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Opinion Coupling virtual watersheds with ecosystem services assessment: a 21st century platform to support river research and management José Barquín, 1 * Lee E. Benda, 2 Ferdinando Villa, 3 Lee E. Brown, 4 Núria Bonada, 5 David R. Vieites, 6,7 Tom J. Battin, 8 Julian D. Olden, 9 Samantha J. Hughes, 10 Clare Gray 11,12 and Guy Woodward 11 The demand for freshwater is projected to increase worldwide over the coming dec- ades, resulting in severe water stress and threats to riverine biodiversity, ecosystem functioning, and services. A major societal challenge is to determine where environ- mental changes will have the greatest impacts on riverine ecosystem services and where resilience can be incorporated into adaptive resource planning. Both water managers and scientists need new integrative tools to guide them toward the best solutions that meet the demands of a growing human population but also ensure riverine biodiversity and ecosystem integrity. Resource planners and scientists could better address a growing set of riverine management and risk mitigation issues by (1) using a virtual watershedsapproach based on improved digital river networks and better connections to terrestrial systems, (2) integrating virtual water- sheds with ecosystem services technology (ARtificial Intelligence for Ecosystem Services: ARIES), and (3) incorporating the role of riverine biotic interactions in shaping ecological responses. This integrative platform can support both interdis- ciplinary scientific analyses of pressing societal issues and effective dissemination of findings across river research and management communities. It should also provide new integrative tools to identify the best solutions and trade-offs to ensure the con- servation of riverine biodiversity and ecosystem services. © 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. How to cite this article: WIREs Water 2015. doi: 10.1002/wat2.1106 *Correspondence to: [email protected] 1 Environmental Hydraulics Institute, Universidad de Cantabria, Parque Científico y Tecnológico de Cantabria, Santander, Spain 2 Earth Systems Institute, Seattle, WA, USA 3 Basque Centre for Climate Change (BC3), IKERBASQUE, Basque Foundation for Science Bilbao, Bizkaia, Spain 4 Water@leeds/School of Geography, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK 5 Grup de Recerca Freshwater Ecology and Management (FEM), Departament dEcologia, Universitat de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain 6 Museo Nacional de ciencias Naturales, Consejo Superior de Inves- tigaciones Científicas, Madrid, Spain 7 CIBIO-INBIO, University of Porto, Campus Agrário de Vairão, Vairão, Portugal 8 Stream Biofilm and Ecosystem Research Laboratory, School of Architecture, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Lausanne, Switzerland 9 School of Aquatic and Fishery Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA 10 Centre for Research and Technology of Agro-Environmental and Biological Sciences, University of Trás-os-Montes e Alto Douro, Quinta de Prados, Portugal 11 Department of Life Sciences, Imperial College London, Berk- shire, UK 12 School of Biological and Chemical Sciences, Queen Mary Univer- sity of London, London, UK Conflict of interest: The authors have declared no conflicts of interest for this article. © 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.

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Page 1: Coupling virtual watersheds with ecosystem services ... · Opinion Coupling virtual watersheds with ecosystem services assessment: a 21st century platform to support river research

Opinion

Coupling virtual watersheds withecosystem services assessment: a21st century platform to supportriver research and managementJosé Barquín,1* Lee E. Benda,2 Ferdinando Villa,3 Lee E. Brown,4 Núria Bonada,5

David R. Vieites,6,7 Tom J. Battin,8 Julian D. Olden,9 Samantha J. Hughes,10

Clare Gray11,12 and Guy Woodward11

The demand for freshwater is projected to increaseworldwide over the coming dec-ades, resulting in severe water stress and threats to riverine biodiversity, ecosystemfunctioning, and services. Amajor societal challenge is to determinewhere environ-mental changes will have the greatest impacts on riverine ecosystem services andwhere resilience can be incorporated into adaptive resource planning. Both watermanagers and scientists need new integrative tools to guide them toward the bestsolutions that meet the demands of a growing human population but also ensureriverine biodiversity and ecosystem integrity. Resource planners and scientistscould better address a growing set of riverine management and risk mitigationissues by (1) using a ‘virtual watersheds’ approach based on improved digital rivernetworks and better connections to terrestrial systems, (2) integrating virtual water-sheds with ecosystem services technology (ARtificial Intelligence for EcosystemServices: ARIES), and (3) incorporating the role of riverine biotic interactions inshaping ecological responses. This integrative platform can support both interdis-ciplinary scientific analyses of pressing societal issues and effective dissemination offindings across river research andmanagement communities. It should also providenew integrative tools to identify the best solutions and trade-offs to ensure the con-servation of riverine biodiversity and ecosystem services. © 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.

