out of 2,170,112 RT-PCR tests done 274,294 cases are positive. Cumulative positivity rate:

12.6%; Positivity rate of the new cases: 1.9%. 98.6% of the total cases have recovered; 0.36% (974) of the cases are active; A total of 2777 COVID-19 deaths reported till date. The most common comorbidity

identified in fatal cases was hypertension (39.9%). Death reported in last 24 hours: 0 New cases reported from 20 districts. 38% of the total cases and 42.3% of the new cases are female. Of the total 83 RT-PCR testing laboratories, 48 (57.8%) are Public. 429,875 people have received 1st dose of COVID-19 Vaccine; No severe AEFI cases

reported so far. Second phase of COVID-19 vaccination campaign will start from 2077 Falgun 23, Sunday.

2077 Falgun 18, Tuesday

2

RT-PCR Tests

Total Cases

Positivity Rate (%)

Active Cases

Recovered Cases

Death People

Vaccinated People in

Quarantine

2,170,112 274,294 12.6 974 (0.36%)

270,543 (98.6%)

2,777 (1.0%) 429,875 58

[4,127] [78] [1.9] [72] [0] Total [new cases in the last 24 hours]

HIGHLIGHTS 2077 Falgun 18, Tuesday

3

46

5

2

1

10

2

1

3

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

Kath

man

du

Ch

itaw

an

Lalit

pu

r

Bh

akta

pu

r

Kask

i

Naw

alp

aras

i Eas

t

Syan

gja

Dan

g

Bar

diy

a

Ban

ke

Naw

alp

aras

i Wes

t

Ru

pan

deh

i

Dai

lekh

Saly

an

Kaila

li

Bagmati (54) Gandaki (13) Lumbini (8) Karnali (2) Sudurpaschim (1)

No cases wee reported on Falgun 18 from Province 1 and Province 2

New COVID-19 Cases Reported on 2077 Falgun 18, by District (15) [N = 78]

Female, 42.30%

Male, 57.70%

Kathmandu District 46 59.0%

Kathmandu Valley 49 62.8%

4

COVID-19 Cases by Age Group and Sex

1.0 1.4

2.0

4.5

11.7

15.0

14.1

12.0

9.3

7.3

6.4

4.5

3.3

2.5 1.9

1.2 0.8 0.5

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

16.0

0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85+

Pe

rce

nta

ge

Years

[0-19 Years: 8.9%]

[60 plus Years: 10.2%]

[20-59 Years: 80.3%]

Female, 38.4%

Male, 61.6%

Female Male

5

COVID-19 Cases by Sex and Province [N=274,294]

11,159 3,691

59,759

6,356 9,673 1,650 3,919

19,388

17,174

91,327

12,933

21,310

4,873 11,082

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

Province 1 Province 2 Bagmati Gandaki Lumbini Karnali Sudurpaschim

Female Male

1 6

59

50

17

2

30

3

81

7 18

34

21

00

32

70

37

04

31

82

12

28

78

3

98

1

16

03

25

06

34

27

50

98

62

23

79

37

78

43

96

77

90

24

12

74

9

21

11

4 2

36

20

25

92

9

15

51

0

20

89

3

16

66

3

10

34

0

12

08

4

91

62

77

08

47

61

45

16

37

38

30

83

28

97

18

58

16

74

95

2

75

1

73

7

72

2

22

9

0

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21

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28

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11

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18

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Jes

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25

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Jes

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32

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11

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18

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25

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14

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21

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2-8

Fal

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9-1

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16

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Fal

gun

COVID-19 New Cases by Weeks

7

8

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000 2

Sh

raw

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18

COVID-19 New Cases: Daily and Weekly Moving Average

New Cases Weekly Moving Average

COVID-19 New Cases by Month Magh 2076 to Magh 2077

1 12 228

5,519

11,417 9,483

31,667

67,810

83,639

40,404

15,963

6,414

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

35000

40000

45000

50000

55000

60000

65000

70000

75000

80000

85000

90000

upto Magh 2076

Chaitra 2076 Baishak 2077 Jestha 2077 Asar 2077 Shrawan 2077 Bhadra 2077 Ashoj 2077 Kartik 2077 Mangsir 2077 Poush 2077 Magh 2077

No

of

Cas

es

Months 9

Estimated and Reported New Cases by Month (as of 2077 Magh 30)