How to cite this article:WIREs Water 2015. doi: 10.1002/wat2.1106

*Correspondence to: [email protected] Hydraulics Institute, Universidad de Cantabria,Parque Científico y Tecnológico de Cantabria, Santander, Spain2Earth Systems Institute, Seattle, WA, USA3Basque Centre for Climate Change (BC3), IKERBASQUE, BasqueFoundation for Science Bilbao, Bizkaia, Spain4Water@leeds/School of Geography, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK5Grup de Recerca Freshwater Ecology and Management (FEM),Departament d’Ecologia, Universitat de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain6Museo Nacional de ciencias Naturales, Consejo Superior de Inves-tigaciones Científicas, Madrid, Spain7CIBIO-INBIO, University of Porto, Campus Agrário de Vairão,Vairão, Portugal

8Stream Biofilm and Ecosystem Research Laboratory, School ofArchitecture, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Lausanne,Switzerland9School of Aquatic and Fishery Sciences, University of Washington,Seattle, WA, USA10Centre for Research and Technology of Agro-Environmental andBiological Sciences, University of Trás-os-Montes e Alto Douro,Quinta de Prados, Portugal11Department of Life Sciences, Imperial College London, Berk-shire, UK12School of Biological and Chemical Sciences, Queen Mary Univer-sity of London, London, UK

Conflict of interest: The authors have declared no conflicts of interestfor this article.

© 2015 Wiley Per iodica ls , Inc.

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INTRODUCTION

Recent decades have witnessed accelerating climaticchange, biodiversity loss, modifications to biogeo-

chemical cycles, and alteration of the biophysical pro-cesses that shape the Earth’s surface.1,2 TheMillenniumEcosystemAssessment provided a compre-hensive review of the status of and threats to ecosys-tems3 and highlighted how biodiversity is a keycontributor to numerous ecosystem functions and ser-vices. This has been widely adopted and is now centralto the 2020 targets of the international Convention onBiological Diversity,4 aimed at halting declines in theprovisioning of services. Despite recognizing the scaleof the problem, global water demand is still projectedto exceed supply by approximately 40% by 2030.5

Freshwater ecosystems are among the most productiveon Earth, harboring a disproportionately large fractionof the planet’s biodiversity6,7; however, they are alsoespecially vulnerable8 and there is an urgent need toreverse the biodiversity loss and ecosystem degradationthey suffer.9

Freshwaters are aquatic islands embedded in aterrestrial sea; their spatial structure and hydrologicalconnectivity define many of their ecological attri-butes.10–12 Fluvial systems (entire catchments contain-ing features such as streams, wetlands, and lakes thatare drained by their river networks) provide criticalecosystem provisioning (e.g., clean water, fisheries),regulating (e.g., flood control, waste assimilation),and cultural services (e.g., recreation), all essential tohuman societies.3 For example, at the beginning ofthe 21st century, large dams contributed 20% of theworld’s electricity supply and irrigated agriculture pro-duced 40% of the world’s food,13 yet a naturally var-iable and interconnected flow regime is generally seenas a necessity for sustaining riverine biodiversity andecosystem functioning.14 These competing demandsand other anthropogenic stressors have resulted infreshwater ecosystems having among the largest pro-jected extinction rates on the planet, comparable totropical rainforests and coral reefs.15 Moreover, futureclimate change and the demands of a growing andincreasingly urbanized and affluent human populationwill exacerbate pressure on riverine biodiversity andthe ecosystem services they support over the comingdecades.8,9,16

Maximizing societal returns from fluvial land-scapes while simultaneously ensuring resilience andaquatic biodiversity conservation is a formidable chal-lenge for sustainable development. Water managersrequire tools to guide them through complex naturalresource decisions that seek to improve ecologicalstatus, predict and manage flood risk, and maintain

ecosystem resilience.17 Meeting the conflictingdemands of a growing human population while pro-tecting the integrity of riverine ecosystems will requirenew approaches, bringing together research andresource management by capitalizing on the increasingavailability of high-resolution scientific data and com-putational advances that enable their effective analysis.This article outlines the case for a coupled digital plat-form (Figure 1) that integrates analytical models ofaquatic-terrestrial ecosystems (virtual watersheds)18

with a robust ecosystem services assessment technology(such as ARtificial Intelligence for Ecosystem Services:ARIES).19 This coupled platform serves two funda-mental needs: (1) providing readily usable tools anddecision support for water managers and resourceplanners, using currently available data and (2) provid-ing a framework to organize past, and guide futureresearch that links biodiversity, ecosystem functioning,and services.

ECOLOGICAL NETWORKS, FLUVIALLANDSCAPES, AND RIVERINEECOSYSTEM SERVICES

Understanding how riverine ecosystem services areaffected by human actions is a long-standing challenge.Analysis of ecosystem services must address the com-plex and often indirect links between organisms andprocesses (Figure 2). Although significant advanceshave beenmade toward understanding the relationshipbetween freshwater biodiversity and ecosystem func-tioning in the last decade, these studies have beenlargely restricted to simple species-poor assemblagesin small-scale laboratory microcosms.20–25 Such stud-ies fill an obvious knowledge gap in disentangling spe-cific drivers and responses, but their narrow focus doesnot contribute to our understanding of the same rela-tionships at larger spatial scales.

Ecosystem processes in riverine ecosystems maybe resistant to local declines in species richness due tohigh levels of functional redundancy.21However, morerecent evidence suggests that the focus on single pro-cesses, rather than a more realistic evaluation of themultiple processes that define ecosystem functioning,may have caused an overestimation of this apparentrobustness.25 Decades of biomonitoring research haveshown that different species have different perfor-mance response curves across environmental gradi-ents.26 Thus, a greater level of biodiversity may beneeded at larger scales to maintain functioning ecosys-tems. This has important implications for scaling up(or down) findings from local to regional spatial scales,and may suggest ways to bridge the gap between

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biodiversity, ecosystem functioning, and services.27,28

Biotic interactions are often the main determinant ofecosystem processes at local scales, whereas environ-mental drivers are usually assumed to have an increas-ingly important role at the river network scale andbeyond (i.e., river basins that contain several streamsof more than first order). Understanding how these

local-to-regional responses change functional attri-butes of river ecosystems is essential for understandingand predicting the consequences of environmentalchange for river ecosystem services.

Remarkable scientific progress over the lastdecade has increased our understanding on the organ-ization of riverine biodiversity and processes across

IntegrateArtificial intelligence for

ecosystem services(ARIES)

Improved analyticalrepresentation of coupled

terrestrial-aquatic ecosystems(Virtual watersheds)

Dual functionplatform

Water managers andplanners: Supporting

resource use planning,risk mitigation, and

conservation planning

Research community: Supportinginterdisciplinary research science

(River networks, biodiversity,biogeochemistry, and cumulative

impacts)

FIGURE 1 | Diagram showing components of the coupled Virtual Watershed-ARtificial Intelligence for Ecosystem Services (ARIES) platform and thedual objectives it can be used to achieve.

Land use,

cover and soil

Riparian

communities

Aquatic food web

Fish

Macroinvertebrates

Waste removalfood, fishing, recreation

Microbes and

autotrophs

Habitat, flood

control

Water quality

Birds

Pest control,

bird-watching

Biotic EC

Abiotic EC

Ecosystem service

Timber, C-

sequestration,

runoff, and

erosion control

Irrigation, drinking,

hydroelectric

Terrestrial

Hydrology

Riverine

River

morphology

Dissolved

Ions, OM,

ss

Climate

FIGURE 2 | Diagram showing theoretical linkages between different biophysical ecosystem components (ECs) and riverine ecosystem services (OM,organic matter; SS, suspended solids).

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scales, including: (1) the role of river network structureand topology to explain habitat creation and mainte-nance through geomorphological processes,29 (2) theimportance of hierarchical patch dynamics on the bio-complexity of river ecosystems,30 (3) the dependency ofbiodiversity on hydrological dynamics,31 and (4) therole of spatial heterogeneity, connectivity, and asyn-chrony in riverine ecological dynamics.32 However,the development of analytical GIS tools capable ofincorporating these theoretical advances within a dig-ital numerical framework still lags far behind, whichprevents linking biological structure and function tothe hydromorphological characteristics of rivernetworks.

Most current assessments and evaluations of eco-system services (e.g., LUCI, INVEST, and ARIES)incorporate analytical tools that deal with ecosystemservices linked to catchment or terrestrial processes(e.g., irrigation, drinking water, and hydroelectricenergy production; Figure 2). Few incorporateapproaches in which models include in-stream ele-ments (i.e., biofilm, macroinvertebrates, or fish) tocharacterize ecosystem services that are mainly gener-ated within the riverine domain (e.g., water purifica-tion, fisheries; Figure 2). New approaches are neededto improve our understanding of how biodiversityand functioning are linked with the provision of river-ine ecosystem services. Effective ecosystem service ana-lytical tools should be able to: (1) work at a range ofscales and integrate results while recognizing river net-work topology and structure, (2) integrate existing andnew data from different sources, and (3) be flexibleenough to employ different models according to dataavailability.