1,9

69

,15

9

1,6

28

,85

9

-

500,000

1,000,000

1,500,000

2,000,000

2,500,000

2077 Asar-Ashoj

Estimated and Reported New Cases

2077 Asar-Ashoj Estimated New Cases

Reported New Cases

88

,25

1

46

,69

8

10

,59

0

2,5

68

14

8,1

07

83

,63

9

40

,40

4

15

,96

3

6,4

14

14

6,4

20

-

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

2077 Kartik 2077 Mangsir 2077 Poush 2077 Magh Total of the quarter (Kartik - Magh 2077)

Estimated and Reported New Cases 2077 Kartik -Magh

Estimated New Cases Reported New Cases

10

Severe Acute Respiratory Illness (SARI) Cases reported in 2018, 2019, 2020 and 2021

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

W1

W2

W3

W4

W5

W6

W7

W8

W9

W1

0

W1

1

W1

2

W1

3

W1

4

W1

5

W1

6

W1

7

W1

8

W1

9

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0

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1

W2

2

W2

3

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4

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5

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6

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7

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8

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4

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7

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8

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4

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5

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6

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0

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1

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3

2021 2018 2019 2020

12553 10594

7483

1062

0

5000

10000

15000

2018 2019 2020 2021

SARI Cases

Epi Week 6 Year SARI Cases 2021 117 2020 302 2019 238 2018 221

EWARS sentinel sites are expanded from 82 in 2018 to 118 in 2020.

Source: EWARS Bulletins, EDCD

COVID-19 Deaths [N=2777]

1 4 8 13 20 22 27 34 38 40 45 56 73 102 146 207

280 336

401 467

528 614

727 842

937

1087 1215

1305

1454 1577

1689 1777 1819 1870 1912 1954 1994 2027 2038 2054 2065

2773 2777

1 3 4 5 7 2 5 7 4 2 5 11 17 29 44 61 73 56 65 66 61 86 113 115 95 150 128 90 149 123 112 88 42 51 42 42 40 33 11 16 11

708

4 0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

Weekly (cumulative) Weekly (new)

712 Missing cases has been added for the week 9 to 15 Falgun

Definition of COVID-19 death: A COVID-19 death is defined for surveillance purposes as a death resulting from a clinically compatible illness in a probable or confirmed COVID-19 case, unless there is a clear alternative cause of death that cannot be related to COVID-19 disease (e.g., trauma). There should be no period of complete recovery between the illness and death [Source: WHO]

Nu

mb

er o

f C

OV

ID-1

9 D

eath

s

20 19 65

275 336

506 509

207

117

723

0 40 80

120 160 200 240 280 320 360 400 440 480 520 560 600 640 680 720 760

NU

MB

ER O

F C

OV

ID-1

9 D

EATH

S

MONTHS

12

Age group Positive cases Deaths Age specific case fatality rate

(%)#

0-4 2,730 8 0.29 5-9 3,717 3 0.08

10-14 5,373 1 0.02 15-19 12,301 18 0.15 20-24 32,080 29 0.09 25-29 41,072 36 0.09 30-34 38,683 58 0.15 35-39 32,908 79 0.24 40-44 25,400 94 0.37 45-49 20,005 125 0.62 50-54 17,673 142 0.80 55-59 12,325 195 1.58 60-64 9,107 194 2.13 65-69 6,807 241 3.54 70-74 5,098 296 5.81 75-79 3,399 217 6.38 80-84 2,096 180 8.59 85+ 1,474 145 9.84

Age Missing 2,046 4 0.20 Death Details not received for 712 cases

* Case fatality ratio

(%)

Number of deaths from COVID-19 X 100

Number of confirmed cases of COIVD-19

Source: https://www.who.int/publications/i/item/WHO-2019-nCoV-Sci-Brief-Mortality-2020.1

Place of Death N

Home 32 Hospital 2010 Institutional Isolation 2 On the way to Hospital 16 Institutional Quarantine 4 Street 1 Details not received 712 Total 2777

13

39.90 36.00

33.20

25.70

9.30 5.20 4.40

2.10 1.00 0.80 0.00

5.00

10.00

15.00

20.00

25.00

30.00

35.00

40.00

45.00 Comorbidities of COVID 19 (N=2065)

Note: Comorbidity not mentioned in 583deaths Death line list of 709 cases details Is not analyzed Source: Provisional data reported at EDCD

Age Specific case fatality, place of death and comorbidities

Milestones on RT-PCR Tests Highest positivity rate (%) 34.8 10 Kartik 5,006 tests with 1741 positive cases 2nd Highest positivity rate (%) 28.6 21 Kartik 10,153 test with 2909 positive cases

3rd Highest positivity rate (%) 28.5 5 Kartik 20,118 tests with 5743 positive cases

Highest number of RT-PCR tests 20,118 5 Kartik 5,743 positive cases with 28.5% positivity rate 2nd Highest number of RT-PCR tests 19,320 24 Ashoj 5008 positive cases with 25.9% positivity rate Highest number of positive cases 5743 5 Kartik 20,118 tests with 28.5% positivity rate 2nd Highest number of positive cases 5008 24 Ashoj 19,320 tests with 25.9% positivity rate Highest number of districts reporting new cases 71 30 Ashoj and 17

Kartik 92.2% districts

New RT-PCR tests 3049 18 Falgun 78 positive cases with 1.9% positivity rate Total RT-PCR tests 2170112 As of 18 Falgun 274294 positive cases; Positivity rate: 12.6% Cumulative - Positivity Rate (%) 12.6 As of 18 Falgun 2170112 tests with 274294 positive cases RT-PCR Tests per million population 73708 As of 18 Falgun Total RT-PCR testing laboratories 83 As of 18 Falgun 48 Public (57.9%); 35 Private (42.1%)

Weekly New Test, New Positive Cases and Positivity Rate

0.0

0

0.0

0

0.0

0

0.0

0

0.0

0

0.0

0

0.0

0

0.0

0

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2

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1

0.5

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6

1.5

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1.6

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1.6

2 3

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3

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3 7.8

1

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8

8.9

8

3.6

9

2.4

3

3.5

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3.7

1

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4

4.8

7

5.8

8 8

.06

8.9

8

10

.69

13

.19

12

.28

15

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20

.52

22

.48

23

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25

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24

.75

22

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20

.91

17

.83

15

.74

15

.77

13

.82

11

.34

10

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8.5

3

8.4

2

7.1

0

5.8

2

4.0

6

3.6

1

3.2

4

2.9

6

2.3

5

0.00

5.00

10.00

15.00

20.00

25.00

30.00

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

New RT-PCR Test New COVID-19 Positive Positivity Rate

RT-PCR Test, COVID-19 Positive Cases and Positivity Rate

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

40.0

45.0

50.0

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000 2

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Fal

gun

New RT-PCR test New Positive Cases Positivity Rate (%)

Nu

mb

er

%

RT-PCR Testing Laboratories for COVID-19

Province

RT-PCR Testing Laboratories

Public Private Total % N % N %

Province 1 4 50.0 4 50.0 8 9.6

Province 2 5 83.3 1 16.7 6 7.2

Bagmati 21 46.7 24 53.3 45 54.2

Gandaki 2 66.7 1 33.3 3 3.6

Lumbini 6 54.5 5 45.5 11 13.3

Karnali 4 100.0 0 0.0 4 4.8

Sudurpaschim 6 100.0 0 0.0 6 7.2

Total 48 57.8 35 42.2 83 100.0

58 66

42 34

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Laboratories Tests - Cumulative

Public Private

Public Private Total

Laboratories 48 35 83

Cumulative Test 1440105 730007 2170112

17

People in Quarantine

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

160000

180000

200000

20

76

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Nu

mb

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f Pe

op

le

Date

Highest number of people reported on Jestha 28 172,266 Jestha 25 170,732

Falgun 18 58

1 18

People Returned from Abroad through TIA

Source: COVID-19 Crisis Management Center (CCMC)

https://ccmc.gov.np/ (2077 Falgun 18, 7:34pm)