CREATING THE ANALYTICALFRAMEWORK FOR RIVER-TERRESTRIAL ECOSYSTEMS

Assessment of riverine ecosystem services requirescomplete and accurate digital representations of entireriver networks (GIS hydrography or stream layers).Robust analytical capabilities are also needed to bringtogether the roles of different ecosystem componentsand interactions on the provisioning of riverine ecosys-tem services (Figure 2). However, many existing digitalriver networks (at regional or national scales) are basedon incomplete river networks (omitting headwaters) orhave limited analytical capabilities.18 A wide variety ofmethods can be used to derive synthetic hydrographyfrom digital elevation models (DEMs; e.g.,ArcHydro,33 TauDEM,34 and HEC-GeoHMS35);however, creating a digital river network from DEMs

is not the same as building a digital numerical frame-work which can incorporate different analytical cap-abilities (Box 1).

Virtual watersheds (Box 1) offer advantages overother approaches because they explicitly account forriver network structure and topology, incorporatinga wide range of terrestrial–riverine interactions at dif-ferent spatial scales (Figure 3). Virtual watersheds cre-ate near-complete digital synthetic river networks (e.g.,stream layer or hydrography), often improving onnational-level hydrography.18 By using virtual water-sheds and its accompanying digital synthetic hydrogra-phy, an analyst can route information downstream(such as water, sediment, or pollutants) or upstream(such asmigrating fish).Moreover, all parts of the land-scape within a virtual watershed are interconnected to

BOX 1

BUILDING VIRTUAL WATERSHEDS

Virtualwatersheds are built usingNetMap (www.terrainworks.com),39 as an add-in in ArcGIS. Theywere developedwith numerous agency and NGOpartners in thewestern United States for the pur-poses of addressing fluvial and riparianprocesses,aquatic habitat characteristics, erosion-sedimen-tation processes, and the effects of roads, urban-ization, wildfire, and climate change on rivernetworks. Virtual watersheds are a geospatialsimulation of riverine landscapes within com-puter hardware and software that contain com-ponents necessary to enumerate a variety ofwatershed landforms and processes, and humaninteractions with them. The components of a vir-tual watershed include a DEM of the highest res-olution available, synthetic hydrography (e.g.,river network derived from DEMs) and their cou-pling using a data structure to support therequired analytical capabilities. A virtual water-shed is more than a stream layer or hydrographyand it is characterized by five analytical capabil-ities (Figure 3): (1) landform characterization,every cell in a DEM is characterized topographi-cally (floodplains, hillslopes, etc.); (2) discretiza-tion, the digital hydrography, and DEM surfaceare subdivided into facets of appropriate spatialscales; (3) attribution, assigning of watershed,and stream attributes to individual segmentswithin the digital hydrography; (4) connectivity,all DEM cells need to be connected to all othersto allow information transfer (river network–ter-restrial); and (5) routing, transfer of informationup and downstream in the river network.

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simulate the movement of gravity-driven elements suchas water and sediment, or animal movement, whichincludes using least environmental cost technology.36

All cells (i.e., smaller homogenous units in a DEM)within a virtual watershed are topographically charac-terized to identify landforms, including their elevation,relative to the channel network, elevation relative toother areas (concavities and convexities), flow conver-gence, slope steepness, etc.. This is used to identify rel-evant landforms for riverine ecosystems such asriparian zones, floodplains, terraces, alluvial fans,and erosional features.37 Finally, the synthetic hydrog-raphy is richly attributed with stream and watershedinformation so that any digital information (e.g., vege-tation cover or land uses) can be transferred to the rivernetwork across a range of different scales.38 This isfacilitated by the discretization of landforms and otherfeatures at different spatial scales, ranging from indi-vidual hillsides and river buffers (DEM cells below

10−1 km2), river segments (variable, but commonlybelow 10−1 km), subcatchments (variable, 101–102

km2), catchments (any scale), or evenwhole landscapes(multiple catchments).

Virtual watersheds have been developed across adiverse set of landscapes and projects that build uponthe uniquely rich analytical capabilities of thisapproach (Box 1). For example, in the Simonette Riverwatershed (6000 km2; north central Alberta) theAlberta Provincial Government required the identifica-tion of variable width riparian zones for regulatorypurposes in relation to road erosion and sediment deliv-ery (and transport) to streams. NetMap’s VirtualWatershed39 was integrated with existing national-level LiDAR-based hydrography40 to map riparianzones that included floodplains, wetlands, in-streamwood recruitment areas, and zones that influencedwater thermal loading, allowing evaluation of cumula-tivewatershed effects. A virtual watershedwas built for

Flow direction/accumulation

Erosion Fans

(ii)

(i)

(v)

(iv)

(iii)

Valleys

Floodplains

Landform mapping

Downstream–

upstream routing Connectivity

AttributionDiscretization

Elevation

drainage area

gradient width,depth flow

substrate

land use etc.

Digital synthetichydrography

ReachZ

X

Y

Nodes

DEM

FIGURE 3 | The coupling of the digital elevationmodel (DEM) with synthetic hydrography contains a numerical data structure that support five typesof analytical capabilities (Box 1). Multiple connectivity pathways include (i) river connected, (ii) Euclidean distance, (iii) slope distance, (iv) gravity-drivenflow paths, and (v) modified slope distance. These components comprise a virtual watershed. (Reprinted with permission from Ref 18. Copyright 2014)

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the Matanuska-Susitna catchment (65,000 km2) insouth central Alaska to create a more complete andaccurate hydrography (using a blend of 5 and 1mDEMs) to delineate salmon habitats. NetMap’s valleyfloor and riparian delineation tools were also used toidentify floodplains and riparian areas. This work pro-vided the foundation for a basin level ecosystem valu-ation analysis for fisheries, floodplains, and riparianzones.41

ASSESSING RIVERINE ECOSYSTEMSERVICES USING ARIES

TheARIES approach has several advantages over othermethods in the assessment of riverine ecosystem ser-vices because it provides: (1) spatial explicit informationon modalities of ecosystem services sources, sinks, andflows, (2) actual ecosystem service use versus potentialuse, (3) flexible statement on ecosystem services values,(4) simultaneous analysis of ecosystem services trade-offs, and (5) uncertainty estimates.42 ARIES19 (Box2) was developed in response to the need to extendthe Millennium Ecosystem Assessment ConceptualModel (which classifies ecosystem services as ‘support-ing’, ‘regulating’, ‘provisioning’, and ‘cultural’)43 tosupport a systematic emphasis on beneficiaries. Thisreduces the occurrence of erroneous ‘double counting’of ecosystem services values44 and provides improvedcharacterization of the spatial locations of ecosystemservices provision, beneficiaries, and spatial flows.45

An ARIES assessment requires the mapping ofconcrete and spatially explicit beneficiary groups,and a thorough explicit characterization of the set ofprocesses that link a beneficiary group with specifiedsource ecosystem(s) through a clearly identified spatio-temporal flow. For example, the water supply serviceincludes separate processes for each water use in anarea, such as irrigation, domestic, or industrial use.This approach improves detail, scale, and dynamicsof ecosystem services models.46 ARIES models the spa-tiotemporal transport and delivery of ecosystem servicebenefits through dynamic flow models based on algo-rithms that use the production function output alongwith quantification of demand as inputs. In this multi-stage approach, amounts of a service carrier producedin source (supply) regions flow to beneficiaries wheredemand is explicitly quantified. Flows reach benefici-aries along physical or informational flow paths, whichresult from spatially explicit and dynamic physicalprocesses.

A precondition for the effective use of ecosystemservices in decision-making is to acknowledge, quan-tify, and communicate the uncertainties that are

inherent to any modeling task. ARIES is designed touse probabilistic initial conditions for most of its mod-els, using Bayesian belief networks in place of the pro-duction functions adopted in other approaches. An enduser obtains information on uncertainty via dynamicportions of Aries models that use methods includingMonte Carlo simulation and variance propagation.Importantly, only the components of overall uncer-tainty that relate tomissing data or known data qualityissues can be dealt with effectively in such a probabilis-tic model. Accounting for uncertainty that relates to thestructure of the causal dependencies that define theBayesian models is not possible, although context-spe-cific model assemblage rules can be used (Box 2).

At present, ARIES comprises models addressingeight ecosystem services (carbon sequestration andstorage, riverine flood regulation, coastal flood regula-tion, aesthetic views and open space proximity, watersupply, sediment regulation, subsistence fisheries, andrecreation). Water service models have incorporatedexplicit water demand, simulating water-deliverydynamics that take into account precipitation, evapo-transpiration, infiltration, runoff, and rival use. Waterbudgets computed for a particular region account sep-arately for demand for irrigation, livestock, residentialconsumption, and tourism, often using ‘best practice’manuals and heuristic criteria when primary data arenot available. ARIES model development uses abottom–up approach, based on detailed collaborativecase studies; this knowledge is generalized to yield‘global’ models, providing a broader characterizationof many ecosystem services at a wider variety of loca-tions based on limited data input requirements fromusers. These simpler models provide a default ‘bottomline’ in the ARIES environment, allowing the system toproduce results of adjustable detail in almost any geo-graphic region using global data, but automaticallyswitching tomore detailedmodels when the knowledgebase and data allow. A variety of well-known opensource physical process models are integrated into theARIES model base. For example, the water compo-nents currently rely on a fully distributed relatively sim-ple surface water model that uses the curve numbermethod47 to predict infiltration, evapotranspiration,runoff, and groundwater recharge from globally avail-able elevation, land cover, and soil data.