13

82

9

57

8

85

1

76

1

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81

1

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06

6

17

07

1

34

0

13

39

1

40

1

15

79

1

52

8

22

88

1

76

3

13

71

2

52

2

13

62

1

79

8

17

98

20

60

1

27

5

11

94

1

11

3 1

38

7

11

75

1

28

4

11

89

6

73

86

4

13

48

1

71

8

16

44

1

08

2

10

49

8

71

1

32

9

15

15

1

17

2

10

51

1

01

4

10

49

1

62

6

79

4

10

78

7

45

7

25

1

01

9 12

37

2

51

3

79

4

83

9

13

41

8

59

1

13

5

18

09

6

57

7

47

1

18

0

95

5

17

08

1

28

6

26

13

9

43

1

24

6

98

1

14

21

1

43

1 16

33

7

17

96

4 11

31

1

05

0 12

84

1

15

7

15

60

1

07

0

99

0

98

8

10

59

1

69

9

12

72

1

78

8

11

56

1

15

1 1

41

2

14

55

1

83

1

18

48

1

85

3

19

81

1

78

5

16

52

18

53

1

96

0

19

55

2

00

3

19

40

1

03

5

17

24

1

58

4

97

4

28

53

1

92

9

16

94

1

84

9

14

40

1

24

0

13

23

2

04

1 2

31

2

17

66

1

43

1

12

70

2

04

7 22

90

2

24

2

22

87

2

09

5

24

44

1

57

9 1

88

8

20

06

2

75

6

22

45

1

50

6

19

33

1

97

6

20

87

1

96

7

21

07

2

46

7

17

93

1

61

9

21

77

1

24

7

12

64

2

36

2

13

23

2

79

4

15

64

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

5000 A

sar

24

A

sar

27

A

sar

30

Sh

raw

an 5

Sh

raw

an 8

Sh

raw

an 1

1

Shra

wan

14

Sh

raw

an 1

7

Shra

wan

20

Sh

raw

an 2

5

Bh

adra

1

Bh

adra

7

Bh

adra

12

B

had

ra 1

5

Bh

adra

18

B

had

ra 2

1

Bh

adra

25

B

had

ra 2

8

Ash

oj 0

1

Ash

oj 0

4

Ash

oj 0

7

Ash

oj 1

0

Ash

oj 1

3

Ash

oj 1

6

Ash

oj 1

9

Ash

oj 2

2

Ash

oj 2

5

Ash

oj 2

9

Kar

tik2

K

arti

k 5

K

arti

k 1

5

Kar

tik

19

K

arti

k 2

2

Kar

tik

25

M

angs

ir 0

2

Man

gsir

05

M

angs

ir 0

8

Man

gsir

11

M

angs

ir 1

5

Man

gsir

18

M

angs

ir 2

1

Man

gsir

24

M

angs

ir 2

8

Pu

sh 0

1

Po

ush

04

P

ou

sh 0

7

Po

ush

10

P

ush

13

P

ush

16

P

ush

19

P

ush

22

P

ush

25

P

ush

28

M

agh

2

Mag

h 5

M

agh

8

Mag

h 1

1

Mag

h 1

4

Mag

h 1

7

Mag

h 2

0

Mag

h 2

3

Mag

h 2

6

Mag

h 2

9

Falg

un

2

Falg

un

5

Falg

un

8

Falg

un

11

Fa

lgu

n 1

4

Nu

mb

er

Date

Total as of 2077 Falgun 16: 306,338

19

People Returned through Ground Crossings (As of 2077 Falgun 15) 1

44

1

25

57

2

42

1

16

14

17

77

1

59

4

19

09

1

26

5

88

5

85

3 1

02

4

84

5

90

1

99

7

82

9

79

2

72

0

77

4

65

9

75

2

86

0

70

7 83

0

14

85

1

05

3

11

35

1

65

9

25

97

2

75

0

26

22

1

43

0

13

73

1

33

0

13

43

1

44

3

12

82

1

17

7

75

0

66

6

72

4

50

3 6

83

4

82

4

45

4

31

4

21

4

51

4

68

4

19

62

0

53

7

79

6 95

0 1

14

8

16

81

1

14

7 1

36

9

13

13

1

38

5

11

61

1

78

5

12

69

1

10

3

11

28

12

96

1

03

1 12

02

1

30

4

12

74

8

28

1

15

6

12

76

1

19

7

10

25

12

76

1

25

4

10

30

12

18

1

59

7 17

98

2

62

1

22

00

2

94

7

28

68

2

72

2

30

29

3

71

1

29

55

2

67

7

25

03

2

44

7

20

53

2

74

9

21

52

2

08

9

18

58

1

17

9

61

7

65

1

11

61

1

66

7

20

84

1

43

9 16

19

18

11

1

86

2 20

39

22

03

23

66

2

98

1

29

81