By bringing together the capabilities of virtualwatersheds and ARIES provides immense potential toincrease our understanding of the relationshipsbetween riverine biodiversity and ecosystem function-ing and services. The large-scale meta-modeling ARIESframework, based on a flexible modular assemblyprocess, would be greatly expanded by coupling it withthe virtual watershed approach (Box 2). Virtual

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watersheds capabilities coupled to the ARIES’ modelrepository can greatly expand the conceptual resolu-tion of the system and allowmore widespread and eco-nomical exploitation of its decision-making potential.The virtual watershed design complements ARIESbecause it adds increasing spatial resolution and rele-vant information on environmental properties of catch-ments and river networks across scales. This coupledplatform could host models that include in-stream ele-ments (e.g., biofilm) that provide key functions (i.e.,nutrient retention) in the provision of riverine ecosys-tem services (i.e., water purification; Figure 2) at

different spatial scales (from single river reaches toentire river networks).

STEPS AHEAD: INTEGRATINGEXISTING AND NEW DATABASES

The spatial framework provided by the Virtual Water-shed-ARIES platform is essential to produce the spa-tially explicit information, spanning multiple levels ofbiological organization and ecosystem functions, thatis required to improve our understanding of the rela-tionship among riverine biodiversity, ecosystem func-tioning, and ecosystem services. A key advantage ofthe proposed Virtual Watershed-ARIES platform isthat it could incorporate existing and new data frommanydifferent sources. This allows significant progressin river research and management issues globally. Forexample, biomonitoring and hydromorphological datagathered through national or regional monitoring pro-gram (e.g., hydrology, water quality) could be easilyintegrated and modeled in virtual watersheds.48 Addi-tionally, most funding bodies are now moving towardpublic repositories for datasets collected from projectsthey fund (e.g., http://www.evo-uk.org/). Findingsfrom increasingly popular citizen science could alsoconstitute an important data source; for instance River-fly Monitors gather standardized macroinvertebratedata at different spatial scales across the UK (http://www.riverflies.org/), which could be integrated easilyinto the dual digital platform to provide alternativemeasures of biological diversity. Citizen science dataare often collected from the same site over time, provid-ing a temporal component of biodiversity and ecosys-tem functioning.49 These time series allow effects ofpolicy change on biodiversity, and ecosystem function-ing to be assessed. Remote sensing information fromdifferent sources (e.g., LANDSAT, MERIS, SENTI-NEL, SPOT-5, and others) could provide series of dataon land use and land cover dynamics or riparian forestcondition covering a range of spatial scales. There isalso a growing amount of environmental digital infor-mation available through different interconnected webportals (e.g., GEOSS, GBIF, and BIOFRESH) thatcould also be used to calculate biophysical characteris-tics of entire river networks worldwide.

Biodiversity indicators currently used to reflectthe state of the environment are structural in natureand cover only a few levels of biological organization,situated mainly at the level of populations and/or com-munities.49 Information on other levels of biodiversityand ecosystem functioning (e.g., genes-to-ecosystems;Figure 4) are used less commonly. However, futureadvances in river research will need to produce data

BOX 2

THE ARIES APPROACH TO INTELLIGENTMODEL INTEGRATION

In ARIES, observation is the unifying paradigmthat allows models of physical objects, processes,and quantities to be independently developed,stored, found, and assembled into end-userdata-flows. A model is seen as a strategy toobserve a concept, which applies equally to data-sets and computedmodels. ARIES runs at the userside as a client software with limited require-ments, accessing a distributed network wheremany models may be available to observe thesame concept. Explicit semantics guides theassembly of the best possible workflow that willcompute the requested observation based on auser query as simple as ‘observe social dynamicsof water in watershed X’. The resolution proc-ess19 builds a decision tree to identify the mostsuitable model and, in turn, any other conceptsrequired by it, until a computable workflow isbuilt. To match models to contexts, ARIES adoptsa sophisticated multiple criteria ranking algo-rithm that can mix objective criteria (such asspatiotemporal resolution or currency) withuser-provided rankings of reliability and quality.Specifically, detailed models and data are chosenover more general alternatives as long as dataexist to run them. Differences in representation(e.g., units or spatial projections) are negotiatedtransparently. In the current ARIES model base,modeling paradigms such as GIS, system dynam-ics, and Bayesian networks coexist with agent-based models to provide a variety of possibleinterpretations for the complex phenomenathat underlie ecosystem service. When dataallow, detailed models are built with no userintervention.