2

59

0

12

01

2

78

9

17

89

9

65

2

20

4

26

42

2

20

8

21

80

3

98

7

23

83

2

52

5

21

24

1

78

1

17

45

2

05

9

23

42

2

80

0

24

82

3

23

0

24

40

2

41

8

24

76

26

40

28

87

2

65

8

19

59

2

70

4

21

07

2

26

7

28

48

2

08

2

19

50

1

86

9

28

02

1

76

3

17

37

3

22

6

18

00

19

69

1

32

4

16

62

1

41

4

13

43

1

08

3

21

27

1

79

0

18

14

1

83

0

19

32

2

34

5

29

88

2

71

7

19

87

2

44

5

23

40

2

25

9

19

80

1

73

3

14

80

1

58

7

15

30

1

64

0 18

23

1

92

3

16

89

1

56

7

19

54

1

46

6

15

60

1

60

8

21

26

2

02

4

28

54

2

23

2

20

34

2

02

5

26

01

2

04

5

21

31

2

19

7

21

30

2

04

5

21

46

2

05

6

21

34

2

80

9

23

43

2

95

0

24

35

2

35

9

29

86

2

54

6

25

57

2

42

3

24

56

26

93

2

64

7

23

32

2

45

5

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500 A

sar

25

Asa

r 2

9

Shra

wan

5

Shra

wan

9

Shra

wan

13

Shra

wan

17

Shra

wan

21

Shra

wan

25

Shra

wan

29

Bh

adra

01

Bh

adra

07

Bh

adra

12

Bh

adra

17

Bh

adra

21

Bh

adra

25

Bh

adra

29

Ash

oj 0

2

Ash

oj 0

6

Ash

oj 1

0

Ash

oj 1

4

Ash

oj 1

8

Ash

oj 2

2

Ash

oj 2

6

Ash

oj 3

0

Kar

tik

10

Kar

tik

14

Kar

tik

18

Kar

tik

22

Kar

tik

26

Man

gsir

05

Man

gsir

11

Man

gsir

17

Man

gsir

21

Man

gsir

25

Man

gsir

30

Po

ush

04

Po

ush

08

Po

ush

12

Po

ush

16

Po

ush

20

Po

ush

24

Po

ush

28

Mag

h 3

Mag

h 7

Mag

h 1

1

Mag

h 1

5

Mag

h 1

9

Mag

h 2

3

Mag

h 2

7

Falg

un

1

Falg

un

5

Falg

un

9

Falg

un

13

Nu

mb

er o

f Pe

op

le

Date Source: COVID-19 Crisis Management Center (CCMC) https://ccmc.gov.np/ (2077 Falgun 18, 9:46 pm) 20

Stock Status of COVID-19 Key Commodities (2077 Falgun 18)

SN Particulars

Available Stock / Province

Central

Store *

Province

1

Province

2 Bagmati * Gandaki Lumbini Karnali

Sudurpash

chim Total

A Laboratory and Vaccine

commodities

1 COVISHIELD Vaccine 10 Dose 4 13197 3121 9436 3886 18908 292 5884 54728 2 RT-PCR Kits 282096 3660 53956 14400 51464 6464 3488 27136 442664 3 Viral Transport Medium (VTM) 216742 22022 27932 44930 45614 47248 11100 47539 463127 4 RNA extraction Kit 147448 1174 30556 19624 80192 16250 7756 31385 334385 B Personal protective equipment

4 PPE Set 0 3501 7030 6137 2809 9765 555 4247 34044 5 Mask-N95 92316 19370 25089 29537 31340 25315 5228 26158 254353 6 Surgical Mask 1432593 530657 595393 1090413 528629 894681 181117 710420 5963903 7 Gown 64847 55197 96154 77416 54790 75812 19373 52721 496310 8 Face Shield 26216 8038 4732 78277 17768 36458 852 3425 175766 9 Shoe Cover 933 19648 33415 39838 26249 27849 7046 21355 176333 10 Surgical Gloves 44302 32866 34927 40317 29453 136618 14285 64230 396998 11 Head Cap 0 49663 2170 13960 8144 11325 943 9089 95294 12 Goggles Polycarbonate 120 2988 4416 6048 2834 2707 896 2547 22556 13 Safety Goggles 39983 9505 10119 18777 15509 14892 2673 4499 115957 Note: N95 includes N95 Mask and KN95 Mask; Surgical Mask includes Mask and Surgical Mask; Gown include Disposable Gown and Gown for reusable and Head cap includes Head Cap

and Surgical Cap

* Central store includes NPHL and Bagmati province excludes Central store.

Source: eLMIS; data extracted on 2 March2021 at 8:00 PM

22