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spanning multiple levels of biological organization andecosystem functions based on a spatially explicitdesign. This is because it is difficult to predict ecosystemfunctioning by simply extrapolating across levels ofbiological organization due to emergent properties incomplex systems.50 The proposed platform could pro-vide the basis for setting (pressure-driven or natural)gradients and control-impact analysis to elucidateeffects of human impacts on biodiversity and ecosystemfunctioning. Molecular data will be essential in thismultilevel approach, such as environmental DNA,51

to account for key species maintaining ecosystem func-tioning and services. Molecular approaches are alsopivotal to understand how microbial diversity changesthroughout river networks.52 Research on the popula-tion genetic diversity of keystone species or ecosystemengineers (e.g., fish at the top of the food web andriparian trees at the base) at a river network scale(e.g., metacommunity dynamics) or comparing growthrates (RNA:DNA ratios) of indicator species that havedisproportionate effects across driver-pressure gradi-ents could also help to explain the relationshipsbetween biodiversity and ecosystem functioning andservices. Moreover, a reasonable starting point forintroducing biotic interactions into the virtual

watershed modeling practise is to use a trait-basedapproach, rather than one that is taxonomicallyexplicit: this also frees us of the ‘curse of the Latin bino-mial’53 and improves the potential generality of theapproach. This is supported because of the evidentredundancy that occurs in running waters, at leastfor single processes and/or services, and the existenceof ‘super-traits’ such as body-size, which determinesboth the structure and dynamics of freshwaterfood webs.

Riverine ecosystem functioning can be assessedby using estimates of biomass production, organicmat-ter breakdown, or nutrient uptake rates, yet it is rarelymeasured in monitoring program and current spatialdata coverage is limited. A possible approach is tomeasure river ecosystem metabolism, which is essen-tially the sum of the metabolic rates of the organismswithin the food web.54 Whole-ecosystem metabolismis a promising, cost-effective measure of ecosystemfunctioning, as it integrates many different ecosystemprocesses and is affected by both rapid (primary pro-ductivity) and slow (organic matter decomposition)energy channels of the riverine food web, as well asbeing able to measure responses at the higher spatialscales (e.g., reaches and above) that are more relevant

Isotope analysis

River metabolism

GPP

0

20

gO

2.m

–2 d

–1

40

60

ER

Key species growth rates(RNA:DNA ratios)MetagenomicsMetabolomics

DOM

Suspended

solids

NutrientsTemperature

Water characteristics

Biofilm

InvertebratesFishes

River food web

River ecosystem

FIGURE 4 | River ecosystem components at different levels of organization and alternative techniques (Colored arrows) that could be used tocharacterize these ecosystem components. Some of these techniques could actually be applied to more than one ecosystem component (White arrowsshow interactions among ecosystem components; DOM, dissolved organic matter; GPP, gross primary productivity; ER, ecosystem respiration.).

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to service delivery.55 This technique is increasinglybeing used as an indicator of fluvial ecosystemhealth,56 although linkages to driver-pressure gradi-ents and baseline natural variability at a range of scalesare still being investigated.57,58

Finally, important and rapid advances in bothwater management and new research could be madeby layering the increasing volumes of ‘big data’ of spe-cies assemblages and interaction networks that areemerging12,26,49 onto the river network in the proposedcoupled platform. This would essentially produce a‘network of networks’ (Figure 5). The structure of eco-logical interaction networks (such as food webs) pro-vides a conceptual link between specific communityassemblages and the ecosystem services they provide.59

Individual streams can be considered as a fragmentedlocal food web, part of a larger regional food web thatis embedded in a spatially explicit setting (Figure 5).Often stream food webs are considered in isolation,when in reality they are integrated into a larger meta-network, with species moving among them at differentscales across the fluvial landscape (i.e., source-sinkdynamics). The consequences of a particular stressorcan be assessed in a food web framework; differentstressors are associated with spatial scales and

particular nodes in the web (e.g., biomagnification oforganochlorine pesticides in apex predators; antibio-tics within the microbial loop at the base of the web)and the particular services associated with each nodeor compartments in the web. Ecosystem services couldbe linked to particular portions of the food web, pro-viding a useful means of rationalizing and predictingimpacts of stressors. For instance, drought events frag-ment and simplify freshwater food webs, impairingecosystem processes, and the associated services theyprovide.60,61 The combination of these data types intothe proposed coupled platform can add significantly toour understanding of how management techniques,governmental policies, as well as environmental stres-sors affect the mechanisms underpinning ecologicalnetwork structure and hence ecosystem functioningwithin fluvial landscapes.

CONCLUSION

We propose that a coupled Virtual Watershed-ARIESplatform (or any other platform with similar analyticalcapabilities) should be built at the scale of regions toentire countries to support interdisciplinary analyseson fundamental issues in relation to riverine ecosystems

River medway

Ashdown

Forest

River Ouse

Stream

Watershed

Global

(inter-catchment)

network

Regional

(catchment)

network

Local (stream) catchment

FIGURE 5 | A ‘network of networks’—the spatial configuration of ecological interaction networks within a river network. (Reprinted withpermission from Ref 12. Copyright 2012 Academic Press). Local stream food webs for the Ashdown Forest, UK. Each individual stream food web is shownalongside regional and global food webs. Each web (local and regional) contains the same number and positioning of nodes as in the global web:macroinvertebrate taxa present within the depicted web are shown in solid black dots, whereas nodes present in the global web but absent from thedepicted web are shown in gray. All streams are part of the River Medway or River Ouse catchments which are separated by the dashed line.

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and the services they provide. It should be made widelyavailable (off the shelf ) to river science and manage-ment communities and contain new integrative toolsto identify the best solutions and trade-offs to ensurethe conservation of riverine biodiversity and ecosystemservices. We believe that this coupled platform couldaddress both the immediate problems facing resourcemanagers and support basic research into cause-effectrelationships among river biodiversity, ecosystem func-tioning, and service provisioning. Specifically, an inte-grated Virtual Watershed-ARIES platform wouldprovide the following advantages:

• Improve the delineation of complete river net-works, including headwater and ephemeral chan-nels, comprising their attribution andconnections to land surfaces (e.g., building virtualwatersheds)

• Provide an off the shelf (readily available) anduser friendlyGIS-based analysis and decision sup-port platform for planners andmanagers, addres-sing such applied problems as fish habitatmapping, floodplain delineation, riparian areaidentification, erosion predictions, etc.

• Strengthen the spatial resolution and otheraspects of ecosystem service assessment by cou-pling the virtual watershed with ARIES

• Implement research program to assess spatiallyexplicit relationships between biodiversity andecosystem services, via control-impact and gradi-ent studies, and field and mesocosm experimentscoupled with existing biomonitoring, remote sen-sing, and Citizen Science data.

• Identify spatially explicit biodiversity-ecosystemservice (B-ES) indicators linked to the widerlandscape across multiple scales (EssentialBiodiversity Variables sensu GEO BON).

• Improve understanding of howmultiple stressorsinteract spatially in river networks by mapping ofpressure-affected zones to identify overlaps (i.e.,multiple stressor hotspots) and how pressurespropagate through the river network and acrossscales.

• Underpin the development of new ecosystem-level analytical tools for both stakeholder andacademic communities.

• Develop new integrative modeling of driversand responses across spatial scales to understandhow the environment moulds B-ES relationships,and ultimately to predict future change underscenarios of environmental and socio-economicdynamics.

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

This study was partly funded by the SpanishMinistry of Economy and Competitiveness as part of the project RIV-ERLANDS (BIA2012-33572). José Barquín is supported by a Ramon y Cajal grant (Ref: RYC-2011-08313) of theMinistry of Economy and Competitiveness. Samantha Jane Hughes is SUSTAINSYS funded postdoctoral fellow—

North-07-0124-FEDER-0000044, financed by the Regional Operational Programme North (ON.2—The NewNorth), under the National Strategic Framework (NSRF), through the European Regional Development Fundand PIDDAC via the Foundation for Science and Technology. David Vieites is supported by the ERANET Biodi-versa EC21C: European Conservation for the 21st Century. Ferdinando Villa’s ARIES work is supported by ESPA/NERC (grants ASSETS andWISER) and the Spanish Government’s PlanNacional (grant CAUSE). Clare Graywasfunded by a QueenMary University of London Studentship and the Freshwater Biology Association. This article isalso a contribution to Imperial College’s Grand Challenges in Ecosystems and the Environment initiative. Wewould also like to thank to a number of colleagues who contributed early to the development of these ideas: AndreaBuffagni, Sylvain Dolédec, Jan Köhler, Thierry Oberdorff, Nikos Skoulikidis, and Ryan Sponseller.

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